---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:49 PDT

safe3step girls Nauset Regional 1
  
Nauset Regional       
W-L: (12- 7) PR = 88.0523

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 401 H Sandwich (16- 6, 94.6) 4-20 408 A Dennis-Yarmouth (11- 8, 80.7) 20- 9 410 A Cape Cod Academy (11- 6, 90.2) 9-13 417 A Falmouth HS (12- 9, 89.4) 6-17 418 H Nantucket (15- 5, 89.6) 8-11 422 H Mansfield ( 8-11, 87.1) 15-14 424 H Bishop Stang ( 6-11, 85.1) 12- 7 429 H Barnstable ( 8-11, 86.9) 11-10 501 A Falmouth Academy ( 4- 9, 76.8) 17- 6 503 A St John Paul II (12- 7, 85.0) 15-14 506 H Cape Cod Academy (11- 6, 90.2) 4-16 508 A Nantucket (15- 5, 89.6) 12-10 513 H Falmouth HS (12- 9, 89.4) 12-11 515 A Barnstable ( 8-11, 86.9) 13- 8 519 H St John Paul II (12- 7, 85.0) 22-14 521 A Bishop Stang ( 6-11, 85.1) 11- 9 523 A Sandwich (16- 6, 94.6) 5-19 529 H Archbishop Williams (14- 6, 86.4) 17-15 605 A Medfield (22- 3, 95.3) 3-22

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Sandwich                4-20     -16    -6           0.00
   408 A Dennis-Yarmouth        20- 9      11     7           0.00
   410 A Cape Cod Academy        9-13      -4    -3          -1.23
   417 A Falmouth HS             6-17     -11    -2    -     -3.08
   418 H Nantucket               8-11      -3    -1    -     -2.06
   422 H Mansfield              15-14       1     2          -0.53
   424 H Bishop Stang           12- 7       5     4           1.42
   429 H Barnstable             11-10       1     2          -0.74
   501 A Falmouth Academy       17- 6      11    11           0.00
   503 A St John Paul II        15-14       1     2          -1.43
   506 H Cape Cod Academy        4-16     -12    -2    -     -3.38
   508 A Nantucket              12-10       2    -2    ++     4.09
   513 H Falmouth HS            12-11       1    -1           1.76
   515 A Barnstable             13- 8       5     1    ++     4.41
   519 H St John Paul II        22-14       8     4           1.41
   521 A Bishop Stang           11- 9       2     2          -0.42
   523 A Sandwich                5-19     -14    -7           0.00
   529 H Archbishop Williams    17-15       2     2          -0.20
   605 A Medfield                3-22     -19    -8           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 A Falmouth HS             6-17     -11    -2    -     -3.08
   418 H Nantucket               8-11      -3    -1    -     -2.06
   506 H Cape Cod Academy        4-16     -12    -2    -     -3.38

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   508 A Nantucket              12-10       2    -2    ++     4.09
   515 A Barnstable             13- 8       5     1    ++     4.41

