safe3step girls Naples 1

  
Naples                
W-L: (12- 6)  PR =    79.6588
 Schedule/Results All Games 

 Date  Opponent               Conf/State      (W-L, PR)      Score  
 219 A Palmetto Ridge                       ( 2-11, 63.5)    20- 0   
 221 A Riverview Sarasota                   (11- 8, 86.0)     5-11   
 225 A Immokalee                            ( 0-12, 59.3)    19- 0   
 226 H Lely                                 ( 2- 7, 67.2)    19- 1   
 228 A Gulf Coast                           (14- 4, 82.9)     3- 6   
 304 H Barron Collier                       ( 9- 7, 75.5)    12- 5   
 306 H Aubrey Rogers                        ( 5-13, 71.5)    16- 1   
 307 H Archbishop McCarthy                  ( 6-12, 75.9)    15-12   
 318 H Palmetto Ridge                       ( 2-11, 63.5)    18- 0   
 321 A Gulf Coast                           (14- 4, 82.9)     4- 8   
 325 H Canterbury School                    (12- 3, 79.4)     5- 8   
 328 A Bishop Verot                         ( 6-10, 74.7)    13- 4   
 329 H Cardinal Mooney                      ( 7-10, 78.8)    18- 7   
 402 H Gateway                              ( 6- 9, 68.7)    17- 2   
 403 A Aubrey Rogers                        ( 5-13, 71.5)    14- 4   
 410 H Aubrey Rogers                        ( 5-13, 71.5)    19- 4   
 414 A Gulf Coast                           (14- 4, 82.9)     5- 8   
 425 A Bradenton Christian                  (13- 4, 81.7)     6- 9

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   219 A Palmetto Ridge         20- 0      20    16           0.00
   221 A Riverview Sarasota      5-11      -6    -7           0.00
   225 A Immokalee              19- 0      19    20           0.00
   226 H Lely                   19- 1      18    13           0.00
   228 A Gulf Coast              3- 6      -3    -4           0.67
   304 H Barron Collier         12- 5       7     5           0.39
   306 H Aubrey Rogers          16- 1      15     9           0.00
   307 H Archbishop McCarthy    15-12       3     4          -1.25
   318 H Palmetto Ridge         18- 0      18    17           0.00
   321 A Gulf Coast              4- 8      -4    -4          -0.33
   325 H Canterbury School       5- 8      -3     1    -     -3.71
   328 A Bishop Verot           13- 4       9     5           0.45
   329 H Cardinal Mooney        18- 7      11     1    +      3.69
   402 H Gateway                17- 2      15    11           0.00
   403 A Aubrey Rogers          14- 4      10     8           0.00
   410 H Aubrey Rogers          19- 4      15     9           0.00
   414 A Gulf Coast              5- 8      -3    -4           0.67
   425 A Bradenton Christian     6- 9      -3    -2          -0.53

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 H Canterbury School       5- 8      -3     1    -     -3.71

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 H Cardinal Mooney        18- 7      11     1    +      3.69

Naples Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each 
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they 
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the 
record of the loser for all common opponents

