---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:46 PDT

safe3step girls Noble 1
  
Noble                 
W-L: ( 2-12) PR = 85.0783

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 418 A South Portland ( 7- 8, 89.5) 7-14 422 H Gray-New Gloucester/Po ( 3-11, 85.5) 9- 8 424 H Deering ( 1-13, 83.8) 14- 1 429 H Traip Academy (10- 5, 93.2) 2-16 501 A Bonny Eagle ( 5-10, 89.3) 3-14 503 H Westbrook ( 6- 8, 88.4) 10-14 506 A Massabesic ( 8- 7, 93.9) 3-13 509 H Bonny Eagle ( 5-10, 89.3) 2-13 513 A Waynflete School ( 8- 7, 93.1) 3-15 516 A Gorham (10- 5, 95.0) 6-17 527 H South Portland ( 7- 8, 89.5) 6-15 531 A Westbrook ( 6- 8, 88.4) 1- 5 602 H Scarborough ( 7- 8, 93.2) 4-13 603 A Sanford ( 8- 7, 92.5) 2-15

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 A South Portland          7-14      -7    -5          -0.07
   422 H Gray-New Gloucester/Po  9- 8       1     0           0.88
   424 H Deering                14- 1      13     2    +      3.24
   429 H Traip Academy           2-16     -14    -8           0.00
   501 A Bonny Eagle             3-14     -11    -5          -0.25
   503 H Westbrook              10-14      -4    -3          -1.22
   506 A Massabesic              3-13     -10    -9           0.00
   509 H Bonny Eagle             2-13     -11    -4          -1.28
   513 A Waynflete School        3-15     -12    -8           0.00
   516 A Gorham                  6-17     -11   -10           0.00
   527 H South Portland          6-15      -9    -4          -1.10
   531 A Westbrook               1- 5      -4    -4          -0.20
   602 H Scarborough             4-13      -9    -8           0.00
   603 A Sanford                 2-15     -13    -8           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 H Deering                14- 1      13     2    +      3.24

Noble Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Bangor Bangor insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Bangor
Biddeford Biddeford Biddeford   4- 4 vs 2- 6
Bonny Eagle Bonny Eagle Bonny Eagle  
Brewer/Hampden Brewer/Hampden   Brewer/Hampden
Brunswick Brunswick   Brunswick
Camden Hills Regional Camden Hills Regional   Camden Hills Regional
Cape Elizabeth Cape Elizabeth insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Cape Elizabeth
Cheverus Cheverus Cheverus   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Cony Cony tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Cony
Deering Noble Noble  
Edward Little Noble insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Noble
Erskine Academy Erskine Academy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Erskine Academy
Falmouth Falmouth Falmouth   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Freeport Freeport Freeport   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Fryeburg Academy Fryeburg Academy tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Fryeburg Academy
Gardiner-Hall-Dale Gardiner-Hall-Dale   Gardiner-Hall-Dale
Gorham Gorham Gorham  
Gray-New Gloucester/Pola Noble Noble  
Greely Greely insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Greely
Houlton Houlton   Houlton
Kennebunk Kennebunk Kennebunk   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Lake Region Lake Region tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) Lake Region
Lewiston Lewiston   Lewiston
Lincoln Academy Lincoln Academy   Lincoln Academy
Maranacook/Winthrop Maranacook/Winthrop tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Maranacook/Winthrop
Marshwood Marshwood Marshwood   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Massabesic Massabesic Massabesic  
MCI/Nokomis Noble   Noble
Messalonskee Messalonskee tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Messalonskee
Morse-Boothbay Morse-Boothbay insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Morse-Boothbay
Mount Ararat Mount Ararat tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Mount Ararat
Mount Blue Mount Blue   Mount Blue
North Yarmouth Academy North Yarmouth Academy North Yarmouth Academy   3- 2 vs 1- 4
Oceanside Oceanside   Oceanside
Oxford Hills Comp Oxford Hills Comp   Oxford Hills Comp
Portland Portland tied - ( 1- 4) ( 1- 4) Portland
Sanford Sanford Sanford  
Scarborough Scarborough Scarborough  
South Portland South Portland South Portland  
St Dominic Academy Noble insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Noble
Thornton Academy Thornton Academy Thornton Academy   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Traip Academy Traip Academy Traip Academy  
Waynflete School Waynflete School Waynflete School  
Wells Wells Wells   5- 1 vs 0- 6
Westbrook Westbrook Westbrook  
Windham Windham Windham   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Winslow/Lawrence Noble insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Noble
Yarmouth Yarmouth Yarmouth   2- 0 vs 0- 2
York York insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) York

PowerWise = 6


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.76

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A South Portland  ( 7- 8, 89.5)     7-14      -10.41       8.34       0.51         1.05           -10.43
   0 H Gray-New Glouc  ( 3-11, 85.5)     9- 8      -14.42       4.32      -0.51         1.05             4.01
   0 H Deering         ( 1-13, 83.8)    14- 1      -16.07       2.68      -0.51         1.05             2.28
   0 H Traip Academy   (10- 5, 93.2)     2-16       -6.67      12.07      -0.51         1.05            -7.58
   0 A Bonny Eagle     ( 5-10, 89.3)     3-14      -10.59       8.16       0.51         1.05           -10.62
   0 H Westbrook       ( 6- 8, 88.4)    10-14      -11.53       7.21      -0.51         1.05           -12.70
   0 A Massabesic      ( 8- 7, 93.9)     3-13       -5.97      12.78       0.51         1.05            -5.75
   0 H Bonny Eagle     ( 5-10, 89.3)     2-13      -10.59       8.16      -0.51         1.05           -11.70
   0 A Waynflete Scho  ( 8- 7, 93.1)     3-15       -6.84      11.90       0.51         1.05            -6.67
   0 A Gorham          (10- 5, 95.0)     6-17       -4.90      13.85       0.51         1.05            -4.63
   0 H South Portland  ( 7- 8, 89.5)     6-15      -10.41       8.34      -0.51         1.05           -11.52
   0 A Westbrook       ( 6- 8, 88.4)     1- 5      -11.53       7.21       0.51         1.05           -11.62
   0 H Scarborough     ( 7- 8, 93.2)     4-13       -6.73      12.02      -0.51         1.05            -7.64
   0 A Sanford         ( 8- 7, 92.5)     2-15       -7.35      11.39       0.51         1.05            -7.21
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -101.76

winning pts = 6.2985 losing points = -108.0589

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------