Middlebury Union
W-L: (11- 4) PR = 96.5358Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 414 A Stowe ( 4-10, 89.9) 22-12 428 A Rice Memorial (14- 5, 96.1) 8-12 430 A South Burlington (12- 6, 96.9) 7- 8 503 H Essex (12- 6, 97.3) 9- 5 506 H Mt Mansfield Union ( 4-12, 93.5) 19-14 508 H Colchester ( 6- 9, 89.4) 20- 5 509 A Rutland ( 3-13, 91.2) 14-10 513 H Bellows Free Academy - ( 2-11, 91.8) 17- 8 516 H Champlain Valley Union (15- 2, 98.9) 12-18 519 A Harwood Union ( 6-12, 91.7) 21- 9 520 H Vergennes/Mt Abraham ( 8- 9, 93.2) 19-10 523 H South Burlington (12- 6, 96.9) 11-10 527 A Essex (12- 6, 97.3) 9- 8 530 A Mt Mansfield Union ( 4-12, 93.5) 15-10 605 H Rice Memorial (14- 5, 96.1) 10-14
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
414 A Stowe 22-12 10 6 0.00
428 A Rice Memorial 8-12 -4 0 - -3.96
430 A South Burlington 7- 8 -1 -1 -0.15
503 H Essex 9- 5 4 0 ++ 4.28
506 H Mt Mansfield Union 19-14 5 4 1.44
508 H Colchester 20- 5 15 8 0.00
509 A Rutland 14-10 4 5 -0.87
513 H Bellows Free Academy - 17- 8 9 5 0.00
516 H Champlain Valley Union 12-18 -6 -2 - -3.15
519 A Harwood Union 21- 9 12 4 0.64
520 H Vergennes/Mt Abraham 19-10 9 4 1.17
523 H South Burlington 11-10 1 0 0.89
527 A Essex 9- 8 1 -1 + 2.24
530 A Mt Mansfield Union 15-10 5 3 + 2.40
605 H Rice Memorial 10-14 -4 1 -- -4.92
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 605 H Rice Memorial 10-14 -4 1 -- -4.92 428 A Rice Memorial 8-12 -4 0 - -3.96 516 H Champlain Valley Union 12-18 -6 -2 - -3.15 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 503 H Essex 9- 5 4 0 ++ 4.28 527 A Essex 9- 8 1 -1 + 2.24 530 A Mt Mansfield Union 15-10 5 3 + 2.40 |
Middlebury Union Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bellows Free Academy - S | Middlebury Union | Middlebury Union | ||
| Brattleboro Union | Middlebury Union | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Middlebury Union | |
| Burlington | Middlebury Union | insuffient: ( 6- 3)( 5- 3) | Middlebury Union | |
| Burr & Burton Academy | Burr & Burton Academy | insuffient: ( 5- 2)( 4- 2) | Burr & Burton Academy | |
| Champlain Valley Union | Champlain Valley Union | Champlain Valley Union | ||
| Colchester | Middlebury Union | Middlebury Union | ||
| Essex | Middlebury Union | Middlebury Union | ||
| Green Mountain Valley | Green Mountain Valley | tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) | Green Mountain Valley | |
| Hartford | Hartford | insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 5- 0) | Hartford | |
| Harwood Union | Middlebury Union | Middlebury Union | ||
| Lamoille Union | Middlebury Union | Middlebury Union 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Lyndon Institute | Middlebury Union | Middlebury Union 5- 0 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Milton | Middlebury Union | Middlebury Union 4- 1 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Mt Anthony Union | Mt Anthony Union | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 1) | Mt Anthony Union | |
| Mt Mansfield Union | Middlebury Union | Middlebury Union | ||
| Rice Memorial | Rice Memorial | Rice Memorial | ||
| Rutland | Middlebury Union | Middlebury Union | ||
| South Burlington | South Burlington | insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 5- 1) | South Burlington | |
| Spaulding | Middlebury Union | Middlebury Union 6- 1 vs 1- 6 | ||
| St Johnsbury Academy | Middlebury Union | insuffient: ( 5- 2)( 4- 3) | Middlebury Union | |
| Stowe | Middlebury Union | Middlebury Union | ||
| Stratton Mountain School | Middlebury Union | Middlebury Union | ||
| U-32 | Middlebury Union | tied - ( 5- 1) ( 5- 1) | Middlebury Union | |
| Vergennes/Mt Abraham | Middlebury Union | Middlebury Union | ||
| Woodstock Union | Middlebury Union | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) | Middlebury Union |
PowerWise = 18
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 15.54
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Stowe ( 4-10, 89.9) 22-12 -9.96 7.44 0.48 1.04 8.21
0 A Rice Memorial (14- 5, 96.1) 8-12 -3.80 13.60 0.48 1.04 -3.45
0 A South Burlingt (12- 6, 96.9) 7- 8 -3.00 14.41 0.48 1.04 -2.61
0 H Essex (12- 6, 97.3) 9- 5 -2.60 14.80 -0.48 1.04 14.84
0 H Mt Mansfield U ( 4-12, 93.5) 19-14 -6.44 10.96 -0.48 1.04 10.86
0 H Colchester ( 6- 9, 89.4) 20- 5 -10.48 6.92 -0.48 1.04 6.67
0 A Rutland ( 3-13, 91.2) 14-10 -8.71 8.69 0.48 1.04 9.50
0 H Bellows Free A ( 2-11, 91.8) 17- 8 -8.10 9.30 -0.48 1.04 9.14
0 H Champlain Vall (15- 2, 98.9) 12-18 -1.04 16.36 -0.48 1.04 -1.57
0 A Harwood Union ( 6-12, 91.7) 21- 9 -8.20 9.21 0.48 1.04 10.03
0 H Vergennes/Mt A ( 8- 9, 93.2) 19-10 -6.72 10.68 -0.48 1.04 10.57
0 H South Burlingt (12- 6, 96.9) 11-10 -3.00 14.41 -0.48 1.04 14.43
0 A Essex (12- 6, 97.3) 9- 8 -2.60 14.80 0.48 1.04 15.82
0 A Mt Mansfield U ( 4-12, 93.5) 15-10 -6.44 10.96 0.48 1.04 11.85
0 H Rice Memorial (14- 5, 96.1) 10-14 -3.80 13.60 -0.48 1.04 -4.44
------
109.85
|
winning pts = 121.9154 losing points = -12.0643
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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