---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:50 PDT

safe3step girls Northville 1
  
Northville            
W-L: (10-10) PR = 86.8770

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 404 A Canton ( 3-13, 81.6) 17- 2 405 A Oxford (12-10, 84.4) 13-14 407 H Hartland (20- 6, 93.8) 4- 9 409 H Ann Arbor Pioneer ( 6- 9, 82.3) 20- 3 411 H Plymouth ( 5-12, 82.3) 13- 2 414 A Salem ( 5-15, 81.5) 14- 5 421 H Grosse Pointe South (13- 5, 89.0) 11-15 421 A Canton ( 3-13, 81.6) 23- 7 423 H Howell ( 9-11, 84.2) 18- 6 424 A Birmingham Unified (11- 9, 91.8) 9-21 428 A South Lyon United (21- 0, 97.2) 2-15 430 H Brighton (14- 6, 94.9) 4-19 502 A Bloomfield Hills (13-11, 91.2) 6-14 505 H Mercy (13- 3, 92.3) 11-14 507 A Novi ( 9-10, 87.3) 12-18 509 A Livonia United ( 5-11, 83.0) 18- 5 512 H Plymouth ( 5-12, 82.3) 19- 6 513 H Troy ( 6-10, 86.0) 22-19 516 H Livonia United ( 5-11, 83.0) 13- 5 520 A Brighton (14- 6, 94.9) 5-20

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A Canton                 17- 2      15     5           0.31
   405 A Oxford                 13-14      -1     2    -     -2.90
   407 H Hartland                4- 9      -5    -6           0.00
   409 H Ann Arbor Pioneer      20- 3      17     5           0.00
   411 H Plymouth               13- 2      11     5           0.00
   414 A Salem                  14- 5       9     5           0.23
   421 H Grosse Pointe South    11-15      -4    -2    -     -2.48
   421 A Canton                 23- 7      16     5           0.31
   423 H Howell                 18- 6      12     3           1.73
   424 A Birmingham Unified      9-21     -12    -6           0.00
   428 A South Lyon United       2-15     -13   -11           0.00
   430 H Brighton                4-19     -15    -7           0.00
   502 A Bloomfield Hills        6-14      -8    -5          -0.01
   505 H Mercy                  11-14      -3    -5           1.83
   507 A Novi                   12-18      -6    -1    -     -3.99
   509 A Livonia United         18- 5      13     3           1.72
   512 H Plymouth               19- 6      13     5           0.00
   513 H Troy                   22-19       3     1           1.52
   516 H Livonia United         13- 5       8     5           0.48
   520 A Brighton                5-20     -15    -9           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Oxford                 13-14      -1     2    -     -2.90
   421 H Grosse Pointe South    11-15      -4    -2    -     -2.48
   507 A Novi                   12-18      -6    -1    -     -3.99

