---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:50 PDT

safe3step girls Monticello 1
  
Monticello            
W-L: ( 6- 8) PR = 82.6413

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 410 A St Cloud Area ( 7- 8, 78.2) 16-12 412 H Moorhead (12- 4, 87.1) 6-12 414 A Buffalo (11- 4, 91.7) 2-19 421 A Elk River/Zimmerman (12- 6, 90.2) 3-23 422 H St Michael-Albertville ( 9- 6, 89.2) 6-16 425 A Big Lake ( 1-13, 73.3) 17- 6 429 H Sartell-Sauk Rapids ( 0-14, 67.2) 19- 0 501 A Becker ( 6- 7, 78.0) 13- 5 506 H Chisago Lakes (14- 4, 90.0) 3-18 509 A Rocori ( 4-10, 74.3) 13- 4 512 A Rogers ( 7- 7, 87.5) 8-15 515 H Brainerd ( 7- 8, 79.7) 13- 9 520 H Delano/Rockford (11- 3, 87.7) 5-10 529 A Elk River/Zimmerman (12- 6, 90.2) 2-22

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 A St Cloud Area          16-12       4     4           0.16
   412 H Moorhead                6-12      -6    -4          -1.10
   414 A Buffalo                 2-19     -17   -10           0.00
   421 A Elk River/Zimmerman     3-23     -20    -8           0.00
   422 H St Michael-Albertville  6-16     -10    -6           0.00
   425 A Big Lake               17- 6      11     9           0.00
   429 H Sartell-Sauk Rapids    19- 0      19    16           0.00
   501 A Becker                 13- 5       8     4           1.00
   506 H Chisago Lakes           3-18     -15    -7           0.00
   509 A Rocori                 13- 4       9     8           0.00
   512 A Rogers                  8-15      -7    -5           0.00
   515 H Brainerd               13- 9       4     4           0.49
   520 H Delano/Rockford         5-10      -5    -4          -0.55
   529 A Elk River/Zimmerman     2-22     -20    -8           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Monticello Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Andover Andover tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Andover
Anoka Monticello tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Monticello
Apple Valley Monticello   Monticello
Becker Monticello Monticello  
Benilde-St Margarets Benilde-St Margarets   Benilde-St Margarets
Big Lake Monticello Monticello  
Blaine Blaine tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Blaine
Blake School Blake School   Blake School
Bloomington Jefferson Bloomington Jefferson   Bloomington Jefferson
Bloomington Kennedy/Burn Monticello   Monticello
Brainerd Monticello Monticello  
Breck School Breck School tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Breck School
Buffalo Buffalo Buffalo  
Centennial Centennial tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Centennial
Champlin Park Champlin Park Champlin Park   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Chanhassen Chanhassen   Chanhassen
Chaska Chaska insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Chaska
Chisago Lakes Chisago Lakes Chisago Lakes  
Columbia Heights Monticello   Monticello
Cretin-Derham Hall Cretin-Derham Hall insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cretin-Derham Hall
Delano/Rockford Delano/Rockford Delano/Rockford  
Duluth Co-Op Duluth Co-Op tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Duluth Co-Op
Duluth Marshall Monticello   Monticello
East Ridge East Ridge   East Ridge
Eastview/Eagan Monticello   Monticello
Eden Prairie Eden Prairie tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Eden Prairie
Edina Edina Edina   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Elk River/Zimmerman Elk River/Zimmerman Elk River/Zimmerman  
Farmington Farmington   Farmington
Forest Lake Monticello tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Monticello
Gentry/Mounds Park Acade Gentry/Mounds Park Acade insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Gentry/Mounds Park Acade
Grand Rapids-Greenway Grand Rapids-Greenway tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Grand Rapids-Greenway
Hastings Monticello   Monticello
Hermantown-Proctor Monticello tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Monticello
Hill-Murray Hill-Murray tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hill-Murray
Holy Angels Academy Holy Angels Academy   Holy Angels Academy
Holy Family Catholic Holy Family Catholic tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Holy Family Catholic
Hopkins Hopkins tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Hopkins
Hutchinson Monticello tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Monticello
Irondale Monticello   Monticello
Lakeville North Monticello tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Monticello
Lakeville South Lakeville South   Lakeville South
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi   Mahtomedi
Mankato Co-Op Monticello   Monticello
Maple Grove Maple Grove Maple Grove   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Minneapolis Co-Op Monticello   Monticello
Minnetonka Minnetonka Minnetonka   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Moorhead Moorhead Moorhead  
Mound Westonka Mound Westonka tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Mound Westonka
Mounds View Monticello tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Monticello
New Prague New Prague tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) New Prague
Northfield Monticello   Monticello
Orono Orono insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Orono
Osseo-Park Center Monticello tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Monticello
Owatonna Monticello   Monticello
Park of Cottage Grove Park of Cottage Grove insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Park of Cottage Grove
Prior Lake Prior Lake insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Prior Lake
Robbinsdale Armstrong/Co Robbinsdale Armstrong/Co tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Robbinsdale Armstrong/Co
Rochester Century Monticello   Monticello
Rochester JM/Lourdes Monticello   Monticello
Rochester Mayo Monticello   Monticello
Rocori Monticello Monticello  
Rogers Rogers Rogers  
Rosemount Rosemount   Rosemount
Roseville Roseville   Roseville
Sartell-Sauk Rapids Monticello Monticello  
Shakopee Shakopee   Shakopee
Simley Simley   Simley
Southwest Christian Southwest Christian insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Southwest Christian
Spring Lake Park/Coon Ra Monticello tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Monticello
St Cloud Area Monticello Monticello  
St Croix Prep St Croix Prep insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) St Croix Prep
St Louis Park St Louis Park   St Louis Park
St Michael-Albertville St Michael-Albertville St Michael-Albertville  
St Paul Academy Monticello   Monticello
St Paul/Two Rivers Monticello   Monticello
Stillwater Stillwater   Stillwater
Tartan/North St Paul Monticello tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Monticello
Totino-Grace Totino-Grace tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Totino-Grace
Visitation Monticello   Monticello
Waconia Monticello tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Monticello
Wayzata Wayzata Wayzata   2- 0 vs 0- 2
White Bear Lake White Bear Lake   White Bear Lake
Woodbury Woodbury   Woodbury

