Northern Calvert
W-L: (12- 2) PR = 87.6048Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 327 H North Point ( 5- 7, 76.5) 21- 9 328 H Lackey ( 2-11, 70.4) 23- 0 331 H Chopticon ( 8- 5, 79.0) 19- 6 404 A MJ McDonough ( 4- 9, 73.3) 18- 6 410 H Leonardtown (12- 3, 89.4) 14-12 421 A Great Mills ( 4-10, 73.2) 18- 3 423 H Huntingtown (12- 3, 88.3) 11-15 428 A St Charles ( 4- 9, 69.7) 20- 7 430 H La Plata ( 9- 3, 84.0) 19- 7 501 A Calvert ( 8- 5, 80.7) 18- 5 502 A Westlake ( 0-11, 66.2) 16- 1 508 H Great Mills ( 4-10, 73.2) 15- 4 512 H Chopticon ( 8- 5, 79.0) 21- 9 514 H Marriotts Ridge (14- 4, 92.8) 5-21
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
327 H North Point 21- 9 12 12 0.00
328 H Lackey 23- 0 23 18 0.00
331 H Chopticon 19- 6 13 9 0.00
404 A MJ McDonough 18- 6 12 14 0.00
410 H Leonardtown 14-12 2 -1 + 3.32
421 A Great Mills 18- 3 15 14 0.00
423 H Huntingtown 11-15 -4 0 - -3.74
428 A St Charles 20- 7 13 17 0.00
430 H La Plata 19- 7 12 4 0.98
501 A Calvert 18- 5 13 6 0.00
502 A Westlake 16- 1 15 21 0.00
508 H Great Mills 15- 4 11 15 0.00
512 H Chopticon 21- 9 12 9 0.00
514 H Marriotts Ridge 5-21 -16 -5 -0.27
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 423 H Huntingtown 11-15 -4 0 - -3.74 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 410 H Leonardtown 14-12 2 -1 + 3.32 |
Northern Calvert Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annapolis Area Christian | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Anne Arundel County | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | ||
| Beth TFiloh | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Bishop McNamara | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Brookewood SG | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Bryn Mawr SG | Bryn Mawr SG | Bryn Mawr SG | ||
| Bullis School | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Calverton School | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Catholic High Baltimore | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Chapelgate Christian | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Concordia Prep | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Cristo Rey Jesuit | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| DC International | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| EL Haynes Charter | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Elizabeth Seton | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| FCA | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Field School | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Friends School | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Garrison Forest | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Georgetown Day School | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Georgetown Visitation | Georgetown Visitation | Georgetown Visitation | ||
| Gerstell Academy | Gerstell Academy | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Gerstell Academy | |
| Glenelg Country School | Glenelg Country School | Glenelg Country School | ||
| Good Counsel | Good Counsel | Good Counsel | ||
| Gunston Day School | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Holton-Arms School | Holton-Arms School | Holton-Arms School | ||
| Holy Child | Holy Child | Holy Child | ||
| Holy Cross | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Indian Creek | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Jackson-Reed | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Jemicy | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| John Carroll | John Carroll | John Carroll | ||
| Key School | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| KIPP College Prep | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Maret School | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Maryvale Prep | Maryvale Prep | Maryvale Prep | ||
| McDonogh School | McDonogh School | McDonogh School | ||
| Mercy | Mercy | Mercy | ||
| Mount de Sales | Mount de Sales | Mount de Sales | ||
| National Cathedral | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Notre Dame Prep | Notre Dame Prep | Notre Dame Prep | ||
| Oldfields School | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Park School | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Rockbridge Academy | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Roland Park Country | Roland Park Country | Roland Park Country | ||
| Salisbury School | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Sandy Spring Friends | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| School Without Walls | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Severn School | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Sidwell Friends | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| St Andrews Episcopal | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| St James School | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| St Johns Catholic Prep | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| St Johns College | St Johns College | St Johns College | ||
| St Marys | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| St Marys Ryken | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| St Pauls SG | St Pauls SG | St Pauls SG | ||
| St Timothys | St Timothys | St Timothys | ||
| St Vincent Pallotti | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Stone Ridge School | Stone Ridge School | Stone Ridge School | ||
| Sts Peter & Paul | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Tome School | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Washington Latin | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Worcester Prep | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Aberdeen | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Academy for College & Ca | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Annapolis | Northern Calvert | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Northern Calvert | |
| Arundel | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Atholton | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Baltimore Polytechnic | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Bel Air | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Bladensburg | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Blair | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Blake | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Bohemia Manor | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Boonsboro | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Bowie | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Broadneck | Broadneck | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Broadneck | |
| Brunswick | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Calvert | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Cambridge SD | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Carver A&T | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Catoctin | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Catonsville | Catonsville | Catonsville | ||
| Centennial | Centennial | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Centennial | |
| Central PG | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Century | Century | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Century | |
| CH Flowers | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Chesapeake AA | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Chesapeake BC | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Chopticon | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| City College | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Clarksburg | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| CM Wright | CM Wright | CM Wright | ||
| CMIT North | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Crofton | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Damascus | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Dr Henry Wise | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Dulaney | Dulaney | Dulaney | ||
| Dundalk | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| DuVal | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Eastern Technical | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Easton | Easton | Easton | ||
| Edgewood | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Einstein | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Eleanor Roosevelt | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Elkton | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Fairmont Heights | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Fallston | Fallston | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Fallston | |
