safe3step girls Moon Area 1

  
Moon Area             
W-L: ( 8- 4)  PR =    83.2516
 Schedule/Results All Games 

 Date  Opponent               Conf/State      (W-L, PR)      Score  
 317 A Norwin                               ( 5- 8, 79.2)    12- 6   
 326 A North Hills                          ( 4- 7, 77.8)    13-11   
 331 H North Allegheny                      ( 2-12, 77.6)    10- 5   
 404 A Upper St Clair                       (12- 3, 86.8)     7-14   
 407 H Fox Chapel                           ( 7- 5, 82.2)    13- 7   
 409 A Butler Area                          ( 6- 5, 79.6)     9- 7   
 416 H Shaler Area                          ( 5- 7, 80.8)     8- 3   
 423 A Seneca Valley                        ( 1- 8, 74.1)    15- 2   
 428 H Pine Richland                        (13- 2, 88.7)     8-14   
 515 H Norwin                               ( 5- 8, 79.2)    13- 7   
 519 N Pine Richland                        (13- 2, 88.7)     6-16   
 522 A Upper St Clair                       (12- 3, 86.8)     7-12

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 A Norwin                 12- 6       6     4           1.01
   326 A North Hills            13-11       2     5    -     -3.00
   331 H North Allegheny        10- 5       5     6           0.00
   404 A Upper St Clair          7-14      -7    -4          -1.36
   407 H Fox Chapel             13- 7       6     1    +      3.83
   409 A Butler Area             9- 7       2     4          -1.53
   416 H Shaler Area             8- 3       5     3    +      2.48
   423 A Seneca Valley          15- 2      13     9           0.00
   428 H Pine Richland           8-14      -6    -5           0.00
   515 H Norwin                 13- 7       6     4           0.80
   519 N Pine Richland           6-16     -10    -5           0.00
   522 A Upper St Clair          7-12      -5    -4          -1.36

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 A North Hills            13-11       2     5    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Fox Chapel             13- 7       6     1    +      3.83
   416 H Shaler Area             8- 3       5     3    +      2.48

Moon Area Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each 
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they 
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the 
record of the loser for all common opponents

