Middle Creek
W-L: (10- 9) PR = 86.5669Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 306 A Chapel Hill (21- 1, 97.3) 4-17 307 H Willow Spring (13- 6, 86.4) 10-17 310 A Fuquay-Varina (11- 8, 83.6) 17- 9 311 A Green Hope ( 9-12, 84.3) 16- 6 313 A Apex Friendship (13- 9, 87.6) 13-14 317 H Holly Springs (23- 2, 93.8) 7-19 320 H Cary HS ( 0-20, 67.5) 22- 1 325 A Apex (20- 3, 92.1) 10-22 327 H Green Level ( 3-13, 78.7) 23-10 408 A Panther Creek ( 3-13, 79.8) 14- 2 410 H Green Hope ( 9-12, 84.3) 16-13 415 H Apex Friendship (13- 9, 87.6) 17-18 424 A Cary HS ( 0-20, 67.5) 21- 0 429 H Apex (20- 3, 92.1) 10-22 430 A Holly Springs (23- 2, 93.8) 7-21 501 A Green Level ( 3-13, 78.7) 22-10 506 H Panther Creek ( 3-13, 79.8) 17- 5 514 A Laney ( 9- 8, 86.0) 15-14 516 A Topsail (17- 3, 90.3) 9-15
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
306 A Chapel Hill 4-17 -13 -11 0.00
307 H Willow Spring 10-17 -7 0 -- -5.44
310 A Fuquay-Varina 17- 9 8 3 + 2.34
311 A Green Hope 16- 6 10 2 + 3.01
313 A Apex Friendship 13-14 -1 -1 0.32
317 H Holly Springs 7-19 -12 -7 0.00
320 H Cary HS 22- 1 21 19 0.00
325 A Apex 10-22 -12 -6 0.00
327 H Green Level 23-10 13 8 0.00
408 A Panther Creek 14- 2 12 6 0.00
410 H Green Hope 16-13 3 3 0.40
415 H Apex Friendship 17-18 -1 -1 -0.29
424 A Cary HS 21- 0 21 19 0.00
429 H Apex 10-22 -12 -5 0.00
430 A Holly Springs 7-21 -14 -8 0.00
501 A Green Level 22-10 12 8 0.00
506 H Panther Creek 17- 5 12 7 0.00
514 A Laney 15-14 1 0 0.78
516 A Topsail 9-15 -6 -4 -0.97
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 H Willow Spring 10-17 -7 0 -- -5.44 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 310 A Fuquay-Varina 17- 9 8 3 + 2.34 311 A Green Hope 16- 6 10 2 + 3.01 |
Middle Creek Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apex | Apex | Apex | ||
| Apex Friendship | Apex Friendship | Apex Friendship | ||
| Ardrey Kell | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Arendell Parrott Academy | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Asheville HS | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Asheville School | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Ashley | Middle Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Middle Creek | |
| Athens Drive | Middle Creek | insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 3- 3) | Middle Creek | |
| Atkins | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Ballantyne Ridge | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Bishop McGuinness | Middle Creek | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Middle Creek | |
| Broughton | Broughton | insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 3) | Broughton | |
| Butler | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Cannon School | Cannon School | Cannon School | ||
| Cape Fear Academy | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Cape Fear HS | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Cardinal Gibbons | Cardinal Gibbons | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Cardinal Gibbons | |
| Carrboro | Middle Creek | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Middle Creek | |
| Cary Academy | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Cary HS | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | ||
| Charlotte Catholic | Charlotte Catholic | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Charlotte Catholic | |
| Charlotte CDS | Charlotte CDS | Charlotte CDS | ||
| Charlotte Christian | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Charlotte Latin School | Charlotte Latin School | Charlotte Latin School | ||
| Christ the King | Christ the King | Christ the King | ||
| Clayton | Middle Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Middle Creek | |
| Cleveland | Middle Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Middle Creek | |
| Community School Davidso | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Corinth Holders | Middle Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Middle Creek | |
| Croatan | Croatan | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Croatan | |
| Cuthbertson | Cuthbertson | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Cuthbertson | |
| Davidson Day School | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Davie | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| DH Conley | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Durham Academy | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 1) | East Chapel Hill | |
| East Forsyth | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Enloe | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Fayetteville Academy | Fayetteville Academy | Fayetteville Academy | ||
| Fike | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| First Flight | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Forsyth CDS | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Fuquay-Varina | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Garner | Middle Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Middle Creek | |
| Glenn | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Green Hope | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Green Level | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Greensboro Day School | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Grimsley | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Havelock | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Heritage | Middle Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Middle Creek | |
| Hickory | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| High Point Central | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Hoggard | Hoggard | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 2) | Hoggard | |
| Holly Springs | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Hopewell | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Hough | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Hunt | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Independence | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Jack Britt | Middle Creek | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Middle Creek | |
| Jacksonville | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| JH Rose | JH Rose | JH Rose | ||
