Collins
W-L: (12- 7) PR = 82.8649Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 304 H Central Hardin ( 3-10, 76.2) 15- 1 307 A Paul Laurence Dunbar (14- 5, 84.7) 6- 9 313 H Mercy Academy (10- 8, 84.4) 7- 8 314 A Lexington Christian (12- 3, 81.4) 10- 8 317 A Bryan Station ( 7-10, 79.6) 6- 1 320 H North Oldham ( 7-10, 81.6) 8- 3 321 A Christian Academy ( 6- 8, 84.8) 6- 8 322 A Ballard ( 4- 9, 84.2) 5- 4 322 H Atherton ( 5-14, 80.9) 3- 6 324 A Woodford County ( 5- 9, 79.9) 10- 7 326 H Oldham County (14- 5, 85.5) 5-15 327 H Bryan Station ( 7-10, 79.6) 13- 7 414 H Atherton ( 5-14, 80.9) 12- 8 417 A Shelby County ( 5- 9, 79.8) 10- 9 424 H South Oldham ( 6-12, 84.0) 5- 9 430 H Frederick Douglass ( 8- 9, 80.4) 11- 2 505 H Tates Creek ( 1-12, 75.9) 8- 2 507 H Scott County ( 1-10, 76.0) 15- 4 509 N South Oldham ( 6-12, 84.0) 3- 5
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
304 H Central Hardin 15- 1 14 7 0.00
307 A Paul Laurence Dunbar 6- 9 -3 -3 -0.33
313 H Mercy Academy 7- 8 -1 -1 -0.27
314 A Lexington Christian 10- 8 2 1 1.34
317 A Bryan Station 6- 1 5 2 + 2.57
320 H North Oldham 8- 3 5 2 + 2.88
321 A Christian Academy 6- 8 -2 -3 0.76
322 A Ballard 5- 4 1 -2 + 3.13
322 H Atherton 3- 6 -3 3 -- -5.83
324 A Woodford County 10- 7 3 2 0.87
326 H Oldham County 5-15 -10 -2 - -3.21
327 H Bryan Station 13- 7 6 4 0.92
414 H Atherton 12- 8 4 3 1.17
417 A Shelby County 10- 9 1 2 -1.25
424 H South Oldham 5- 9 -4 0 - -3.65
430 H Frederick Douglass 11- 2 9 3 1.71
505 H Tates Creek 8- 2 6 8 0.00
507 H Scott County 15- 4 11 8 0.00
509 N South Oldham 3- 5 -2 -1 -0.82
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 322 H Atherton 3- 6 -3 3 -- -5.83 326 H Oldham County 5-15 -10 -2 - -3.21 424 H South Oldham 5- 9 -4 0 - -3.65 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 317 A Bryan Station 6- 1 5 2 + 2.57 320 H North Oldham 8- 3 5 2 + 2.88 322 A Ballard 5- 4 1 -2 + 3.13 |
Collins Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderson County | Collins | Collins | ||
| Assumption | Assumption | Assumption 5- 1 vs 2- 5 | ||
| Atherton | Collins | Collins 3- 3 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Ballard | Collins | Collins | ||
| Bowling Green | Collins | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Collins | |
| Bryan Station | Collins | Collins | ||
| Central Hardin | Collins | Collins | ||
| Christian Academy | Christian Academy | Christian Academy | ||
| Cooper | Collins | tied - ( 3- 4) ( 3- 3) | Collins | |
| Dixie Heights | Collins | Collins 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| DuPont Manual | DuPont Manual | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 1) | DuPont Manual | |
| Eastern | Eastern | Eastern 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Fern Creek | Collins | Collins | ||
| Frederick Douglass | Collins | Collins | ||
| Great Crossing | Collins | Collins 6- 0 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Greenwood | Collins | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Collins | |
| Henry Clay | Henry Clay | Henry Clay 8- 0 vs 6- 2 | ||
