Natick
W-L: ( 6-13) PR = 88.5264Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 401 A Brookline (10-11, 88.8) 10- 7 403 A Grafton (12- 9, 91.2) 5-12 408 A Framingham ( 6-14, 84.6) 14- 8 410 H Newton North (12- 7, 92.5) 7- 6 415 A Weymouth ( 6-15, 88.8) 9-10 417 A Wellesley (17- 3, 97.6) 6-17 424 A North Andover (18- 5, 95.5) 4-16 425 H King Philip Regional (17- 5, 93.1) 6-13 429 H Milton HS ( 3-14, 85.5) 9- 7 501 H Braintree (12- 9, 88.3) 8- 7 506 H Needham (12- 7, 91.7) 4- 8 508 H Brookline (10-11, 88.8) 8-12 510 H Weston (15- 7, 92.2) 7-10 513 H Framingham ( 6-14, 84.6) 12- 6 515 A Newton North (12- 7, 92.5) 10-17 516 H Franklin (17- 3, 95.3) 2-14 520 A Walpole (25- 1, 99.8) 3-20 526 H Wellesley (17- 3, 97.6) 4-20 531 A Central Catholic (13-10, 94.5) 3-20
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
401 A Brookline 10- 7 3 -1 + 3.87
403 A Grafton 5-12 -7 -3 -1.74
408 A Framingham 14- 8 6 3 1.62
410 H Newton North 7- 6 1 -3 ++ 4.42
415 A Weymouth 9-10 -1 -1 -0.14
417 A Wellesley 6-17 -11 -10 0.00
424 A North Andover 4-16 -12 -8 0.00
425 H King Philip Regional 6-13 -7 -4 -1.01
429 H Milton HS 9- 7 2 4 -1.59
501 H Braintree 8- 7 1 1 0.19
506 H Needham 4- 8 -4 -3 -1.43
508 H Brookline 8-12 -4 0 -- -4.28
510 H Weston 7-10 -3 -3 0.06
513 H Framingham 12- 6 6 5 0.47
515 A Newton North 10-17 -7 -5 -0.42
516 H Franklin 2-14 -12 -6 0.00
520 A Walpole 3-20 -17 -12 0.00
526 H Wellesley 4-20 -16 -9 0.00
531 A Central Catholic 3-20 -17 -7 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 508 H Brookline 8-12 -4 0 -- -4.28 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 410 H Newton North 7- 6 1 -3 ++ 4.42 401 A Brookline 10- 7 3 -1 + 3.87 |
Natick Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abington | Natick | Natick | ||
| Acton-Boxborough | Acton-Boxborough | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 2) | Acton-Boxborough | |
| Agawam | Natick | Natick | ||
| Algonquin | Natick | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Natick | |
| Amherst-Pelham | Natick | Natick | ||
| AMSA Charter | Natick | Natick | ||
| Andover HS | Andover HS | insuffient: ( 1- 5)( 2- 3) | Andover HS | |
| Apponequet | Apponequet | Apponequet | ||
| Archbishop Williams | Natick | Natick | ||
| Arlington Catholic | Natick | Natick | ||
| Arlington HS | Natick | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Natick | |
| Ashland | Ashland | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Ashland | |
| Assabet Valley RVT | Natick | Natick | ||
| Attleboro | Natick | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | Natick | |
| Auburn | Natick | Natick | ||
| Barnstable | Natick | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Natick | |
| Bay Path RVT | Natick | Natick | ||
| Bedford HS | Bedford HS | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bedford HS | |
| Belchertown | Natick | Natick | ||
| Bellingham | Natick | Natick | ||
| Belmont | Belmont | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 1) | Belmont | |
| Beverly | Beverly | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Beverly | |
| Billerica Memorial | Billerica Memorial | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Billerica Memorial | |
| Bishop Feehan | Bishop Feehan | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Bishop Feehan | |
| Bishop Fenwick | Bishop Fenwick | Bishop Fenwick | ||
| Bishop Stang | Natick | Natick | ||
| Blackstone Valley Tech | Natick | Natick | ||
| Boston Latin Academy | Natick | Natick | ||
| Boston Latin School | Natick | Natick 3- 3 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Bourne | Natick | Natick | ||
| Braintree | Natick | Natick | ||
| Bridgewater-Raynham | Natick | Natick | ||
| Bristol County Agricultu | Natick | Natick | ||
| Bristol-Plymouth RVT | Natick | Natick | ||
| Bromfield | Natick | Natick | ||
