---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:51 PDT

safe3step girls Merrimack Valley 1
  
Merrimack Valley      
W-L: (12- 5) PR = 90.0606

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 417 H Hollis-Brookline ( 8-10, 88.5) 11- 9 418 A Kingswood ( 6-10, 83.8) 13- 7 423 A Hanover (11- 8, 90.6) 11- 8 425 H Merrimack (14- 2, 91.0) 6-16 507 H Spaulding ( 2-14, 78.6) 14- 3 512 H Kennett ( 5- 9, 83.9) 16- 9 514 H Winnacunnet (19- 1, 95.7) 5-16 516 A Goffstown ( 6-11, 87.0) 9- 7 519 H Alvirne ( 1-14, 76.4) 13- 3 520 A Oyster River-Newmarket ( 9- 7, 87.7) 9-11 521 A Keene-Monadnock ( 3- 9, 79.3) 16- 7 523 H Timberlane (10- 6, 89.7) 5- 8 529 A Manchester Memorial ( 1-15, 76.5) 14- 1 605 H Oyster River-Newmarket ( 9- 7, 87.7) 14- 9 607 N Oyster River-Newmarket ( 9- 7, 87.7) 14- 9 608 N Merrimack (14- 2, 91.0) 13-10 610 N Winnacunnet (19- 1, 95.7) 7-15

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 H Hollis-Brookline       11- 9       2     2           0.24
   418 A Kingswood              13- 7       6     6           0.00
   423 A Hanover                11- 8       3    -1    +      3.71
   425 H Merrimack               6-16     -10    -1    --    -4.26
   507 H Spaulding              14- 3      11    12           0.00
   512 H Kennett                16- 9       7     6           0.00
   514 H Winnacunnet             5-16     -11    -6           0.00
   516 A Goffstown               9- 7       2     3          -0.89
   519 H Alvirne                13- 3      10    14           0.00
   520 A Oyster River-Newmarket  9-11      -2     2    --    -4.21
   521 A Keene-Monadnock        16- 7       9    11           0.00
   523 H Timberlane              5- 8      -3     0    -     -3.47
   529 A Manchester Memorial    14- 1      13    13           0.00
   605 H Oyster River-Newmarket 14- 9       5     3    +      2.48
   607 N Oyster River-Newmarket 14- 9       5     2    +      2.64
   608 N Merrimack              13-10       3    -1    +      3.89
   610 N Winnacunnet             7-15      -8    -6           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 H Merrimack               6-16     -10    -1    --    -4.26
   520 A Oyster River-Newmarket  9-11      -2     2    --    -4.21
   523 H Timberlane              5- 8      -3     0    -     -3.47

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 A Hanover                11- 8       3    -1    +      3.71
   605 H Oyster River-Newmarket 14- 9       5     3    +      2.48
   607 N Oyster River-Newmarket 14- 9       5     2    +      2.64
   608 N Merrimack              13-10       3    -1    +      3.89