Opponent	Who Gets the Point?	Head-2-Head Point	Common Opponent Point	Power Rating Point
All Saints Academy	All Saints Academy			All Saints Academy
Alonso	Naples			Naples
American Heritage Delray	American Heritage Delray			American Heritage Delray
American Heritage Planta	American Heritage Planta		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	American Heritage Planta
Angeline Academy	Naples			Naples
Apopka	Naples			Naples
Archbishop McCarthy	Naples	Naples
Atlantic Coast	Naples			Naples
Atlantic-Delray Beach	Naples			Naples
Aubrey Rogers	Naples	Naples
Barron Collier	Naples	Naples
Bartow	Naples			Naples
Bartram Trail	Bartram Trail			Bartram Trail
Beachside	Naples			Naples
Benjamin School	Benjamin School			Benjamin School
Berkeley Prep	Berkeley Prep		insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)	Berkeley Prep
Bishop Moore	Bishop Moore			Bishop Moore
Bishop Verot	Naples	Naples
Bloomingdale	Bloomingdale			Bloomingdale
Boca Ciega	Naples		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Naples
Boca Raton	Naples			Naples
Bolles School	Bolles School			Bolles School
Boone	Naples			Naples
Bradenton Christian	Bradenton Christian	Bradenton Christian
Buchholz	Buchholz			Buchholz
Calvary Christian Academ	Calvary Christian Academ		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Calvary Christian Academ
Calvary Christian HS	Naples		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Naples
Canterbury School	Canterbury School	Canterbury School
Cape Coral	Naples		Naples 4- 0 vs 2- 2
Cardinal Gibbons	Naples		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Naples
Cardinal Mooney	Naples	Naples
Cardinal Newman	Cardinal Newman			Cardinal Newman
Celebration	Naples			Naples
Clearwater Central Catho	Naples		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Naples
Cocoa Beach	Naples			Naples
Colonial	Naples			Naples
Community School Naples	Community School Naples		Community School Naples 5- 0 vs 2- 3
Cooper City	Naples		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Naples
Coral Glades	Naples			Naples
Coral Reef	Naples			Naples
Coral Shores	Naples			Naples
Coral Springs	Naples			Naples
Countryside	Naples			Naples
Creekside	Naples			Naples
Cypress Bay	Cypress Bay		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Cypress Bay
Cypress Creek Orlando	Naples			Naples
Cypress Creek Wesley	Cypress Creek Wesley			Cypress Creek Wesley
Cypress Lake	Naples		Naples 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Discovery	Naples			Naples
Dr Joaquin Garcia	Naples			Naples
Durant	Naples			Naples
Dwyer	Naples			Naples
East Lake	Naples			Naples
East Ridge	Naples			Naples
East River	Naples			Naples
Eastside	Naples			Naples
Edgewater	Naples			Naples
Edgewood	Edgewood			Edgewood
Episcopal School	Episcopal School			Episcopal School
Estero	Naples		insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3)	Naples
Evans	Naples			Naples
First Academy	First Academy			First Academy
Flagler Palm Coast	Naples			Naples
Fleming Island	Naples			Naples
Fletcher	Naples			Naples
Forest	Forest			Forest
Fort Myers	Naples		tied - ( 4- 1) ( 4- 1)	Naples
Fort Walton Beach	Naples			Naples
Freedom Orlando	Naples			Naples
Freedom Tampa	Naples			Naples
Gainesville	Naples			Naples
Gateway	Naples	Naples
George Steinbrenner	George Steinbrenner		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	George Steinbrenner
Golden Gate	Naples			Naples
Gulf Breeze	Gulf Breeze			Gulf Breeze
Gulf Coast	Gulf Coast	Gulf Coast
Gulliver Prep	Naples		insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2)	Naples
Hagerty	Hagerty			Hagerty
Holy Names Academy	Holy Names Academy		insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0)	Holy Names Academy
Holy Trinity Episcopal	Holy Trinity Episcopal			Holy Trinity Episcopal
Horizon	Naples			Naples
IMG Academy	IMG Academy		tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2)	IMG Academy
IMG National	IMG National			IMG National
Immokalee	Naples	Naples
Innovation	Naples			Naples
Jensen Beach	Jensen Beach			Jensen Beach
Jupiter	Jupiter			Jupiter
Jupiter Christian	Naples			Naples
Key West	Naples		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Naples
Keys Gate	Naples			Naples
Kings Academy	Kings Academy		insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)	Kings Academy
Lake Brantley	Lake Brantley			Lake Brantley
Lake Buena Vista	Naples			Naples
Lake Highland Prep	Lake Highland Prep			Lake Highland Prep
Lake Howell	Lake Howell			Lake Howell
Lake Mary HS	Lake Mary HS			Lake Mary HS
Lake Minneola	Naples			Naples
Lake Nona	Naples			Naples
Lake Wales	Naples			Naples
Lakeland	Naples			Naples
Lakeland Christian	Naples			Naples
Lakewood Ranch	Lakewood Ranch		tied - ( 4- 1) ( 4- 1)	Lakewood Ranch
Land O Lakes	Naples			Naples
Largo	Naples			Naples
Leesburg	Naples			Naples
Lely	Naples	Naples
Lourdes Academy	Naples			Naples
Lyman	Naples			Naples
Maclay	Naples			Naples
Manatee	Manatee		Manatee 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Mandarin	Naples			Naples