Opponent	Who Gets the Point?	Head-2-Head Point	Common Opponent Point	Power Rating Point
Abington	Moon Area			Moon Area
Academy New Church	Moon Area			Moon Area
AIM Academy	Moon Area			Moon Area
Allentown Central Ca	Moon Area			Moon Area
Archbishop Carroll	Archbishop Carroll			Archbishop Carroll
Archbishop Ryan	Moon Area			Moon Area
Archbishop Wood	Moon Area			Moon Area
Avon Grove	Moon Area			Moon Area
Avon Grove Charter	Moon Area			Moon Area
Bayard Rustin	Moon Area			Moon Area
Bethlehem Catholic	Moon Area			Moon Area
Bishop Shanahan	Bishop Shanahan			Bishop Shanahan
BL Charter	Moon Area		Moon Area 2- 1 vs 0- 3
Bonner-Prendergast	Moon Area			Moon Area
Boyertown	Moon Area			Moon Area
Cardinal OHara	Moon Area			Moon Area
Central Bucks East	Moon Area			Moon Area
Central Bucks South	Moon Area			Moon Area
Central Bucks West	Central Bucks West			Central Bucks West
Central Philadelphia	Moon Area			Moon Area
Cheltenham	Moon Area			Moon Area
Church Farm School	Moon Area			Moon Area
Coatesville	Moon Area			Moon Area
Conestoga	Conestoga			Conestoga
Conwell Egan	Moon Area			Moon Area
Council Rock North	Moon Area			Moon Area
Council Rock South	Council Rock South			Council Rock South
Delaware Valley Frie	Moon Area			Moon Area
Devon Prep	Moon Area			Moon Area
Downingtown East	Downingtown East			Downingtown East
Downingtown West	Downingtown West			Downingtown West
Easton Area	Easton Area			Easton Area
Emmaus	Moon Area			Moon Area
Episcopal Academy	Episcopal Academy			Episcopal Academy
Father Judge	Moon Area			Moon Area
Frankford	Moon Area			Moon Area
Freedom Bethlehem	Moon Area			Moon Area
Garnet Valley	Moon Area			Moon Area
George School	Moon Area			Moon Area
George Washington	Moon Area			Moon Area
Germantown Academy	Germantown Academy			Germantown Academy
Great Valley	Moon Area			Moon Area
Harriton	Moon Area			Moon Area
Hatboro-Horsham	Moon Area			Moon Area
Haverford HS	Haverford HS			Haverford HS
Haverford School	Moon Area			Moon Area
Hill School	Hill School			Hill School
Holy Ghost Prep	Moon Area			Moon Area
Interboro	Moon Area			Moon Area
Jack Barrack Academy	Moon Area			Moon Area
Kennett	Kennett			Kennett
La Salle College	Moon Area			Moon Area
Lansdale Catholic	Moon Area			Moon Area
Liberty Bethlehem	Moon Area			Moon Area
Lower Merion	Moon Area			Moon Area
Malvern Prep	Moon Area			Moon Area
Marple Newtown	Marple Newtown		Marple Newtown 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Masterman	Moon Area			Moon Area
Mastery Charter Nort	Moon Area			Moon Area
Methacton	Moon Area			Moon Area
Moravian Academy	Moon Area			Moon Area
Nazareth Area	Moon Area			Moon Area
Neshaminy	Moon Area			Moon Area
New Hope-Solebury	Moon Area			Moon Area
North Penn	Moon Area			Moon Area
Northampton Area	Moon Area			Moon Area
Northeast	Northeast			Northeast
Northwestern Lehigh	Moon Area			Moon Area
Olney Charter	Moon Area			Moon Area
Owen J Roberts	Moon Area			Moon Area
Oxford Area	Moon Area			Moon Area
Parkland	Moon Area			Moon Area
Penn Charter	Moon Area			Moon Area
Penncrest	Penncrest			Penncrest
Pennridge	Pennridge			Pennridge
Pennsbury	Moon Area			Moon Area
Perkiomen School	Moon Area			Moon Area
Perkiomen Valley	Moon Area			Moon Area
Phoenixville	Moon Area			Moon Area
Pleasant Valley	Pleasant Valley			Pleasant Valley
Plymouth-Whitemarsh	Moon Area			Moon Area
Pope John Paul II	Moon Area			Moon Area
Pottsgrove	Moon Area			Moon Area
Quakertown	Moon Area			Moon Area
Radnor	Radnor			Radnor
Ridley	Ridley			Ridley
Roman Catholic	Moon Area			Moon Area
Saucon Valley	Moon Area			Moon Area
Shipley School	Shipley School			Shipley School
Solanco	Moon Area			Moon Area
Souderton	Moon Area			Moon Area
South Philadelphia	Moon Area			Moon Area
Southern Lehigh	Moon Area			Moon Area
Spring-Ford	Spring-Ford			Spring-Ford
Springfield Twp	Moon Area			Moon Area
Springfield-Delco	Moon Area			Moon Area
Springside Chestnut	Moon Area			Moon Area
St Josephs Prep	Moon Area			Moon Area
Strath Haven	Moon Area			Moon Area
Sun Valley	Moon Area			Moon Area
Truman	Moon Area			Moon Area
Unionville	Unionville			Unionville
Upper Darby	Moon Area			Moon Area
Upper Dublin	Moon Area			Moon Area
Upper Merion	Moon Area			Moon Area
Upper Moreland	Moon Area			Moon Area
West Chester East	West Chester East			West Chester East
West Chester Henders	Moon Area			Moon Area
West Philadelphia	Moon Area			Moon Area
Westtown	Moon Area			Moon Area
William Tennent	Moon Area			Moon Area
Wissahickon	Wissahickon			Wissahickon
Baldwin	Moon Area			Moon Area
Bethel Park	Moon Area		Moon Area 5- 1 vs 3- 3
Butler Area	Moon Area	Moon Area
Canon-McMillan	Moon Area			Moon Area
Cathedral Prep	Moon Area			Moon Area
Central Catholic	Moon Area			Moon Area
Chartiers Valley	Moon Area			Moon Area
Conneaut	Moon Area			Moon Area
Erie-McDowell	Moon Area			Moon Area
Fairview	Moon Area			Moon Area
Fox Chapel	Moon Area	Moon Area
Franklin Regional	Moon Area		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Moon Area
Freeport Area	Moon Area		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Moon Area
Gateway	Moon Area			Moon Area
Greensburg Central C	Moon Area			Moon Area
Hampton	Moon Area		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Moon Area
Hempfield Greensburg	Moon Area			Moon Area
Hickory	Moon Area			Moon Area
Indiana Area	Moon Area			Moon Area
Knoch	Moon Area		Moon Area 3- 0 vs 0- 3
Latrobe	Moon Area			Moon Area
Mars Area	Mars Area			Mars Area
Meadville-Crawford C	Moon Area			Moon Area
Mount Lebanon	Mount Lebanon		tied - ( 4- 2) ( 4- 2)	Mount Lebanon
North Allegheny	Moon Area	Moon Area
North Catholic	Moon Area			Moon Area
North Hills	Moon Area	Moon Area
Norwin	Moon Area	Moon Area
Penn-Trafford	Moon Area			Moon Area
Peters Township	Peters Township		insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 3- 3)	Peters Township
Pine Richland	Pine Richland	Pine Richland
Plum	Moon Area		insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2)	Moon Area
Quaker Valley	Quaker Valley		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Quaker Valley
Seneca Valley	Moon Area	Moon Area
Seton LaSalle	Moon Area			Moon Area
Sewickley Academy	Moon Area		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Moon Area
Shady Side Academy	Moon Area			Moon Area
Shaler Area	Moon Area	Moon Area
South Fayette	Moon Area			Moon Area
Taylor Allderdice	Moon Area			Moon Area
Trinity Area	Moon Area		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Moon Area
Upper St Clair	Upper St Clair	Upper St Clair
West Allegheny	Moon Area			Moon Area
Winchester Thurston	Moon Area			Moon Area
Abington Heights	Abington Heights			Abington Heights
Bellefonte	Moon Area			Moon Area
Berks Catholic	Moon Area			Moon Area
Bishop McDevitt	Moon Area			Moon Area
Carlisle	Moon Area			Moon Area
Cedar Cliff	Moon Area			Moon Area
Cedar Crest	Moon Area			Moon Area
Central Dauphin	Moon Area			Moon Area
Central Dauphin East	Moon Area			Moon Area
Central York	Moon Area			Moon Area
Chambersburg	Moon Area			Moon Area
Cocalico	Cocalico			Cocalico
Conestoga Valley	Moon Area			Moon Area
Conrad Weiser	Moon Area			Moon Area
Crestwood	Moon Area			Moon Area
Cumberland Valley	Cumberland Valley			Cumberland Valley
Dallas	Moon Area			Moon Area
Dallastown	Dallastown			Dallastown
Daniel Boone	Moon Area			Moon Area
Danville Area	Moon Area			Moon Area
Delaware Valley	Moon Area			Moon Area
Delone Catholic	Moon Area			Moon Area
Dover Area	Moon Area			Moon Area
Eastern York	Moon Area			Moon Area
Elizabethtown	Moon Area			Moon Area
Ephrata	Moon Area			Moon Area
Exeter Township	Moon Area			Moon Area
Garden Spot	Moon Area			Moon Area
Gettysburg	Moon Area			Moon Area
Governor Mifflin	Moon Area			Moon Area
Hempfield	Moon Area		Moon Area 2- 1 vs 0- 3
Hershey	Moon Area			Moon Area
Kennard-Dale	Moon Area			Moon Area
Lake-Lehman	Moon Area			Moon Area
Lakeland	Moon Area			Moon Area
Lampeter-Strasburg	Moon Area			Moon Area
Lancaster CDS	Moon Area			Moon Area
Lewisburg	Moon Area			Moon Area
Lower Dauphin	Moon Area			Moon Area
Manheim Township	Moon Area			Moon Area
Mechanicsburg	Moon Area			Moon Area
Mifflin County	Moon Area			Moon Area
Mifflinburg	Moon Area			Moon Area
Muhlenberg	Moon Area			Moon Area
New Oxford	New Oxford			New Oxford
North Pocono	Moon Area			Moon Area
Northern York	Moon Area			Moon Area
Palmyra	Moon Area			Moon Area
Penn Manor	Penn Manor			Penn Manor
Red Land	Red Land			Red Land
Red Lion	Moon Area			Moon Area
Schuylkill Valley	Moon Area			Moon Area
Scranton Prep	Moon Area			Moon Area
Selinsgrove	Moon Area			Moon Area
South-Western	Moon Area			Moon Area
Spring Grove	Moon Area			Moon Area
State College	Moon Area		tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)	Moon Area
Susquehannock	Susquehannock			Susquehannock
Trinity HS	Moon Area			Moon Area
Tunkhannock	Moon Area			Moon Area
Twin Valley	Twin Valley			Twin Valley
Warwick	Moon Area			Moon Area
West York	Moon Area			Moon Area
Wilkes-Barre Area	Moon Area			Moon Area
Wilson West Lawn	Moon Area			Moon Area
Wyoming Area	Moon Area			Moon Area
Wyoming Seminary	Moon Area			Moon Area
Wyomissing	Wyomissing			Wyomissing
York Catholic	Moon Area			Moon Area
York Suburban	Moon Area			Moon Area

