Newton Country Day
W-L: ( 6- 7) PR = 84.5636Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 402 A Austin Prep ( 8-12, 86.9) 2-11 409 A Winsor School (11- 4, 91.7) 7-13 414 H Concord Academy ( 2-11, 79.4) 16- 5 416 H Pomfret School ( 9- 9, 86.6) 8-10 423 H Worcester Academy ( 2- 9, 81.2) 11- 7 428 H Berwick Academy ( 7- 7, 84.4) 12- 7 430 A Montrose School (10- 1, 85.1) 1-13 502 A Portsmouth Abbey (10- 9, 86.1) 12-20 507 A Dana Hall School (13- 5, 91.0) 2-13 509 A Concord Academy ( 2-11, 79.4) 16- 5 510 H Pingree School (12- 5, 95.7) 3-12 514 A Beaver Country Day ( 4- 9, 80.8) 17-10 515 H Wheeler School ( 8- 5, 87.3) 17-16
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
402 A Austin Prep 2-11 -9 -3 - -2.36
409 A Winsor School 7-13 -6 -8 0.00
414 H Concord Academy 16- 5 11 5 0.00
416 H Pomfret School 8-10 -2 -2 -0.29
423 H Worcester Academy 11- 7 4 4 0.26
428 H Berwick Academy 12- 7 5 1 ++ 4.49
430 A Montrose School 1-13 -12 -1 -- -4.12
502 A Portsmouth Abbey 12-20 -8 -2 - -3.17
507 A Dana Hall School 2-13 -11 -7 0.00
509 A Concord Academy 16- 5 11 5 0.21
510 H Pingree School 3-12 -9 -11 0.00
514 A Beaver Country Day 17-10 7 3 1.60
515 H Wheeler School 17-16 1 -2 + 3.38
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 430 A Montrose School 1-13 -12 -1 -- -4.12 402 A Austin Prep 2-11 -9 -3 - -2.36 502 A Portsmouth Abbey 12-20 -8 -2 - -3.17 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 428 H Berwick Academy 12- 7 5 1 ++ 4.49 515 H Wheeler School 17-16 1 -2 + 3.38 |
Newton Country Day Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Prep | Austin Prep | Austin Prep | ||
| Bancroft School | Newton Country Day | Newton Country Day 4- 1 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Beaver Country Day | Newton Country Day | Newton Country Day | ||
| Berkshire School | Berkshire School | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Berkshire School | |
| Berwick Academy | Newton Country Day | Newton Country Day | ||
| Boston Trinity Academy | Newton Country Day | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Newton Country Day | |
| Brewster Academy | Brewster Academy | Brewster Academy | ||
| Brimmer and May | Newton Country Day | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Newton Country Day | |
| Brooks School | Brooks School | Brooks School | ||
| Buckingham B&N | Buckingham B&N | Buckingham B&N 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Cambridge School | Cambridge School | Cambridge School | ||
| Canterbury School | Canterbury School | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Canterbury School | |
| Chapel Hill-Chauncy Hall | Newton Country Day | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Newton Country Day | |
| Cheshire Academy | Cheshire Academy | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Cheshire Academy | |
| Choate Rosemary Hall | Choate Rosemary Hall | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Choate Rosemary Hall | |
| Christian Heritage | Newton Country Day | Newton Country Day | ||
| Concord Academy | Newton Country Day | Newton Country Day | ||
| Cushing Academy | Newton Country Day | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) | Newton Country Day | |
| Dana Hall School | Dana Hall School | Dana Hall School | ||
| Deerfield Academy | Deerfield Academy | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Deerfield Academy | |
| Dexter Southfield | Dexter Southfield | Dexter Southfield 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Dublin School | Newton Country Day | Newton Country Day | ||
| Ethel Walker School | Newton Country Day | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Newton Country Day | |
| Forman School | Newton Country Day | Newton Country Day | ||
| Frederick Gunn School | Newton Country Day | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Newton Country Day | |
| Gann Academy | Newton Country Day | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Newton Country Day | |
| Gould Academy | Newton Country Day | Newton Country Day | ||
| Governors Academy | Governors Academy | Governors Academy | ||
| Greens Farms Academy | Greens Farms Academy | Greens Farms Academy | ||
| Greenwich Academy | Greenwich Academy | Greenwich Academy | ||
| Greenwich Academy B | Newton Country Day | Newton Country Day | ||
| Greenwich CDS | Greenwich CDS | Greenwich CDS | ||
| Groton School | Groton School | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Groton School | |
| Hamden Hall CDS | Newton Country Day | Newton Country Day | ||
| Harvey School | Newton Country Day | Newton Country Day | ||
| Hebron Academy | Newton Country Day | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Newton Country Day | |
| Holderness School | Holderness School | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Holderness School | |
| Holy Child | Holy Child | Holy Child | ||
| Hoosac School | Newton Country Day | Newton Country Day | ||
| Hopkins School | Newton Country Day | Newton Country Day | ||
| Hotchkiss School | Hotchkiss School | Hotchkiss School | ||
| Hyde School | Newton Country Day | Newton Country Day | ||
| Kent School | Kent School | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Kent School | |
| Kents Hill School | Newton Country Day | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Newton Country Day | |
| Kimball Union Academy | Kimball Union Academy | Kimball Union Academy | ||
| King School | King School | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | King School | |
| Kingswood Oxford | Newton Country Day | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Newton Country Day | |