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Northville Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Ann Arbor Father Gabriel Northville tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Northville
Ann Arbor Huron Northville Northville   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Ann Arbor Pioneer Northville Northville  
Ann Arbor Skyline Northville insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Northville
Avondale Northville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northville
Battle Creek Harper Cree Northville   Northville
Bedford Northville insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Northville
Birmingham Unified Birmingham Unified Birmingham Unified  
Bloomfield Hills Bloomfield Hills Bloomfield Hills  
Brighton Brighton Brighton  
Brighton B Northville insuffient: ( 4- 0)( 3- 1) Northville
Byron Center Byron Center   Byron Center
Caledonia Caledonia   Caledonia
Canton Northville Northville  
Cass Tech Northville Northville   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Catholic Central Catholic Central insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Catholic Central
Chippewa Valley Northville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northville
Clarkston Northville insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Northville
Comstock Park Northville   Northville
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood insuffient: ( 1- 6)( 2- 5) Cranbrook Kingswood
Davison Northville tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Northville
Detroit Country Day Detroit Country Day Detroit Country Day   4- 0 vs 0- 4
DeWitt Northville insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Northville
Dexter Northville Northville   5- 0 vs 3- 2
Divine Child Northville insuffient: ( 5- 2)( 4- 2) Northville
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids   2- 0 vs 0- 2
East Lansing Northville   Northville
Farmington Northville Northville   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Fenton-Linden Co-Op Northville insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) Northville
Flint Powers Catholic Northville   Northville
Flushing Northville insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Northville
Forest Hills Central Forest Hills Central   Forest Hills Central
Forest Hills Northern/Ea Forest Hills Northern/Ea   Forest Hills Northern/Ea
Grand Blanc Northville insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Northville
Grand Haven Northville   Northville
Grand Ledge Grand Ledge   Grand Ledge
Grand Rapids Christian Northville tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Northville
Grandville Northville   Northville
Grosse Pointe North Northville tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Northville
Grosse Pointe South Grosse Pointe South Grosse Pointe South  
Hartland Hartland Hartland  
Haslett Haslett tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Haslett
Henry Ford II Northville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northville
Holland West Ottawa Northville   Northville
Holly-Brandon Co-Op Northville   Northville
Holt Holt Holt   2- 1 vs 0- 4
Howell Northville Northville  
Hudsonville Hudsonville   Hudsonville
Jenison Northville   Northville
Kalamazoo Central Northville insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Northville
Lake Fenton Northville   Northville
Lake Orion Lake Orion Lake Orion   3- 3 vs 1- 5
Lakeview Northville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northville
Lansing Catholic-Waverly Northville tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Northville
Lapeer Northville   Northville
Livonia United Northville Northville  
Lowell Lowell   Lowell
Marian Marian Marian   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Mattawan Mattawan   Mattawan
Mercy Mercy Mercy  
Midland Northville   Northville
Mona Shores Mona Shores tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Mona Shores
Northview Northview   Northview
Notre Dame Prep Northville tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Northville
Novi Novi Novi  
Okemos Northville tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Northville
Oxford Oxford Oxford  
Plymouth Northville Northville  
Portage Northern Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Reeths-Puffer Northville   Northville
Rochester Adams Rochester Adams insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Rochester Adams
Rochester HS Northville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northville
Rochester Stoney Creek Northville tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Northville
Rockford Rockford Rockford   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Royal Oak Northville Northville   3- 3 vs 1- 5
Sacred Heart Academy Northville   Northville
Saginaw Heritage Saginaw Heritage tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Saginaw Heritage
Salem Northville Northville  
Saline Saline insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 4- 1) Saline
South Lyon United South Lyon United South Lyon United  
Spring Lake Spring Lake   Spring Lake
St Catherine of Siena Northville   Northville
St Johns/Ovid-Elsie Northville   Northville
Swartz Creek Northville tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Northville
Tecumseh Northville Northville   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central   Traverse City Central
Troy Northville Northville  
Troy Athens Northville insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 3- 3) Northville
University Liggett University Liggett insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) University Liggett
Utica Eisenhower Northville insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Northville
Walled Lake Northern Northville tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Northville
Warren Regina Northville   Northville
Waterford United Northville insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Northville
West Bloomfield Northville insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Northville
White Lake Lakeland White Lake Lakeland White Lake Lakeland   4- 3 vs 2- 5
Zeeland East Northville   Northville

PowerWise = 60


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.08

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Canton          ( 3-13, 81.6)    17- 2      -18.34      10.86       0.62         0.80             9.23
   0 A Oxford          (12-10, 84.4)    13-14      -15.55      13.65       0.62         0.80           -12.00
   0 H Hartland        (20- 6, 93.8)     4- 9       -6.14      23.06      -0.62         0.80            -5.43
   0 H Ann Arbor Pion  ( 6- 9, 82.3)    20- 3      -17.65      11.54      -0.62         0.80             8.78
   0 H Plymouth        ( 5-12, 82.3)    13- 2      -17.64      11.55      -0.62         0.80             8.79
   0 A Salem           ( 5-15, 81.5)    14- 5      -18.41      10.78       0.62         0.80             9.17
   0 H Grosse Pointe   (13- 5, 89.0)    11-15      -10.88      18.31      -0.62         0.80            -9.25
   0 A Canton          ( 3-13, 81.6)    23- 7      -18.34      10.86       0.62         0.80             9.23
   0 H Howell          ( 9-11, 84.2)    18- 6      -15.68      13.51      -0.62         0.80            10.37
   0 A Birmingham Uni  (11- 9, 91.8)     9-21       -8.05      21.14       0.62         0.80            -5.98
   0 A South Lyon Uni  (21- 0, 97.2)     2-15       -2.74      26.45       0.62         0.80            -1.70
   0 H Brighton        (14- 6, 94.9)     4-19       -4.97      24.22      -0.62         0.80            -4.50
   0 A Bloomfield Hil  (13-11, 91.2)     6-14       -8.65      20.54       0.62         0.80            -6.46
   0 H Mercy           (13- 3, 92.3)    11-14       -7.57      21.62      -0.62         0.80            -6.59
   0 A Novi            ( 9-10, 87.3)    12-18      -12.64      16.55       0.62         0.80            -9.66
   0 A Livonia United  ( 5-11, 83.0)    18- 5      -16.92      12.27       0.62         0.80            10.36
   0 H Plymouth        ( 5-12, 82.3)    19- 6      -17.64      11.55      -0.62         0.80             8.79
   0 H Troy            ( 6-10, 86.0)    22-19      -13.89      15.30      -0.62         0.80            11.81
   0 H Livonia United  ( 5-11, 83.0)    13- 5      -16.92      12.27      -0.62         0.80             9.37
   0 A Brighton        (14- 6, 94.9)     5-20       -4.97      24.22       0.62         0.80            -3.50
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        30.83

winning pts = 95.9003 losing points = -65.0699

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------