New Bern
W-L: (17- 4) PR = 86.2986Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 227 H White Oak ( 0-12, 70.0) 19- 0 228 A Clayton ( 1-13, 72.5) 19- 0 303 A Arendell Parrott Acade ( 4- 8, 82.8) 17-15 307 H Laney ( 9- 8, 86.0) 12- 8 310 H New Hanover (18- 4, 88.8) 12-19 312 A Havelock ( 2-10, 72.7) 18- 1 314 H Millbrook (14-10, 83.1) 13- 8 319 H Croatan (13- 9, 87.2) 9-13 331 H Jacksonville ( 2-12, 74.0) 21- 5 402 A First Flight ( 7- 7, 79.4) 16- 6 409 H JH Rose (16- 3, 87.5) 15-14 411 H Fuquay-Varina (11- 8, 83.6) 16-13 414 H Arendell Parrott Acade ( 4- 8, 82.8) 17- 5 417 A Croatan (13- 9, 87.2) 13-11 424 H Havelock ( 2-10, 72.7) 22- 3 425 A Northside ( 7-12, 75.5) 20- 5 428 A Jacksonville ( 2-12, 74.0) 20- 3 430 H First Flight ( 7- 7, 79.4) 19- 6 505 H Northside ( 7-12, 75.5) 15- 3 507 A JH Rose (16- 3, 87.5) 8-14 516 H East Chapel Hill (22- 4, 94.1) 4-21
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
227 H White Oak 19- 0 19 17 0.00
228 A Clayton 19- 0 19 13 0.00
303 A Arendell Parrott Acade 17-15 2 3 -1.22
307 H Laney 12- 8 4 1 + 3.44
310 H New Hanover 12-19 -7 -2 - -2.83
312 A Havelock 18- 1 17 13 0.00
314 H Millbrook 13- 8 5 4 1.49
319 H Croatan 9-13 -4 -1 - -3.44
331 H Jacksonville 21- 5 16 13 0.00
402 A First Flight 16- 6 10 7 0.00
409 H JH Rose 15-14 1 -1 1.87
411 H Fuquay-Varina 16-13 3 3 -0.01
414 H Arendell Parrott Acade 17- 5 12 4 1.17
417 A Croatan 13-11 2 -1 + 3.17
424 H Havelock 22- 3 19 14 0.00
425 A Northside 20- 5 15 10 0.00
428 A Jacksonville 20- 3 17 12 0.00
430 H First Flight 19- 6 13 7 0.00
505 H Northside 15- 3 12 11 0.00
507 A JH Rose 8-14 -6 -1 - -3.52
516 H East Chapel Hill 4-21 -17 -8 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 310 H New Hanover 12-19 -7 -2 - -2.83 319 H Croatan 9-13 -4 -1 - -3.44 507 A JH Rose 8-14 -6 -1 - -3.52 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 H Laney 12- 8 4 1 + 3.44 417 A Croatan 13-11 2 -1 + 3.17 |
New Bern Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apex | Apex | Apex | ||
| Apex Friendship | Apex Friendship | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Apex Friendship | |
| Ardrey Kell | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Arendell Parrott Academy | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Asheville HS | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Asheville School | New Bern | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | New Bern | |
| Ashley | New Bern | New Bern 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Athens Drive | New Bern | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | New Bern | |
| Atkins | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Ballantyne Ridge | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Bishop McGuinness | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Broughton | Broughton | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 1) | Broughton | |
| Butler | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Cannon School | Cannon School | Cannon School | ||
| Cape Fear Academy | New Bern | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | New Bern | |
| Cape Fear HS | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Cardinal Gibbons | Cardinal Gibbons | Cardinal Gibbons 2- 0 vs 0- 1 | ||
| Carrboro | New Bern | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | New Bern | |
| Cary Academy | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Cary HS | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) | Chapel Hill | |
| Charlotte Catholic | Charlotte Catholic | Charlotte Catholic | ||
| Charlotte CDS | Charlotte CDS | insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) | Charlotte CDS | |
| Charlotte Christian | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Charlotte Latin School | Charlotte Latin School | Charlotte Latin School | ||
| Christ the King | Christ the King | Christ the King | ||
| Clayton | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Cleveland | New Bern | New Bern 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Community School Davidso | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Corinth Holders | New Bern | New Bern 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Croatan | New Bern | New Bern 6- 2 vs 4- 3 | ||
| Cuthbertson | Cuthbertson | Cuthbertson | ||
| Davidson Day School | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Davie | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| DH Conley | New Bern | New Bern 3- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Durham Academy | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| East Forsyth | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Enloe | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Fayetteville Academy | Fayetteville Academy | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Fayetteville Academy | |
| Fike | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| First Flight | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Forsyth CDS | New Bern | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | New Bern | |
| Fuquay-Varina | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Garner | New Bern | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | New Bern | |
| Glenn | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Green Hope | New Bern | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 1) | New Bern | |
| Green Level | New Bern | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | New Bern | |
| Greensboro Day School | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Grimsley | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Havelock | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Heritage | New Bern | New Bern 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Hickory | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| High Point Central | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Hoggard | Hoggard | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 0) | Hoggard | |
| Holly Springs | Holly Springs | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Holly Springs | |
| Hopewell | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Hough | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Hunt | New Bern | New Bern 4- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Independence | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Jack Britt | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Jacksonville | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| JH Rose | JH Rose | tied - ( 5- 1) ( 5- 0) | JH Rose | |
