Norwich Free Academy
W-L: (12- 6) PR = 79.9946Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 408 H East Lyme (17- 4, 85.2) 5-11 410 A Killingly ( 2-14, 69.8) 17- 3 412 H Montville (11- 7, 77.1) 9- 5 414 H Berlin ( 9-10, 77.0) 19-11 417 A Fitch ( 0-15, 67.7) 17- 6 419 A Ledyard ( 9- 8, 78.7) 10- 8 421 H Stonington (12- 5, 79.9) 9- 8 423 A Griswold-Norwich Tech ( 2-14, 69.7) 17- 2 424 A Wheeler (12- 6, 77.8) 17-16 429 H Waterford (12- 7, 81.5) 8-10 505 H RHAM ( 6-10, 77.0) 12- 7 512 A Waterford (12- 7, 81.5) 7-15 513 H Fitch ( 0-15, 67.7) 18- 4 517 H Haddam-Killingworth ( 9- 9, 76.6) 18- 8 520 A East Lyme (17- 4, 85.2) 3-17 522 A Woodstock Academy ( 3-13, 72.3) 16- 2 523 A Stonington (12- 5, 79.9) 10-11 603 A Wilton (13- 3, 95.8) 0-19
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
408 H East Lyme 5-11 -6 -4 -0.52
410 A Killingly 17- 3 14 9 0.00
412 H Montville 9- 5 4 4 0.41
414 H Berlin 19-11 8 4 1.27
417 A Fitch 17- 6 11 12 0.00
419 A Ledyard 10- 8 2 1 1.39
421 H Stonington 9- 8 1 1 0.17
423 A Griswold-Norwich Tech 17- 2 15 10 0.00
424 A Wheeler 17-16 1 1 -0.44
429 H Waterford 8-10 -2 -1 -1.26
505 H RHAM 12- 7 5 4 1.28
512 A Waterford 7-15 -8 -2 - -2.81
513 H Fitch 18- 4 14 13 0.00
517 H Haddam-Killingworth 18- 8 10 4 0.88
520 A East Lyme 3-17 -14 -6 0.00
522 A Woodstock Academy 16- 2 14 7 0.00
523 A Stonington 10-11 -1 -1 -0.38
603 A Wilton 0-19 -19 -17 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 512 A Waterford 7-15 -8 -2 - -2.81 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
Norwich Free Academy Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amity Regional | Amity Regional | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Amity Regional | |
| Avon HS | Norwich Free Academy | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Norwich Free Academy | |
| Bacon/East Hampton | Norwich Free Academy | Norwich Free Academy 8- 1 vs 5- 4 | ||
| Berlin | Norwich Free Academy | Norwich Free Academy | ||
| Bethel | Bethel | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bethel | |
| Branford | Branford | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Branford | |
| Brien McMahon | Brien McMahon | Brien McMahon | ||
| Bristol Central | Norwich Free Academy | Norwich Free Academy | ||
| Bristol Eastern | Norwich Free Academy | Norwich Free Academy | ||
| Brookfield | Brookfield | Brookfield | ||
| Canton | Norwich Free Academy | Norwich Free Academy | ||
| Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Cheshire HS | |
| Conard | Conard | Conard | ||
| Cromwell | Norwich Free Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Norwich Free Academy | |
| Danbury | Norwich Free Academy | Norwich Free Academy | ||
| Daniel Hand | Daniel Hand | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Daniel Hand | |
| Darien | Darien | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Darien | |
| East Catholic | Norwich Free Academy | tied - ( 4- 0) ( 4- 0) | Norwich Free Academy | |
| East Lyme | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| Ellington | Ellington | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Ellington | |
| Enfield | Norwich Free Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Norwich Free Academy | |
| EO Smith | Norwich Free Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Norwich Free Academy | |
| Fairfield Ludlowe | Fairfield Ludlowe | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Fairfield Ludlowe | |
| Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | ||
| Farmington | Farmington | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Farmington | |
| Fitch | Norwich Free Academy | Norwich Free Academy | ||
| Foran | Foran | Foran | ||
| Glastonbury | Glastonbury | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Glastonbury | |
| Granby Memorial | Granby Memorial | Granby Memorial | ||
| Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Greenwich HS | |
| Griswold-Norwich Tech | Norwich Free Academy | Norwich Free Academy | ||
| Guilford | Guilford | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Guilford | |
| Haddam-Killingworth | Norwich Free Academy | Norwich Free Academy | ||
| Hall | Hall | Hall | ||
| Hamden | Norwich Free Academy | Norwich Free Academy | ||
| Housatonic Regional | Norwich Free Academy | Norwich Free Academy | ||
| Immaculate Heart | Norwich Free Academy | Norwich Free Academy | ||
| Joel Barlow | Joel Barlow | Joel Barlow | ||
| Jonathan Law | Norwich Free Academy | Norwich Free Academy | ||
| Killingly | Norwich Free Academy | Norwich Free Academy | ||
| Lakeview United | Norwich Free Academy | Norwich Free Academy | ||
| Lauralton Hall | Lauralton Hall | Lauralton Hall | ||
| Ledyard | Norwich Free Academy | Norwich Free Academy | ||
| Lewis Mills | Norwich Free Academy | Norwich Free Academy | ||
| Lyman Hall | Norwich Free Academy | Norwich Free Academy | ||
| Masuk | Masuk | Masuk | ||
| Mercy | Norwich Free Academy | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Norwich Free Academy | |
| Middletown-Coginchaug | Norwich Free Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Norwich Free Academy | |
| Montville | Norwich Free Academy | Norwich Free Academy | ||
