Notre Dame Fairfield
W-L: ( 2-14) PR = 68.6457Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 405 H East Catholic (11- 8, 79.0) 3-16 408 A Masuk (16- 5, 89.0) 0-17 410 A New Fairfield (21- 1, 91.1) 0-19 412 H Immaculate Heart ( 0-16, 66.9) 4- 1 414 A Jonathan Law ( 2-14, 72.7) 5-17 415 H Joel Barlow ( 9-10, 82.3) 1-17 417 H Weston (12- 8, 83.7) 1-14 422 H New Milford ( 3-13, 74.1) 4-11 423 A Housatonic Regional ( 8- 6, 72.5) 6- 9 506 A Stratford-Bunnell ( 3-13, 70.9) 11-17 507 A Newtown (13- 8, 87.9) 0-18 508 H Brookfield (11- 7, 82.4) 3-19 509 A Lauralton Hall (14- 7, 82.7) 3-18 513 H Immaculate Heart ( 0-16, 66.9) 8- 5 515 A Pomperaug ( 5-12, 80.5) 4-17 516 H Bethel ( 9- 9, 81.1) 4-17
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
405 H East Catholic 3-16 -13 -10 0.00
408 A Masuk 0-17 -17 -21 0.00
410 A New Fairfield 0-19 -19 -23 0.00
412 H Immaculate Heart 4- 1 3 3 0.50
414 A Jonathan Law 5-17 -12 -5 -0.24
415 H Joel Barlow 1-17 -16 -13 0.00
417 H Weston 1-14 -13 -14 0.00
422 H New Milford 4-11 -7 -5 -0.28
423 A Housatonic Regional 6- 9 -3 -5 1.57
506 A Stratford-Bunnell 11-17 -6 -3 - -2.06
507 A Newtown 0-18 -18 -20 0.00
508 H Brookfield 3-19 -16 -13 0.00
509 A Lauralton Hall 3-18 -15 -15 0.00
513 H Immaculate Heart 8- 5 3 3 0.50
515 A Pomperaug 4-17 -13 -13 0.00
516 H Bethel 4-17 -13 -12 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 506 A Stratford-Bunnell 11-17 -6 -3 - -2.06 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
Notre Dame Fairfield Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amity Regional | Amity Regional | Amity Regional 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Avon HS | Avon HS | Avon HS | ||
| Bacon/East Hampton | Bacon/East Hampton | Bacon/East Hampton | ||
| Berlin | Berlin | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Berlin | |
| Bethel | Bethel | Bethel | ||
| Branford | Branford | Branford 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Brien McMahon | Brien McMahon | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Brien McMahon | |
| Bristol Central | Bristol Central | Bristol Central | ||
| Bristol Eastern | Bristol Eastern | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Bristol Eastern | |
| Brookfield | Brookfield | Brookfield | ||
| Canton | Canton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Canton | |
| Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Conard | Conard | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Conard | |
| Cromwell | Cromwell | Cromwell | ||
| Danbury | Danbury | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Danbury | |
| Daniel Hand | Daniel Hand | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 1) | Daniel Hand | |
| Darien | Darien | Darien | ||
| East Catholic | East Catholic | East Catholic | ||
| East Lyme | East Lyme | East Lyme 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Ellington | Ellington | Ellington | ||
| Enfield | Enfield | Enfield | ||
| EO Smith | EO Smith | EO Smith | ||
| Fairfield Ludlowe | Fairfield Ludlowe | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Fairfield Ludlowe | |
| Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Farmington | Farmington | Farmington | ||
| Fitch | Notre Dame Fairfield | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Notre Dame Fairfield | |
| Foran | Foran | Foran 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Glastonbury | Glastonbury | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Glastonbury | |
| Granby Memorial | Granby Memorial | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Granby Memorial | |
| Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | ||
| Griswold-Norwich Tech | Griswold-Norwich Tech | Griswold-Norwich Tech | ||
| Guilford | Guilford | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Guilford | |
| Haddam-Killingworth | Haddam-Killingworth | Haddam-Killingworth | ||
| Hall | Hall | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Hall | |
| Hamden | Hamden | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Hamden | |
| Housatonic Regional | Housatonic Regional | Housatonic Regional | ||
| Immaculate Heart | Notre Dame Fairfield | Notre Dame Fairfield | ||
| Joel Barlow | Joel Barlow | Joel Barlow | ||
| Jonathan Law | Jonathan Law | Jonathan Law | ||
| Killingly | Killingly | Killingly | ||
| Lakeview United | Notre Dame Fairfield | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Notre Dame Fairfield | |
| Lauralton Hall | Lauralton Hall | Lauralton Hall | ||
| Ledyard | Ledyard | Ledyard | ||
| Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills | ||
| Lyman Hall | Lyman Hall | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Lyman Hall | |
| Masuk | Masuk | Masuk | ||
| Mercy | Mercy | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Mercy | |
