New Canaan
W-L: (10- 4) PR = 96.4809
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
408 A St Joseph ( 9- 9, 82.3) 16- 3
424 A Staples (11- 8, 89.6) 17- 5
429 H Danbury ( 4-12, 75.7) 18- 1
501 H Darien (14- 0, 99.9) 2- 9
506 H Wilton (13- 3, 95.8) 7- 8
508 H Greenwich HS ( 6- 7, 90.3) 19- 7
513 H Brien McMahon ( 8- 9, 81.1) 18- 2
515 A Ridgefield (11- 5, 93.9) 17- 6
523 H Greenwich HS ( 6- 7, 90.3) 18- 4
527 N Wilton (13- 3, 95.8) 8- 9
603 H Newington ( 7-11, 77.8) 21- 2
606 H Staples (11- 8, 89.6) 16- 7
610 N Wilton (13- 3, 95.8) 7- 6
615 A Darien (14- 0, 99.9) 5- 6
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
408 A St Joseph 16- 3 13 13 0.00
424 A Staples 17- 5 12 6 0.00
429 H Danbury 18- 1 17 22 0.00
501 H Darien 2- 9 -7 -3 - -2.31
506 H Wilton 7- 8 -1 1 - -2.42
508 H Greenwich HS 19- 7 12 7 0.00
513 H Brien McMahon 18- 2 16 16 0.00
515 A Ridgefield 17- 6 11 2 + 3.16
523 H Greenwich HS 18- 4 14 7 0.00
527 N Wilton 8- 9 -1 1 -1.69
603 H Newington 21- 2 19 19 0.00
606 H Staples 16- 7 9 8 0.00
610 N Wilton 7- 6 1 1 0.31
615 A Darien 5- 6 -1 -4 + 3.15
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
501 H Darien 2- 9 -7 -3 - -2.31
506 H Wilton 7- 8 -1 1 - -2.42
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
515 A Ridgefield 17- 6 11 2 + 3.16
615 A Darien 5- 6 -1 -4 + 3.15
|
New Canaan Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
Amity Regional |
New Canaan |
|
New Canaan   3- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
Avon HS |
New Canaan |
|
 
| New Canaan |
Bacon/East Hampton |
New Canaan |
|
 
| New Canaan |
Berlin |
New Canaan |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
New Canaan |
Bethel |
New Canaan |
|
 
| New Canaan |
Branford |
New Canaan |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
New Canaan |
Brien McMahon |
New Canaan |
New Canaan |
 
| |
Bristol Central |
New Canaan |
|
 
| New Canaan |
Bristol Eastern |
New Canaan |
|
 
| New Canaan |
Brookfield |
New Canaan |
|
 
| New Canaan |
Canton |
New Canaan |
|
 
| New Canaan |
Cheshire HS |
New Canaan |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) |
New Canaan |
Conard |
New Canaan |
|
insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) |
New Canaan |
Cromwell |
New Canaan |
|
 
| New Canaan |
Danbury |
New Canaan |
New Canaan |
 
| |
Daniel Hand |
New Canaan |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
New Canaan |
Darien |
Darien |
Darien |
 
| |
East Catholic |
New Canaan |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
New Canaan |
East Lyme |
New Canaan |
|
 
| New Canaan |
Ellington |
New Canaan |
|
 
| New Canaan |
Enfield |
New Canaan |
|
 
| New Canaan |
EO Smith |
New Canaan |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
New Canaan |
Fairfield Ludlowe |
New Canaan |
|
New Canaan   6- 2 vs 3- 4 |
|
Fairfield Warde |
New Canaan |
|
New Canaan   5- 1 vs 3- 3 |
|
Farmington |
New Canaan |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
New Canaan |
Fitch |
New Canaan |
|
 
| New Canaan |
Foran |
New Canaan |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
New Canaan |
Glastonbury |
New Canaan |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
New Canaan |
Granby Memorial |
New Canaan |
|
 
| New Canaan |
Greenwich HS |
New Canaan |
New Canaan |
 
| |
Griswold-Norwich Tech |
New Canaan |
|
 
| New Canaan |
Guilford |
New Canaan |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
New Canaan |
Haddam-Killingworth |
New Canaan |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
New Canaan |
Hall |
New Canaan |
|
 
| New Canaan |
Hamden |
New Canaan |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
New Canaan |
Housatonic Regional |
New Canaan |
|
 
| New Canaan |
Immaculate Heart |
New Canaan |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
New Canaan |
Joel Barlow |
New Canaan |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
New Canaan |
Jonathan Law |
New Canaan |
|
 
| New Canaan |
Killingly |
New Canaan |
|
 
| New Canaan |
Lakeview United |
New Canaan |
|
 
| New Canaan |
Lauralton Hall |
New Canaan |
|
 
| New Canaan |
Ledyard |
New Canaan |
|
 
| New Canaan |
Lewis Mills |
New Canaan |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
New Canaan |
Lyman Hall |
New Canaan |
|
 
| New Canaan |
Masuk |
New Canaan |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
New Canaan |
Mercy |
New Canaan |
|
 
