North Branford
W-L: ( 8-10) PR = 76.5778Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 405 H Haddam-Killingworth ( 9- 9, 76.6) 8- 9 408 H Old Saybrook (11- 7, 76.3) 6- 9 411 A Morgan School ( 8- 9, 74.8) 5- 8 415 H Cromwell ( 1-14, 71.2) 18- 5 416 A Valley Regional ( 6-10, 73.7) 10- 6 421 A Old Lyme (13- 6, 78.2) 6- 5 423 A Lyman Hall (10- 7, 79.3) 7-11 428 H Morgan School ( 8- 9, 74.8) 11- 6 430 H Sheehan ( 8-10, 78.3) 14- 5 502 A Cromwell ( 1-14, 71.2) 17- 3 507 H North Haven ( 6-10, 76.2) 3- 4 509 H Old Lyme (13- 6, 78.2) 7-10 512 A Old Saybrook (11- 7, 76.3) 13-14 513 A Haddam-Killingworth ( 9- 9, 76.6) 8-15 519 H Valley Regional ( 6-10, 73.7) 10- 4 521 A Sacred Heart Academy (10-10, 80.3) 5-12 527 A Old Lyme (13- 6, 78.2) 8- 5 603 A Lewis Mills (14- 5, 79.9) 8-15
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
405 H Haddam-Killingworth 8- 9 -1 1 -1.70
408 H Old Saybrook 6- 9 -3 1 - -3.96
411 A Morgan School 5- 8 -3 1 -- -4.06
415 H Cromwell 18- 5 13 6 0.00
416 A Valley Regional 10- 6 4 2 1.88
421 A Old Lyme 6- 5 1 -2 + 3.35
423 A Lyman Hall 7-11 -4 -3 -0.59
428 H Morgan School 11- 6 5 3 + 2.49
430 H Sheehan 14- 5 9 -1 ++ 6.00
502 A Cromwell 17- 3 14 5 0.33
507 H North Haven 3- 4 -1 1 - -2.10
509 H Old Lyme 7-10 -3 -1 - -2.11
512 A Old Saybrook 13-14 -1 0 -0.51
513 A Haddam-Killingworth 8-15 -7 -1 -- -4.25
519 H Valley Regional 10- 4 6 4 1.43
521 A Sacred Heart Academy 5-12 -7 -4 -0.57
527 A Old Lyme 8- 5 3 -2 ++ 5.35
603 A Lewis Mills 8-15 -7 -4 -0.99
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 411 A Morgan School 5- 8 -3 1 -- -4.06 513 A Haddam-Killingworth 8-15 -7 -1 -- -4.25 408 H Old Saybrook 6- 9 -3 1 - -3.96 507 H North Haven 3- 4 -1 1 - -2.10 509 H Old Lyme 7-10 -3 -1 - -2.11 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 430 H Sheehan 14- 5 9 -1 ++ 6.00 527 A Old Lyme 8- 5 3 -2 ++ 5.35 421 A Old Lyme 6- 5 1 -2 + 3.35 428 H Morgan School 11- 6 5 3 + 2.49 |
North Branford Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amity Regional | Amity Regional | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Amity Regional | |
| Avon HS | Avon HS | Avon HS | ||
| Bacon/East Hampton | North Branford | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | North Branford | |
| Berlin | Berlin | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) | Berlin | |
| Bethel | Bethel | Bethel | ||
| Branford | Branford | Branford 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Brien McMahon | Brien McMahon | Brien McMahon | ||
| Bristol Central | North Branford | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | North Branford | |
| Bristol Eastern | Bristol Eastern | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bristol Eastern | |
| Brookfield | Brookfield | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Brookfield | |
| Canton | Canton | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Canton | |
| Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Conard | Conard | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Conard | |
| Cromwell | North Branford | North Branford | ||
| Danbury | North Branford | North Branford | ||
| Daniel Hand | Daniel Hand | Daniel Hand 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Darien | Darien | Darien | ||
| East Catholic | East Catholic | East Catholic | ||
| East Lyme | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| Ellington | Ellington | Ellington | ||
| Enfield | North Branford | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | North Branford | |
| EO Smith | EO Smith | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | EO Smith | |
| Fairfield Ludlowe | Fairfield Ludlowe | Fairfield Ludlowe | ||
| Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Fairfield Warde | |
| Farmington | Farmington | Farmington | ||
| Fitch | North Branford | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | North Branford | |
| Foran | Foran | Foran 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Glastonbury | Glastonbury | Glastonbury | ||
| Granby Memorial | Granby Memorial | tied - ( 3- 4) ( 3- 1) | Granby Memorial | |
| Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | ||
| Griswold-Norwich Tech | North Branford | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | North Branford | |
| Guilford | Guilford | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Guilford | |
| Haddam-Killingworth | Haddam-Killingworth | Haddam-Killingworth | ||
| Hall | Hall | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Hall | |
| Hamden | Hamden | tied - ( 1- 4) ( 1- 4) | Hamden | |
| Housatonic Regional | North Branford | North Branford | ||
| Immaculate Heart | North Branford | North Branford | ||
| Joel Barlow | Joel Barlow | Joel Barlow | ||
| Jonathan Law | North Branford | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) | North Branford | |
| Killingly | North Branford | North Branford | ||
| Lakeview United | North Branford | North Branford | ||
| Lauralton Hall | Lauralton Hall | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Lauralton Hall | |
