---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:58 PDT

safe3step girls New Hanover 1
  
New Hanover           
W-L: (18- 4) PR = 88.7731

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 224 H Jacksonville ( 2-12, 74.0) 17- 2 228 H Northside ( 7-12, 75.5) 20- 1 303 A Jacksonville ( 2-12, 74.0) 16- 3 310 A New Bern (17- 4, 86.3) 19-12 318 A North Brunswick ( 5-17, 75.3) 18- 3 321 H Topsail (17- 3, 90.3) 8-10 325 H South Brunswick ( 6-11, 82.2) 21- 3 327 H Ashley ( 7-12, 84.3) 12-11 401 A Laney ( 9- 8, 86.0) 18-11 403 H Cape Fear Academy ( 7- 9, 80.7) 18- 5 404 A West Brunswick ( 2-15, 76.3) 18- 3 408 H Hoggard (17- 6, 91.5) 5-15 409 H Croatan (13- 9, 87.2) 16-15 410 H North Brunswick ( 5-17, 75.3) 21- 4 422 A Ashley ( 7-12, 84.3) 16- 9 425 H Laney ( 9- 8, 86.0) 18-16 429 A Topsail (17- 3, 90.3) 19-16 505 H West Brunswick ( 2-15, 76.3) 20- 2 507 A Hoggard (17- 6, 91.5) 6-14 508 A South Brunswick ( 6-11, 82.2) 16- 9 513 H Leesville Road ( 7- 9, 83.6) 18- 9 516 A Cardinal Gibbons (17- 0, 99.9) 4-21

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   224 H Jacksonville           17- 2      15    15           0.00
   228 H Northside              20- 1      19    14           0.00
   303 A Jacksonville           16- 3      13    14           0.00
   310 A New Bern               19-12       7     2    +      2.83
   318 A North Brunswick        18- 3      15    13           0.00
   321 H Topsail                 8-10      -2    -1          -0.79
   325 H South Brunswick        21- 3      18     7           0.00
   327 H Ashley                 12-11       1     5    -     -3.75
   401 A Laney                  18-11       7     2    +      2.58
   403 H Cape Fear Academy      18- 5      13     8           0.00
   404 A West Brunswick         18- 3      15    12           0.00
   408 H Hoggard                 5-15     -10    -2    -     -2.53
   409 H Croatan                16-15       1     2          -0.92
   410 H North Brunswick        21- 4      17    14           0.00
   422 A Ashley                 16- 9       7     4           0.86
   425 H Laney                  18-16       2     3          -1.04
   429 A Topsail                19-16       3    -2    ++     4.82
   505 H West Brunswick         20- 2      18    13           0.00
   507 A Hoggard                 6-14      -8    -3          -1.92
   508 A South Brunswick        16- 9       7     6           0.00
   513 H Leesville Road         18- 9       9     5           0.00
   516 A Cardinal Gibbons        4-21     -17   -11           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 H Ashley                 12-11       1     5    -     -3.75
   408 H Hoggard                 5-15     -10    -2    -     -2.53

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 A Topsail                19-16       3    -2    ++     4.82
   310 A New Bern               19-12       7     2    +      2.83
   401 A Laney                  18-11       7     2    +      2.58