Marco Island Academy	Naples		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Naples
Martin County	Naples			Naples
Matanzas	Naples			Naples
Melbourne	Naples			Naples
Menendez	Naples			Naples
Merritt Island	Naples			Naples
Miami Country Day	Naples		insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2)	Naples
Miami Palmetto	Naples			Naples
Milton	Naples			Naples
Mitchell	Naples			Naples
Navarre	Naples			Naples
Nease	Naples			Naples
Newberry	Naples			Naples
Newsome	Newsome		insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)	Newsome
Niceville	Naples			Naples
North Bay Haven	Naples			Naples
North Broward Prep	North Broward Prep		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	North Broward Prep
Northeast Oakland Park	Naples			Naples
Northeast St Petersburg	Naples			Naples
Northside Christian	Naples		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Naples
NSU University School	NSU University School			NSU University School
Oak Hall	Oak Hall			Oak Hall
Ocoee	Naples			Naples
Okeechobee	Naples			Naples
Olympia	Naples			Naples
Olympic Heights	Naples			Naples
Orangewood Christian	Naples			Naples
Osceola	Naples			Naples
Out-of-Door Academy	Naples		insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3)	Naples
Oviedo	Oviedo			Oviedo
Oxbridge Academy	Naples		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Naples
Palm Beach Central	Naples			Naples
Palm Beach Gardens	Naples			Naples
Palm Harbor University	Palm Harbor University			Palm Harbor University
Palmer Trinity	Naples			Naples
Palmetto Ridge	Naples	Naples
Park Vista	Naples			Naples
Parrish Community	Naples		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Naples
Pasco	Naples			Naples
Paxon Institute	Naples			Naples
Pensacola	Naples			Naples
Pensacola Catholic	Pensacola Catholic			Pensacola Catholic
Pine Crest	Pine Crest		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Pine Crest
Plant	Plant		insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)	Plant
Pompano Beach	Naples			Naples
Ponte Vedra	Ponte Vedra			Ponte Vedra
Providence School	Naples			Naples
Ransom Everglades	Naples		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Naples
River Ridge	Naples			Naples
Riverdale	Naples		Naples 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Riverside	Naples			Naples
Riverview Sarasota	Riverview Sarasota	Riverview Sarasota
Robinson	Naples		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Naples
Rockledge	Naples			Naples
Sandalwood	Naples			Naples
Santa Fe	Naples			Naples
Sarasota	Naples		tied - ( 4- 2) ( 4- 2)	Naples
Satellite	Naples			Naples
Seacoast Collegiate	Naples			Naples
Sebastian River	Naples			Naples
Seminole	Naples			Naples
Seminole Ridge	Naples			Naples
Shorecrest Prep	Naples			Naples
Sickles	Sickles		insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1)	Sickles
South Fork	Naples			Naples
South Lake	Naples			Naples
South Plantation	Naples		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Naples
South Walton	South Walton			South Walton
Spanish River	Spanish River			Spanish River
St Andrews	St Andrews			St Andrews
St Augustine	St Augustine			St Augustine
St Brendan	Naples			Naples
St Cloud	Naples			Naples
St Edwards	St Edwards			St Edwards
St John Paul II	St John Paul II		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	St John Paul II
St Joseph Academy	Naples			Naples
St Petersburg	Naples			Naples
St Petersburg Catholic	Naples		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Naples
St Stephens Episcopal	St Stephens Episcopal		tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3)	St Stephens Episcopal
St Thomas Aquinas	St Thomas Aquinas			St Thomas Aquinas
Stanton Prep	Naples			Naples
Stoneman Douglas	Stoneman Douglas		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Stoneman Douglas
Suncoast	Naples			Naples
Sunlake	Naples			Naples
Tampa Catholic	Tampa Catholic		insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0)	Tampa Catholic
Tate	Naples			Naples
Timber Creek	Naples			Naples
Tocoi Creek	Tocoi Creek			Tocoi Creek
Tohopekaliga	Naples			Naples
Trinity Catholic	Naples			Naples
Trinity Prep	Naples			Naples
Venice	Naples		insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 4)	Naples
Vero Beach	Vero Beach		insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)	Vero Beach
Viera	Viera			Viera
Village School	Naples		tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0)	Naples
Washington	Naples			Naples
Wekiva	Naples			Naples
Wellington	Naples			Naples
Wesley Chapel	Naples			Naples
West Boca Raton	Naples			Naples
West Broward	Naples			Naples
West Florida	Naples			Naples
West Orange	West Orange			West Orange
Western	Naples		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Naples
Westminster Christian	Naples		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Naples
Wharton	Naples			Naples
Windermere HS	Naples			Naples
Windermere Prep	Naples			Naples
Winter Haven	Naples			Naples
Winter Park	Winter Park			Winter Park
Winter Springs	Naples			Naples
Wiregrass Ranch	Naples			Naples
Wolfson	Naples			Naples

