---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:58 PDT

safe3step girls North Davidson 1
  
North Davidson        
W-L: ( 7- 9) PR = 73.8718

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 226 A Atkins (12- 8, 78.2) 2-17 228 H Grimsley (11- 7, 80.7) 4-14 303 H High Point Central ( 1-10, 64.3) 18- 1 307 A Ragsdale ( 1- 9, 70.5) 15- 3 310 A Bishop McGuinness (20- 4, 86.2) 3-20 312 A West Stokes ( 3- 9, 68.9) 8- 1 317 A Southeast Guilford (15- 5, 80.8) 0-16 324 H Atkins (12- 8, 78.2) 4-14 327 A Davie (10-10, 75.8) 7- 9 409 A High Point Central ( 1-10, 64.3) 15- 0 414 A Mooresville ( 5-12, 75.0) 3-16 417 H West Stokes ( 3- 9, 68.9) 9- 4 428 H Bishop McGuinness (20- 4, 86.2) 2-19 501 H Southwest Guilford ( 8-13, 76.4) 7- 6 508 H Glenn ( 0-19, 60.1) 17- 2 516 H St Stephens (10- 9, 75.3) 4- 6

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   226 A Atkins                  2-17     -15    -5          -0.32
   228 H Grimsley                4-14     -10    -7           0.00
   303 H High Point Central     18- 1      17    10           0.00
   307 A Ragsdale               15- 3      12     3           1.95
   310 A Bishop McGuinness       3-20     -17   -13           0.00
   312 A West Stokes             8- 1       7     5           0.37
   317 A Southeast Guilford      0-16     -16    -7           0.00
   324 H Atkins                  4-14     -10    -4          -0.93
   327 A Davie                   7- 9      -2    -2           0.19
   409 A High Point Central     15- 0      15     9           0.00
   414 A Mooresville             3-16     -13    -1    -     -3.57
   417 H West Stokes             9- 4       5     5           0.00
   428 H Bishop McGuinness       2-19     -17   -12           0.00
   501 H Southwest Guilford      7- 6       1    -2    +      3.27
   508 H Glenn                  17- 2      15    14           0.00
   516 H St Stephens             4- 6      -2    -1          -0.83

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 A Mooresville             3-16     -13    -1    -     -3.57

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 H Southwest Guilford      7- 6       1    -2    +      3.27