New Hanover Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Apex Apex   Apex
Apex Friendship New Hanover insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) New Hanover
Ardrey Kell New Hanover   New Hanover
Arendell Parrott Academy New Hanover New Hanover   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Asheville HS New Hanover   New Hanover
Asheville School New Hanover   New Hanover
Ashley New Hanover New Hanover  
Athens Drive New Hanover tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 3) New Hanover
Atkins New Hanover   New Hanover
Ballantyne Ridge New Hanover   New Hanover
Bishop McGuinness New Hanover   New Hanover
Broughton New Hanover tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 2) New Hanover
Butler New Hanover   New Hanover
Cannon School Cannon School   Cannon School
Cape Fear Academy New Hanover New Hanover  
Cape Fear HS New Hanover   New Hanover
Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons  
Carrboro New Hanover   New Hanover
Cary Academy New Hanover   New Hanover
Cary HS New Hanover   New Hanover
Chapel Hill Chapel Hill   Chapel Hill
Charlotte Catholic Charlotte Catholic insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Charlotte Catholic
Charlotte CDS Charlotte CDS   Charlotte CDS
Charlotte Christian New Hanover   New Hanover
Charlotte Latin School Charlotte Latin School   Charlotte Latin School
Christ the King New Hanover   New Hanover
Clayton New Hanover insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) New Hanover
Cleveland New Hanover   New Hanover
Community School Davidso New Hanover   New Hanover
Corinth Holders New Hanover   New Hanover
Croatan New Hanover New Hanover  
Cuthbertson Cuthbertson   Cuthbertson
Davidson Day School New Hanover   New Hanover
Davie New Hanover   New Hanover
DH Conley New Hanover insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) New Hanover
Durham Academy New Hanover   New Hanover
East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill   1- 0 vs 3- 1
East Forsyth New Hanover   New Hanover
Enloe New Hanover tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 2) New Hanover
Fayetteville Academy New Hanover tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) New Hanover
Fike New Hanover   New Hanover
First Flight New Hanover New Hanover   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Forsyth CDS New Hanover tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) New Hanover
Fuquay-Varina New Hanover tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 1) New Hanover
Garner New Hanover   New Hanover
Glenn New Hanover   New Hanover
Green Hope New Hanover   New Hanover
Green Level New Hanover   New Hanover
Greensboro Day School New Hanover insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) New Hanover
Grimsley New Hanover   New Hanover
Havelock New Hanover New Hanover   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Heritage New Hanover   New Hanover
Hickory New Hanover   New Hanover
High Point Central New Hanover   New Hanover
Hoggard Hoggard Hoggard  
Holly Springs Holly Springs insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Holly Springs
Hopewell New Hanover   New Hanover
Hough New Hanover   New Hanover
Hunt New Hanover   New Hanover
Independence New Hanover   New Hanover
Jack Britt New Hanover insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) New Hanover
Jacksonville New Hanover New Hanover  
JH Rose New Hanover insuffient: ( 4- 0)( 3- 1) New Hanover
Jordan New Hanover   New Hanover
Lake Norman Charter New Hanover   New Hanover
Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS   Lake Norman HS
Laney New Hanover New Hanover  
Leesville Road New Hanover New Hanover  
Lincoln Charter New Hanover   New Hanover
Marvin Ridge Marvin Ridge   Marvin Ridge
Middle Creek New Hanover insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) New Hanover
Millbrook New Hanover New Hanover   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Mooresville New Hanover   New Hanover
Mount Tabor New Hanover   New Hanover
Myers Park Myers Park tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Myers Park
New Bern New Hanover New Hanover  
North Brunswick New Hanover New Hanover  
North Davidson New Hanover   New Hanover
North Lincoln New Hanover   New Hanover
Northern Guilford New Hanover   New Hanover
Northside New Hanover New Hanover  
Northwest Guilford New Hanover   New Hanover
Northwood New Hanover   New Hanover
Page New Hanover   New Hanover
Panther Creek New Hanover tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) New Hanover
Parkwood New Hanover   New Hanover
Patton New Hanover   New Hanover
Pine Forest New Hanover   New Hanover
Pine Lake Prep New Hanover   New Hanover
Pinecrest Pinecrest insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Pinecrest
Porter Ridge New Hanover   New Hanover
Providence New Hanover   New Hanover
Providence Day Providence Day   Providence Day
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee New Hanover   New Hanover
Ragsdale New Hanover   New Hanover
Ravenscroft School New Hanover tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) New Hanover
Riverside Durham New Hanover   New Hanover
RJ Reynolds New Hanover   New Hanover
Rolesville New Hanover   New Hanover
Ronald Reagan New Hanover   New Hanover
Sanderson New Hanover tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 2) New Hanover
Seaforth New Hanover   New Hanover
South Brunswick New Hanover New Hanover  
South Iredell New Hanover   New Hanover
South Mecklenburg New Hanover   New Hanover
Southeast Guilford New Hanover   New Hanover
Southlake Christian New Hanover   New Hanover
Southwest Guilford New Hanover   New Hanover
St Davids School New Hanover tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) New Hanover
St Marys New Hanover   New Hanover
St Stephens New Hanover   New Hanover
Sun Valley New Hanover   New Hanover
Swansboro New Hanover New Hanover   4- 1 vs 2- 3
TC Roberson New Hanover   New Hanover
Terry Sanford New Hanover   New Hanover
Topsail Topsail insuffient: ( 6- 1)( 7- 0) Topsail
Union Pines Union Pines insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 1) Union Pines
Wake Forest New Hanover tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) New Hanover
Wakefield New Hanover tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 1) New Hanover
Watauga New Hanover   New Hanover
Weddington Weddington tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) Weddington
West Brunswick New Hanover New Hanover  
West Forsyth New Hanover   New Hanover
West Stokes New Hanover   New Hanover
White Oak New Hanover New Hanover   5- 0 vs 0- 5
Willow Spring New Hanover tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 2) New Hanover

