---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:45 PDT

safe3step girls Nazareth Academy 1
  
Nazareth Academy      
W-L: (15- 5) PR = 89.1063

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 401 H Riverside-Brookfield ( 2-14, 71.7) 23- 1 404 A Fenwick ( 8- 9, 84.0) 14- 4 408 H St Viator (13- 8, 88.6) 13- 8 412 H St Laurence ( 6-13, 82.1) 20- 6 415 H Trinity ( 8- 9, 78.2) 21- 8 417 A Naperville Central (15- 6, 84.7) 14- 5 422 A Marist (16- 4, 91.9) 5-15 425 A Lane Tech (13- 8, 82.1) 16- 8 429 A Benet Academy (13- 7, 92.6) 10-14 501 A Glenbard West (13- 6, 89.0) 14- 8 503 A DePaul Prep (12- 7, 85.9) 16-14 505 A Mother McAuley ( 8-12, 84.9) 14-12 506 H Carmel Catholic (15- 6, 88.4) 13-14 509 A Minooka ( 0-18, 73.6) 21- 7 510 H St Ignatius ( 4-12, 86.8) 11-12 512 H Metea Valley ( 7- 8, 85.3) 20-10 514 A Resurrection ( 7-11, 76.4) 15- 6 516 A Lyons Township ( 9-11, 88.7) 13-10 519 H Regina Dominican ( 6-14, 71.8) 22- 5 526 N St Ignatius ( 4-12, 86.8) 9-11

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Riverside-Brookfield   23- 1      22    18           0.00
   404 A Fenwick                14- 4      10     5           0.38
   408 H St Viator              13- 8       5     1    +      4.00
   412 H St Laurence            20- 6      14     8           0.00
   415 H Trinity                21- 8      13    11           0.00
   417 A Naperville Central     14- 5       9     4           1.05
   422 A Marist                  5-15     -10    -3          -1.67
   425 A Lane Tech              16- 8       8     6           0.00
   429 A Benet Academy          10-14      -4    -4          -0.03
   501 A Glenbard West          14- 8       6     0    ++     5.42
   503 A DePaul Prep            16-14       2     3          -0.75
   505 A Mother McAuley         14-12       2     4          -1.72
   506 H Carmel Catholic        13-14      -1     1    -     -2.22
   509 A Minooka                21- 7      14    15           0.00
   510 H St Ignatius            11-12      -1     3    -     -3.84
   512 H Metea Valley           20-10      10     4           0.65
   514 A Resurrection           15- 6       9    12           0.00
   516 A Lyons Township         13-10       3     0    +      3.11
   519 H Regina Dominican       22- 5      17    18           0.00
   526 N St Ignatius             9-11      -2     2    --    -4.34

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   526 N St Ignatius             9-11      -2     2    --    -4.34
   506 H Carmel Catholic        13-14      -1     1    -     -2.22
   510 H St Ignatius            11-12      -1     3    -     -3.84

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 A Glenbard West          14- 8       6     0    ++     5.42
   408 H St Viator              13- 8       5     1    +      4.00
   516 A Lyons Township         13-10       3     0    +      3.11

