---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:49 PDT

safe3step girls Minnechaug Regional 1
  
Minnechaug Regional   
W-L: ( 7-12) PR = 86.3319

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 401 A Mount Greylock Regiona ( 5-11, 83.8) 7- 5 404 H Northampton (18- 3, 89.5) 7-12 410 A Agawam ( 7- 9, 86.5) 4- 8 415 A East Longmeadow (15- 6, 93.8) 4-18 417 A West Springfield (15- 5, 90.6) 5-14 422 A Leominster ( 2-17, 84.1) 13-12 424 H Westfield (10- 9, 85.6) 10- 9 426 H Shrewsbury (17- 3, 90.8) 6-14 428 H Agawam ( 7- 9, 86.5) 11- 6 430 H Longmeadow ( 8-10, 94.2) 3-17 502 H East Longmeadow (15- 6, 93.8) 5-13 505 H West Springfield (15- 5, 90.6) 7-15 507 A Andover HS ( 9- 9, 93.9) 3-19 509 H Grafton (12- 9, 91.2) 8-11 512 A Westfield (10- 9, 85.6) 11- 5 515 A Wachusett ( 4-14, 84.4) 10-11 516 H South Hadley ( 9-10, 84.8) 16-13 520 H Leominster ( 2-17, 84.1) 14-11 521 A West Springfield (15- 5, 90.6) 4-16

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Mount Greylock Regiona  7- 5       2     2           0.07
   404 H Northampton             7-12      -5    -3    -     -2.41
   410 A Agawam                  4- 8      -4    -1    -     -3.29
   415 A East Longmeadow         4-18     -14    -8           0.00
   417 A West Springfield        5-14      -9    -5          -0.11
   422 A Leominster             13-12       1     2          -0.70
   424 H Westfield              10- 9       1     1          -0.34
   426 H Shrewsbury              6-14      -8    -4          -1.16
   428 H Agawam                 11- 6       5     0    ++     4.56
   430 H Longmeadow              3-17     -14    -7           0.00
   502 H East Longmeadow         5-13      -8    -7           0.00
   505 H West Springfield        7-15      -8    -4          -1.27
   507 A Andover HS              3-19     -16    -8           0.00
   509 H Grafton                 8-11      -3    -4           1.30
   512 A Westfield              11- 5       6     0    ++     4.81
   515 A Wachusett              10-11      -1     1    -     -2.38
   516 H South Hadley           16-13       3     2           0.86
   520 H Leominster             14-11       3     3           0.15
   521 A West Springfield        4-16     -12    -5          -0.11

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 H Northampton             7-12      -5    -3    -     -2.41
   410 A Agawam                  4- 8      -4    -1    -     -3.29
   515 A Wachusett              10-11      -1     1    -     -2.38

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 H Agawam                 11- 6       5     0    ++     4.56
   512 A Westfield              11- 5       6     0    ++     4.81