Merrimack Valley Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Alvirne Merrimack Valley Merrimack Valley  
Bedford Bedford tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Bedford
Belmont Merrimack Valley   Merrimack Valley
Bishop Brady Merrimack Valley   Merrimack Valley
Bishop Guertin Bishop Guertin tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Bishop Guertin
Bow Bow   Bow
Campbell Merrimack Valley   Merrimack Valley
Coe-Brown Merrimack Valley   Merrimack Valley
Concord Merrimack Valley   Merrimack Valley
Concord Christian Merrimack Valley   Merrimack Valley
ConVal Merrimack Valley tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Merrimack Valley
Derryfield Derryfield   Derryfield
Dover Merrimack Valley insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 0) Merrimack Valley
Exeter HS Exeter HS tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Exeter HS
Gilford Gilford   Gilford
Goffstown Merrimack Valley Merrimack Valley  
Hanover Merrimack Valley Merrimack Valley  
Hollis-Brookline Merrimack Valley Merrimack Valley  
Hopkinton Hopkinton   Hopkinton
Inter-Lakes-Moultonborou Merrimack Valley   Merrimack Valley
John Stark Merrimack Valley   Merrimack Valley
Kearsarge Merrimack Valley   Merrimack Valley
Keene-Monadnock Merrimack Valley Merrimack Valley  
Kennett Merrimack Valley Merrimack Valley  
Kingswood Merrimack Valley Merrimack Valley  
Laconia Merrimack Valley   Merrimack Valley
Lebanon Merrimack Valley   Merrimack Valley
Londonderry Londonderry tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Londonderry
Manchester Central-West Merrimack Valley tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Merrimack Valley
Manchester Memorial Merrimack Valley Merrimack Valley  
Merrimack Merrimack insuffient: (10- 3)(11- 1) Merrimack
Milford Merrimack Valley   Merrimack Valley
Nashua North Merrimack Valley   Merrimack Valley
Nashua South Nashua South tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Nashua South
Oyster River-Newmarket Merrimack Valley Merrimack Valley  
Pelham Merrimack Valley   Merrimack Valley
Pembroke Academy Merrimack Valley   Merrimack Valley
Pinkerton Academy Pinkerton Academy tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Pinkerton Academy
Plymouth Merrimack Valley   Merrimack Valley
Portsmouth Portsmouth insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Portsmouth
Salem Merrimack Valley tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Merrimack Valley
Souhegan Souhegan   Souhegan
Spaulding Merrimack Valley Merrimack Valley  
St Thomas Aquinas St Thomas Aquinas   St Thomas Aquinas
Timberlane Timberlane Timberlane  
Trinity Manchester Merrimack Valley   Merrimack Valley
Windham Merrimack Valley tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Merrimack Valley
Winnacunnet Winnacunnet Winnacunnet  

PowerWise = 32


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.96

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Hollis-Brookli  ( 8-10, 88.5)    11- 9      -11.44      16.49      -0.16         0.94            15.33
   0 A Kingswood       ( 6-10, 83.8)    13- 7      -16.12      11.81       0.16         0.94            11.23
   0 A Hanover         (11- 8, 90.6)    11- 8       -9.29      18.64       0.16         0.94            17.65
   0 H Merrimack       (14- 2, 91.0)     6-16       -8.95      18.98      -0.16         0.94            -8.54
   0 H Spaulding       ( 2-14, 78.6)    14- 3      -21.26       6.66      -0.16         0.94             6.11
   0 H Kennett         ( 5- 9, 83.9)    16- 9      -16.04      11.89      -0.16         0.94            11.02
   0 H Winnacunnet     (19- 1, 95.7)     5-16       -4.17      23.76      -0.16         0.94            -4.06
   0 A Goffstown       ( 6-11, 87.0)     9- 7      -12.89      15.04       0.16         0.94            14.26
   0 H Alvirne         ( 1-14, 76.4)    13- 3      -23.49       4.44      -0.16         0.94             4.02
   0 A Oyster River-N  ( 9- 7, 87.7)     9-11      -12.20      15.73       0.16         0.94           -11.31
   0 A Keene-Monadnoc  ( 3- 9, 79.3)    16- 7      -20.65       7.28       0.16         0.94             6.98
   0 H Timberlane      (10- 6, 89.7)     5- 8      -10.15      17.77      -0.16         0.94            -9.68
   0 A Manchester Mem  ( 1-15, 76.5)    14- 1      -23.43       4.50       0.16         0.94             4.37
   0 H Oyster River-N  ( 9- 7, 87.7)    14- 9      -12.20      15.73      -0.16         0.94            14.62
   0 N Oyster River-N  ( 9- 7, 87.7)    14- 9      -12.20      15.73      -0.00         0.94            14.76
   0 N Merrimack       (14- 2, 91.0)    13-10       -8.95      18.98      -0.00         0.94            17.82
   0 N Winnacunnet     (19- 1, 95.7)     7-15       -4.17      23.76      -0.00         0.94            -3.91
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       100.67

winning pts = 138.1670 losing points = -37.4969

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------