| Morgan School | Norwich Free Academy | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Norwich Free Academy | |
| New Canaan | New Canaan | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | New Canaan | |
| New Fairfield | New Fairfield | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | New Fairfield | |
| New London/St Bernards | Norwich Free Academy | Norwich Free Academy 5- 0 vs 3- 2 | ||
| New Milford | Norwich Free Academy | Norwich Free Academy | ||
| Newington | Norwich Free Academy | Norwich Free Academy 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Newtown | Newtown | Newtown | ||
| North Branford | Norwich Free Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Norwich Free Academy | |
| North Haven | Norwich Free Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Norwich Free Academy | |
| Northwest Catholic | Norwich Free Academy | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 1) | Norwich Free Academy | |
| Norwalk | Norwich Free Academy | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Norwich Free Academy | |
| Notre Dame Fairfield | Norwich Free Academy | Norwich Free Academy | ||
| Old Lyme | Norwich Free Academy | Norwich Free Academy 4- 2 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Old Saybrook | Norwich Free Academy | Norwich Free Academy 4- 1 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Pomperaug | Pomperaug | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Pomperaug | |
| RHAM | Norwich Free Academy | Norwich Free Academy | ||
| Ridgefield | Ridgefield | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ridgefield | |
| Rockville | Norwich Free Academy | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Norwich Free Academy | |
| Rocky Hill | Norwich Free Academy | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Norwich Free Academy | |
| Sacred Heart Academy | Sacred Heart Academy | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Sacred Heart Academy | |
| Sheehan | Norwich Free Academy | Norwich Free Academy | ||
| Shelton | Norwich Free Academy | Norwich Free Academy | ||
| Simsbury | Simsbury | Simsbury | ||
| Somers | Somers | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Somers | |
| South Windsor | Norwich Free Academy | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Norwich Free Academy | |
| Southington | Southington | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Southington | |
| St Joseph | St Joseph | St Joseph | ||
| St Paul Catholic | Norwich Free Academy | Norwich Free Academy | ||
| Stamford | Stamford | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Stamford | |
| Staples | Staples | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Staples | |
| Stonington | Norwich Free Academy | tied - ( 7- 2) ( 7- 2) | Norwich Free Academy | |
| Stratford-Bunnell | Norwich Free Academy | Norwich Free Academy | ||
| Suffield HS | Suffield HS | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Suffield HS | |
| Tolland | Tolland | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Tolland | |
| Trumbull | Trumbull | Trumbull | ||
| Valley Regional | Norwich Free Academy | Norwich Free Academy 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Waterford | Waterford | Waterford | ||
| Watertown | Norwich Free Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Norwich Free Academy | |
| West Haven | Norwich Free Academy | Norwich Free Academy | ||
| Westhill | Norwich Free Academy | Norwich Free Academy | ||
| Weston | Weston | Weston | ||
| Wethersfield | Norwich Free Academy | Norwich Free Academy | ||
| Wheeler | Norwich Free Academy | Norwich Free Academy | ||
| Wilton | Wilton | Wilton | ||
| Windsor | Norwich Free Academy | Norwich Free Academy | ||
| Wolcott | Norwich Free Academy | Norwich Free Academy | ||
| Woodstock Academy | Norwich Free Academy | Norwich Free Academy |
PowerWise = 55
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.51
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H East Lyme (17- 4, 85.2) 5-11 -14.70 20.11 -0.73 0.97 -15.00
0 A Killingly ( 2-14, 69.8) 17- 3 -30.10 4.70 0.73 0.97 5.28
0 H Montville (11- 7, 77.1) 9- 5 -22.77 12.04 -0.73 0.97 11.01
0 H Berlin ( 9-10, 77.0) 19-11 -22.91 11.90 -0.73 0.97 10.87
0 A Fitch ( 0-15, 67.7) 17- 6 -32.17 2.64 0.73 0.97 3.27
0 A Ledyard ( 9- 8, 78.7) 10- 8 -21.24 13.56 0.73 0.97 13.90
0 H Stonington (12- 5, 79.9) 9- 8 -20.01 14.80 -0.73 0.97 13.69
0 A Griswold-Norwi ( 2-14, 69.7) 17- 2 -30.16 4.65 0.73 0.97 5.23
0 A Wheeler (12- 6, 77.8) 17-16 -22.07 12.74 0.73 0.97 13.09
0 H Waterford (12- 7, 81.5) 8-10 -18.44 16.37 -0.73 0.97 -18.64
0 H RHAM ( 6-10, 77.0) 12- 7 -22.90 11.91 -0.73 0.97 10.88
0 A Waterford (12- 7, 81.5) 7-15 -18.44 16.37 0.73 0.97 -17.23
0 H Fitch ( 0-15, 67.7) 18- 4 -32.17 2.64 -0.73 0.97 1.86
0 H Haddam-Killing ( 9- 9, 76.6) 18- 8 -23.30 11.51 -0.73 0.97 10.49
0 A East Lyme (17- 4, 85.2) 3-17 -14.70 20.11 0.73 0.97 -13.59
0 A Woodstock Acad ( 3-13, 72.3) 16- 2 -27.57 7.24 0.73 0.97 7.75
0 A Stonington (12- 5, 79.9) 10-11 -20.01 14.80 0.73 0.97 -18.75
0 A Wilton (13- 3, 95.8) 0-19 -4.11 30.70 0.73 0.97 -3.29
------
20.79
|
winning pts = 107.3024 losing points = -86.5150
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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