Newtown
W-L: (13- 8) PR = 87.8887Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 405 H Fairfield Ludlowe (11- 8, 87.4) 8- 7 408 A Stratford-Bunnell ( 3-13, 70.9) 16- 3 410 A Brookfield (11- 7, 82.4) 14- 2 411 H Staples (11- 8, 89.6) 6- 9 414 H Conard (18- 2, 92.3) 7- 8 415 A Immaculate Heart ( 0-16, 66.9) 17- 5 417 H Masuk (16- 5, 89.0) 6-10 422 A New Fairfield (21- 1, 91.1) 8-14 429 A Weston (12- 8, 83.7) 11- 3 502 A Cheshire HS (16- 4, 90.2) 7-11 505 H Joel Barlow ( 9-10, 82.3) 15- 8 507 H Notre Dame Fairfield ( 2-14, 68.6) 18- 0 508 H Bethel ( 9- 9, 81.1) 18- 2 513 H Pomperaug ( 5-12, 80.5) 11- 3 515 A New Milford ( 3-13, 74.1) 17- 1 517 A Ridgefield (11- 5, 93.9) 9-19 520 H Brookfield (11- 7, 82.4) 10- 5 523 A Masuk (16- 5, 89.0) 12- 4 527 A New Fairfield (21- 1, 91.1) 7-10 603 H Lyman Hall (10- 7, 79.3) 20- 5 606 A Masuk (16- 5, 89.0) 7-15
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
405 H Fairfield Ludlowe 8- 7 1 1 -0.19
408 A Stratford-Bunnell 16- 3 13 16 0.00
410 A Brookfield 14- 2 12 5 0.23
411 H Staples 6- 9 -3 -1 - -2.05
414 H Conard 7- 8 -1 -4 + 2.72
415 A Immaculate Heart 17- 5 12 20 0.00
417 H Masuk 6-10 -4 0 - -3.58
422 A New Fairfield 8-14 -6 -4 -1.06
429 A Weston 11- 3 8 4 1.49
502 A Cheshire HS 7-11 -4 -3 -1.00
505 H Joel Barlow 15- 8 7 6 0.00
507 H Notre Dame Fairfield 18- 0 18 20 0.00
508 H Bethel 18- 2 16 7 0.00
513 H Pomperaug 11- 3 8 8 0.00
515 A New Milford 17- 1 16 13 0.00
517 A Ridgefield 9-19 -10 -7 0.00
520 H Brookfield 10- 5 5 6 0.00
523 A Masuk 12- 4 8 -2 +++ 6.87
527 A New Fairfield 7-10 -3 -4 0.94
603 H Lyman Hall 20- 5 15 9 0.00
606 A Masuk 7-15 -8 -2 - -3.13
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 411 H Staples 6- 9 -3 -1 - -2.05 417 H Masuk 6-10 -4 0 - -3.58 606 A Masuk 7-15 -8 -2 - -3.13 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 523 A Masuk 12- 4 8 -2 +++ 6.87 414 H Conard 7- 8 -1 -4 + 2.72 |
Newtown Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amity Regional | Amity Regional | tied - ( 2- 5) ( 2- 4) | Amity Regional | |
| Avon HS | Newtown | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Newtown | |
| Bacon/East Hampton | Newtown | Newtown | ||
| Berlin | Newtown | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Newtown | |
| Bethel | Newtown | Newtown | ||
| Branford | Newtown | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Newtown | |
| Brien McMahon | Newtown | Newtown 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Bristol Central | Newtown | Newtown | ||
| Bristol Eastern | Newtown | Newtown 2- 1 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Brookfield | Newtown | Newtown | ||
| Canton | Newtown | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Newtown | |
| Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS | ||
| Conard | Conard | Conard | ||
| Cromwell | Newtown | Newtown | ||
| Danbury | Newtown | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) | Newtown | |
| Daniel Hand | Newtown | Newtown 3- 3 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Darien | Darien | Darien 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| East Catholic | Newtown | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Newtown | |
| East Lyme | Newtown | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | Newtown | |
| Ellington | Newtown | Newtown | ||
| Enfield | Newtown | Newtown | ||
| EO Smith | Newtown | Newtown | ||
| Fairfield Ludlowe | Newtown | Newtown | ||
| Fairfield Warde | Newtown | insuffient: ( 5- 2)( 4- 3) | Newtown | |
| Farmington | Newtown | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Newtown | |
| Fitch | Newtown | Newtown | ||
| Foran | Newtown | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) | Newtown | |
| Glastonbury | Newtown | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) | Newtown | |
| Granby Memorial | Newtown | Newtown | ||
| Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Greenwich HS | |
| Griswold-Norwich Tech | Newtown | Newtown | ||
| Guilford | Newtown | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Newtown | |
| Haddam-Killingworth | Newtown | Newtown | ||
| Hall | Newtown | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Newtown | |
| Hamden | Newtown | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Newtown | |
| Housatonic Regional | Newtown | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Newtown | |
| Immaculate Heart | Newtown | Newtown | ||
| Joel Barlow | Newtown | Newtown | ||
| Jonathan Law | Newtown | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Newtown | |
| Killingly | Newtown | Newtown | ||
| Lakeview United | Newtown | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Newtown | |
| Lauralton Hall | Newtown | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Newtown | |
| Ledyard | Newtown | Newtown | ||
