---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:42 PDT

safe3step girls New Fairfield 1
  
New Fairfield         
W-L: (21- 1) PR = 91.1039

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 405 H Ridgefield (11- 5, 93.9) 6-11 408 A Joel Barlow ( 9-10, 82.3) 8- 1 410 H Notre Dame Fairfield ( 2-14, 68.6) 19- 0 412 A East Lyme (17- 4, 85.2) 13- 5 415 H Weston (12- 8, 83.7) 13- 5 417 A New Milford ( 3-13, 74.1) 16- 3 422 H Newtown (13- 8, 87.9) 14- 8 424 A Bethel ( 9- 9, 81.1) 14- 4 429 A Pomperaug ( 5-12, 80.5) 13- 1 501 A Hamden ( 6-10, 77.9) 15- 2 503 H Norwalk ( 3-13, 77.3) 18- 2 506 A Brookfield (11- 7, 82.4) 9- 1 508 H Immaculate Heart ( 0-16, 66.9) 18- 1 510 A Masuk (16- 5, 89.0) 6- 2 515 H Stratford-Bunnell ( 3-13, 70.9) 20- 1 520 H Pomperaug ( 5-12, 80.5) 17- 1 523 H Weston (12- 8, 83.7) 12- 2 527 H Newtown (13- 8, 87.9) 10- 7 603 A Berlin ( 9-10, 77.0) 16- 3 606 H Joel Barlow ( 9-10, 82.3) 15- 4 610 N Suffield HS (19- 2, 85.4) 15- 6 615 N Daniel Hand (13- 9, 86.3) 15- 5

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Ridgefield              6-11      -5    -2    -     -2.91
   408 A Joel Barlow             8- 1       7     8           0.00
   410 H Notre Dame Fairfield   19- 0      19    23           0.00
   412 A East Lyme              13- 5       8     5           0.00
   415 H Weston                 13- 5       8     8           0.00
   417 A New Milford            16- 3      13    16           0.00
   422 H Newtown                14- 8       6     4           1.06
   424 A Bethel                 14- 4      10     9           0.00
   429 A Pomperaug              13- 1      12    10           0.00
   501 A Hamden                 15- 2      13    13           0.00
   503 H Norwalk                18- 2      16    15           0.00
   506 A Brookfield              9- 1       8     8           0.00
   508 H Immaculate Heart       18- 1      17    25           0.00
   510 A Masuk                   6- 2       4     1    +      2.65
   515 H Stratford-Bunnell      20- 1      19    21           0.00
   520 H Pomperaug              17- 1      16    11           0.00
   523 H Weston                 12- 2      10     8           0.00
   527 H Newtown                10- 7       3     4          -0.94
   603 A Berlin                 16- 3      13    13           0.00
   606 H Joel Barlow            15- 4      11    10           0.00
   610 N Suffield HS            15- 6       9     6           0.00
   615 N Daniel Hand            15- 5      10     5           0.20

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Ridgefield              6-11      -5    -2    -     -2.91

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   510 A Masuk                   6- 2       4     1    +      2.65

