---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:49 PDT

safe3step girls Melrose 1
  
Melrose               
W-L: (14- 5) PR = 91.9024

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 401 H Belmont (14- 8, 92.2) 14-15 403 H Marblehead (12- 7, 88.3) 18- 7 409 H Winchester ( 8-11, 87.4) 14- 5 411 A Wakefield Memorial ( 8-11, 86.3) 18- 9 415 H Burlington ( 8-12, 89.8) 11- 5 419 A Billerica Memorial ( 8-12, 91.3) 10-17 421 A Lynnfield ( 9-13, 87.4) 18-14 425 A Reading Memorial (20- 4, 97.2) 6-18 428 H Wayland (12-10, 91.8) 16-14 430 A Lexington HS (20- 2, 93.1) 9-12 501 H Arlington HS ( 7-15, 85.9) 17- 8 509 A Woburn Memorial ( 5-13, 84.5) 14- 6 510 H Beverly (13- 7, 90.0) 13- 9 513 A Wilmington ( 9-13, 84.0) 17- 6 515 A Methuen (16- 5, 90.0) 10- 9 519 A Stoneham ( 3-16, 81.6) 18- 9 521 H Watertown (10-13, 84.6) 15- 7 601 H Whitman-Hanson Regiona ( 8- 8, 87.3) 16- 3 604 A Longmeadow ( 8-10, 94.2) 13-14

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Belmont                14-15      -1     0          -1.23
   403 H Marblehead             18- 7      11     4           0.81
   409 H Winchester             14- 5       9     5           0.00
   411 A Wakefield Memorial     18- 9       9     5           0.00
   415 H Burlington             11- 5       6     3    +      2.34
   419 A Billerica Memorial     10-17      -7     0    --    -5.00
   421 A Lynnfield              18-14       4     4           0.05
   425 A Reading Memorial        6-18     -12    -6           0.00
   428 H Wayland                16-14       2     1           1.28
   430 A Lexington HS            9-12      -3    -2          -1.21
   501 H Arlington HS           17- 8       9     7           0.00
   509 A Woburn Memorial        14- 6       8     7           0.00
   510 H Beverly                13- 9       4     2           1.52
   513 A Wilmington             17- 6      11     7           0.00
   515 A Methuen                10- 9       1     1          -0.36
   519 A Stoneham               18- 9       9    10           0.00
   521 H Watertown              15- 7       8     8           0.00
   601 H Whitman-Hanson Regiona 16- 3      13     5           0.00
   604 A Longmeadow             13-14      -1    -3           1.84

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 A Billerica Memorial     10-17      -7     0    --    -5.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 H Burlington             11- 5       6     3    +      2.34