PowerWise = 107


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.87

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Jacksonville    ( 2-12, 74.0)    17- 2      -25.91      13.90      -0.31         0.77            10.42
   0 H Northside       ( 7-12, 75.5)    20- 1      -24.38      15.43      -0.31         0.77            11.59
   0 A Jacksonville    ( 2-12, 74.0)    16- 3      -25.91      13.90       0.31         0.77            10.89
   0 A New Bern        (17- 4, 86.3)    19-12      -13.60      26.20       0.31         0.77            20.32
   0 A North Brunswic  ( 5-17, 75.3)    18- 3      -24.60      15.20       0.31         0.77            11.89
   0 H Topsail         (17- 3, 90.3)     8-10       -9.61      30.19      -0.31         0.77            -7.60
   0 H South Brunswic  ( 6-11, 82.2)    21- 3      -17.65      22.15      -0.31         0.77            16.75
   0 H Ashley          ( 7-12, 84.3)    12-11      -15.57      24.23      -0.31         0.77            18.34
   0 A Laney           ( 9- 8, 86.0)    18-11      -13.86      25.95       0.31         0.77            20.13
   0 H Cape Fear Acad  ( 7- 9, 80.7)    18- 5      -19.19      20.61      -0.31         0.77            15.57
   0 A West Brunswick  ( 2-15, 76.3)    18- 3      -23.64      16.17       0.31         0.77            12.63
   0 H Hoggard         (17- 6, 91.5)     5-15       -8.36      31.45      -0.31         0.77            -6.64
   0 H Croatan         (13- 9, 87.2)    16-15      -12.74      27.07      -0.31         0.77            20.52
   0 H North Brunswic  ( 5-17, 75.3)    21- 4      -24.60      15.20      -0.31         0.77            11.42
   0 A Ashley          ( 7-12, 84.3)    16- 9      -15.57      24.23       0.31         0.77            18.81
   0 H Laney           ( 9- 8, 86.0)    18-16      -13.86      25.95      -0.31         0.77            19.66
   0 A Topsail         (17- 3, 90.3)    19-16       -9.61      30.19       0.31         0.77            23.38
   0 H West Brunswick  ( 2-15, 76.3)    20- 2      -23.64      16.17      -0.31         0.77            12.16
   0 A Hoggard         (17- 6, 91.5)     6-14       -8.36      31.45       0.31         0.77            -6.17
   0 A South Brunswic  ( 6-11, 82.2)    16- 9      -17.65      22.15       0.31         0.77            17.22
   0 H Leesville Road  ( 7- 9, 83.6)    18- 9      -16.31      23.50      -0.31         0.77            17.78
   0 A Cardinal Gibbo  (17- 0, 99.9)     4-21       -0.00      39.80       0.31         0.77            -0.23
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       268.83

winning pts = 289.4777 losing points = -20.6482

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------