---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:42 PDT

safe3step girls New Canaan 1
  
New Canaan            
W-L: (10- 4) PR = 96.4809

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 408 A St Joseph ( 9- 9, 82.3) 16- 3 424 A Staples (11- 8, 89.6) 17- 5 429 H Danbury ( 4-12, 75.7) 18- 1 501 H Darien (14- 0, 99.9) 2- 9 506 H Wilton (13- 3, 95.8) 7- 8 508 H Greenwich HS ( 6- 7, 90.3) 19- 7 513 H Brien McMahon ( 8- 9, 81.1) 18- 2 515 A Ridgefield (11- 5, 93.9) 17- 6 523 H Greenwich HS ( 6- 7, 90.3) 18- 4 527 N Wilton (13- 3, 95.8) 8- 9 603 H Newington ( 7-11, 77.8) 21- 2 606 H Staples (11- 8, 89.6) 16- 7 610 N Wilton (13- 3, 95.8) 7- 6 615 A Darien (14- 0, 99.9) 5- 6

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 A St Joseph              16- 3      13    13           0.00
   424 A Staples                17- 5      12     6           0.00
   429 H Danbury                18- 1      17    22           0.00
   501 H Darien                  2- 9      -7    -3    -     -2.31
   506 H Wilton                  7- 8      -1     1    -     -2.42
   508 H Greenwich HS           19- 7      12     7           0.00
   513 H Brien McMahon          18- 2      16    16           0.00
   515 A Ridgefield             17- 6      11     2    +      3.16
   523 H Greenwich HS           18- 4      14     7           0.00
   527 N Wilton                  8- 9      -1     1          -1.69
   603 H Newington              21- 2      19    19           0.00
   606 H Staples                16- 7       9     8           0.00
   610 N Wilton                  7- 6       1     1           0.31
   615 A Darien                  5- 6      -1    -4    +      3.15

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 H Darien                  2- 9      -7    -3    -     -2.31
   506 H Wilton                  7- 8      -1     1    -     -2.42

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   515 A Ridgefield             17- 6      11     2    +      3.16
   615 A Darien                  5- 6      -1    -4    +      3.15