Minnechaug Regional Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Abington Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Acton-Boxborough Acton-Boxborough tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Acton-Boxborough
Agawam Agawam tied - ( 3- 4) ( 3- 4) Agawam
Algonquin Algonquin insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) Algonquin
Amherst-Pelham Minnechaug Regional insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Minnechaug Regional
AMSA Charter Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Andover HS Andover HS Andover HS  
Apponequet Apponequet   Apponequet
Archbishop Williams Archbishop Williams   Archbishop Williams
Arlington Catholic Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Arlington HS Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Ashland Ashland Ashland   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Assabet Valley RVT Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Attleboro Attleboro   Attleboro
Auburn Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Barnstable Barnstable   Barnstable
Bay Path RVT Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Bedford HS Bedford HS   Bedford HS
Belchertown Minnechaug Regional Minnechaug Regional   4- 3 vs 0- 6
Bellingham Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Belmont Belmont tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Belmont
Beverly Beverly tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Beverly
Billerica Memorial Billerica Memorial tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Billerica Memorial
Bishop Feehan Bishop Feehan   Bishop Feehan
Bishop Fenwick Bishop Fenwick   Bishop Fenwick
Bishop Stang Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Blackstone Valley Tech Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Boston Latin Academy Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Boston Latin School Boston Latin School   Boston Latin School
Bourne Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Braintree Braintree   Braintree
Bridgewater-Raynham Bridgewater-Raynham   Bridgewater-Raynham
Bristol County Agricultu Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Bristol-Plymouth RVT Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Bromfield Minnechaug Regional tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Minnechaug Regional
Brookline Brookline tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Brookline
Burlington Burlington   Burlington
Cambridge Rindge/Latin Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Canton Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Cape Cod Academy Cape Cod Academy   Cape Cod Academy
Cape Cod Tech Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Cardinal Spellman Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Central Catholic Central Catholic insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Central Catholic
Chelmsford Chelmsford Chelmsford   4- 0 vs 0- 5
Chicopee Comp Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Chicopee HS Minnechaug Regional tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Minnechaug Regional
Cohasset Cohasset insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cohasset
Concord-Carlisle Concord-Carlisle insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Concord-Carlisle
Danvers Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Dartmouth Dartmouth tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Dartmouth
Dedham Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Dennis-Yarmouth Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Dighton-Rehoboth Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Doherty Memorial Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Dover-Sherborn Dover-Sherborn   Dover-Sherborn
Dracut Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Duxbury Duxbury   Duxbury
East Bridgewater Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
East Longmeadow East Longmeadow East Longmeadow  
Essex North Shore Tech Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Everett Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Fairhaven Fairhaven   Fairhaven
Falmouth Academy Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Falmouth HS Falmouth HS   Falmouth HS
Fontbonne Academy Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Foxborough Foxborough   Foxborough
Framingham Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Franklin Franklin insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Franklin
Georgetown Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Gloucester Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Grafton Grafton Grafton  
Granby Minnechaug Regional Minnechaug Regional   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Greater Lowell Tech Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Greater New Bedford RVT Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Groton-Dunstable Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Hamilton-Wenham Hamilton-Wenham   Hamilton-Wenham
Hampshire Regional Minnechaug Regional insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Minnechaug Regional
Hanover Hanover   Hanover
Haverhill Minnechaug Regional tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Minnechaug Regional
Hingham Hingham tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Hingham
Holliston Minnechaug Regional insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Minnechaug Regional
Hoosac Valley Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Hopedale Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Hopkinton Hopkinton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hopkinton
Hudson/Clinton Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Hull Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Ipswich Ipswich   Ipswich
King Philip Regional King Philip Regional insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) King Philip Regional
Lee/Lenox/Monument Mtn Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Leominster Minnechaug Regional Minnechaug Regional  
Lexington HS Lexington HS insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Lexington HS
Lincoln-Sudbury Lincoln-Sudbury tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lincoln-Sudbury
Littleton Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Longmeadow Longmeadow Longmeadow  
Lowell Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Lowell Catholic Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Lunenburg Minnechaug Regional insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Minnechaug Regional
Lynnfield Lynnfield   Lynnfield
Malden Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Malden Catholic Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Manchester-Essex Manchester-Essex tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Manchester-Essex
Mansfield Mansfield tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Mansfield
Marblehead Marblehead tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Marblehead
Marlborough Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Marshfield Marshfield   Marshfield
Marthas Vineyard Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Masconomet Masconomet   Masconomet
Mashpee Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
McCann Tech Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Medfield Medfield insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Medfield
Medford Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Medway Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Melrose Melrose tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Melrose
Methuen Methuen   Methuen
Middleboro Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Milford Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Milton HS Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Monomoy Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Monson Minnechaug Regional insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Minnechaug Regional
Montachusett RVT Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Mount Greylock Regional Minnechaug Regional Minnechaug Regional  
Mystic Valley Charter Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Nantucket Nantucket   Nantucket
Nashoba Regional Nashoba Regional insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) Nashoba Regional
Nashoba Valley Tech Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Natick Natick tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Natick
Nauset Regional Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Needham Needham tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Needham
New Bedford New Bedford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) New Bedford
Newburyport Newburyport tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Newburyport
Newton North Newton North tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Newton North
Newton South Newton South   Newton South
Nipmuc Regional Nipmuc Regional insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) Nipmuc Regional
North Andover North Andover insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) North Andover
North Attleborough Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
North Middlesex North Middlesex insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) North Middlesex
North Quincy Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
North Reading North Reading   North Reading
Northampton Northampton Northampton  
Northbridge Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Northeast RVT Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Norton Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Norwell Norwell insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Norwell
Norwood Minnechaug Regional tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Minnechaug Regional
Notre Dame Hingham Notre Dame Hingham Notre Dame Hingham   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Notre Dame Worcester Minnechaug Regional tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Minnechaug Regional
Oakmont Regional Minnechaug Regional tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Minnechaug Regional
Old Colony RVT Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Old Rochester Regional Old Rochester Regional   Old Rochester Regional
Oliver Ames Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Peabody Veterans Memoria Peabody Veterans Memoria   Peabody Veterans Memoria
Pembroke Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Pentucket Regional Pentucket Regional   Pentucket Regional
Pittsfield/Taconic Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Plymouth North Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Plymouth South Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Pope Francis Minnechaug Regional insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Minnechaug Regional
Quincy Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Reading Memorial Reading Memorial Reading Memorial   2- 0 vs 0- 3
Revere Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Rockland Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Salem Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Sandwich Sandwich   Sandwich
Saugus Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Scituate Scituate   Scituate
Seekonk Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Sharon Minnechaug Regional insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Minnechaug Regional
Shawsheen Valley Tech Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Shepherd Hill Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Shrewsbury Shrewsbury Shrewsbury  
Silver Lake Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Smith VoTech Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Somerset Berkley Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Somerville Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
South Hadley Minnechaug Regional Minnechaug Regional  
South Shore RVT Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Southeastern RVT Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Springfield Central Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
St Bernards Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
St John Paul II Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
St Marys Lynn Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Stoneham Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Stoughton Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Sturgis Charter East Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Sturgis Charter West Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Swampscott Swampscott   Swampscott
Tahanto Regional Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Tantasqua Minnechaug Regional insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 2) Minnechaug Regional
Taunton Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Tewksbury Memorial Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Tri-County RVT Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Triton Regional Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Tyngsborough Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Upper Cape Cod RVT Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy   Ursuline Academy
Wachusett Wachusett Wachusett  
Wahconah Regional Minnechaug Regional Minnechaug Regional   4- 3 vs 2- 4
Wakefield Memorial Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Walpole Walpole Walpole   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Waltham Waltham   Waltham
Watertown Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Wayland Wayland Wayland   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Wellesley Wellesley insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Wellesley
West Springfield West Springfield West Springfield  
Westborough Westborough Westborough   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Westfield Minnechaug Regional Minnechaug Regional  
Westford Academy Westford Academy insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Westford Academy
Weston Weston   Weston
Westwood Westwood   Westwood
Weymouth Weymouth   Weymouth
Whitman-Hanson Regional Whitman-Hanson Regional tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Whitman-Hanson Regional
Whittier RVT Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Wilmington Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Winchester Winchester   Winchester
Winthrop Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional
Woburn Memorial Minnechaug Regional   Minnechaug Regional