Nazareth Academy Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Barrington Barrington tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 0) Barrington
Benet Academy Benet Academy Benet Academy  
Bloomington Nazareth Academy   Nazareth Academy
Buffalo Grove Nazareth Academy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Nazareth Academy
Burlington Central Nazareth Academy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Nazareth Academy
Carmel Catholic Carmel Catholic Carmel Catholic  
Conant Nazareth Academy insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) Nazareth Academy
Crystal Lake Crystal Lake insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Crystal Lake
Deerfield Nazareth Academy Nazareth Academy   2- 1 vs 0- 3
DePaul Prep Nazareth Academy Nazareth Academy  
Downers Grove Co-Op Downers Grove Co-Op insuffient: ( 6- 2)( 7- 0) Downers Grove Co-Op
Dunlap Nazareth Academy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Nazareth Academy
Edwardsville Nazareth Academy   Nazareth Academy
Elk Grove Nazareth Academy Nazareth Academy   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Evanston Evanston Evanston   5- 1 vs 3- 3
Fenwick Nazareth Academy Nazareth Academy  
Fremd Nazareth Academy tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) Nazareth Academy
Geneva Nazareth Academy Nazareth Academy   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Glenbard West Nazareth Academy Nazareth Academy  
Glenbrook North Nazareth Academy insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Nazareth Academy
Glenbrook South Nazareth Academy insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Nazareth Academy
Gurnee Warren Nazareth Academy insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Nazareth Academy
Hampshire Nazareth Academy   Nazareth Academy
Hersey Nazareth Academy tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Nazareth Academy
Highland Park Nazareth Academy tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Nazareth Academy
Hinsdale Central Hinsdale Central Hinsdale Central   6- 0 vs 3- 3
Hoffman Estates Nazareth Academy Nazareth Academy   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Huntley Huntley insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Huntley
Jones Nazareth Academy Nazareth Academy   4- 1 vs 2- 3
Kenwood Nazareth Academy Nazareth Academy   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Lake Forest Academy Nazareth Academy Nazareth Academy   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Lake Forest HS Lake Forest HS Lake Forest HS   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Lake Zurich Nazareth Academy insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Nazareth Academy
Lane Tech Nazareth Academy Nazareth Academy  
Latin School Nazareth Academy Nazareth Academy   8- 2 vs 5- 5
Libertyville Nazareth Academy insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Nazareth Academy
Lincoln Park Nazareth Academy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Nazareth Academy
Lincoln-Way Co-Op Nazareth Academy insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 3) Nazareth Academy
Lockport Lockport tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Lockport
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Loyola Academy   5- 0 vs 3- 2
Lyons Township Nazareth Academy Nazareth Academy  
Maine South Maine South tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) Maine South
Marist Marist Marist  
Mather Nazareth Academy   Nazareth Academy
McHenry Nazareth Academy   Nazareth Academy
Metea Valley Nazareth Academy Nazareth Academy  
Minooka Nazareth Academy Nazareth Academy  
Montini Catholic Nazareth Academy Nazareth Academy   6- 2 vs 4- 4
Mother McAuley Nazareth Academy Nazareth Academy  
Mundelein Nazareth Academy tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Nazareth Academy
Naperville Central Nazareth Academy Nazareth Academy  
Naperville North Naperville North insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 3) Naperville North
Neuqua Valley Nazareth Academy Nazareth Academy   3- 2 vs 1- 4
New Trier New Trier insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) New Trier
Normal Community Nazareth Academy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Nazareth Academy
Northside Prep Nazareth Academy Nazareth Academy   5- 0 vs 1- 4
Oak Park-River Forest Oak Park-River Forest tied - ( 7- 2) ( 7- 2) Oak Park-River Forest
OFallon Nazareth Academy   Nazareth Academy
Palatine Nazareth Academy insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Nazareth Academy
Payton College Prep Nazareth Academy Nazareth Academy   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Plainfield East Nazareth Academy Nazareth Academy   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Prospect Nazareth Academy   Nazareth Academy
Providence Catholic Nazareth Academy Nazareth Academy   5- 0 vs 0- 5
Regina Dominican Nazareth Academy Nazareth Academy  
Resurrection Nazareth Academy Nazareth Academy  
Riverside-Brookfield Nazareth Academy Nazareth Academy  
Rolling Meadows Nazareth Academy Nazareth Academy   2- 0 vs 0- 1
Rosary Nazareth Academy Nazareth Academy   7- 0 vs 3- 4
Sandburg Nazareth Academy tied - ( 4- 1) ( 4- 1) Nazareth Academy
Schaumburg Nazareth Academy Nazareth Academy   2- 0 vs 0- 2
St Charles Nazareth Academy tied - ( 4- 1) ( 4- 1) Nazareth Academy
St Francis Nazareth Academy Nazareth Academy   4- 1 vs 1- 4
St Ignatius St Ignatius St Ignatius  
St Laurence Nazareth Academy Nazareth Academy  
St Viator Nazareth Academy Nazareth Academy  
Stevenson Nazareth Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Nazareth Academy
Streamwood Nazareth Academy insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) Nazareth Academy
Taft HS Nazareth Academy insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Nazareth Academy
Trinity Nazareth Academy Nazareth Academy  
Vernon Hills Nazareth Academy Nazareth Academy   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Washington Nazareth Academy insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Nazareth Academy
Wheaton United Nazareth Academy Nazareth Academy   5- 0 vs 1- 4
Whitney Young Nazareth Academy Nazareth Academy   3- 0 vs 0- 3
York York insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 4- 1) York

PowerWise = 66


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.92

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Riverside-Broo  ( 2-14, 71.7)    23- 1      -28.16      10.45      -0.50         0.85             8.41
   0 A Fenwick         ( 8- 9, 84.0)    14- 4      -15.92      22.69       0.50         0.85            19.62
   0 H St Viator       (13- 8, 88.6)    13- 8      -11.30      27.31      -0.50         0.85            22.68
   0 H St Laurence     ( 6-13, 82.1)    20- 6      -17.85      20.76      -0.50         0.85            17.14
   0 H Trinity         ( 8- 9, 78.2)    21- 8      -21.73      16.88      -0.50         0.85            13.86
   0 A Naperville Cen  (15- 6, 84.7)    14- 5      -15.24      23.37       0.50         0.85            20.19
   0 A Marist          (16- 4, 91.9)     5-15       -7.96      30.65       0.50         0.85            -6.31
   0 A Lane Tech       (13- 8, 82.1)    16- 8      -17.79      20.82       0.50         0.85            18.03
   0 A Benet Academy   (13- 7, 92.6)    10-14       -7.33      31.28       0.50         0.85            -5.78
   0 A Glenbard West   (13- 6, 89.0)    14- 8      -10.87      27.74       0.50         0.85            23.89
   0 A DePaul Prep     (12- 7, 85.9)    16-14      -14.04      24.56       0.50         0.85            21.20
   0 A Mother McAuley  ( 8-12, 84.9)    14-12      -15.01      23.60       0.50         0.85            20.39
   0 H Carmel Catholi  (15- 6, 88.4)    13-14      -11.51      27.10      -0.50         0.85           -10.16
   0 A Minooka         ( 0-18, 73.6)    21- 7      -26.30      12.31       0.50         0.85            10.84
   0 H St Ignatius     ( 4-12, 86.8)    11-12      -13.13      25.48      -0.50         0.85           -11.53
   0 H Metea Valley    ( 7- 8, 85.3)    20-10      -14.65      23.96      -0.50         0.85            19.85
   0 A Resurrection    ( 7-11, 76.4)    15- 6      -23.54      15.07       0.50         0.85            13.17
   0 A Lyons Township  ( 9-11, 88.7)    13-10      -11.18      27.42       0.50         0.85            23.62
   0 H Regina Dominic  ( 6-14, 71.8)    22- 5      -28.13      10.48      -0.50         0.85             8.44
   0 N St Ignatius     ( 4-12, 86.8)     9-11      -13.13      25.48      -0.00         0.85           -11.11
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       216.44

winning pts = 261.3202 losing points = -44.8831

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------