| Jordan | Middle Creek | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Middle Creek | |
| Lake Norman Charter | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Lake Norman HS | Lake Norman HS | Lake Norman HS | ||
| Laney | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Leesville Road | Middle Creek | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) | Middle Creek | |
| Lincoln Charter | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Marvin Ridge | Marvin Ridge | Marvin Ridge | ||
| Millbrook | Middle Creek | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Middle Creek | |
| Mooresville | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Mount Tabor | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Myers Park | Myers Park | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Myers Park | |
| New Bern | Middle Creek | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Middle Creek | |
| New Hanover | New Hanover | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | New Hanover | |
| North Brunswick | Middle Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Middle Creek | |
| North Davidson | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| North Lincoln | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Northern Guilford | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Northside | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Northwest Guilford | Northwest Guilford | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Northwest Guilford | |
| Northwood | Middle Creek | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Middle Creek | |
| Page | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Panther Creek | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Parkwood | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Patton | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Pine Forest | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Pine Lake Prep | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Pinecrest | Pinecrest | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) | Pinecrest | |
| Porter Ridge | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Providence | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Providence Day | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Ragsdale | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Ravenscroft School | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Riverside Durham | Middle Creek | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Middle Creek | |
| RJ Reynolds | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Rolesville | Middle Creek | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Middle Creek | |
| Ronald Reagan | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Sanderson | Middle Creek | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Middle Creek | |
| Seaforth | Middle Creek | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Middle Creek | |
| South Brunswick | Middle Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Middle Creek | |
| South Iredell | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| South Mecklenburg | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Southeast Guilford | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Southlake Christian | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Southwest Guilford | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| St Davids School | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| St Marys | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| St Stephens | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Sun Valley | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Swansboro | Middle Creek | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Middle Creek | |
| TC Roberson | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Terry Sanford | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Topsail | Topsail | Topsail | ||
| Union Pines | Union Pines | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Union Pines | |
| Wake Forest | Middle Creek | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Middle Creek | |
| Wakefield | Middle Creek | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Middle Creek | |
| Watauga | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Weddington | Weddington | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Weddington | |
| West Brunswick | Middle Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Middle Creek | |
| West Forsyth | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| West Stokes | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| White Oak | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Willow Spring | Willow Spring | Willow Spring |
PowerWise = 98
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 16.87
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Chapel Hill (21- 1, 97.3) 4-17 -2.63 37.18 0.31 0.89 -2.06
0 H Willow Spring (13- 6, 86.4) 10-17 -13.47 26.34 -0.31 0.89 -12.23
0 A Fuquay-Varina (11- 8, 83.6) 17- 9 -16.30 23.50 0.31 0.89 21.13
0 A Green Hope ( 9-12, 84.3) 16- 6 -15.63 24.18 0.31 0.89 21.73
0 A Apex Friendshi (13- 9, 87.6) 13-14 -12.32 27.49 0.31 0.89 -10.66
0 H Holly Springs (23- 2, 93.8) 7-19 -6.08 33.72 -0.31 0.89 -5.67
0 H Cary HS ( 0-20, 67.5) 22- 1 -32.38 7.43 -0.31 0.89 6.32
0 A Apex (20- 3, 92.1) 10-22 -7.84 31.96 0.31 0.89 -6.69
0 H Green Level ( 3-13, 78.7) 23-10 -21.23 18.57 -0.31 0.89 16.21
0 A Panther Creek ( 3-13, 79.8) 14- 2 -20.13 19.67 0.31 0.89 17.74
0 H Green Hope ( 9-12, 84.3) 16-13 -15.63 24.18 -0.31 0.89 21.19
0 H Apex Friendshi (13- 9, 87.6) 17-18 -12.32 27.49 -0.31 0.89 -11.21
0 A Cary HS ( 0-20, 67.5) 21- 0 -32.38 7.43 0.31 0.89 6.87
0 H Apex (20- 3, 92.1) 10-22 -7.84 31.96 -0.31 0.89 -7.23
0 A Holly Springs (23- 2, 93.8) 7-21 -6.08 33.72 0.31 0.89 -5.13
0 A Green Level ( 3-13, 78.7) 22-10 -21.23 18.57 0.31 0.89 16.76
0 H Panther Creek ( 3-13, 79.8) 17- 5 -20.13 19.67 -0.31 0.89 17.19
0 A Laney ( 9- 8, 86.0) 15-14 -13.86 25.95 0.31 0.89 23.30
0 A Topsail (17- 3, 90.3) 9-15 -9.61 30.19 0.31 0.89 -8.26
------
99.31
|
winning pts = 168.4464 losing points = -69.1413
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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