---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:45 PDT

safe3step girls North Central 1
  
North Central         
W-L: ( 1-11) PR = 72.5224

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 308 H South Bend ( 1- 9, 72.9) 2- 4 308 A Homestead ( 4- 9, 76.4) 5- 8 313 H Avon ( 7-10, 77.8) 1-11 319 H Fishers (12- 8, 84.3) 3-14 329 H Bloomington (11- 5, 79.9) 1-12 329 H Lafayette Harrison ( 1- 9, 74.9) 5- 3 415 H Warren Central (10- 6, 79.4) 1-10 417 H Lawrence North ( 0-11, 71.8) 5- 5 429 H Southport ( 7- 8, 77.3) 5-15 501 H Park Tudor School ( 5- 9, 84.3) 3-18 506 A Heritage Christian ( 9- 9, 88.5) 1-19 507 A Perry Meridian ( 4-11, 76.1) 3- 7 515 N Homestead ( 4- 9, 76.4) 1-14

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   308 H South Bend              2- 4      -2     0    -     -2.14
   308 A Homestead               5- 8      -3    -4           1.37
   313 H Avon                    1-11     -10    -5          -0.20
   319 H Fishers                 3-14     -11   -11           0.00
   329 H Bloomington             1-12     -11    -7           0.00
   329 H Lafayette Harrison      5- 3       2    -2    +      3.86
   415 H Warren Central          1-10      -9    -6           0.00
   417 H Lawrence North          5- 5       0     1          -1.19
   429 H Southport               5-15     -10    -4          -0.67
   501 H Park Tudor School       3-18     -15   -11           0.00
   506 A Heritage Christian      1-19     -18   -16           0.00
   507 A Perry Meridian          3- 7      -4    -4           0.06
   515 N Homestead               1-14     -13    -4          -1.11

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   308 H South Bend              2- 4      -2     0    -     -2.14

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 H Lafayette Harrison      5- 3       2    -2    +      3.86

North Central Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Avon Avon Avon  
Bishop Chatard Bishop Chatard Bishop Chatard   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Bloomington Bloomington Bloomington  
Brebeuf Jesuit Prep Brebeuf Jesuit Prep Brebeuf Jesuit Prep   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Brownsburg Brownsburg Brownsburg   6- 1 vs 0- 6
Carmel Carmel insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Carmel
Castle Castle insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Castle
Cathedral Cathedral Cathedral   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Center Grove Center Grove insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) Center Grove
Chesterton Chesterton insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Chesterton
Columbus North Columbus North Columbus North   4- 2 vs 0- 6
Crown Point Crown Point insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Crown Point
Culver Academy Culver Academy insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Culver Academy
Evansville Bosse Evansville Bosse Evansville Bosse   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Evansville Central Evansville Central Evansville Central   5- 0 vs 1- 3
Evansville Memorial Evansville Memorial insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Evansville Memorial
Evansville North Evansville North   Evansville North
Evansville Reitz Evansville Reitz insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 2- 0) Evansville Reitz
Fishers Fishers Fishers  
Franklin Franklin tied - ( 0- 5) ( 0- 5) Franklin
Gibson Southern Gibson Southern insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Gibson Southern
Guerin Catholic Guerin Catholic Guerin Catholic   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Hamilton Southeastern Hamilton Southeastern Hamilton Southeastern   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Heritage Christian Heritage Christian Heritage Christian  
Homestead Homestead Homestead  
Lafayette Harrison North Central North Central  
Lawrence North North Central tied - ( 0- 6) ( 0- 6) North Central
Munster Munster insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Munster
Noblesville Noblesville Noblesville   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Northridge Northridge Northridge   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Park Tudor School Park Tudor School Park Tudor School  
Penn Penn Penn   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Perry Meridian Perry Meridian Perry Meridian  
Roncalli Roncalli Roncalli   3- 2 vs 0- 5
South Bend South Bend South Bend  
Southport Southport Southport  
St Joseph South Bend St Joseph South Bend insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) St Joseph South Bend
Warren Central Warren Central Warren Central  
Westfield Westfield Westfield   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Zionsville Zionsville Zionsville   2- 0 vs 0- 2

PowerWise = 2


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.93

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H South Bend      ( 1- 9, 72.9)     2- 4      -27.03       1.05      -0.48         1.15           -31.59
   0 A Homestead       ( 4- 9, 76.4)     5- 8      -23.49       4.59       0.48         1.15           -26.41
   0 H Avon            ( 7-10, 77.8)     1-11      -22.09       5.99      -0.48         1.15           -25.92
   0 H Fishers         (12- 8, 84.3)     3-14      -15.65      12.43      -0.48         1.15           -18.52
   0 H Bloomington     (11- 5, 79.9)     1-12      -19.97       8.11      -0.48         1.15           -23.48
   0 H Lafayette Harr  ( 1- 9, 74.9)     5- 3      -25.03       3.05      -0.48         1.15             2.94
   0 H Warren Central  (10- 6, 79.4)     1-10      -20.50       7.58      -0.48         1.15           -24.10
   0 H Lawrence North  ( 0-11, 71.8)     5- 5      -28.08       1.00      -0.48         1.15         ********
   0 H Southport       ( 7- 8, 77.3)     5-15      -22.56       5.52      -0.48         1.15           -26.47
   0 H Park Tudor Sch  ( 5- 9, 84.3)     3-18      -15.63      12.45      -0.48         1.15           -18.51
   0 A Heritage Chris  ( 9- 9, 88.5)     1-19      -11.44      16.64       0.48         1.15           -12.57
   0 A Perry Meridian  ( 4-11, 76.1)     3- 7      -23.80       4.28       0.48         1.15           -26.77
   0 N Homestead       ( 4- 9, 76.4)     1-14      -23.49       4.59      -0.00         1.15           -26.97
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                     ********

winning pts = 2.9412 losing points = -261.3196

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------