New Canaan Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Amity Regional New Canaan New Canaan   3- 1 vs 0- 3
Avon HS New Canaan   New Canaan
Bacon/East Hampton New Canaan   New Canaan
Berlin New Canaan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) New Canaan
Bethel New Canaan   New Canaan
Branford New Canaan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) New Canaan
Brien McMahon New Canaan New Canaan  
Bristol Central New Canaan   New Canaan
Bristol Eastern New Canaan   New Canaan
Brookfield New Canaan   New Canaan
Canton New Canaan   New Canaan
Cheshire HS New Canaan insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) New Canaan
Conard New Canaan insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) New Canaan
Cromwell New Canaan   New Canaan
Danbury New Canaan New Canaan  
Daniel Hand New Canaan insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) New Canaan
Darien Darien Darien  
East Catholic New Canaan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) New Canaan
East Lyme New Canaan   New Canaan
Ellington New Canaan   New Canaan
Enfield New Canaan   New Canaan
EO Smith New Canaan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) New Canaan
Fairfield Ludlowe New Canaan New Canaan   6- 2 vs 3- 4
Fairfield Warde New Canaan New Canaan   5- 1 vs 3- 3
Farmington New Canaan tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) New Canaan
Fitch New Canaan   New Canaan
Foran New Canaan tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) New Canaan
Glastonbury New Canaan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) New Canaan
Granby Memorial New Canaan   New Canaan
Greenwich HS New Canaan New Canaan  
Griswold-Norwich Tech New Canaan   New Canaan
Guilford New Canaan tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) New Canaan
Haddam-Killingworth New Canaan tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) New Canaan
Hall New Canaan   New Canaan
Hamden New Canaan tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) New Canaan
Housatonic Regional New Canaan   New Canaan
Immaculate Heart New Canaan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) New Canaan
Joel Barlow New Canaan tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) New Canaan
Jonathan Law New Canaan   New Canaan
Killingly New Canaan   New Canaan
Lakeview United New Canaan   New Canaan
Lauralton Hall New Canaan   New Canaan
Ledyard New Canaan   New Canaan
Lewis Mills New Canaan tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) New Canaan
Lyman Hall New Canaan   New Canaan
Masuk New Canaan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) New Canaan
Mercy New Canaan   New Canaan
Middletown-Coginchaug New Canaan   New Canaan
Montville New Canaan   New Canaan
Morgan School New Canaan   New Canaan
New Fairfield New Canaan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) New Canaan
New London/St Bernards New Canaan   New Canaan
New Milford New Canaan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) New Canaan
Newington New Canaan New Canaan  
Newtown New Canaan New Canaan   2- 0 vs 0- 2
North Branford New Canaan   New Canaan
North Haven New Canaan   New Canaan
Northwest Catholic New Canaan tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) New Canaan
Norwalk New Canaan New Canaan   5- 1 vs 0- 5
Norwich Free Academy New Canaan insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) New Canaan
Notre Dame Fairfield New Canaan   New Canaan
Old Lyme New Canaan   New Canaan
Old Saybrook New Canaan   New Canaan
Pomperaug New Canaan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) New Canaan
RHAM New Canaan tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) New Canaan
Ridgefield New Canaan New Canaan  
Rockville New Canaan   New Canaan
Rocky Hill New Canaan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) New Canaan
Sacred Heart Academy New Canaan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) New Canaan
Sheehan New Canaan   New Canaan
Shelton New Canaan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) New Canaan
Simsbury New Canaan tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) New Canaan
Somers New Canaan   New Canaan
South Windsor New Canaan tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) New Canaan
Southington New Canaan insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) New Canaan
St Joseph New Canaan New Canaan  
St Paul Catholic New Canaan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) New Canaan
Stamford New Canaan New Canaan   6- 1 vs 2- 4
Staples New Canaan New Canaan  
Stonington New Canaan   New Canaan
Stratford-Bunnell New Canaan   New Canaan
Suffield HS New Canaan   New Canaan
Tolland New Canaan insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) New Canaan
Trumbull New Canaan New Canaan   4- 1 vs 2- 3
Valley Regional New Canaan   New Canaan
Waterford New Canaan   New Canaan
Watertown New Canaan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) New Canaan
West Haven New Canaan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) New Canaan
Westhill New Canaan New Canaan   4- 1 vs 1- 4
Weston New Canaan insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) New Canaan
Wethersfield New Canaan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) New Canaan
Wheeler New Canaan   New Canaan
Wilton Wilton Wilton  
Windsor New Canaan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) New Canaan
Wolcott New Canaan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) New Canaan
Woodstock Academy New Canaan   New Canaan

PowerWise = 94


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.51

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A St Joseph       ( 9- 9, 82.3)    16- 3      -17.60      17.21       0.73         1.25            22.43
   0 A Staples         (11- 8, 89.6)    17- 5      -10.33      24.48       0.73         1.25            31.51
   0 H Danbury         ( 4-12, 75.7)    18- 1      -24.25      10.56      -0.73         1.25            12.30
   0 H Darien          (14- 0, 99.9)     2- 9       -0.00      34.81      -0.73         1.25            -0.91
   0 H Wilton          (13- 3, 95.8)     7- 8       -4.11      30.70      -0.73         1.25            -6.05
   0 H Greenwich HS    ( 6- 7, 90.3)    19- 7       -9.60      25.21      -0.73         1.25            30.62
   0 H Brien McMahon   ( 8- 9, 81.1)    18- 2      -18.81      16.00      -0.73         1.25            19.09
   0 A Ridgefield      (11- 5, 93.9)    17- 6       -5.98      28.83       0.73         1.25            36.95
   0 H Greenwich HS    ( 6- 7, 90.3)    18- 4       -9.60      25.21      -0.73         1.25            30.62
   0 N Wilton          (13- 3, 95.8)     8- 9       -4.11      30.70      -0.00         1.25            -5.14
   0 H Newington       ( 7-11, 77.8)    21- 2      -22.13      12.68      -0.73         1.25            14.94
   0 H Staples         (11- 8, 89.6)    16- 7      -10.33      24.48      -0.73         1.25            29.70
   0 N Wilton          (13- 3, 95.8)     7- 6       -4.11      30.70      -0.00         1.25            38.38
   0 A Darien          (14- 0, 99.9)     5- 6       -0.00      34.81       0.73         1.25            -0.91
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       253.54

winning pts = 266.5494 losing points = -13.0052

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------