PowerWise = 159

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.34

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Palmetto Ridge  ( 2-11, 63.5)    20- 0      -36.39       5.71       0.45         0.80             4.91
   0 A Riverview Sara  (11- 8, 86.0)     5-11      -13.95      28.16       0.45         0.80           -10.75
   0 A Immokalee       ( 0-12, 59.3)    19- 0      -40.57       1.53       0.45         0.80             1.58
   0 H Lely            ( 2- 7, 67.2)    19- 1      -32.74       9.36      -0.45         0.80             7.10
   0 A Gulf Coast      (14- 4, 82.9)     3- 6      -17.03      25.07       0.45         0.80           -13.20
   0 H Barron Collier  ( 9- 7, 75.5)    12- 5      -24.39      17.71      -0.45         0.80            13.74
   0 H Aubrey Rogers   ( 5-13, 71.5)    16- 1      -28.38      13.72      -0.45         0.80            10.56
   0 H Archbishop McC  ( 6-12, 75.9)    15-12      -24.04      18.06      -0.45         0.80            14.03
   0 H Palmetto Ridge  ( 2-11, 63.5)    18- 0      -36.39       5.71      -0.45         0.80             4.19
   0 A Gulf Coast      (14- 4, 82.9)     4- 8      -17.03      25.07       0.45         0.80           -13.20
   0 H Canterbury Sch  (12- 3, 79.4)     5- 8      -20.50      21.60      -0.45         0.80           -16.69
   0 A Bishop Verot    ( 6-10, 74.7)    13- 4      -25.24      16.86       0.45         0.80            13.79
   0 H Cardinal Moone  ( 7-10, 78.8)    18- 7      -21.10      21.00      -0.45         0.80            16.37
   0 H Gateway         ( 6- 9, 68.7)    17- 2      -31.22      10.88      -0.45         0.80             8.31
   0 A Aubrey Rogers   ( 5-13, 71.5)    14- 4      -28.38      13.72       0.45         0.80            11.29
   0 H Aubrey Rogers   ( 5-13, 71.5)    19- 4      -28.38      13.72      -0.45         0.80            10.56
   0 A Gulf Coast      (14- 4, 82.9)     5- 8      -17.03      25.07       0.45         0.80           -13.20
   0 A Bradenton Chri  (13- 4, 81.7)     6- 9      -18.22      23.88       0.45         0.80           -14.15
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        35.22

winning pts = 116.4164 losing points = -81.1957

SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------