Mount Ararat
W-L: (16- 0) PR = 96.2587Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 418 A Cony (11- 4, 92.2) 10- 9 425 H Oxford Hills Comp ( 5-11, 89.2) 22- 5 428 A Camden Hills Regional (12- 5, 92.5) 20-13 429 A Deering ( 1-13, 83.8) 17- 3 502 A Brunswick ( 5-10, 90.8) 13- 8 509 H Gardiner-Hall-Dale ( 9- 6, 91.0) 15- 6 512 H Winslow/Lawrence ( 0-13, 82.2) 22- 3 514 H Morse-Boothbay ( 8- 7, 90.7) 16- 6 516 A Lincoln Academy (10- 4, 92.5) 12- 5 521 A Mount Blue ( 7- 8, 88.5) 14-10 523 H Camden Hills Regional (12- 5, 92.5) 16- 9 531 A Maranacook/Winthrop (11- 4, 94.7) 11- 8 602 H Edward Little ( 3-11, 82.9) 16- 5 603 H Lewiston ( 1-13, 86.7) 17- 3 614 H Messalonskee ( 8- 8, 90.4) 14- 9 618 H Camden Hills Regional (12- 5, 92.5) 10- 5
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
418 A Cony 10- 9 1 4 - -2.50
425 H Oxford Hills Comp 22- 5 17 8 0.00
428 A Camden Hills Regional 20-13 7 3 1.80
429 A Deering 17- 3 14 12 0.00
502 A Brunswick 13- 8 5 5 0.01
509 H Gardiner-Hall-Dale 15- 6 9 6 0.00
512 H Winslow/Lawrence 22- 3 19 15 0.00
514 H Morse-Boothbay 16- 6 10 6 0.00
516 A Lincoln Academy 12- 5 7 3 1.76
521 A Mount Blue 14-10 4 7 -1.00
523 H Camden Hills Regional 16- 9 7 4 0.77
531 A Maranacook/Winthrop 11- 8 3 1 + 2.00
602 H Edward Little 16- 5 11 14 0.00
603 H Lewiston 17- 3 14 10 0.00
614 H Messalonskee 14- 9 5 6 0.00
618 H Camden Hills Regional 10- 5 5 4 0.77
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 418 A Cony 10- 9 1 4 - -2.50 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 531 A Maranacook/Winthrop 11- 8 3 1 + 2.00 |
Mount Ararat Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bangor | Mount Ararat | Mount Ararat 10- 0 vs 5- 5 | ||
| Biddeford | Mount Ararat | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Mount Ararat | |
| Bonny Eagle | Mount Ararat | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Mount Ararat | |
| Brewer/Hampden | Mount Ararat | Mount Ararat 10- 0 vs 1- 9 | ||
| Brunswick | Mount Ararat | Mount Ararat | ||
| Camden Hills Regional | Mount Ararat | Mount Ararat | ||
| Cape Elizabeth | Mount Ararat | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Mount Ararat | |
| Cheverus | Mount Ararat | tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) | Mount Ararat | |
| Cony | Mount Ararat | Mount Ararat | ||
| Deering | Mount Ararat | Mount Ararat | ||
| Edward Little | Mount Ararat | Mount Ararat | ||
| Erskine Academy | Mount Ararat | Mount Ararat 8- 0 vs 3- 5 | ||
| Falmouth | Mount Ararat | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Mount Ararat | |
| Freeport | Freeport | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Freeport | |
| Fryeburg Academy | Mount Ararat | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Mount Ararat | |
| Gardiner-Hall-Dale | Mount Ararat | Mount Ararat | ||
| Gorham | Mount Ararat | Mount Ararat | ||
| Gray-New Gloucester/Pola | Mount Ararat | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Mount Ararat | |
| Greely | Mount Ararat | tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) | Mount Ararat | |
| Houlton | Mount Ararat | Mount Ararat 7- 0 vs 1- 6 | ||
| Kennebunk | Kennebunk | Kennebunk | ||
| Lake Region | Mount Ararat | Mount Ararat 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Lewiston | Mount Ararat | Mount Ararat | ||