PowerWise = 185

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 3.42

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Norwin          ( 5- 8, 79.2)    12- 6      -20.74       9.18       0.11         0.28             2.64
   0 A North Hills     ( 4- 7, 77.8)    13-11      -22.08       7.84       0.11         0.28             2.26
   0 H North Alleghen  ( 2-12, 77.6)    10- 5      -22.30       7.62      -0.11         0.28             2.14
   0 A Upper St Clair  (12- 3, 86.8)     7-14      -13.12      16.80       0.11         0.28            -3.71
   0 H Fox Chapel      ( 7- 5, 82.2)    13- 7      -17.71      12.21      -0.11         0.28             3.45
   0 A Butler Area     ( 6- 5, 79.6)     9- 7      -20.29       9.64       0.11         0.28             2.78
   0 H Shaler Area     ( 5- 7, 80.8)     8- 3      -19.06      10.86      -0.11         0.28             3.06
   0 A Seneca Valley   ( 1- 8, 74.1)    15- 2      -25.83       4.09       0.11         0.28             1.20
   0 H Pine Richland   (13- 2, 88.7)     8-14      -11.23      18.69      -0.11         0.28            -3.23
   0 H Norwin          ( 5- 8, 79.2)    13- 7      -20.74       9.18      -0.11         0.28             2.58
   0 N Pine Richland   (13- 2, 88.7)     6-16      -11.23      18.69      -0.00         0.28            -3.20
   0 A Upper St Clair  (12- 3, 86.8)     7-12      -13.12      16.80       0.11         0.28            -3.71
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                         6.27

winning pts = 20.1177 losing points = -13.8430

SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------