| Francis Scott Key | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Franklin | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Frederick | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Frederick Douglass PG | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Gaithersburg | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Glen Burnie | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Glenelg HS | Glenelg HS | Glenelg HS 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Gov Thomas Johnson | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Great Mills | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Guilford Park | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Gwynn Park | Northern Calvert | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Northern Calvert | |
| Hammond | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Harford Tech | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Havre De Grace | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Hereford | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Howard | Howard | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Howard | |
| Huntingtown | Huntingtown | Huntingtown | ||
| JM Bennett | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Kennedy | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Kent County | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Kent Island | Kent Island | Kent Island | ||
| Kenwood | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| La Plata | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Lackey | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Lansdowne | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Laurel | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Leonardtown | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Liberty | Liberty | Liberty | ||
| Linganore | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Loch Raven | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Long Reach | Northern Calvert | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Northern Calvert | |
| Magruder | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Manchester Valley | |
| Marriotts Ridge | Marriotts Ridge | Marriotts Ridge | ||
| Meade | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Middletown | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Milford Mill | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| MJ McDonough | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Mount Hebron | Mount Hebron | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Mount Hebron | |
| New Town | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| North Caroline | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| North County | Northern Calvert | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Northern Calvert | |
| North Dorchester | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| North East Cecil | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| North Hagerstown | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| North Harford | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| North Point | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Northeast | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Northwest | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Northwestern PG | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Northwood | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Oakdale | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Oakland Mills | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Old Mill | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Overlea | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Owings Mills | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Oxon Hill | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Paint Branch | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Parkdale | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Parkside | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Parkville | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Patapsco | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Patterson Mill | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Patuxent | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert 10- 1 vs 4- 7 | ||
| Perry Hall | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Perryville | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Pikesville | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Poolesville | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Queen Annes County | |
| Quince Orchard | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Randallstown | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Randallstown | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Reservoir | Northern Calvert | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Northern Calvert | |
| Richard Montgomery | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Rising Sun | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| River Hill | Northern Calvert | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Northern Calvert | |
| Rockville | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Seneca Valley | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Severn Run | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Severna Park | Severna Park | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Severna Park | |
| Sherwood | Sherwood | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Sherwood | |
| Smithsburg | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| South Carroll | South Carroll | South Carroll | ||
| South Hagerstown | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| South River | South River | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | South River | |
| Southern | Northern Calvert | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Northern Calvert | |
| Sparrows Point | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Springbrook | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| St Charles | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Stephen Decatur | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Suitland | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Thomas Stone | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Towson | Towson | Towson | ||
| Tuscarora | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Urbana | Urbana | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Urbana | |
| Walkersville | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Walter Johnson | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Watkins Mill | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Western Baltimore | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Western STES | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Westlake | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Westminster | Westminster | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Westminster | |
| Wheaton | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Whitman | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Wicomico | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Wilde Lake | Northern Calvert | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Northern Calvert | |
| Winston Churchill | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Winters Mill | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Woodlawn | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Wootton | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert |
PowerWise = 176
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 11.96
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H North Point ( 5- 7, 76.5) 21- 9 -23.36 14.56 -0.45 0.85 12.06
0 H Lackey ( 2-11, 70.4) 23- 0 -29.53 8.39 -0.45 0.85 6.79
0 H Chopticon ( 8- 5, 79.0) 19- 6 -20.85 17.07 -0.45 0.85 14.20
0 A MJ McDonough ( 4- 9, 73.3) 18- 6 -26.61 11.31 0.45 0.85 10.05
0 H Leonardtown (12- 3, 89.4) 14-12 -10.52 27.40 -0.45 0.85 23.03
0 A Great Mills ( 4-10, 73.2) 18- 3 -26.66 11.26 0.45 0.85 10.01
0 H Huntingtown (12- 3, 88.3) 11-15 -11.59 26.33 -0.45 0.85 -10.29
0 A St Charles ( 4- 9, 69.7) 20- 7 -30.16 7.76 0.45 0.85 7.01
0 H La Plata ( 9- 3, 84.0) 19- 7 -15.87 22.05 -0.45 0.85 18.46
0 A Calvert ( 8- 5, 80.7) 18- 5 -19.19 18.73 0.45 0.85 16.39
0 A Westlake ( 0-11, 66.2) 16- 1 -33.70 4.22 0.45 0.85 3.99
0 H Great Mills ( 4-10, 73.2) 15- 4 -26.66 11.26 -0.45 0.85 9.24
0 H Chopticon ( 8- 5, 79.0) 21- 9 -20.85 17.07 -0.45 0.85 14.20
0 H Marriotts Ridg (14- 4, 92.8) 5-21 -7.12 30.80 -0.45 0.85 -6.47
------
128.68
|
winning pts = 145.4312 losing points = -16.7543
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------