Morgan School
W-L: ( 8- 9) PR = 74.7942Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 405 A Valley Regional ( 6-10, 73.7) 10-11 408 A Old Lyme (13- 6, 78.2) 5-13 411 H North Branford ( 8-10, 76.6) 8- 5 415 H Haddam-Killingworth ( 9- 9, 76.6) 15- 8 421 H Middletown-Coginchaug ( 6-11, 72.9) 10- 6 424 H Cromwell ( 1-14, 71.2) 14-10 428 A North Branford ( 8-10, 76.6) 6-11 430 A Old Saybrook (11- 7, 76.3) 11-12 501 A Haddam-Killingworth ( 9- 9, 76.6) 7-15 506 H Valley Regional ( 6-10, 73.7) 9- 8 508 H Old Lyme (13- 6, 78.2) 3-13 510 H St Paul Catholic ( 0-16, 65.1) 16- 4 512 A Rocky Hill ( 5-11, 76.5) 8- 7 515 A Cromwell ( 1-14, 71.2) 11- 8 520 H Old Saybrook (11- 7, 76.3) 6- 9 522 H Berlin ( 9-10, 77.0) 6-14 603 A Granby Memorial (14- 6, 81.7) 7-19
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
405 A Valley Regional 10-11 -1 0 -1.34
408 A Old Lyme 5-13 -8 -4 -0.87
411 H North Branford 8- 5 3 -1 ++ 4.06
415 H Haddam-Killingworth 15- 8 7 -1 +++ 6.08
421 H Middletown-Coginchaug 10- 6 4 3 1.34
424 H Cromwell 14-10 4 4 -0.34
428 A North Branford 6-11 -5 -3 - -2.49
430 A Old Saybrook 11-12 -1 -2 1.27
501 A Haddam-Killingworth 7-15 -8 -3 - -2.47
506 H Valley Regional 9- 8 1 2 -0.79
508 H Old Lyme 3-13 -10 -3 - -2.32
510 H St Paul Catholic 16- 4 12 10 0.00
512 A Rocky Hill 8- 7 1 -2 + 3.45
515 A Cromwell 11- 8 3 3 0.11
520 H Old Saybrook 6- 9 -3 -1 - -2.18
522 H Berlin 6-14 -8 -1 - -3.53
603 A Granby Memorial 7-19 -12 -8 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 428 A North Branford 6-11 -5 -3 - -2.49 501 A Haddam-Killingworth 7-15 -8 -3 - -2.47 508 H Old Lyme 3-13 -10 -3 - -2.32 520 H Old Saybrook 6- 9 -3 -1 - -2.18 522 H Berlin 6-14 -8 -1 - -3.53 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 415 H Haddam-Killingworth 15- 8 7 -1 +++ 6.08 411 H North Branford 8- 5 3 -1 ++ 4.06 512 A Rocky Hill 8- 7 1 -2 + 3.45 |
Morgan School Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amity Regional | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| Avon HS | Avon HS | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Avon HS | |
| Bacon/East Hampton | Bacon/East Hampton | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Bacon/East Hampton | |
| Berlin | Berlin | Berlin | ||
| Bethel | Bethel | Bethel | ||
| Branford | Branford | Branford | ||
| Brien McMahon | Brien McMahon | Brien McMahon | ||
| Bristol Central | Morgan School | Morgan School 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Bristol Eastern | Bristol Eastern | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Bristol Eastern | |
| Brookfield | Brookfield | Brookfield | ||
| Canton | Canton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Canton | |
| Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS | ||
| Conard | Conard | Conard | ||
| Cromwell | Morgan School | Morgan School | ||
| Danbury | Danbury | Danbury | ||
| Daniel Hand | Daniel Hand | Daniel Hand | ||
| Darien | Darien | Darien | ||
| East Catholic | East Catholic | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | East Catholic | |
| East Lyme | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| Ellington | Ellington | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Ellington | |
| Enfield | Morgan School | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Morgan School | |
| EO Smith | EO Smith | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | EO Smith | |
| Fairfield Ludlowe | Fairfield Ludlowe | Fairfield Ludlowe | ||
| Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | ||
| Farmington | Farmington | Farmington 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Fitch | Morgan School | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Morgan School | |
| Foran | Foran | Foran | ||
| Glastonbury | Glastonbury | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Glastonbury | |
| Granby Memorial | Granby Memorial | Granby Memorial | ||
| Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | ||
| Griswold-Norwich Tech | Morgan School | Morgan School 2- 1 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Guilford | Guilford | Guilford | ||
| Haddam-Killingworth | Haddam-Killingworth | tied - ( 3- 4) ( 3- 2) | Haddam-Killingworth | |
| Hall | Hall | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Hall | |
| Hamden | Hamden | Hamden | ||
| Housatonic Regional | Morgan School | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Morgan School | |
| Immaculate Heart | Morgan School | Morgan School | ||
| Joel Barlow | Joel Barlow | Joel Barlow | ||
| Jonathan Law | Morgan School | Morgan School | ||
| Killingly | Morgan School | Morgan School | ||
| Lakeview United | Morgan School | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Morgan School | |
| Lauralton Hall | Lauralton Hall | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Lauralton Hall | |
| Ledyard | Ledyard | Ledyard 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 1) | Lewis Mills | |