PowerWise = 33


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.68

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A St Cloud Area   ( 7- 8, 78.2)    16-12      -21.69      11.37       0.59         1.05            12.55
   0 H Moorhead        (12- 4, 87.1)     6-12      -12.76      20.30      -0.59         1.05           -14.00
   0 A Buffalo         (11- 4, 91.7)     2-19       -8.20      24.86       0.59         1.05            -7.98
   0 A Elk River/Zimm  (12- 6, 90.2)     3-23       -9.70      23.36       0.59         1.05            -9.56
   0 H St Michael-Alb  ( 9- 6, 89.2)     6-16      -10.72      22.34      -0.59         1.05           -11.87
   0 A Big Lake        ( 1-13, 73.3)    17- 6      -26.58       6.48       0.59         1.05             7.41
   0 H Sartell-Sauk R  ( 0-14, 67.2)    19- 0      -32.70       1.00      -0.59         1.05             0.43
   0 A Becker          ( 6- 7, 78.0)    13- 5      -21.85      11.21       0.59         1.05            12.37
   0 H Chisago Lakes   (14- 4, 90.0)     3-18       -9.90      23.16      -0.59         1.05           -11.00
   0 A Rocori          ( 4-10, 74.3)    13- 4      -25.64       7.42       0.59         1.05             8.40
   0 A Rogers          ( 7- 7, 87.5)     8-15      -12.40      20.66       0.59         1.05           -12.39
   0 H Brainerd        ( 7- 8, 79.7)    13- 9      -20.17      12.89      -0.59         1.05            12.89
   0 H Delano/Rockfor  (11- 3, 87.7)     5-10      -12.22      20.84      -0.59         1.05           -13.44
   0 A Elk River/Zimm  (12- 6, 90.2)     2-22       -9.70      23.36       0.59         1.05            -9.56
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -35.73

winning pts = 54.0588 losing points = -89.7863

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------