Mt Mansfield Union
W-L: ( 4-12) PR = 93.4568Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 411 H Colchester ( 6- 9, 89.4) 14- 3 414 H Lyndon Institute ( 1-13, 82.5) 13- 1 415 A South Burlington (12- 6, 96.9) 9- 8 419 H Essex (12- 6, 97.3) 3-15 423 A Hartford (15- 1, 98.2) 8-11 501 H U-32 (12- 6, 95.7) 4-14 503 A Rutland ( 3-13, 91.2) 9- 4 506 A Middlebury Union (11- 4, 96.5) 14-19 508 H Champlain Valley Union (15- 2, 98.9) 5- 7 510 A Champlain Valley Union (15- 2, 98.9) 7-13 516 H South Burlington (12- 6, 96.9) 9-14 520 A Essex (12- 6, 97.3) 7-11 523 A Bellows Free Academy - ( 2-11, 91.8) 8- 9 527 A Burr & Burton Academy (12- 5, 98.5) 3-17 530 H Middlebury Union (11- 4, 96.5) 10-15 603 A South Burlington (12- 6, 96.9) 7-12
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
411 H Colchester 14- 3 11 5 0.48
414 H Lyndon Institute 13- 1 12 11 0.00
415 A South Burlington 9- 8 1 -4 ++ 4.92
419 H Essex 3-15 -12 -3 -1.64
423 A Hartford 8-11 -3 -5 + 2.00
501 H U-32 4-14 -10 -2 - -3.28
503 A Rutland 9- 4 5 2 + 3.21
506 A Middlebury Union 14-19 -5 -4 -1.44
508 H Champlain Valley Union 5- 7 -2 -5 + 2.93
510 A Champlain Valley Union 7-13 -6 -6 0.00
516 H South Burlington 9-14 -5 -3 - -2.03
520 A Essex 7-11 -4 -4 0.32
523 A Bellows Free Academy - 8- 9 -1 1 - -2.18
527 A Burr & Burton Academy 3-17 -14 -6 0.00
530 H Middlebury Union 10-15 -5 -3 - -2.40
603 A South Burlington 7-12 -5 -4 -1.08
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 501 H U-32 4-14 -10 -2 - -3.28 516 H South Burlington 9-14 -5 -3 - -2.03 523 A Bellows Free Academy - 8- 9 -1 1 - -2.18 530 H Middlebury Union 10-15 -5 -3 - -2.40 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 415 A South Burlington 9- 8 1 -4 ++ 4.92 423 A Hartford 8-11 -3 -5 + 2.00 503 A Rutland 9- 4 5 2 + 3.21 508 H Champlain Valley Union 5- 7 -2 -5 + 2.93 |
Mt Mansfield Union Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bellows Free Academy - S | Bellows Free Academy - S | Bellows Free Academy - S | ||
| Brattleboro Union | Mt Mansfield Union | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Mt Mansfield Union | |
| Burlington | Burlington | insuffient: ( 2- 5)( 1- 5) | Burlington | |
| Burr & Burton Academy | Burr & Burton Academy | Burr & Burton Academy | ||
| Champlain Valley Union | Champlain Valley Union | Champlain Valley Union | ||
| Colchester | Mt Mansfield Union | Mt Mansfield Union | ||
| Essex | Essex | Essex | ||
| Green Mountain Valley | Green Mountain Valley | Green Mountain Valley 4- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Hartford | Hartford | Hartford | ||
| Harwood Union | Mt Mansfield Union | insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 1- 5) | Mt Mansfield Union | |
| Lamoille Union | Mt Mansfield Union | Mt Mansfield Union 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Lyndon Institute | Mt Mansfield Union | Mt Mansfield Union | ||
| Middlebury Union | Middlebury Union | Middlebury Union | ||
| Milton | Mt Mansfield Union | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Mt Mansfield Union | |
| Mt Anthony Union | Mt Anthony Union | tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 2) | Mt Anthony Union | |
| Rice Memorial | Rice Memorial | Rice Memorial 4- 3 vs 2- 6 | ||
| Rutland | Mt Mansfield Union | Mt Mansfield Union | ||
| South Burlington | South Burlington | South Burlington | ||
| Spaulding | Mt Mansfield Union | Mt Mansfield Union 3- 3 vs 1- 5 | ||
| St Johnsbury Academy | St Johnsbury Academy | tied - ( 2- 4) ( 2- 4) | St Johnsbury Academy | |
| Stowe | Mt Mansfield Union | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) | Mt Mansfield Union | |
| Stratton Mountain School | Mt Mansfield Union | Mt Mansfield Union | ||
| U-32 | U-32 | U-32 | ||
| Vergennes/Mt Abraham | Mt Mansfield Union | insuffient: ( 2- 5)( 3- 4) | Mt Mansfield Union | |
| Woodstock Union | Woodstock Union | tied - ( 2- 4) ( 2- 3) | Woodstock Union |
PowerWise = 11
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 15.54
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Colchester ( 6- 9, 89.4) 14- 3 -10.48 6.92 -0.48 0.97 6.26
0 H Lyndon Institu ( 1-13, 82.5) 13- 1 -17.39 1.00 -0.48 0.97 0.51
0 A South Burlingt (12- 6, 96.9) 9- 8 -3.00 14.41 0.48 0.97 14.45
0 H Essex (12- 6, 97.3) 3-15 -2.60 14.80 -0.48 0.97 -2.99
0 A Hartford (15- 1, 98.2) 8-11 -1.73 15.67 0.48 0.97 -1.22
0 H U-32 (12- 6, 95.7) 4-14 -4.24 13.16 -0.48 0.97 -4.58
0 A Rutland ( 3-13, 91.2) 9- 4 -8.71 8.69 0.48 0.97 8.90
0 A Middlebury Uni (11- 4, 96.5) 14-19 -3.36 14.04 0.48 0.97 -2.80
0 H Champlain Vall (15- 2, 98.9) 5- 7 -1.04 16.36 -0.48 0.97 -1.47
0 A Champlain Vall (15- 2, 98.9) 7-13 -1.04 16.36 0.48 0.97 -0.55
0 H South Burlingt (12- 6, 96.9) 9-14 -3.00 14.41 -0.48 0.97 -3.37
0 A Essex (12- 6, 97.3) 7-11 -2.60 14.80 0.48 0.97 -2.07
0 A Bellows Free A ( 2-11, 91.8) 8- 9 -8.10 9.30 0.48 0.97 -7.40
0 A Burr & Burton (12- 5, 98.5) 3-17 -1.38 16.02 0.48 0.97 -0.88
0 H Middlebury Uni (11- 4, 96.5) 10-15 -3.36 14.04 -0.48 0.97 -3.73
0 A South Burlingt (12- 6, 96.9) 7-12 -3.00 14.41 0.48 0.97 -2.45
------
-3.40
|
winning pts = 30.1202 losing points = -33.5166
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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