---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:42 PDT

safe3step girls Newington 1
  
Newington             
W-L: ( 7-11) PR = 77.7677

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 405 H EO Smith (10- 8, 76.7) 11- 8 409 H Windsor ( 0-16, 67.2) 17- 6 411 A Tolland (14- 4, 81.2) 3-10 415 A Watertown ( 9- 8, 74.0) 16- 9 417 H RHAM ( 6-10, 77.0) 12-13 419 A Berlin ( 9-10, 77.0) 18-11 422 H Simsbury (17- 2, 91.0) 5-21 429 H Rocky Hill ( 5-11, 76.5) 11- 9 430 A Lewis Mills (14- 5, 79.9) 6- 7 505 A Southington ( 9- 9, 81.7) 5-15 508 H South Windsor ( 3-12, 77.5) 13-14 512 H Wethersfield ( 6-10, 75.1) 16- 5 515 A Conard (18- 2, 92.3) 4-17 519 A Haddam-Killingworth ( 9- 9, 76.6) 8-17 520 A St Paul Catholic ( 0-16, 65.1) 19- 8 523 H Farmington (13- 6, 83.3) 4- 9 527 A Southington ( 9- 9, 81.7) 2-16 603 A New Canaan (10- 4, 96.5) 2-21

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H EO Smith               11- 8       3     2           1.20
   409 H Windsor                17- 6      11    11           0.00
   411 A Tolland                 3-10      -7    -4          -0.85
   415 A Watertown              16- 9       7     3           1.95
   417 H RHAM                   12-13      -1     1    -     -2.49
   419 A Berlin                 18-11       7     0    ++     4.95
   422 H Simsbury                5-21     -16   -12           0.00
   429 H Rocky Hill             11- 9       2     2           0.02
   430 A Lewis Mills             6- 7      -1    -3           1.82
   505 A Southington             5-15     -10    -5          -0.31
   508 H South Windsor          13-14      -1     1          -1.97
   512 H Wethersfield           16- 5      11     3           1.59
   515 A Conard                  4-17     -13   -15           0.00
   519 A Haddam-Killingworth     8-17      -9     0    --    -5.44
   520 A St Paul Catholic       19- 8      11    12           0.00
   523 H Farmington              4- 9      -5    -5          -0.20
   527 A Southington             2-16     -14    -5          -0.31
   603 A New Canaan              2-21     -19   -19           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   519 A Haddam-Killingworth     8-17      -9     0    --    -5.44
   417 H RHAM                   12-13      -1     1    -     -2.49

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 A Berlin                 18-11       7     0    ++     4.95