| Lyman Hall | Lyman Hall | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Lyman Hall | |
| Masuk | Masuk | Masuk | ||
| Mercy | Mercy | Mercy | ||
| Middletown-Coginchaug | Morgan School | Morgan School | ||
| Montville | Montville | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 1) | Montville | |
| New Canaan | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| New Fairfield | New Fairfield | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | New Fairfield | |
| New London/St Bernards | Morgan School | Morgan School 2- 1 vs 0- 2 | ||
| New Milford | Morgan School | Morgan School | ||
| Newington | Newington | tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 1) | Newington | |
| Newtown | Newtown | Newtown | ||
| North Branford | North Branford | tied - ( 3- 4) ( 3- 2) | North Branford | |
| North Haven | North Haven | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) | North Haven | |
| Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Northwest Catholic | |
| Norwalk | Norwalk | Norwalk | ||
| Norwich Free Academy | Norwich Free Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) | Norwich Free Academy | |
| Notre Dame Fairfield | Morgan School | Morgan School | ||
| Old Lyme | Old Lyme | Old Lyme | ||
| Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | Old Saybrook | ||
| Pomperaug | Pomperaug | Pomperaug | ||
| RHAM | RHAM | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | RHAM | |
| Ridgefield | Ridgefield | Ridgefield | ||
| Rockville | Rockville | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Rockville | |
| Rocky Hill | Morgan School | Morgan School | ||
| Sacred Heart Academy | Sacred Heart Academy | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 0) | Sacred Heart Academy | |
| Sheehan | Sheehan | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Sheehan | |
| Shelton | Shelton | Shelton | ||
| Simsbury | Simsbury | Simsbury | ||
| Somers | Somers | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 1) | Somers | |
| South Windsor | South Windsor | South Windsor | ||
| Southington | Southington | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Southington | |
| St Joseph | St Joseph | St Joseph | ||
| St Paul Catholic | Morgan School | Morgan School | ||
| Stamford | Stamford | Stamford | ||
| Staples | Staples | Staples | ||
| Stonington | Stonington | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Stonington | |
| Stratford-Bunnell | Morgan School | Morgan School | ||
| Suffield HS | Suffield HS | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) | Suffield HS | |
| Tolland | Tolland | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Tolland | |
| Trumbull | Trumbull | Trumbull | ||
| Valley Regional | Morgan School | Morgan School 3- 4 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Waterford | Waterford | Waterford 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Watertown | Morgan School | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Morgan School | |
| West Haven | Morgan School | Morgan School | ||
| Westhill | Westhill | Westhill | ||
| Weston | Weston | Weston | ||
| Wethersfield | Wethersfield | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Wethersfield | |
| Wheeler | Wheeler | Wheeler | ||
| Wilton | Wilton | Wilton | ||
| Windsor | Morgan School | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Morgan School | |
| Wolcott | Morgan School | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Morgan School | |
| Woodstock Academy | Morgan School | Morgan School |
PowerWise = 23
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.51
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Valley Regiona ( 6-10, 73.7) 10-11 -26.17 8.64 0.73 1.03 -26.20
0 A Old Lyme (13- 6, 78.2) 5-13 -21.70 13.11 0.73 1.03 -21.60
0 H North Branford ( 8-10, 76.6) 8- 5 -23.32 11.49 -0.73 1.03 11.08
0 H Haddam-Killing ( 9- 9, 76.6) 15- 8 -23.30 11.51 -0.73 1.03 11.10
0 H Middletown-Cog ( 6-11, 72.9) 10- 6 -27.04 7.77 -0.73 1.03 7.25
0 H Cromwell ( 1-14, 71.2) 14-10 -28.72 6.09 -0.73 1.03 5.52
0 A North Branford ( 8-10, 76.6) 6-11 -23.32 11.49 0.73 1.03 -23.27
0 A Old Saybrook (11- 7, 76.3) 11-12 -23.56 11.25 0.73 1.03 -23.51
0 A Haddam-Killing ( 9- 9, 76.6) 7-15 -23.30 11.51 0.73 1.03 -23.25
0 H Valley Regiona ( 6-10, 73.7) 9- 8 -26.17 8.64 -0.73 1.03 8.15
0 H Old Lyme (13- 6, 78.2) 3-13 -21.70 13.11 -0.73 1.03 -23.09
0 H St Paul Cathol ( 0-16, 65.1) 16- 4 -34.81 1.00 -0.73 1.03 0.28
0 A Rocky Hill ( 5-11, 76.5) 8- 7 -23.38 11.43 0.73 1.03 12.51
0 A Cromwell ( 1-14, 71.2) 11- 8 -28.72 6.09 0.73 1.03 7.02
0 H Old Saybrook (11- 7, 76.3) 6- 9 -23.56 11.25 -0.73 1.03 -25.01
0 H Berlin ( 9-10, 77.0) 6-14 -22.91 11.90 -0.73 1.03 -24.34
0 A Granby Memoria (14- 6, 81.7) 7-19 -18.20 16.61 0.73 1.03 -17.99
------
-145.34
|
winning pts = 62.9122 losing points = -208.2523
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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