Nauset Regional Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Abington Nauset Regional insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Nauset Regional
Acton-Boxborough Acton-Boxborough   Acton-Boxborough
Agawam Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Algonquin Nauset Regional tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Nauset Regional
Amherst-Pelham Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
AMSA Charter Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Andover HS Andover HS   Andover HS
Apponequet Apponequet insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 0) Apponequet
Archbishop Williams Nauset Regional Nauset Regional  
Arlington Catholic Nauset Regional Nauset Regional   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Arlington HS Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Ashland Ashland tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ashland
Assabet Valley RVT Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Attleboro Nauset Regional insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Nauset Regional
Auburn Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Barnstable Nauset Regional Nauset Regional  
Bay Path RVT Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Bedford HS Bedford HS insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Bedford HS
Belchertown Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Bellingham Nauset Regional tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Nauset Regional
Belmont Belmont   Belmont
Beverly Beverly   Beverly
Billerica Memorial Billerica Memorial   Billerica Memorial
Bishop Feehan Bishop Feehan tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Bishop Feehan
Bishop Fenwick Bishop Fenwick tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Bishop Fenwick
Bishop Stang Nauset Regional Nauset Regional  
Blackstone Valley Tech Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Boston Latin Academy Nauset Regional insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Nauset Regional
Boston Latin School Boston Latin School   Boston Latin School
Bourne Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Braintree Braintree   Braintree
Bridgewater-Raynham Nauset Regional Nauset Regional   4- 2 vs 2- 2
Bristol County Agricultu Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Bristol-Plymouth RVT Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Bromfield Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Brookline Brookline   Brookline
Burlington Burlington tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Burlington
Cambridge Rindge/Latin Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Canton Nauset Regional insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Nauset Regional
Cape Cod Academy Cape Cod Academy Cape Cod Academy  
Cape Cod Tech Nauset Regional insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Nauset Regional
Cardinal Spellman Nauset Regional Nauset Regional   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Central Catholic Central Catholic tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Central Catholic
Chelmsford Chelmsford   Chelmsford
Chicopee Comp Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Chicopee HS Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Cohasset Cohasset insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) Cohasset
Concord-Carlisle Concord-Carlisle   Concord-Carlisle
Danvers Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Dartmouth Dartmouth tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Dartmouth
Dedham Nauset Regional tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Nauset Regional
Dennis-Yarmouth Nauset Regional Nauset Regional  
Dighton-Rehoboth Nauset Regional insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Nauset Regional
Doherty Memorial Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Dover-Sherborn Nauset Regional tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Nauset Regional
Dracut Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Duxbury Duxbury   Duxbury
East Bridgewater Nauset Regional tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Nauset Regional
East Longmeadow East Longmeadow   East Longmeadow
Essex North Shore Tech Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Everett Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Fairhaven Nauset Regional tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Nauset Regional
Falmouth Academy Nauset Regional Nauset Regional  
Falmouth HS Falmouth HS insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 2) Falmouth HS
Fontbonne Academy Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Foxborough Foxborough tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Foxborough
Framingham Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Franklin Franklin tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Franklin
Georgetown Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Gloucester Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Grafton Grafton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Grafton
Granby Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Greater Lowell Tech Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Greater New Bedford RVT Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Groton-Dunstable Nauset Regional tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Nauset Regional
Hamilton-Wenham Hamilton-Wenham   Hamilton-Wenham
Hampshire Regional Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Hanover Hanover tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) Hanover
Haverhill Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Hingham Hingham Hingham   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Holliston Nauset Regional insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 2) Nauset Regional
Hoosac Valley Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Hopedale Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Hopkinton Hopkinton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hopkinton
Hudson/Clinton Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Hull Nauset Regional tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Nauset Regional
Ipswich Ipswich   Ipswich
King Philip Regional King Philip Regional tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) King Philip Regional
Lee/Lenox/Monument Mtn Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Leominster Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Lexington HS Lexington HS   Lexington HS
Lincoln-Sudbury Lincoln-Sudbury   Lincoln-Sudbury
Littleton Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Longmeadow Longmeadow tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Longmeadow
Lowell Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Lowell Catholic Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Lunenburg Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Lynnfield Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Malden Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Malden Catholic Nauset Regional insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Nauset Regional
Manchester-Essex Manchester-Essex insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Manchester-Essex
Mansfield Nauset Regional Nauset Regional  
Marblehead Marblehead   Marblehead
Marlborough Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Marshfield Marshfield tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 0) Marshfield
Marthas Vineyard Nauset Regional Nauset Regional   4- 1 vs 1- 3
Masconomet Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Mashpee Nauset Regional insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Nauset Regional
McCann Tech Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Medfield Medfield Medfield  
Medford Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Medway Nauset Regional tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Nauset Regional
Melrose Melrose   Melrose
Methuen Methuen   Methuen
Middleboro Nauset Regional tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Nauset Regional
Milford Nauset Regional insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Nauset Regional
Milton HS Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Minnechaug Regional Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Monomoy Nauset Regional Nauset Regional   5- 2 vs 2- 3
Monson Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Montachusett RVT Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Mount Greylock Regional Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Mystic Valley Charter Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Nantucket Nantucket tied - ( 4- 2) ( 4- 1) Nantucket
Nashoba Regional Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Nashoba Valley Tech Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Natick Natick   Natick
Needham Needham   Needham
New Bedford New Bedford tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) New Bedford
Newburyport Newburyport tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Newburyport
Newton North Newton North   Newton North
Newton South Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Nipmuc Regional Nipmuc Regional   Nipmuc Regional
North Andover North Andover insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 0) North Andover
North Attleborough Nauset Regional insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Nauset Regional
North Middlesex Nauset Regional tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Nauset Regional
North Quincy Nauset Regional insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Nauset Regional
North Reading Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Northampton Northampton   Northampton
Northbridge Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Northeast RVT Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Norton Nauset Regional tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Nauset Regional
Norwell Norwell insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Norwell
Norwood Nauset Regional tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Nauset Regional
Notre Dame Hingham Notre Dame Hingham Notre Dame Hingham   3- 0 vs 1- 3
Notre Dame Worcester Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Oakmont Regional Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Old Colony RVT Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Old Rochester Regional Nauset Regional insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Nauset Regional
Oliver Ames Nauset Regional insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Nauset Regional
Peabody Veterans Memoria Peabody Veterans Memoria   Peabody Veterans Memoria
Pembroke Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Pentucket Regional Pentucket Regional   Pentucket Regional
Pittsfield/Taconic Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Plymouth North Nauset Regional tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Nauset Regional
Plymouth South Nauset Regional tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Nauset Regional
Pope Francis Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Quincy Nauset Regional insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Nauset Regional
Reading Memorial Reading Memorial tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Reading Memorial
Revere Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Rockland Nauset Regional tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Nauset Regional
Salem Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Sandwich Sandwich Sandwich  
Saugus Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Scituate Scituate tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) Scituate
Seekonk Nauset Regional insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Nauset Regional
Sharon Nauset Regional tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Nauset Regional
Shawsheen Valley Tech Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Shepherd Hill Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Shrewsbury Shrewsbury   Shrewsbury
Silver Lake Nauset Regional insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Nauset Regional
Smith VoTech Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Somerset Berkley Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Somerville Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
South Hadley Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
South Shore RVT Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Southeastern RVT Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Springfield Central Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
St Bernards Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
St John Paul II Nauset Regional Nauset Regional  
St Marys Lynn Nauset Regional insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 0) Nauset Regional
Stoneham Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Stoughton Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Sturgis Charter East Nauset Regional Nauset Regional   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Sturgis Charter West Nauset Regional Nauset Regional   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Swampscott Swampscott   Swampscott
Tahanto Regional Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Tantasqua Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Taunton Nauset Regional insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Nauset Regional
Tewksbury Memorial Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Tri-County RVT Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Triton Regional Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Tyngsborough Nauset Regional tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Nauset Regional
Upper Cape Cod RVT Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Ursuline Academy Nauset Regional tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Nauset Regional
Wachusett Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Wahconah Regional Nauset Regional insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Nauset Regional
Wakefield Memorial Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Walpole Walpole   Walpole
Waltham Waltham   Waltham
Watertown Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Wayland Wayland tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Wayland
Wellesley Wellesley   Wellesley
West Springfield West Springfield   West Springfield
Westborough Westborough   Westborough
Westfield Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Westford Academy Westford Academy   Westford Academy
Weston Weston tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Weston
Westwood Westwood insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Westwood
Weymouth Weymouth tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Weymouth
Whitman-Hanson Regional Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Whittier RVT Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Wilmington Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Winchester Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Winthrop Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Woburn Memorial Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional

PowerWise = 147


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 18.83

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Sandwich        (16- 6, 94.6)     4-20       -5.25      28.04      -0.58         0.99            -5.78
   0 A Dennis-Yarmout  (11- 8, 80.7)    20- 9      -19.24      14.06       0.58         0.99            14.51
   0 A Cape Cod Acade  (11- 6, 90.2)     9-13       -9.65      23.65       0.58         0.99            -9.00
   0 A Falmouth HS     (12- 9, 89.4)     6-17      -10.51      22.79       0.58         0.99            -9.84
   0 H Nantucket       (15- 5, 89.6)     8-11      -10.33      22.97      -0.58         0.99           -10.81
   0 H Mansfield       ( 8-11, 87.1)    15-14      -12.80      20.50      -0.58         0.99            19.74
   0 H Bishop Stang    ( 6-11, 85.1)    12- 7      -14.85      18.45      -0.58         0.99            17.71
   0 H Barnstable      ( 8-11, 86.9)    11-10      -13.01      20.29      -0.58         0.99            19.53
   0 A Falmouth Acade  ( 4- 9, 76.8)    17- 6      -23.12      10.18       0.58         0.99            10.66
   0 A St John Paul I  (12- 7, 85.0)    15-14      -14.86      18.44       0.58         0.99            18.85
   0 H Cape Cod Acade  (11- 6, 90.2)     4-16       -9.65      23.65      -0.58         0.99           -10.14
   0 A Nantucket       (15- 5, 89.6)    12-10      -10.33      22.97       0.58         0.99            23.33
   0 H Falmouth HS     (12- 9, 89.4)    12-11      -10.51      22.79      -0.58         0.99            22.02
   0 A Barnstable      ( 8-11, 86.9)    13- 8      -13.01      20.29       0.58         0.99            20.68
   0 H St John Paul I  (12- 7, 85.0)    22-14      -14.86      18.44      -0.58         0.99            17.71
   0 A Bishop Stang    ( 6-11, 85.1)    11- 9      -14.85      18.45       0.58         0.99            18.86
   0 A Sandwich        (16- 6, 94.6)     5-19       -5.25      28.04       0.58         0.99            -4.64
   0 H Archbishop Wil  (14- 6, 86.4)    17-15      -13.47      19.82      -0.58         0.99            19.08
   0 A Medfield        (22- 3, 95.3)     3-22       -4.58      28.72       0.58         0.99            -3.96
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       168.50

winning pts = 222.6687 losing points = -54.1686

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------