Montville
W-L: (11- 7) PR = 77.1341Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 405 H Wheeler (12- 6, 77.8) 13-14 408 A New London/St Bernards ( 7-10, 72.3) 11- 5 410 H Valley Regional ( 6-10, 73.7) 11- 7 412 A Norwich Free Academy (12- 6, 80.0) 5- 9 419 H Old Saybrook (11- 7, 76.3) 14- 3 422 A Griswold-Norwich Tech ( 2-14, 69.7) 13- 1 428 A Woodstock Academy ( 3-13, 72.3) 10- 3 429 H Ledyard ( 9- 8, 78.7) 8-12 501 A Bacon/East Hampton (11- 7, 75.4) 10- 5 503 H Griswold-Norwich Tech ( 2-14, 69.7) 19- 3 509 A Wheeler (12- 6, 77.8) 15-13 510 H New London/St Bernards ( 7-10, 72.3) 11- 7 512 A Old Lyme (13- 6, 78.2) 8-16 513 A Stonington (12- 5, 79.9) 5-12 515 H Bacon/East Hampton (11- 7, 75.4) 12- 8 519 H Woodstock Academy ( 3-13, 72.3) 10- 3 523 H Wheeler (12- 6, 77.8) 12-16 603 A Old Lyme (13- 6, 78.2) 8- 9
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
405 H Wheeler 13-14 -1 0 -1.03
408 A New London/St Bernards 11- 5 6 4 0.89
410 H Valley Regional 11- 7 4 4 -0.13
412 A Norwich Free Academy 5- 9 -4 -4 -0.41
419 H Old Saybrook 14- 3 11 2 + 3.48
422 A Griswold-Norwich Tech 13- 1 12 7 0.00
428 A Woodstock Academy 10- 3 7 4 0.92
429 H Ledyard 8-12 -4 -1 - -3.20
501 A Bacon/East Hampton 10- 5 5 1 ++ 4.01
503 H Griswold-Norwich Tech 19- 3 16 8 0.00
509 A Wheeler 15-13 2 -1 + 3.42
510 H New London/St Bernards 11- 7 4 6 -1.00
512 A Old Lyme 8-16 -8 -2 - -3.21
513 A Stonington 5-12 -7 -3 -1.52
515 H Bacon/East Hampton 12- 8 4 2 1.56
519 H Woodstock Academy 10- 3 7 6 0.00
523 H Wheeler 12-16 -4 0 -- -4.03
603 A Old Lyme 8- 9 -1 -2 0.79
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 523 H Wheeler 12-16 -4 0 -- -4.03 429 H Ledyard 8-12 -4 -1 - -3.20 512 A Old Lyme 8-16 -8 -2 - -3.21 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 501 A Bacon/East Hampton 10- 5 5 1 ++ 4.01 419 H Old Saybrook 14- 3 11 2 + 3.48 509 A Wheeler 15-13 2 -1 + 3.42 |
Montville Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amity Regional | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| Avon HS | Avon HS | Avon HS | ||
| Bacon/East Hampton | Montville | Montville | ||
| Berlin | Montville | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Montville | |
| Bethel | Bethel | Bethel | ||
| Branford | Branford | Branford | ||
| Brien McMahon | Brien McMahon | Brien McMahon | ||
| Bristol Central | Montville | Montville | ||
| Bristol Eastern | Bristol Eastern | Bristol Eastern | ||
| Brookfield | Brookfield | Brookfield | ||
| Canton | Canton | Canton | ||
| Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS | ||
| Conard | Conard | Conard | ||
| Cromwell | Montville | Montville 4- 1 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Danbury | Montville | Montville | ||
| Daniel Hand | Daniel Hand | Daniel Hand | ||
| Darien | Darien | Darien | ||
| East Catholic | East Catholic | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 0) | East Catholic | |
| East Lyme | East Lyme | East Lyme 5- 0 vs 2- 5 | ||
| Ellington | Ellington | Ellington | ||
| Enfield | Montville | Montville 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| EO Smith | Montville | Montville | ||
| Fairfield Ludlowe | Fairfield Ludlowe | Fairfield Ludlowe | ||
| Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | ||
| Farmington | Farmington | Farmington | ||
| Fitch | Montville | Montville 4- 2 vs 0- 6 | ||
| Foran | Foran | Foran | ||
| Glastonbury | Glastonbury | Glastonbury | ||
| Granby Memorial | Granby Memorial | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Granby Memorial | |
| Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | ||
| Griswold-Norwich Tech | Montville | Montville | ||
| Guilford | Guilford | Guilford | ||
| Haddam-Killingworth | Montville | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) | Montville | |
| Hall | Hall | Hall | ||
| Hamden | Hamden | Hamden | ||
| Housatonic Regional | Montville | Montville | ||
| Immaculate Heart | Montville | Montville | ||
| Joel Barlow | Joel Barlow | Joel Barlow | ||
| Jonathan Law | Montville | Montville | ||
| Killingly | Montville | Montville 4- 5 vs 1- 6 | ||
| Lakeview United | Montville | Montville | ||
| Lauralton Hall | Lauralton Hall | Lauralton Hall | ||
| Ledyard | Ledyard | Ledyard | ||
| Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills | ||