| Lincoln Academy | Mount Ararat | Mount Ararat | ||
| Maranacook/Winthrop | Mount Ararat | Mount Ararat | ||
| Marshwood | Marshwood | Marshwood | ||
| Massabesic | Mount Ararat | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Mount Ararat | |
| MCI/Nokomis | Mount Ararat | Mount Ararat 8- 0 vs 1- 7 | ||
| Messalonskee | Mount Ararat | Mount Ararat | ||
| Morse-Boothbay | Mount Ararat | Mount Ararat | ||
| Mount Blue | Mount Ararat | Mount Ararat | ||
| Noble | Mount Ararat | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Mount Ararat | |
| North Yarmouth Academy | Mount Ararat | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Mount Ararat | |
| Oceanside | Mount Ararat | Mount Ararat | ||
| Oxford Hills Comp | Mount Ararat | Mount Ararat | ||
| Portland | Mount Ararat | tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) | Mount Ararat | |
| Sanford | Mount Ararat | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Mount Ararat | |
| Scarborough | Mount Ararat | Mount Ararat | ||
| South Portland | Mount Ararat | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Mount Ararat | |
| St Dominic Academy | Mount Ararat | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Mount Ararat | |
| Thornton Academy | Mount Ararat | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Mount Ararat | |
| Traip Academy | Mount Ararat | Mount Ararat | ||
| Waynflete School | Mount Ararat | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Mount Ararat | |
| Wells | Mount Ararat | Mount Ararat | ||
| Westbrook | Mount Ararat | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Mount Ararat | |
| Windham | Windham | tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) | Windham | |
| Winslow/Lawrence | Mount Ararat | Mount Ararat | ||
| Yarmouth | Mount Ararat | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Mount Ararat | |
| York | Mount Ararat | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Mount Ararat |
PowerWise = 45
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.76
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Cony (11- 4, 92.2) 10- 9 -7.66 11.09 0.51 0.98 11.42
0 H Oxford Hills C ( 5-11, 89.2) 22- 5 -10.72 8.02 -0.51 0.98 7.39
0 A Camden Hills R (12- 5, 92.5) 20-13 -7.36 11.39 0.51 0.98 11.71
0 A Deering ( 1-13, 83.8) 17- 3 -16.07 2.68 0.51 0.98 3.14
0 A Brunswick ( 5-10, 90.8) 13- 8 -9.14 9.60 0.51 0.98 9.96
0 H Gardiner-Hall- ( 9- 6, 91.0) 15- 6 -8.87 9.87 -0.51 0.98 9.21
0 H Winslow/Lawren ( 0-13, 82.2) 22- 3 -17.67 1.07 -0.51 0.98 0.55
0 H Morse-Boothbay ( 8- 7, 90.7) 16- 6 -9.23 9.52 -0.51 0.98 8.86
0 A Lincoln Academ (10- 4, 92.5) 12- 5 -7.39 11.36 0.51 0.98 11.68
0 A Mount Blue ( 7- 8, 88.5) 14-10 -11.36 7.38 0.51 0.98 7.77
0 H Camden Hills R (12- 5, 92.5) 16- 9 -7.36 11.39 -0.51 0.98 10.70
0 A Maranacook/Win (11- 4, 94.7) 11- 8 -5.15 13.60 0.51 0.98 13.88
0 H Edward Little ( 3-11, 82.9) 16- 5 -16.96 1.78 -0.51 0.98 1.25
0 H Lewiston ( 1-13, 86.7) 17- 3 -13.22 5.53 -0.51 0.98 4.94
0 H Messalonskee ( 8- 8, 90.4) 14- 9 -9.53 9.21 -0.51 0.98 8.56
0 H Camden Hills R (12- 5, 92.5) 10- 5 -7.36 11.39 -0.51 0.98 10.70
------
131.72
|
winning pts = 131.7155 losing points = 0.0000
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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