| Brookline | Brookline | insuffient: ( 4- 7)( 3- 6) | Brookline | |
| Burlington | Burlington | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Burlington | |
| Cambridge Rindge/Latin | Natick | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Natick | |
| Canton | Natick | Natick 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Cape Cod Academy | Cape Cod Academy | Cape Cod Academy | ||
| Cape Cod Tech | Natick | Natick | ||
| Cardinal Spellman | Natick | Natick | ||
| Central Catholic | Central Catholic | Central Catholic | ||
| Chelmsford | Chelmsford | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Chelmsford | |
| Chicopee Comp | Natick | Natick | ||
| Chicopee HS | Natick | Natick | ||
| Cohasset | Cohasset | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Cohasset | |
| Concord-Carlisle | Concord-Carlisle | Concord-Carlisle 5- 0 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Danvers | Natick | Natick | ||
| Dartmouth | Natick | Natick | ||
| Dedham | Natick | Natick | ||
| Dennis-Yarmouth | Natick | Natick | ||
| Dighton-Rehoboth | Natick | Natick | ||
| Doherty Memorial | Natick | Natick | ||
| Dover-Sherborn | Natick | Natick | ||
| Dracut | Natick | Natick | ||
| Duxbury | Duxbury | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Duxbury | |
| East Bridgewater | Natick | Natick | ||
| East Longmeadow | East Longmeadow | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | East Longmeadow | |
| Essex North Shore Tech | Natick | Natick | ||
| Everett | Natick | Natick | ||
| Fairhaven | Natick | Natick | ||
| Falmouth Academy | Natick | Natick | ||
| Falmouth HS | Falmouth HS | Falmouth HS | ||
| Fontbonne Academy | Natick | Natick | ||
| Foxborough | Foxborough | Foxborough 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Framingham | Natick | Natick | ||
| Franklin | Franklin | Franklin | ||
| Georgetown | Natick | Natick | ||
| Gloucester | Natick | Natick | ||
| Grafton | Grafton | Grafton | ||
| Granby | Natick | Natick | ||
| Greater Lowell Tech | Natick | Natick | ||
| Greater New Bedford RVT | Natick | Natick | ||
| Groton-Dunstable | Natick | Natick | ||
| Hamilton-Wenham | Hamilton-Wenham | Hamilton-Wenham | ||
| Hampshire Regional | Natick | Natick | ||
| Hanover | Hanover | Hanover | ||
| Haverhill | Natick | Natick | ||
| Hingham | Hingham | Hingham | ||
| Holliston | Natick | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Natick | |
| Hoosac Valley | Natick | Natick | ||
| Hopedale | Natick | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Natick | |
| Hopkinton | Natick | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Natick | |
| Hudson/Clinton | Natick | Natick | ||
| Hull | Natick | Natick | ||
| Ipswich | Ipswich | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Ipswich | |
| King Philip Regional | King Philip Regional | King Philip Regional | ||
| Lee/Lenox/Monument Mtn | Natick | Natick | ||
| Leominster | Natick | tied - ( 0- 4) ( 0- 4) | Natick | |
| Lexington HS | Lexington HS | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 0) | Lexington HS | |
| Lincoln-Sudbury | Lincoln-Sudbury | Lincoln-Sudbury 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Littleton | Natick | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Natick | |
| Longmeadow | Longmeadow | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Longmeadow | |
| Lowell | Natick | Natick | ||
| Lowell Catholic | Natick | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Natick | |
| Lunenburg | Natick | Natick | ||
| Lynnfield | Natick | Natick | ||
| Malden | Natick | Natick | ||
| Malden Catholic | Natick | Natick | ||
| Manchester-Essex | Manchester-Essex | Manchester-Essex | ||
| Mansfield | Natick | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | Natick | |
| Marblehead | Natick | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Natick | |