North Davidson Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Apex Apex   Apex
Apex Friendship Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Ardrey Kell Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Arendell Parrott Academy Arendell Parrott Academy   Arendell Parrott Academy
Asheville HS Asheville HS Asheville HS   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Asheville School Asheville School   Asheville School
Ashley Ashley   Ashley
Athens Drive Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Atkins Atkins Atkins  
Ballantyne Ridge Ballantyne Ridge insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Ballantyne Ridge
Bishop McGuinness Bishop McGuinness Bishop McGuinness  
Broughton Broughton   Broughton
Butler North Davidson tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) North Davidson
Cannon School Cannon School   Cannon School
Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy   Cape Fear Academy
Cape Fear HS North Davidson   North Davidson
Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons   Cardinal Gibbons
Carrboro Carrboro   Carrboro
Cary Academy Cary Academy   Cary Academy
Cary HS North Davidson   North Davidson
Chapel Hill Chapel Hill insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Chapel Hill
Charlotte Catholic Charlotte Catholic   Charlotte Catholic
Charlotte CDS Charlotte CDS   Charlotte CDS
Charlotte Christian Charlotte Christian   Charlotte Christian
Charlotte Latin School Charlotte Latin School   Charlotte Latin School
Christ the King Christ the King   Christ the King
Clayton North Davidson   North Davidson
Cleveland Cleveland   Cleveland
Community School Davidso Community School Davidso Community School Davidso   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Corinth Holders Corinth Holders   Corinth Holders
Croatan Croatan   Croatan
Cuthbertson Cuthbertson   Cuthbertson
Davidson Day School Davidson Day School tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Davidson Day School
Davie Davie Davie  
DH Conley North Davidson   North Davidson
Durham Academy Durham Academy   Durham Academy
East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
East Forsyth East Forsyth tied - ( 1- 4) ( 1- 4) East Forsyth
Enloe North Davidson   North Davidson
Fayetteville Academy Fayetteville Academy   Fayetteville Academy
Fike Fike   Fike
First Flight First Flight   First Flight
Forsyth CDS Forsyth CDS insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Forsyth CDS
Fuquay-Varina Fuquay-Varina   Fuquay-Varina
Garner North Davidson   North Davidson
Glenn North Davidson North Davidson  
Green Hope Green Hope   Green Hope
Green Level Green Level   Green Level
Greensboro Day School Greensboro Day School   Greensboro Day School
Grimsley Grimsley Grimsley  
Havelock North Davidson   North Davidson
Heritage Heritage   Heritage
Hickory Hickory tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hickory
High Point Central North Davidson North Davidson  
Hoggard Hoggard   Hoggard
Holly Springs Holly Springs   Holly Springs
Hopewell Hopewell   Hopewell
Hough Hough insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Hough
Hunt North Davidson   North Davidson
Independence North Davidson tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) North Davidson
Jack Britt North Davidson   North Davidson
Jacksonville Jacksonville   Jacksonville
JH Rose JH Rose   JH Rose
Jordan Jordan   Jordan
Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Lake Norman Charter
Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Lake Norman HS
Laney Laney   Laney
Leesville Road Leesville Road   Leesville Road
Lincoln Charter North Davidson tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) North Davidson
Marvin Ridge Marvin Ridge   Marvin Ridge
Middle Creek Middle Creek   Middle Creek
Millbrook Millbrook   Millbrook
Mooresville Mooresville Mooresville  
Mount Tabor North Davidson tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) North Davidson
Myers Park Myers Park   Myers Park
New Bern New Bern   New Bern
New Hanover New Hanover   New Hanover
North Brunswick North Brunswick   North Brunswick
North Lincoln North Lincoln tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) North Lincoln
Northern Guilford Northern Guilford insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) Northern Guilford
Northside Northside   Northside
Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford   6- 0 vs 2- 4
Northwood Northwood   Northwood
Page Page tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) Page
Panther Creek Panther Creek   Panther Creek
Parkwood Parkwood   Parkwood
Patton North Davidson tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) North Davidson
Pine Forest North Davidson   North Davidson
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Pine Lake Prep
Pinecrest Pinecrest   Pinecrest
Porter Ridge Porter Ridge insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Porter Ridge
Providence Providence insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Providence
Providence Day Providence Day   Providence Day
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee Rabun Gap-Nocoochee   Rabun Gap-Nocoochee
Ragsdale North Davidson North Davidson  
Ravenscroft School Ravenscroft School   Ravenscroft School
Riverside Durham Riverside Durham tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Riverside Durham
RJ Reynolds RJ Reynolds insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) RJ Reynolds
Rolesville North Davidson   North Davidson
Ronald Reagan Ronald Reagan Ronald Reagan   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Sanderson Sanderson   Sanderson
Seaforth Seaforth   Seaforth
South Brunswick South Brunswick   South Brunswick
South Iredell South Iredell insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) South Iredell
South Mecklenburg South Mecklenburg insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) South Mecklenburg
Southeast Guilford Southeast Guilford Southeast Guilford  
Southlake Christian Southlake Christian Southlake Christian   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Southwest Guilford North Davidson North Davidson  
St Davids School St Davids School   St Davids School
St Marys St Marys   St Marys
St Stephens St Stephens St Stephens  
Sun Valley North Davidson tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) North Davidson
Swansboro Swansboro   Swansboro
TC Roberson TC Roberson insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) TC Roberson
Terry Sanford Terry Sanford   Terry Sanford
Topsail Topsail   Topsail
Union Pines Union Pines tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Union Pines
Wake Forest Wake Forest   Wake Forest
Wakefield Wakefield   Wakefield
Watauga North Davidson insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) North Davidson
Weddington Weddington   Weddington
West Brunswick West Brunswick   West Brunswick
West Forsyth West Forsyth West Forsyth   4- 1 vs 1- 5
West Stokes North Davidson North Davidson  
White Oak North Davidson   North Davidson
Willow Spring Willow Spring   Willow Spring

PowerWise = 24


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.87

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Atkins          (12- 8, 78.2)     2-17      -21.65      18.15       0.31         1.05           -22.50
   0 H Grimsley        (11- 7, 80.7)     4-14      -19.22      20.58      -0.31         1.05           -20.58
   0 H High Point Cen  ( 1-10, 64.3)    18- 1      -35.58       4.23      -0.31         1.05             4.13
   0 A Ragsdale        ( 1- 9, 70.5)    15- 3      -29.38      10.42       0.31         1.05            11.31
   0 A Bishop McGuinn  (20- 4, 86.2)     3-20      -13.71      26.09       0.31         1.05           -14.13
   0 A West Stokes     ( 3- 9, 68.9)     8- 1      -30.97       8.84       0.31         1.05             9.64
   0 A Southeast Guil  (15- 5, 80.8)     0-16      -19.08      20.72       0.31         1.05           -19.79
   0 H Atkins          (12- 8, 78.2)     4-14      -21.65      18.15      -0.31         1.05           -23.15
   0 A Davie           (10-10, 75.8)     7- 9      -24.14      15.66       0.31         1.05           -25.13
   0 A High Point Cen  ( 1-10, 64.3)    15- 0      -35.58       4.23       0.31         1.05             4.78
   0 A Mooresville     ( 5-12, 75.0)     3-16      -24.90      14.90       0.31         1.05           -25.93
   0 H West Stokes     ( 3- 9, 68.9)     9- 4      -30.97       8.84      -0.31         1.05             8.99
   0 H Bishop McGuinn  (20- 4, 86.2)     2-19      -13.71      26.09      -0.31         1.05           -14.77
   0 H Southwest Guil  ( 8-13, 76.4)     7- 6      -23.45      16.35      -0.31         1.05            16.92
   0 H Glenn           ( 0-19, 60.1)    17- 2      -39.80       1.00      -0.31         1.05             0.73
   0 H St Stephens     (10- 9, 75.3)     4- 6      -24.56      15.25      -0.31         1.05           -26.21
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -135.69

winning pts = 56.4964 losing points = -192.1864

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------