| Landmark School | Newton Country Day | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Newton Country Day | |
| Lawrence Academy | Newton Country Day | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Newton Country Day | |
| Lexington Christian | Newton Country Day | Newton Country Day 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Loomis Chaffee School | Loomis Chaffee School | Loomis Chaffee School | ||
| Marianapolis Prep | Newton Country Day | Newton Country Day 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Masters School | Newton Country Day | Newton Country Day | ||
| Middlesex School | Middlesex School | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Middlesex School | |
| Millbrook School | Newton Country Day | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Newton Country Day | |
| Milton Academy | Milton Academy | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Milton Academy | |
| Miss Halls School | Newton Country Day | Newton Country Day | ||
| Miss Porters School | Newton Country Day | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Newton Country Day | |
| Montrose School | Montrose School | Montrose School | ||
| Mount St Charles Academy | Newton Country Day | tied - ( 1- 4) ( 1- 4) | Newton Country Day | |
| New Hampton School | New Hampton School | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | New Hampton School | |
| Noble & Greenough | Noble & Greenough | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Noble & Greenough | |
| Northfield Mt Hermon | Northfield Mt Hermon | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Northfield Mt Hermon | |
| Phillips Academy Andover | Phillips Academy Andover | Phillips Academy Andover 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Phillips Exeter Academy | Phillips Exeter Academy | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Phillips Exeter Academy | |
| Pingree School | Pingree School | Pingree School | ||
| Pomfret School | Pomfret School | Pomfret School | ||
| Portsmouth Abbey | Portsmouth Abbey | Portsmouth Abbey | ||
| Proctor Academy | Proctor Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Proctor Academy | |
| Rivers School | Rivers School | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Rivers School | |
| Rye Country Day | Rye Country Day | Rye Country Day | ||
| Sacred Heart Greenwich | Sacred Heart Greenwich | Sacred Heart Greenwich | ||
| Sacred Heart Greenwich B | Newton Country Day | Newton Country Day | ||
| St Andrews | Newton Country Day | Newton Country Day | ||
| St Georges School | St Georges School | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | St Georges School | |
| St Lukes School | St Lukes School | St Lukes School | ||
| St Marks | St Marks | St Marks | ||
| St Pauls School | St Pauls School | St Pauls School 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Storm King School | Newton Country Day | Newton Country Day | ||
| Suffield Academy | Newton Country Day | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Newton Country Day | |
| Tabor Academy | Tabor Academy | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Tabor Academy | |
| Taft School | Taft School | Taft School | ||
| Thayer Academy | Thayer Academy | Thayer Academy | ||
| Tilton School | Newton Country Day | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Newton Country Day | |
| Vermont Academy | Newton Country Day | Newton Country Day | ||
| Waring School | Newton Country Day | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Newton Country Day | |
| Westminster School | Westminster School | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Westminster School | |
| Wheeler School | Newton Country Day | Newton Country Day | ||
| White Mountain | White Mountain | White Mountain | ||
| Wilbraham & Monson | Wilbraham & Monson | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Wilbraham & Monson | |
| Williams School | Newton Country Day | Newton Country Day | ||
| Williston Northampton | Williston Northampton | Williston Northampton 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Winchendon School | Newton Country Day | Newton Country Day | ||
| Winsor School | Winsor School | Winsor School | ||
| Wooster School | Newton Country Day | Newton Country Day | ||
| Worcester Academy | Newton Country Day | Newton Country Day | ||
| Rocky Hill Country Day S | Newton Country Day | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Newton Country Day |
PowerWise = 46
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Austin Prep ( 8-12, 86.9) 2-11 -13.03 15.05 0.33 0.99 -12.62
0 A Winsor School (11- 4, 91.7) 7-13 -8.16 19.92 0.33 0.99 -7.78
0 H Concord Academ ( 2-11, 79.4) 16- 5 -20.46 7.62 -0.33 0.99 7.24
0 H Pomfret School ( 9- 9, 86.6) 8-10 -13.30 14.78 -0.33 0.99 -13.54
0 H Worcester Acad ( 2- 9, 81.2) 11- 7 -18.74 9.34 -0.33 0.99 8.95
0 H Berwick Academ ( 7- 7, 84.4) 12- 7 -15.52 12.56 -0.33 0.99 12.15
0 A Montrose Schoo (10- 1, 85.1) 1-13 -14.79 13.29 0.33 0.99 -14.36
0 A Portsmouth Abb (10- 9, 86.1) 12-20 -13.83 14.25 0.33 0.99 -13.42
0 A Dana Hall Scho (13- 5, 91.0) 2-13 -8.94 19.14 0.33 0.99 -8.56
0 A Concord Academ ( 2-11, 79.4) 16- 5 -20.46 7.62 0.33 0.99 7.90
0 H Pingree School (12- 5, 95.7) 3-12 -4.21 23.87 -0.33 0.99 -4.52
0 A Beaver Country ( 4- 9, 80.8) 17-10 -19.07 9.01 0.33 0.99 9.28
0 H Wheeler School ( 8- 5, 87.3) 17-16 -12.62 15.46 -0.33 0.99 15.03
------
-14.25
|
winning pts = 60.5579 losing points = -74.8037
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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