| Lyman Hall | Lyman Hall | Lyman Hall | ||
| Masuk | Masuk | Masuk | ||
| Mercy | Mercy | Mercy | ||
| Middletown-Coginchaug | Montville | Montville | ||
| Morgan School | Montville | Montville 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| New Canaan | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| New Fairfield | New Fairfield | New Fairfield | ||
| New London/St Bernards | Montville | Montville | ||
| New Milford | Montville | Montville | ||
| Newington | Newington | Newington | ||
| Newtown | Newtown | Newtown | ||
| North Branford | Montville | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Montville | |
| North Haven | Montville | Montville | ||
| Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Northwest Catholic | |
| Norwalk | Norwalk | Norwalk | ||
| Norwich Free Academy | Norwich Free Academy | Norwich Free Academy | ||
| Notre Dame Fairfield | Montville | Montville | ||
| Old Lyme | Old Lyme | Old Lyme | ||
| Old Saybrook | Montville | Montville | ||
| Pomperaug | Pomperaug | Pomperaug | ||
| RHAM | Montville | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Montville | |
| Ridgefield | Ridgefield | Ridgefield | ||
| Rockville | Montville | Montville | ||
| Rocky Hill | Montville | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Montville | |
| Sacred Heart Academy | Sacred Heart Academy | Sacred Heart Academy | ||
| Sheehan | Sheehan | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Sheehan | |
| Shelton | Montville | Montville | ||
| Simsbury | Simsbury | Simsbury | ||
| Somers | Somers | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Somers | |
| South Windsor | South Windsor | South Windsor | ||
| Southington | Southington | Southington | ||
| St Joseph | St Joseph | St Joseph | ||
| St Paul Catholic | Montville | Montville | ||
| Stamford | Stamford | Stamford | ||
| Staples | Staples | Staples | ||
| Stonington | Stonington | Stonington | ||
| Stratford-Bunnell | Montville | Montville | ||
| Suffield HS | Suffield HS | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Suffield HS | |
| Tolland | Tolland | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Tolland | |
| Trumbull | Trumbull | Trumbull | ||
| Valley Regional | Montville | Montville | ||
| Waterford | Waterford | Waterford 5- 1 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Watertown | Montville | Montville | ||
| West Haven | Montville | Montville | ||
| Westhill | Westhill | Westhill | ||
| Weston | Weston | Weston | ||
| Wethersfield | Montville | Montville | ||
| Wheeler | Wheeler | Wheeler | ||
| Wilton | Wilton | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Wilton | |
| Windsor | Montville | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Montville | |
| Wolcott | Montville | Montville | ||
| Woodstock Academy | Montville | Montville |
PowerWise = 36
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.51
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Wheeler (12- 6, 77.8) 13-14 -22.07 12.74 -0.73 0.97 -22.17
0 A New London/St ( 7-10, 72.3) 11- 5 -27.60 7.21 0.73 0.97 7.72
0 H Valley Regiona ( 6-10, 73.7) 11- 7 -26.17 8.64 -0.73 0.97 7.70
0 A Norwich Free A (12- 6, 80.0) 5- 9 -19.91 14.90 0.73 0.97 -18.65
0 H Old Saybrook (11- 7, 76.3) 14- 3 -23.56 11.25 -0.73 0.97 10.24
0 A Griswold-Norwi ( 2-14, 69.7) 13- 1 -30.16 4.65 0.73 0.97 5.23
0 A Woodstock Acad ( 3-13, 72.3) 10- 3 -27.57 7.24 0.73 0.97 7.75
0 H Ledyard ( 9- 8, 78.7) 8-12 -21.24 13.56 -0.73 0.97 -21.37
0 A Bacon/East Ham (11- 7, 75.4) 10- 5 -24.48 10.33 0.73 0.97 10.75
0 H Griswold-Norwi ( 2-14, 69.7) 19- 3 -30.16 4.65 -0.73 0.97 3.82
0 A Wheeler (12- 6, 77.8) 15-13 -22.07 12.74 0.73 0.97 13.09
0 H New London/St ( 7-10, 72.3) 11- 7 -27.60 7.21 -0.73 0.97 6.30
0 A Old Lyme (13- 6, 78.2) 8-16 -21.70 13.11 0.73 0.97 -20.40
0 A Stonington (12- 5, 79.9) 5-12 -20.01 14.80 0.73 0.97 -18.75
0 H Bacon/East Ham (11- 7, 75.4) 12- 8 -24.48 10.33 -0.73 0.97 9.34
0 H Woodstock Acad ( 3-13, 72.3) 10- 3 -27.57 7.24 -0.73 0.97 6.33
0 H Wheeler (12- 6, 77.8) 12-16 -22.07 12.74 -0.73 0.97 -22.17
0 A Old Lyme (13- 6, 78.2) 8- 9 -21.70 13.11 0.73 0.97 -20.40
------
-55.65
|
winning pts = 88.2595 losing points = -143.9092
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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