Melrose Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Abington Melrose   Melrose
Acton-Boxborough Melrose insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Melrose
Agawam Melrose tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Melrose
Algonquin Melrose insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Melrose
Amherst-Pelham Melrose   Melrose
AMSA Charter Melrose   Melrose
Andover HS Andover HS Andover HS   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Apponequet Melrose   Melrose
Archbishop Williams Melrose   Melrose
Arlington Catholic Melrose Melrose   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Arlington HS Melrose Melrose  
Ashland Melrose   Melrose
Assabet Valley RVT Melrose   Melrose
Attleboro Melrose   Melrose
Auburn Melrose insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Melrose
Barnstable Melrose   Melrose
Bay Path RVT Melrose   Melrose
Bedford HS Melrose tied - ( 4- 3) ( 4- 3) Melrose
Belchertown Melrose   Melrose
Bellingham Melrose   Melrose
Belmont Belmont Belmont  
Beverly Melrose Melrose  
Billerica Memorial Billerica Memorial Billerica Memorial  
Bishop Feehan Melrose   Melrose
Bishop Fenwick Melrose tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Melrose
Bishop Stang Melrose   Melrose
Blackstone Valley Tech Melrose   Melrose
Boston Latin Academy Melrose insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Melrose
Boston Latin School Melrose tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) Melrose
Bourne Melrose   Melrose
Braintree Melrose tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Melrose
Bridgewater-Raynham Melrose tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Melrose
Bristol County Agricultu Melrose   Melrose
Bristol-Plymouth RVT Melrose   Melrose
Bromfield Melrose   Melrose
Brookline Melrose tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Melrose
Burlington Melrose Melrose  
Cambridge Rindge/Latin Melrose Melrose   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Canton Melrose insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Melrose
Cape Cod Academy Melrose   Melrose
Cape Cod Tech Melrose   Melrose
Cardinal Spellman Melrose   Melrose
Central Catholic Central Catholic insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 1) Central Catholic
Chelmsford Chelmsford Chelmsford   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Chicopee Comp Melrose   Melrose
Chicopee HS Melrose insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Melrose
Cohasset Cohasset Cohasset   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Concord-Carlisle Concord-Carlisle tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 0) Concord-Carlisle
Danvers Melrose Melrose   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Dartmouth Melrose   Melrose
Dedham Melrose   Melrose
Dennis-Yarmouth Melrose   Melrose
Dighton-Rehoboth Melrose   Melrose
Doherty Memorial Melrose   Melrose
Dover-Sherborn Melrose   Melrose
Dracut Melrose insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Melrose
Duxbury Duxbury tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Duxbury
East Bridgewater Melrose   Melrose
East Longmeadow East Longmeadow tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) East Longmeadow
Essex North Shore Tech Melrose Melrose   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Everett Melrose   Melrose
Fairhaven Melrose   Melrose
Falmouth Academy Melrose   Melrose
Falmouth HS Melrose   Melrose
Fontbonne Academy Melrose insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Melrose
Foxborough Melrose insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Melrose
Framingham Melrose   Melrose
Franklin Franklin insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Franklin
Georgetown Melrose Melrose   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Gloucester Melrose Melrose   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Grafton Melrose insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Melrose
Granby Melrose   Melrose
Greater Lowell Tech Melrose insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Melrose
Greater New Bedford RVT Melrose   Melrose
Groton-Dunstable Melrose tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Melrose
Hamilton-Wenham Melrose tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Melrose
Hampshire Regional Melrose   Melrose
Hanover Melrose tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Melrose
Haverhill Melrose Melrose   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Hingham Hingham tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Hingham
Holliston Melrose   Melrose
Hoosac Valley Melrose   Melrose
Hopedale Melrose   Melrose
Hopkinton Melrose insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Melrose
Hudson/Clinton Melrose   Melrose
Hull Melrose   Melrose
Ipswich Ipswich tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Ipswich
King Philip Regional King Philip Regional   King Philip Regional
Lee/Lenox/Monument Mtn Melrose   Melrose
Leominster Melrose tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Melrose
Lexington HS Lexington HS Lexington HS  
Lincoln-Sudbury Lincoln-Sudbury insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Lincoln-Sudbury
Littleton Melrose   Melrose
Longmeadow Longmeadow Longmeadow  
Lowell Melrose insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Melrose
Lowell Catholic Melrose   Melrose
Lunenburg Melrose   Melrose
Lynnfield Melrose Melrose  
Malden Melrose   Melrose
Malden Catholic Melrose   Melrose
Manchester-Essex Melrose tied - ( 4- 0) ( 4- 0) Melrose
Mansfield Melrose tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Melrose
Marblehead Melrose Melrose  
Marlborough Melrose   Melrose
Marshfield Melrose insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Melrose
Marthas Vineyard Melrose   Melrose
Masconomet Melrose Melrose   4- 1 vs 0- 4
Mashpee Melrose   Melrose
McCann Tech Melrose   Melrose
Medfield Medfield tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 0) Medfield
Medford Melrose insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 0) Melrose
Medway Melrose   Melrose
Methuen Melrose Melrose  
Middleboro Melrose   Melrose
Milford Melrose   Melrose
Milton HS Melrose   Melrose
Minnechaug Regional Melrose tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Melrose
Monomoy Melrose   Melrose
Monson Melrose   Melrose
Montachusett RVT Melrose   Melrose
Mount Greylock Regional Melrose   Melrose
Mystic Valley Charter Melrose insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Melrose
Nantucket Melrose   Melrose
Nashoba Regional Melrose tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Melrose
Nashoba Valley Tech Melrose   Melrose
Natick Melrose   Melrose
Nauset Regional Melrose   Melrose
Needham Melrose tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Melrose
New Bedford Melrose   Melrose
Newburyport Newburyport tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Newburyport
Newton North Newton North   Newton North
Newton South Melrose insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Melrose
Nipmuc Regional Melrose insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Melrose
North Andover North Andover North Andover   7- 1 vs 5- 3
North Attleborough Melrose tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Melrose
North Middlesex Melrose   Melrose
North Quincy Melrose insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Melrose
North Reading Melrose insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Melrose
Northampton Melrose   Melrose
Northbridge Melrose   Melrose
Northeast RVT Melrose   Melrose
Norton Melrose   Melrose
Norwell Norwell insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Norwell
Norwood Melrose   Melrose
Notre Dame Hingham Notre Dame Hingham insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) Notre Dame Hingham
Notre Dame Worcester Melrose   Melrose
Oakmont Regional Melrose insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Melrose
Old Colony RVT Melrose   Melrose
Old Rochester Regional Melrose insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Melrose
Oliver Ames Melrose insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Melrose
Peabody Veterans Memoria Melrose insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) Melrose
Pembroke Melrose insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Melrose
Pentucket Regional Melrose insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 3- 1) Melrose
Pittsfield/Taconic Melrose   Melrose
Plymouth North Melrose insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Melrose
Plymouth South Melrose insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Melrose
Pope Francis Melrose   Melrose
Quincy Melrose insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Melrose
Reading Memorial Reading Memorial Reading Memorial  
Revere Melrose   Melrose
Rockland Melrose   Melrose
Salem Melrose Melrose   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Sandwich Sandwich   Sandwich
Saugus Melrose Melrose   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Scituate Scituate tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Scituate
Seekonk Melrose   Melrose
Sharon Melrose   Melrose
Shawsheen Valley Tech Melrose insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Melrose
Shepherd Hill Melrose   Melrose
Shrewsbury Melrose tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Melrose
Silver Lake Melrose insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Melrose
Smith VoTech Melrose   Melrose
Somerset Berkley Melrose   Melrose
Somerville Melrose   Melrose
South Hadley Melrose   Melrose
South Shore RVT Melrose   Melrose
Southeastern RVT Melrose   Melrose
Springfield Central Melrose   Melrose
St Bernards Melrose   Melrose
St John Paul II Melrose   Melrose
St Marys Lynn Melrose Melrose   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Stoneham Melrose Melrose  
Stoughton Melrose   Melrose
Sturgis Charter East Melrose   Melrose
Sturgis Charter West Melrose   Melrose
Swampscott Melrose Melrose   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Tahanto Regional Melrose   Melrose
Tantasqua Melrose   Melrose
Taunton Melrose   Melrose
Tewksbury Memorial Melrose Melrose   5- 0 vs 1- 4
Tri-County RVT Melrose   Melrose
Triton Regional Melrose insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Melrose
Tyngsborough Melrose   Melrose
Upper Cape Cod RVT Melrose   Melrose
Ursuline Academy Melrose   Melrose
Wachusett Melrose   Melrose
Wahconah Regional Melrose   Melrose
Wakefield Memorial Melrose Melrose  
Walpole Walpole insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) Walpole
Waltham Melrose tied - ( 4- 1) ( 4- 1) Melrose
Watertown Melrose Melrose  
Wayland Melrose Melrose  
Wellesley Wellesley   Wellesley
West Springfield Melrose tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Melrose
Westborough Melrose tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Melrose
Westfield Melrose   Melrose
Westford Academy Westford Academy insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 4- 1) Westford Academy
Weston Weston insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) Weston
Westwood Westwood tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Westwood
Weymouth Melrose   Melrose
Whitman-Hanson Regional Melrose Melrose  
Whittier RVT Melrose   Melrose
Wilmington Melrose Melrose  
Winchester Melrose Melrose  
Winthrop Melrose Melrose   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Woburn Memorial Melrose Melrose  