| Lewis Mills | Newtown | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Newtown | |
| Lyman Hall | Newtown | Newtown | ||
| Masuk | Masuk | Masuk | ||
| Mercy | Newtown | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Newtown | |
| Middletown-Coginchaug | Newtown | Newtown | ||
| Montville | Newtown | Newtown | ||
| Morgan School | Newtown | Newtown | ||
| New Canaan | New Canaan | New Canaan 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| New Fairfield | New Fairfield | New Fairfield | ||
| New London/St Bernards | Newtown | Newtown | ||
| New Milford | Newtown | Newtown | ||
| Newington | Newtown | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Newtown | |
| North Branford | Newtown | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Newtown | |
| North Haven | Newtown | Newtown 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Northwest Catholic | Newtown | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Newtown | |
| Norwalk | Newtown | Newtown 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Norwich Free Academy | Newtown | Newtown | ||
| Notre Dame Fairfield | Newtown | Newtown | ||
| Old Lyme | Newtown | Newtown | ||
| Old Saybrook | Newtown | Newtown | ||
| Pomperaug | Newtown | Newtown | ||
| RHAM | Newtown | Newtown | ||
| Ridgefield | Ridgefield | Ridgefield | ||
| Rockville | Newtown | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Newtown | |
| Rocky Hill | Newtown | Newtown | ||
| Sacred Heart Academy | Newtown | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Newtown | |
| Sheehan | Newtown | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Newtown | |
| Shelton | Newtown | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Newtown | |
| Simsbury | Simsbury | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 1) | Simsbury | |
| Somers | Newtown | Newtown | ||
| South Windsor | Newtown | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Newtown | |
| Southington | Newtown | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Newtown | |
| St Joseph | Newtown | Newtown 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| St Paul Catholic | Newtown | Newtown | ||
| Stamford | Newtown | Newtown 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Staples | Staples | Staples | ||
| Stonington | Newtown | Newtown | ||
| Stratford-Bunnell | Newtown | Newtown | ||
| Suffield HS | Newtown | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Newtown | |
| Tolland | Newtown | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Newtown | |
| Trumbull | Newtown | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Newtown | |
| Valley Regional | Newtown | Newtown | ||
| Waterford | Newtown | Newtown | ||
| Watertown | Newtown | Newtown | ||
| West Haven | Newtown | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Newtown | |
| Westhill | Newtown | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | Newtown | |
| Weston | Newtown | Newtown | ||
| Wethersfield | Newtown | Newtown | ||
| Wheeler | Newtown | Newtown | ||
| Wilton | Wilton | Wilton 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Windsor | Newtown | Newtown | ||
| Wolcott | Newtown | Newtown | ||
| Woodstock Academy | Newtown | Newtown |
PowerWise = 84
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.51
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Fairfield Ludl (11- 8, 87.4) 8- 7 -12.47 22.34 -0.73 0.83 18.01
0 A Stratford-Bunn ( 3-13, 70.9) 16- 3 -29.05 5.76 0.73 0.83 5.41
0 A Brookfield (11- 7, 82.4) 14- 2 -17.50 17.31 0.73 0.83 15.03
0 H Staples (11- 8, 89.6) 6- 9 -10.33 24.48 -0.73 0.83 -9.22
0 H Conard (18- 2, 92.3) 7- 8 -7.57 27.24 -0.73 0.83 -6.91
0 A Immaculate Hea ( 0-16, 66.9) 17- 5 -33.03 1.78 0.73 0.83 2.09
0 H Masuk (16- 5, 89.0) 6-10 -10.87 23.94 -0.73 0.83 -9.66
0 A New Fairfield (21- 1, 91.1) 8-14 -8.80 26.01 0.73 0.83 -6.73
0 A Weston (12- 8, 83.7) 11- 3 -16.24 18.57 0.73 0.83 16.08
0 A Cheshire HS (16- 4, 90.2) 7-11 -9.73 25.08 0.73 0.83 -7.51
0 H Joel Barlow ( 9-10, 82.3) 15- 8 -17.57 17.24 -0.73 0.83 13.76
0 H Notre Dame Fai ( 2-14, 68.6) 18- 0 -31.25 3.55 -0.73 0.83 2.36
0 H Bethel ( 9- 9, 81.1) 18- 2 -18.77 16.04 -0.73 0.83 12.77
0 H Pomperaug ( 5-12, 80.5) 11- 3 -19.38 15.43 -0.73 0.83 12.26
0 A New Milford ( 3-13, 74.1) 17- 1 -25.81 9.00 0.73 0.83 8.11
0 A Ridgefield (11- 5, 93.9) 9-19 -5.98 28.83 0.73 0.83 -4.38
0 H Brookfield (11- 7, 82.4) 10- 5 -17.50 17.31 -0.73 0.83 13.82
0 A Masuk (16- 5, 89.0) 12- 4 -10.87 23.94 0.73 0.83 20.56
0 A New Fairfield (21- 1, 91.1) 7-10 -8.80 26.01 0.73 0.83 -6.73
0 H Lyman Hall (10- 7, 79.3) 20- 5 -20.64 14.17 -0.73 0.83 11.21
0 A Masuk (16- 5, 89.0) 7-15 -10.87 23.94 0.73 0.83 -8.45
------
91.88
|
winning pts = 151.4680 losing points = -59.5902
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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