PowerWise = 126


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 18.83

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Mount Greylock  ( 5-11, 83.8)     7- 5      -16.07      17.23       0.58         0.99            17.64
   0 H Northampton     (18- 3, 89.5)     7-12      -10.40      22.90      -0.58         0.99           -10.88
   0 A Agawam          ( 7- 9, 86.5)     4- 8      -13.43      19.87       0.58         0.99           -12.74
   0 A East Longmeado  (15- 6, 93.8)     4-18       -6.11      27.19       0.58         0.99            -5.48
   0 A West Springfie  (15- 5, 90.6)     5-14       -9.26      24.04       0.58         0.99            -8.60
   0 A Leominster      ( 2-17, 84.1)    13-12      -15.84      17.46       0.58         0.99            17.87
   0 H Westfield       (10- 9, 85.6)    10- 9      -14.33      18.97      -0.58         0.99            18.23
   0 H Shrewsbury      (17- 3, 90.8)     6-14       -9.15      24.15      -0.58         0.99            -9.64
   0 H Agawam          ( 7- 9, 86.5)    11- 6      -13.43      19.87      -0.58         0.99            19.12
   0 H Longmeadow      ( 8-10, 94.2)     3-17       -5.74      27.56      -0.58         0.99            -6.25
   0 H East Longmeado  (15- 6, 93.8)     5-13       -6.11      27.19      -0.58         0.99            -6.62
   0 H West Springfie  (15- 5, 90.6)     7-15       -9.26      24.04      -0.58         0.99            -9.75
   0 A Andover HS      ( 9- 9, 93.9)     3-19       -6.03      27.27       0.58         0.99            -5.40
   0 H Grafton         (12- 9, 91.2)     8-11       -8.69      24.61      -0.58         0.99            -9.18
   0 A Westfield       (10- 9, 85.6)    11- 5      -14.33      18.97       0.58         0.99            19.37
   0 A Wachusett       ( 4-14, 84.4)    10-11      -15.52      17.78       0.58         0.99           -14.81
   0 H South Hadley    ( 9-10, 84.8)    16-13      -15.13      18.17      -0.58         0.99            17.43
   0 H Leominster      ( 2-17, 84.1)    14-11      -15.84      17.46      -0.58         0.99            16.73
   0 A West Springfie  (15- 5, 90.6)     4-16       -9.26      24.04       0.58         0.99            -8.60
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        18.43

winning pts = 126.3893 losing points = -107.9612

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------