| Marlborough | Natick | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Natick | |
| Marshfield | Marshfield | Marshfield | ||
| Marthas Vineyard | Natick | Natick | ||
| Masconomet | Natick | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Natick | |
| Mashpee | Natick | Natick | ||
| McCann Tech | Natick | Natick | ||
| Medfield | Medfield | Medfield 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Medford | Natick | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Natick | |
| Medway | Natick | Natick | ||
| Melrose | Melrose | Melrose | ||
| Methuen | Methuen | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Methuen | |
| Middleboro | Natick | Natick | ||
| Milford | Natick | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Natick | |
| Milton HS | Natick | Natick | ||
| Minnechaug Regional | Natick | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Natick | |
| Monomoy | Natick | Natick | ||
| Monson | Natick | Natick | ||
| Montachusett RVT | Natick | Natick | ||
| Mount Greylock Regional | Natick | Natick | ||
| Mystic Valley Charter | Natick | Natick | ||
| Nantucket | Nantucket | Nantucket | ||
| Nashoba Regional | Natick | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Natick | |
| Nashoba Valley Tech | Natick | Natick | ||
| Nauset Regional | Natick | Natick | ||
| Needham | Needham | Needham | ||
| New Bedford | Natick | Natick | ||
| Newburyport | Newburyport | Newburyport | ||
| Newton North | Newton North | Newton North 7- 3 vs 4- 7 | ||
| Newton South | Natick | Natick 3- 3 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Nipmuc Regional | Nipmuc Regional | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Nipmuc Regional | |
| North Andover | North Andover | North Andover | ||
| North Attleborough | Natick | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 2) | Natick | |
| North Middlesex | Natick | Natick | ||
| North Quincy | Natick | Natick | ||
| North Reading | Natick | Natick | ||
| Northampton | Northampton | Northampton | ||
| Northbridge | Natick | Natick | ||
| Northeast RVT | Natick | Natick | ||
| Norton | Natick | Natick | ||
| Norwell | Norwell | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Norwell | |
| Norwood | Natick | Natick | ||
| Notre Dame Hingham | Notre Dame Hingham | Notre Dame Hingham 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Notre Dame Worcester | Natick | Natick | ||
| Oakmont Regional | Natick | Natick | ||
| Old Colony RVT | Natick | Natick | ||
| Old Rochester Regional | Natick | Natick | ||
| Oliver Ames | Natick | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Natick | |
| Peabody Veterans Memoria | Peabody Veterans Memoria | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Peabody Veterans Memoria | |
| Pembroke | Natick | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Natick | |
| Pentucket Regional | Pentucket Regional | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Pentucket Regional | |
| Pittsfield/Taconic | Natick | Natick | ||
| Plymouth North | Natick | Natick | ||
| Plymouth South | Natick | Natick | ||
| Pope Francis | Natick | Natick | ||
| Quincy | Natick | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Natick | |
| Reading Memorial | Reading Memorial | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Reading Memorial | |
| Revere | Natick | Natick | ||
| Rockland | Natick | Natick | ||
| Salem | Natick | Natick | ||
| Sandwich | Sandwich | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) | Sandwich | |
| Saugus | Natick | Natick | ||
| Scituate | Scituate | Scituate | ||
| Seekonk | Natick | Natick | ||
| Sharon | Natick | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Natick | |
| Shawsheen Valley Tech | Natick | Natick | ||
| Shepherd Hill | Natick | Natick | ||