New Fairfield Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Amity Regional New Fairfield tied - ( 4- 1) ( 4- 2) New Fairfield
Avon HS New Fairfield insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) New Fairfield
Bacon/East Hampton New Fairfield insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) New Fairfield
Berlin New Fairfield New Fairfield  
Bethel New Fairfield New Fairfield  
Branford New Fairfield insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 2) New Fairfield
Brien McMahon New Fairfield New Fairfield   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Bristol Central New Fairfield   New Fairfield
Bristol Eastern New Fairfield New Fairfield   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Brookfield New Fairfield New Fairfield  
Canton New Fairfield insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) New Fairfield
Cheshire HS New Fairfield insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 3- 0) New Fairfield
Conard Conard tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Conard
Cromwell New Fairfield   New Fairfield
Danbury New Fairfield tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) New Fairfield
Daniel Hand New Fairfield New Fairfield  
Darien Darien insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Darien
East Catholic New Fairfield tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) New Fairfield
East Lyme New Fairfield New Fairfield  
Ellington New Fairfield tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) New Fairfield
Enfield New Fairfield   New Fairfield
EO Smith New Fairfield   New Fairfield
Fairfield Ludlowe New Fairfield insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 3) New Fairfield
Fairfield Warde New Fairfield tied - ( 5- 0) ( 5- 0) New Fairfield
Farmington New Fairfield tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) New Fairfield
Fitch New Fairfield insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) New Fairfield
Foran New Fairfield insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 2) New Fairfield
Glastonbury New Fairfield New Fairfield   3- 0 vs 1- 3
Granby Memorial New Fairfield tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) New Fairfield
Greenwich HS New Fairfield insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 1) New Fairfield
Griswold-Norwich Tech New Fairfield   New Fairfield
Guilford New Fairfield insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 2) New Fairfield
Haddam-Killingworth New Fairfield tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) New Fairfield
Hall New Fairfield insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) New Fairfield
Hamden New Fairfield New Fairfield  
Housatonic Regional New Fairfield tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) New Fairfield
Immaculate Heart New Fairfield New Fairfield  
Joel Barlow New Fairfield New Fairfield  
Jonathan Law New Fairfield insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) New Fairfield
Killingly New Fairfield   New Fairfield
Lakeview United New Fairfield insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) New Fairfield
Lauralton Hall New Fairfield tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 1) New Fairfield
Ledyard New Fairfield insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) New Fairfield
Lewis Mills New Fairfield tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) New Fairfield
Lyman Hall New Fairfield insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 2) New Fairfield
Masuk New Fairfield New Fairfield  
Mercy New Fairfield tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) New Fairfield
Middletown-Coginchaug New Fairfield insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) New Fairfield
Montville New Fairfield   New Fairfield
Morgan School New Fairfield insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) New Fairfield
New Canaan New Canaan insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) New Canaan
New London/St Bernards New Fairfield   New Fairfield
New Milford New Fairfield New Fairfield  
Newington New Fairfield tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) New Fairfield
Newtown New Fairfield New Fairfield  
North Branford New Fairfield   New Fairfield
North Haven New Fairfield New Fairfield   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Northwest Catholic New Fairfield insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) New Fairfield
Norwalk New Fairfield New Fairfield  
Norwich Free Academy New Fairfield insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) New Fairfield
Notre Dame Fairfield New Fairfield New Fairfield  
Old Lyme New Fairfield   New Fairfield
Old Saybrook New Fairfield   New Fairfield
Pomperaug New Fairfield New Fairfield  
RHAM New Fairfield tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) New Fairfield
Ridgefield Ridgefield Ridgefield  
Rockville New Fairfield insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) New Fairfield
Rocky Hill New Fairfield insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) New Fairfield
Sacred Heart Academy New Fairfield tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 1) New Fairfield
Sheehan New Fairfield insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) New Fairfield
Shelton New Fairfield New Fairfield   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Simsbury New Fairfield insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 2- 0) New Fairfield
Somers New Fairfield tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) New Fairfield
South Windsor New Fairfield tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) New Fairfield
Southington New Fairfield tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) New Fairfield
St Joseph New Fairfield insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 2) New Fairfield
St Paul Catholic New Fairfield   New Fairfield
Stamford New Fairfield insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) New Fairfield
Staples New Fairfield tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) New Fairfield
Stonington New Fairfield insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) New Fairfield
Stratford-Bunnell New Fairfield New Fairfield  
Suffield HS New Fairfield New Fairfield  
Tolland New Fairfield tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) New Fairfield
Trumbull New Fairfield tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) New Fairfield
Valley Regional New Fairfield   New Fairfield
Waterford New Fairfield tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 1) New Fairfield
Watertown New Fairfield insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) New Fairfield
West Haven New Fairfield New Fairfield   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Westhill New Fairfield tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) New Fairfield
Weston New Fairfield New Fairfield  
Wethersfield New Fairfield   New Fairfield
Wheeler New Fairfield insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) New Fairfield
Wilton Wilton insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Wilton
Windsor New Fairfield   New Fairfield
Wolcott New Fairfield   New Fairfield
Woodstock Academy New Fairfield insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) New Fairfield

PowerWise = 91


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.51

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Ridgefield      (11- 5, 93.9)     6-11       -5.98      28.83      -0.73         0.80            -5.34
   0 A Joel Barlow     ( 9-10, 82.3)     8- 1      -17.57      17.24       0.73         0.80            14.29
   0 H Notre Dame Fai  ( 2-14, 68.6)    19- 0      -31.25       3.55      -0.73         0.80             2.25
   0 A East Lyme       (17- 4, 85.2)    13- 5      -14.70      20.11       0.73         0.80            16.58
   0 H Weston          (12- 8, 83.7)    13- 5      -16.24      18.57      -0.73         0.80            14.19
   0 A New Milford     ( 3-13, 74.1)    16- 3      -25.81       9.00       0.73         0.80             7.74
   0 H Newtown         (13- 8, 87.9)    14- 8      -12.01      22.80      -0.73         0.80            17.56
   0 A Bethel          ( 9- 9, 81.1)    14- 4      -18.77      16.04       0.73         0.80            13.34
   0 A Pomperaug       ( 5-12, 80.5)    13- 1      -19.38      15.43       0.73         0.80            12.85
   0 A Hamden          ( 6-10, 77.9)    15- 2      -22.02      12.79       0.73         0.80            10.75
   0 H Norwalk         ( 3-13, 77.3)    18- 2      -22.63      12.18      -0.73         0.80             9.12
   0 A Brookfield      (11- 7, 82.4)     9- 1      -17.50      17.31       0.73         0.80            14.35
   0 H Immaculate Hea  ( 0-16, 66.9)    18- 1      -33.03       1.78      -0.73         0.80             0.84
   0 A Masuk           (16- 5, 89.0)     6- 2      -10.87      23.94       0.73         0.80            19.63
   0 H Stratford-Bunn  ( 3-13, 70.9)    20- 1      -29.05       5.76      -0.73         0.80             4.01
   0 H Pomperaug       ( 5-12, 80.5)    17- 1      -19.38      15.43      -0.73         0.80            11.70
   0 H Weston          (12- 8, 83.7)    12- 2      -16.24      18.57      -0.73         0.80            14.19
   0 H Newtown         (13- 8, 87.9)    10- 7      -12.01      22.80      -0.73         0.80            17.56
   0 A Berlin          ( 9-10, 77.0)    16- 3      -22.91      11.90       0.73         0.80            10.05
   0 H Joel Barlow     ( 9-10, 82.3)    15- 4      -17.57      17.24      -0.73         0.80            13.14
   0 N Suffield HS     (19- 2, 85.4)    15- 6      -14.54      20.27      -0.00         0.80            16.13
   0 N Daniel Hand     (13- 9, 86.3)    15- 5      -13.60      21.21      -0.00         0.80            16.88
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       251.81

winning pts = 257.1504 losing points = -5.3363

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------