| Ledyard | Ledyard | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 0) | Ledyard | |
| Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills | ||
| Lyman Hall | Lyman Hall | Lyman Hall | ||
| Masuk | Masuk | Masuk | ||
| Mercy | Mercy | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) | Mercy | |
| Middletown-Coginchaug | North Branford | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 2) | North Branford | |
| Montville | Montville | insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 1) | Montville | |
| Morgan School | North Branford | North Branford 4- 3 vs 2- 3 | ||
| New Canaan | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| New Fairfield | New Fairfield | New Fairfield | ||
| New London/St Bernards | North Branford | North Branford 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| New Milford | North Branford | North Branford | ||
| Newington | Newington | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Newington | |
| Newtown | Newtown | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Newtown | |
| North Haven | North Haven | North Haven | ||
| Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Northwest Catholic | |
| Norwalk | Norwalk | Norwalk | ||
| Norwich Free Academy | Norwich Free Academy | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Norwich Free Academy | |
| Notre Dame Fairfield | North Branford | North Branford | ||
| Old Lyme | North Branford | North Branford | ||
| Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | ||
| Pomperaug | Pomperaug | Pomperaug | ||
| RHAM | RHAM | RHAM | ||
| Ridgefield | Ridgefield | Ridgefield | ||
| Rockville | Rockville | Rockville | ||
| Rocky Hill | North Branford | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | North Branford | |
| Sacred Heart Academy | Sacred Heart Academy | Sacred Heart Academy | ||
| Sheehan | North Branford | North Branford | ||
| Shelton | North Branford | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | North Branford | |
| Simsbury | Simsbury | Simsbury | ||
| Somers | Somers | Somers 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| South Windsor | South Windsor | South Windsor | ||
| Southington | Southington | Southington | ||
| St Joseph | St Joseph | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | St Joseph | |
| St Paul Catholic | North Branford | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | North Branford | |
| Stamford | Stamford | Stamford | ||
| Staples | Staples | Staples | ||
| Stonington | Stonington | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 0) | Stonington | |
| Stratford-Bunnell | North Branford | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | North Branford | |
| Suffield HS | Suffield HS | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Suffield HS | |
| Tolland | Tolland | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Tolland | |
| Trumbull | Trumbull | Trumbull | ||
| Valley Regional | North Branford | North Branford | ||
| Waterford | Waterford | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 0) | Waterford | |
| Watertown | North Branford | North Branford | ||
| West Haven | North Branford | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | North Branford | |
| Westhill | Westhill | Westhill | ||
| Weston | Weston | Weston | ||
| Wethersfield | North Branford | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | North Branford | |
| Wheeler | Wheeler | Wheeler | ||
| Wilton | Wilton | Wilton | ||
| Windsor | North Branford | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | North Branford | |
| Wolcott | North Branford | North Branford | ||
| Woodstock Academy | North Branford | North Branford |
PowerWise = 30
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.51
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Haddam-Killing ( 9- 9, 76.6) 8- 9 -23.30 11.51 -0.73 0.97 -23.37
0 H Old Saybrook (11- 7, 76.3) 6- 9 -23.56 11.25 -0.73 0.97 -23.62
0 A Morgan School ( 8- 9, 74.8) 5- 8 -25.11 9.70 0.73 0.97 -23.71
0 H Cromwell ( 1-14, 71.2) 18- 5 -28.72 6.09 -0.73 0.97 5.21
0 A Valley Regiona ( 6-10, 73.7) 10- 6 -26.17 8.64 0.73 0.97 9.11
0 A Old Lyme (13- 6, 78.2) 6- 5 -21.70 13.11 0.73 0.97 13.45
0 A Lyman Hall (10- 7, 79.3) 7-11 -20.64 14.17 0.73 0.97 -19.37
0 H Morgan School ( 8- 9, 74.8) 11- 6 -25.11 9.70 -0.73 0.97 8.73
0 H Sheehan ( 8-10, 78.3) 14- 5 -21.60 13.21 -0.73 0.97 12.14
0 A Cromwell ( 1-14, 71.2) 17- 3 -28.72 6.09 0.73 0.97 6.63
0 H North Haven ( 6-10, 76.2) 3- 4 -23.69 11.12 -0.73 0.97 -23.75
0 H Old Lyme (13- 6, 78.2) 7-10 -21.70 13.11 -0.73 0.97 -21.81
0 A Old Saybrook (11- 7, 76.3) 13-14 -23.56 11.25 0.73 0.97 -22.20
0 A Haddam-Killing ( 9- 9, 76.6) 8-15 -23.30 11.51 0.73 0.97 -21.95
0 H Valley Regiona ( 6-10, 73.7) 10- 4 -26.17 8.64 -0.73 0.97 7.70
0 A Sacred Heart A (10-10, 80.3) 5-12 -19.62 15.19 0.73 0.97 -18.37
0 A Old Lyme (13- 6, 78.2) 8- 5 -21.70 13.11 0.73 0.97 13.45
0 A Lewis Mills (14- 5, 79.9) 8-15 -20.04 14.77 0.73 0.97 -18.78
------
-140.50
|
winning pts = 76.4255 losing points = -216.9256
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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