PowerWise = 186


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 18.83

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Belmont         (14- 8, 92.2)    14-15       -7.65      25.65      -0.58         0.99            -8.16
   0 H Marblehead      (12- 7, 88.3)    18- 7      -11.61      21.69      -0.58         0.99            20.92
   0 H Winchester      ( 8-11, 87.4)    14- 5      -12.46      20.84      -0.58         0.99            20.08
   0 A Wakefield Memo  ( 8-11, 86.3)    18- 9      -13.59      19.71       0.58         0.99            20.11
   0 H Burlington      ( 8-12, 89.8)    11- 5      -10.08      23.22      -0.58         0.99            22.44
   0 A Billerica Memo  ( 8-12, 91.3)    10-17       -8.58      24.72       0.58         0.99            -7.93
   0 A Lynnfield       ( 9-13, 87.4)    18-14      -12.53      20.77       0.58         0.99            21.16
   0 A Reading Memori  (20- 4, 97.2)     6-18       -2.70      30.60       0.58         0.99            -2.11
   0 H Wayland         (12-10, 91.8)    16-14       -8.14      25.16      -0.58         0.99            24.36
   0 A Lexington HS    (20- 2, 93.1)     9-12       -6.79      26.51       0.58         0.99            -6.15
   0 H Arlington HS    ( 7-15, 85.9)    17- 8      -13.99      19.31      -0.58         0.99            18.56
   0 A Woburn Memoria  ( 5-13, 84.5)    14- 6      -15.44      17.86       0.58         0.99            18.27
   0 H Beverly         (13- 7, 90.0)    13- 9       -9.90      23.40      -0.58         0.99            22.62
   0 A Wilmington      ( 9-13, 84.0)    17- 6      -15.90      17.40       0.58         0.99            17.82
   0 A Methuen         (16- 5, 90.0)    10- 9       -9.94      23.36       0.58         0.99            23.72
   0 A Stoneham        ( 3-16, 81.6)    18- 9      -18.28      15.02       0.58         0.99            15.45
   0 H Watertown       (10-13, 84.6)    15- 7      -15.28      18.02      -0.58         0.99            17.29
   0 H Whitman-Hanson  ( 8- 8, 87.3)    16- 3      -12.57      20.73      -0.58         0.99            19.97
   0 A Longmeadow      ( 8-10, 94.2)    13-14       -5.74      27.56       0.58         0.99            -5.11
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       253.31

winning pts = 282.7740 losing points = -29.4607

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------