| New Canaan |
Middletown-Coginchaug |
New Canaan |
|
 
| New Canaan |
Montville |
New Canaan |
|
 
| New Canaan |
Morgan School |
New Canaan |
|
 
| New Canaan |
New Fairfield |
New Canaan |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
New Canaan |
New London/St Bernards |
New Canaan |
|
 
| New Canaan |
New Milford |
New Canaan |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
New Canaan |
Newington |
New Canaan |
New Canaan |
 
| |
Newtown |
New Canaan |
|
New Canaan   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
North Branford |
New Canaan |
|
 
| New Canaan |
North Haven |
New Canaan |
|
 
| New Canaan |
Northwest Catholic |
New Canaan |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
New Canaan |
Norwalk |
New Canaan |
|
New Canaan   5- 1 vs 0- 5 |
|
Norwich Free Academy |
New Canaan |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) |
New Canaan |
Notre Dame Fairfield |
New Canaan |
|
 
| New Canaan |
Old Lyme |
New Canaan |
|
 
| New Canaan |
Old Saybrook |
New Canaan |
|
 
| New Canaan |
Pomperaug |
New Canaan |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
New Canaan |
RHAM |
New Canaan |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
New Canaan |
Ridgefield |
New Canaan |
New Canaan |
 
| |
Rockville |
New Canaan |
|
 
| New Canaan |
Rocky Hill |
New Canaan |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
New Canaan |
Sacred Heart Academy |
New Canaan |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
New Canaan |
Sheehan |
New Canaan |
|
 
| New Canaan |
Shelton |
New Canaan |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
New Canaan |
Simsbury |
New Canaan |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
New Canaan |
Somers |
New Canaan |
|
 
| New Canaan |
South Windsor |
New Canaan |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
New Canaan |
Southington |
New Canaan |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
New Canaan |
St Joseph |
New Canaan |
New Canaan |
 
| |
St Paul Catholic |
New Canaan |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
New Canaan |
Stamford |
New Canaan |
|
New Canaan   6- 1 vs 2- 4 |
|
Staples |
New Canaan |
New Canaan |
 
| |
Stonington |
New Canaan |
|
 
| New Canaan |
Stratford-Bunnell |
New Canaan |
|
 
| New Canaan |
Suffield HS |
New Canaan |
|
 
| New Canaan |
Tolland |
New Canaan |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
New Canaan |
Trumbull |
New Canaan |
|
New Canaan   4- 1 vs 2- 3 |
|
Valley Regional |
New Canaan |
|
 
| New Canaan |
Waterford |
New Canaan |
|
 
| New Canaan |
Watertown |
New Canaan |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
New Canaan |
West Haven |
New Canaan |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
New Canaan |
Westhill |
New Canaan |
|
New Canaan   4- 1 vs 1- 4 |
|
Weston |
New Canaan |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
New Canaan |
Wethersfield |
New Canaan |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
New Canaan |
Wheeler |
New Canaan |
|
 
| New Canaan |
Wilton |
Wilton |
Wilton |
 
| |
Windsor |
New Canaan |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
New Canaan |
Wolcott |
New Canaan |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
New Canaan |
Woodstock Academy |
New Canaan |
|
 
| New Canaan |
PowerWise = 94

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.51
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A St Joseph ( 9- 9, 82.3) 16- 3 -17.60 17.21 0.73 1.25 22.43
0 A Staples (11- 8, 89.6) 17- 5 -10.33 24.48 0.73 1.25 31.51
0 H Danbury ( 4-12, 75.7) 18- 1 -24.25 10.56 -0.73 1.25 12.30
0 H Darien (14- 0, 99.9) 2- 9 -0.00 34.81 -0.73 1.25 -0.91
0 H Wilton (13- 3, 95.8) 7- 8 -4.11 30.70 -0.73 1.25 -6.05
0 H Greenwich HS ( 6- 7, 90.3) 19- 7 -9.60 25.21 -0.73 1.25 30.62
0 H Brien McMahon ( 8- 9, 81.1) 18- 2 -18.81 16.00 -0.73 1.25 19.09
0 A Ridgefield (11- 5, 93.9) 17- 6 -5.98 28.83 0.73 1.25 36.95
0 H Greenwich HS ( 6- 7, 90.3) 18- 4 -9.60 25.21 -0.73 1.25 30.62
0 N Wilton (13- 3, 95.8) 8- 9 -4.11 30.70 -0.00 1.25 -5.14
0 H Newington ( 7-11, 77.8) 21- 2 -22.13 12.68 -0.73 1.25 14.94
0 H Staples (11- 8, 89.6) 16- 7 -10.33 24.48 -0.73 1.25 29.70
0 N Wilton (13- 3, 95.8) 7- 6 -4.11 30.70 -0.00 1.25 38.38
0 A Darien (14- 0, 99.9) 5- 6 -0.00 34.81 0.73 1.25 -0.91
------
253.54
|
winning pts = 266.5494 losing points = -13.0052
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------