| Shrewsbury | Shrewsbury | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) | Shrewsbury | |
| Silver Lake | Natick | Natick | ||
| Smith VoTech | Natick | Natick | ||
| Somerset Berkley | Natick | Natick | ||
| Somerville | Natick | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Natick | |
| South Hadley | Natick | Natick | ||
| South Shore RVT | Natick | Natick | ||
| Southeastern RVT | Natick | Natick | ||
| Springfield Central | Natick | Natick | ||
| St Bernards | Natick | Natick | ||
| St John Paul II | Natick | Natick | ||
| St Marys Lynn | Natick | Natick | ||
| Stoneham | Natick | Natick | ||
| Stoughton | Natick | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | Natick | |
| Sturgis Charter East | Natick | Natick | ||
| Sturgis Charter West | Natick | Natick | ||
| Swampscott | Swampscott | Swampscott | ||
| Tahanto Regional | Natick | Natick | ||
| Tantasqua | Natick | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Natick | |
| Taunton | Natick | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Natick | |
| Tewksbury Memorial | Natick | Natick | ||
| Tri-County RVT | Natick | Natick | ||
| Triton Regional | Natick | Natick | ||
| Tyngsborough | Natick | Natick | ||
| Upper Cape Cod RVT | Natick | Natick | ||
| Ursuline Academy | Natick | Natick | ||
| Wachusett | Natick | Natick | ||
| Wahconah Regional | Natick | Natick | ||
| Wakefield Memorial | Natick | Natick | ||
| Walpole | Walpole | Walpole | ||
| Waltham | Natick | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Natick | |
| Watertown | Natick | Natick | ||
| Wayland | Wayland | Wayland 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Wellesley | Wellesley | Wellesley | ||
| West Springfield | West Springfield | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | West Springfield | |
| Westborough | Westborough | Westborough | ||
| Westfield | Natick | Natick | ||
| Westford Academy | Westford Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 1) | Westford Academy | |
| Weston | Weston | Weston | ||
| Westwood | Westwood | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 0) | Westwood | |
| Weymouth | Weymouth | Weymouth | ||
| Whitman-Hanson Regional | Natick | Natick | ||
| Whittier RVT | Natick | Natick | ||
| Wilmington | Natick | Natick | ||
| Winchester | Natick | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 3) | Natick | |
| Winthrop | Natick | Natick | ||
| Woburn Memorial | Natick | Natick |
PowerWise = 155
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 18.83
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Brookline (10-11, 88.8) 10- 7 -11.08 22.22 0.58 0.99 22.59
0 A Grafton (12- 9, 91.2) 5-12 -8.69 24.61 0.58 0.99 -8.04
0 A Framingham ( 6-14, 84.6) 14- 8 -15.33 17.97 0.58 0.99 18.38
0 H Newton North (12- 7, 92.5) 7- 6 -7.37 25.92 -0.58 0.99 25.12
0 A Weymouth ( 6-15, 88.8) 9-10 -11.09 22.21 0.58 0.99 -10.42
0 A Wellesley (17- 3, 97.6) 6-17 -2.27 31.03 0.58 0.99 -1.68
0 A North Andover (18- 5, 95.5) 4-16 -4.37 28.93 0.58 0.99 -3.76
0 H King Philip Re (17- 5, 93.1) 6-13 -6.80 26.50 -0.58 0.99 -7.31
0 H Milton HS ( 3-14, 85.5) 9- 7 -14.39 18.91 -0.58 0.99 18.17
0 H Braintree (12- 9, 88.3) 8- 7 -11.61 21.69 -0.58 0.99 20.93
0 H Needham (12- 7, 91.7) 4- 8 -8.23 25.07 -0.58 0.99 -8.72
0 H Brookline (10-11, 88.8) 8-12 -11.08 22.22 -0.58 0.99 -11.55
0 H Weston (15- 7, 92.2) 7-10 -7.74 25.56 -0.58 0.99 -8.24
0 H Framingham ( 6-14, 84.6) 12- 6 -15.33 17.97 -0.58 0.99 17.24
0 A Newton North (12- 7, 92.5) 10-17 -7.37 25.92 0.58 0.99 -6.74
0 H Franklin (17- 3, 95.3) 2-14 -4.62 28.67 -0.58 0.99 -5.15
0 A Walpole (25- 1, 99.8) 3-20 -0.13 33.17 0.58 0.99 -0.44
0 H Wellesley (17- 3, 97.6) 4-20 -2.27 31.03 -0.58 0.99 -2.82
0 A Central Cathol (13-10, 94.5) 3-20 -5.38 27.92 0.58 0.99 -4.76
------
42.80
|
winning pts = 122.4381 losing points = -79.6408
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------