| Jordan | New Bern | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) | New Bern | |
| Lake Norman Charter | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Lake Norman HS | Lake Norman HS | Lake Norman HS | ||
| Laney | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Leesville Road | New Bern | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | New Bern | |
| Lincoln Charter | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Marvin Ridge | Marvin Ridge | Marvin Ridge | ||
| Middle Creek | Middle Creek | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Middle Creek | |
| Millbrook | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Mooresville | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Mount Tabor | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Myers Park | Myers Park | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) | Myers Park | |
| New Hanover | New Hanover | New Hanover | ||
| North Brunswick | New Bern | New Bern 5- 2 vs 2- 3 | ||
| North Davidson | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| North Lincoln | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Northern Guilford | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Northside | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Northwest Guilford | Northwest Guilford | Northwest Guilford | ||
| Northwood | New Bern | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) | New Bern | |
| Page | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Panther Creek | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Parkwood | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Patton | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Pine Forest | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Pine Lake Prep | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Pinecrest | Pinecrest | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Pinecrest | |
| Porter Ridge | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Providence | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Providence Day | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Ragsdale | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Ravenscroft School | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Riverside Durham | New Bern | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) | New Bern | |
| RJ Reynolds | New Bern | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) | New Bern | |
| Rolesville | New Bern | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | New Bern | |
| Ronald Reagan | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Sanderson | New Bern | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | New Bern | |
| Seaforth | New Bern | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) | New Bern | |
| South Brunswick | New Bern | New Bern 3- 2 vs 1- 3 | ||
| South Iredell | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| South Mecklenburg | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Southeast Guilford | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Southlake Christian | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Southwest Guilford | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| St Davids School | New Bern | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | New Bern | |
| St Marys | New Bern | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 1) | New Bern | |
| St Stephens | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Sun Valley | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Swansboro | New Bern | New Bern 7- 2 vs 5- 2 | ||
| TC Roberson | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Terry Sanford | New Bern | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | New Bern | |
| Topsail | Topsail | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) | Topsail | |
| Union Pines | Union Pines | tied - ( 4- 2) ( 4- 1) | Union Pines | |
| Wake Forest | New Bern | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | New Bern | |
| Wakefield | New Bern | New Bern 3- 2 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Watauga | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Weddington | Weddington | Weddington | ||
| West Brunswick | New Bern | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | New Bern | |
| West Forsyth | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| West Stokes | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| White Oak | New Bern | New Bern | ||
| Willow Spring | Willow Spring | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 1) | Willow Spring |
PowerWise = 98
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 16.87
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H White Oak ( 0-12, 70.0) 19- 0 -29.89 9.91 -0.31 0.80 7.72
0 A Clayton ( 1-13, 72.5) 19- 0 -27.36 12.45 0.31 0.80 10.24
0 A Arendell Parro ( 4- 8, 82.8) 17-15 -17.13 22.68 0.31 0.80 18.46
0 H Laney ( 9- 8, 86.0) 12- 8 -13.86 25.95 -0.31 0.80 20.59
0 H New Hanover (18- 4, 88.8) 12-19 -11.13 28.68 -0.31 0.80 -9.18
0 A Havelock ( 2-10, 72.7) 18- 1 -27.24 12.57 0.31 0.80 10.34
0 H Millbrook (14-10, 83.1) 13- 8 -16.81 23.00 -0.31 0.80 18.23
0 H Croatan (13- 9, 87.2) 9-13 -12.74 27.07 -0.31 0.80 -10.48
0 H Jacksonville ( 2-12, 74.0) 21- 5 -25.91 13.90 -0.31 0.80 10.92
0 A First Flight ( 7- 7, 79.4) 16- 6 -20.47 19.33 0.31 0.80 15.77
0 H JH Rose (16- 3, 87.5) 15-14 -12.43 27.38 -0.31 0.80 21.74
0 H Fuquay-Varina (11- 8, 83.6) 16-13 -16.30 23.50 -0.31 0.80 18.63
0 H Arendell Parro ( 4- 8, 82.8) 17- 5 -17.13 22.68 -0.31 0.80 17.97
0 A Croatan (13- 9, 87.2) 13-11 -12.74 27.07 0.31 0.80 21.98
0 H Havelock ( 2-10, 72.7) 22- 3 -27.24 12.57 -0.31 0.80 9.85
0 A Northside ( 7-12, 75.5) 20- 5 -24.38 15.43 0.31 0.80 12.63
0 A Jacksonville ( 2-12, 74.0) 20- 3 -25.91 13.90 0.31 0.80 11.41
0 H First Flight ( 7- 7, 79.4) 19- 6 -20.47 19.33 -0.31 0.80 15.28
0 H Northside ( 7-12, 75.5) 15- 3 -24.38 15.43 -0.31 0.80 12.14
0 A JH Rose (16- 3, 87.5) 8-14 -12.43 27.38 0.31 0.80 -9.74
0 H East Chapel Hi (22- 4, 94.1) 4-21 -5.77 34.03 -0.31 0.80 -4.88
------
219.63
|
winning pts = 253.9073 losing points = -34.2750
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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