Newington Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Amity Regional Amity Regional Amity Regional   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Avon HS Avon HS tied - ( 1- 7) ( 1- 7) Avon HS
Bacon/East Hampton Newington insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Newington
Berlin Newington Newington  
Bethel Bethel   Bethel
Branford Branford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Branford
Brien McMahon Brien McMahon tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Brien McMahon
Bristol Central Newington Newington   5- 1 vs 2- 4
Bristol Eastern Bristol Eastern tied - ( 5- 1) ( 5- 1) Bristol Eastern
Brookfield Brookfield   Brookfield
Canton Canton tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Canton
Cheshire HS Cheshire HS insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Cheshire HS
Conard Conard Conard  
Cromwell Newington tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Newington
Danbury Newington tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Newington
Daniel Hand Daniel Hand tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Daniel Hand
Darien Darien insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Darien
East Catholic East Catholic East Catholic   5- 1 vs 3- 3
East Lyme East Lyme   East Lyme
Ellington Ellington Ellington   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Enfield Newington Newington   3- 1 vs 1- 3
EO Smith Newington Newington  
Fairfield Ludlowe Fairfield Ludlowe insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Fairfield Ludlowe
Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde   Fairfield Warde
Farmington Farmington Farmington  
Fitch Newington   Newington
Foran Foran   Foran
Glastonbury Glastonbury Glastonbury   5- 3 vs 1- 7
Granby Memorial Granby Memorial insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) Granby Memorial
Greenwich HS Greenwich HS insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Greenwich HS
Griswold-Norwich Tech Newington insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Newington
Guilford Guilford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Guilford
Haddam-Killingworth Haddam-Killingworth Haddam-Killingworth  
Hall Hall Hall   4- 3 vs 1- 6
Hamden Hamden tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hamden
Housatonic Regional Newington insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Newington
Immaculate Heart Newington   Newington
Joel Barlow Joel Barlow tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Joel Barlow
Jonathan Law Newington   Newington
Killingly Newington   Newington
Lakeview United Newington Newington   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Lauralton Hall Lauralton Hall tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Lauralton Hall
Ledyard Ledyard   Ledyard
Lewis Mills Lewis Mills Lewis Mills  
Lyman Hall Lyman Hall   Lyman Hall
Masuk Masuk tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Masuk
Mercy Mercy insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Mercy
Middletown-Coginchaug Newington Newington   5- 1 vs 1- 5
Montville Newington   Newington
Morgan School Newington tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) Newington
New Canaan New Canaan New Canaan  
New Fairfield New Fairfield tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) New Fairfield
New London/St Bernards Newington tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Newington
New Milford Newington   Newington
Newtown Newtown tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Newtown
North Branford Newington tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Newington
North Haven Newington insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Newington
Northwest Catholic Northwest Catholic tied - ( 2- 5) ( 2- 5) Northwest Catholic
Norwalk Newington   Newington
Norwich Free Academy Norwich Free Academy Norwich Free Academy   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Notre Dame Fairfield Newington   Newington
Old Lyme Old Lyme insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Old Lyme
Old Saybrook Newington insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Newington
Pomperaug Pomperaug   Pomperaug
RHAM RHAM RHAM  
Ridgefield Ridgefield insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Ridgefield
Rockville Newington insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Newington
Rocky Hill Newington Newington  
Sacred Heart Academy Sacred Heart Academy insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Sacred Heart Academy
Sheehan Sheehan   Sheehan
Shelton Newington tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Newington
Simsbury Simsbury Simsbury  
Somers Somers Somers   3- 0 vs 1- 2
South Windsor South Windsor South Windsor  
Southington Southington Southington  
St Joseph St Joseph insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) St Joseph
St Paul Catholic Newington Newington  
Stamford Stamford   Stamford
Staples Staples tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Staples
Stonington Stonington   Stonington
Stratford-Bunnell Newington   Newington
Suffield HS Suffield HS Suffield HS   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Tolland Tolland Tolland  
Trumbull Trumbull tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Trumbull
Valley Regional Newington tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Newington
Waterford Waterford insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Waterford
Watertown Newington Newington  
West Haven Newington   Newington
Westhill Westhill   Westhill
Weston Weston   Weston
Wethersfield Newington Newington  
Wheeler Wheeler   Wheeler
Wilton Wilton insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Wilton
Windsor Newington Newington  
Wolcott Newington insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) Newington
Woodstock Academy Newington tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Newington

PowerWise = 36


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.51

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H EO Smith        (10- 8, 76.7)    11- 8      -23.20      11.61      -0.73         0.97            10.58
   0 H Windsor         ( 0-16, 67.2)    17- 6      -32.71       2.09      -0.73         0.97             1.33
   0 A Tolland         (14- 4, 81.2)     3-10      -18.71      16.10       0.73         0.97           -17.48
   0 A Watertown       ( 9- 8, 74.0)    16- 9      -25.90       8.90       0.73         0.97             9.37
   0 H RHAM            ( 6-10, 77.0)    12-13      -22.90      11.91      -0.73         0.97           -22.98
   0 A Berlin          ( 9-10, 77.0)    18-11      -22.91      11.90       0.73         0.97            12.28
   0 H Simsbury        (17- 2, 91.0)     5-21       -8.92      25.89      -0.73         0.97            -9.38
   0 H Rocky Hill      ( 5-11, 76.5)    11- 9      -23.38      11.43      -0.73         0.97            10.41
   0 A Lewis Mills     (14- 5, 79.9)     6- 7      -20.04      14.77       0.73         0.97           -18.78
   0 A Southington     ( 9- 9, 81.7)     5-15      -18.17      16.64       0.73         0.97           -16.96
   0 H South Windsor   ( 3-12, 77.5)    13-14      -22.37      12.44      -0.73         0.97           -22.46
   0 H Wethersfield    ( 6-10, 75.1)    16- 5      -24.82       9.99      -0.73         0.97             9.01
   0 A Conard          (18- 2, 92.3)     4-17       -7.57      27.24       0.73         0.97            -6.65
   0 A Haddam-Killing  ( 9- 9, 76.6)     8-17      -23.30      11.51       0.73         0.97           -21.95
   0 A St Paul Cathol  ( 0-16, 65.1)    19- 8      -34.81       1.00       0.73         0.97             1.68
   0 H Farmington      (13- 6, 83.3)     4- 9      -16.60      18.20      -0.73         0.97           -16.85
   0 A Southington     ( 9- 9, 81.7)     2-16      -18.17      16.64       0.73         0.97           -16.96
   0 A New Canaan      (10- 4, 96.5)     2-21       -3.42      31.39       0.73         0.97            -2.62
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -118.43

winning pts = 54.6517 losing points = -173.0830

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------