| Kentucky Country Day | Kentucky Country Day | Kentucky Country Day 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Lafayette | Collins | Collins 6- 1 vs 3- 4 | ||
| Lexington Catholic | Collins | insuffient: ( 5- 1)( 4- 2) | Collins | |
| Lexington Christian | Collins | Collins | ||
| Louisville Collegiate | Louisville Collegiate | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) | Louisville Collegiate | |
| Male | Collins | Collins 2- 2 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Mercy Academy | Mercy Academy | Mercy Academy | ||
| North Oldham | Collins | Collins | ||
| Notre Dame Academy | Notre Dame Academy | Notre Dame Academy 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Oldham County | Oldham County | Oldham County | ||
| Owensboro | Collins | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Collins | |
| Paul Laurence Dunbar | Paul Laurence Dunbar | Paul Laurence Dunbar | ||
| Presentation Academy | Collins | Collins | ||
| Ryle | Collins | Collins 3- 3 vs 0- 6 | ||
| Sacred Heart Academy | Sacred Heart Academy | Sacred Heart Academy 5- 0 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Sayre School | Sayre School | insuffient: ( 5- 1)( 6- 0) | Sayre School | |
| Scott County | Collins | Collins | ||
| Shelby County | Collins | Collins | ||
| South Oldham | South Oldham | South Oldham | ||
| South Warren | Collins | Collins 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| St Henry | Collins | Collins | ||
| Tates Creek | Collins | Collins | ||
| Woodford County | Collins | Collins |
PowerWise = 26
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.61
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Central Hardin ( 3-10, 76.2) 15- 1 -23.66 4.63 -0.82 0.72 2.73
0 A Paul Laurence (14- 5, 84.7) 6- 9 -15.19 13.10 0.82 0.72 -10.29
0 H Mercy Academy (10- 8, 84.4) 7- 8 -15.48 12.82 -0.82 0.72 -11.68
0 A Lexington Chri (12- 3, 81.4) 10- 8 -18.52 9.77 0.82 0.72 7.59
0 A Bryan Station ( 7-10, 79.6) 6- 1 -20.29 8.01 0.82 0.72 6.32
0 H North Oldham ( 7-10, 81.6) 8- 3 -18.33 9.96 -0.82 0.72 6.55
0 A Christian Acad ( 6- 8, 84.8) 6- 8 -15.10 13.20 0.82 0.72 -10.22
0 A Ballard ( 4- 9, 84.2) 5- 4 -15.73 12.57 0.82 0.72 9.59
0 H Atherton ( 5-14, 80.9) 3- 6 -19.05 9.25 -0.82 0.72 -14.23
0 A Woodford Count ( 5- 9, 79.9) 10- 7 -19.99 8.31 0.82 0.72 6.54
0 H Oldham County (14- 5, 85.5) 5-15 -14.42 13.88 -0.82 0.72 -10.92
0 H Bryan Station ( 7-10, 79.6) 13- 7 -20.29 8.01 -0.82 0.72 5.14
0 H Atherton ( 5-14, 80.9) 12- 8 -19.05 9.25 -0.82 0.72 6.04
0 A Shelby County ( 5- 9, 79.8) 10- 9 -20.10 8.19 0.82 0.72 6.46
0 H South Oldham ( 6-12, 84.0) 5- 9 -15.86 12.44 -0.82 0.72 -11.95
0 H Frederick Doug ( 8- 9, 80.4) 11- 2 -19.50 8.79 -0.82 0.72 5.71
0 H Tates Creek ( 1-12, 75.9) 8- 2 -23.98 4.32 -0.82 0.72 2.50
0 H Scott County ( 1-10, 76.0) 15- 4 -23.93 4.37 -0.82 0.72 2.54
0 N South Oldham ( 6-12, 84.0) 3- 5 -15.86 12.44 -0.00 0.72 -11.36
------
-12.95
|
winning pts = 67.7085 losing points = -80.6544
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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