| Middletown-Coginchaug | Middletown-Coginchaug | Middletown-Coginchaug | ||
| Montville | Montville | Montville | ||
| Morgan School | Morgan School | Morgan School | ||
| New Canaan | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| New Fairfield | New Fairfield | New Fairfield | ||
| New London/St Bernards | New London/St Bernards | New London/St Bernards | ||
| New Milford | New Milford | New Milford | ||
| Newington | Newington | Newington | ||
| Newtown | Newtown | Newtown | ||
| North Branford | North Branford | North Branford | ||
| North Haven | North Haven | North Haven 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Northwest Catholic | |
| Norwalk | Norwalk | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Norwalk | |
| Norwich Free Academy | Norwich Free Academy | Norwich Free Academy | ||
| Old Lyme | Old Lyme | Old Lyme | ||
| Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | ||
| Pomperaug | Pomperaug | Pomperaug | ||
| RHAM | RHAM | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | RHAM | |
| Ridgefield | Ridgefield | Ridgefield 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Rockville | Rockville | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Rockville | |
| Rocky Hill | Rocky Hill | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Rocky Hill | |
| Sacred Heart Academy | Sacred Heart Academy | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Sacred Heart Academy | |
| Sheehan | Sheehan | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Sheehan | |
| Shelton | Shelton | Shelton 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Simsbury | Simsbury | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Simsbury | |
| Somers | Somers | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Somers | |
| South Windsor | South Windsor | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | South Windsor | |
| Southington | Southington | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Southington | |
| St Joseph | St Joseph | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | St Joseph | |
| St Paul Catholic | Notre Dame Fairfield | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | Notre Dame Fairfield | |
| Stamford | Stamford | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Stamford | |
| Staples | Staples | Staples 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Stonington | Stonington | Stonington | ||
| Stratford-Bunnell | Stratford-Bunnell | Stratford-Bunnell | ||
| Suffield HS | Suffield HS | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 0) | Suffield HS | |
| Tolland | Tolland | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Tolland | |
| Trumbull | Trumbull | Trumbull 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Valley Regional | Valley Regional | Valley Regional | ||
| Waterford | Waterford | Waterford | ||
| Watertown | Watertown | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Watertown | |
| West Haven | West Haven | West Haven 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Westhill | Westhill | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Westhill | |
| Weston | Weston | Weston | ||
| Wethersfield | Wethersfield | Wethersfield | ||
| Wheeler | Wheeler | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Wheeler | |
| Wilton | Wilton | Wilton | ||
| Windsor | Notre Dame Fairfield | Notre Dame Fairfield | ||
| Wolcott | Wolcott | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Wolcott | |
| Woodstock Academy | Woodstock Academy | Woodstock Academy |
PowerWise = 5
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.51
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H East Catholic (11- 8, 79.0) 3-16 -20.93 13.88 -0.73 1.09 -23.69
0 A Masuk (16- 5, 89.0) 0-17 -10.87 23.94 0.73 1.09 -11.10
0 A New Fairfield (21- 1, 91.1) 0-19 -8.80 26.01 0.73 1.09 -8.83
0 H Immaculate Hea ( 0-16, 66.9) 4- 1 -33.03 1.78 -0.73 1.09 1.15
0 A Jonathan Law ( 2-14, 72.7) 5-17 -27.22 7.59 0.73 1.09 -28.99
0 H Joel Barlow ( 9-10, 82.3) 1-17 -17.57 17.24 -0.73 1.09 -20.02
0 H Weston (12- 8, 83.7) 1-14 -16.24 18.57 -0.73 1.09 -18.57
0 H New Milford ( 3-13, 74.1) 4-11 -25.81 9.00 -0.73 1.09 -29.03
0 A Housatonic Reg ( 8- 6, 72.5) 6- 9 -27.41 7.40 0.73 1.09 -29.19
0 A Stratford-Bunn ( 3-13, 70.9) 11-17 -29.05 5.76 0.73 1.09 -30.98
0 A Newtown (13- 8, 87.9) 0-18 -12.01 22.80 0.73 1.09 -12.35
0 H Brookfield (11- 7, 82.4) 3-19 -17.50 17.31 -0.73 1.09 -19.94
0 A Lauralton Hall (14- 7, 82.7) 3-18 -17.23 17.58 0.73 1.09 -18.06
0 H Immaculate Hea ( 0-16, 66.9) 8- 5 -33.03 1.78 -0.73 1.09 1.15
0 A Pomperaug ( 5-12, 80.5) 4-17 -19.38 15.43 0.73 1.09 -20.41
0 H Bethel ( 9- 9, 81.1) 4-17 -18.77 16.04 -0.73 1.09 -21.33
------
-290.18
|
winning pts = 2.3017 losing points = -292.4799
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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