Mill Creek
W-L: ( 8- 8) PR = 88.9964Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 210 H Walton (17- 4, 94.5) 7-12 221 H Johns Creek (14- 4, 95.2) 9-15 224 A Hebron Christian ( 2-14, 66.5) 19- 2 226 H Blessed Trinity (13- 7, 92.6) 9-15 304 A Dacula ( 9- 8, 76.0) 20- 2 306 H Peachtree Ridge ( 8-10, 77.4) 21- 0 311 H Lassiter (14- 3, 95.2) 3-11 319 A North Gwinnett (13- 6, 93.2) 6-14 325 A Buford (12- 7, 85.3) 14- 5 327 H Lambert (12- 5, 95.2) 4-13 401 H Collins Hill ( 0-17, 62.5) 19- 0 402 H North Paulding ( 6- 9, 87.3) 10- 7 418 H Mountain View (10- 7, 83.0) 13- 2 422 A West Forsyth (15- 1, 98.7) 2-19 428 H Duluth ( 5-11, 71.1) 21- 0 502 A Walton (17- 4, 94.5) 3-13
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
210 H Walton 7-12 -5 -5 -0.21
221 H Johns Creek 9-15 -6 -5 0.00
224 A Hebron Christian 19- 2 17 22 0.00
226 H Blessed Trinity 9-15 -6 -3 - -2.17
304 A Dacula 20- 2 18 12 0.00
306 H Peachtree Ridge 21- 0 21 12 0.00
311 H Lassiter 3-11 -8 -5 0.00
319 A North Gwinnett 6-14 -8 -5 -0.03
325 A Buford 14- 5 9 3 + 2.04
327 H Lambert 4-13 -9 -6 0.00
401 H Collins Hill 19- 0 19 27 0.00
402 H North Paulding 10- 7 3 2 0.63
418 H Mountain View 13- 2 11 7 0.00
422 A West Forsyth 2-19 -17 -10 0.00
428 H Duluth 21- 0 21 19 0.00
502 A Walton 3-13 -10 -6 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 226 H Blessed Trinity 9-15 -6 -3 - -2.17 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 325 A Buford 14- 5 9 3 + 2.04 |
Mill Creek Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allatoona | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Alpharetta | Mill Creek | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) | Mill Creek | |
| Archer | Mill Creek | Mill Creek 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Blessed Trinity | Blessed Trinity | Blessed Trinity | ||
| Bremen | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Brookwood | Mill Creek | insuffient: ( 6- 0)( 5- 1) | Mill Creek | |
| Buford | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Calvary Day | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Cambridge | Cambridge | Cambridge 5- 1 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Campbell | Mill Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Mill Creek | |
| Carrollton | Mill Creek | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Mill Creek | |
| Centennial | Mill Creek | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Mill Creek | |
| Chamblee | Mill Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Mill Creek | |
| Chattahoochee | Chattahoochee | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Chattahoochee | |
| Cherokee | Cherokee | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Cherokee | |
| Collins Hill | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Columbus | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Creekview | Creekview | insuffient: ( 0- 5)( 1- 4) | Creekview | |
| Dacula | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Dalton | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Darlington | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Decatur | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Denmark | Mill Creek | tied - ( 1- 4) ( 1- 3) | Mill Creek | |
| Druid Hills | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Duluth | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Dunwoody | Mill Creek | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Mill Creek | |
| Dutchtown | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Eagles Landing | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Eagles Landing Christian | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| East Coweta | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| East Forsyth | Mill Creek | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) | Mill Creek | |
| East Paulding | Mill Creek | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Mill Creek | |
| Effingham County | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Etowah | Mill Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Mill Creek | |
| Evans | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Fayette County | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Fellowship Christian | Fellowship Christian | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Fellowship Christian | |
| Forsyth Central | Mill Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Mill Creek | |
| Gainesville | Mill Creek | insuffient: ( 4- 0)( 3- 1) | Mill Creek | |
| George Walton Academy | Mill Creek | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Mill Creek | |
| Grayson | Mill Creek | Mill Creek 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Greater Atlanta Christia | Mill Creek | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | Mill Creek | |
| Greenbrier | Mill Creek | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Mill Creek | |
| Grovetown | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Hampton | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Harrison | Mill Creek | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Mill Creek | |
| Hebron Christian | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Hillgrove | Mill Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) | Mill Creek | |
| Holy Innocents | Mill Creek | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Mill Creek | |
| Jackson County | Mill Creek | Mill Creek 6- 0 vs 3- 3 | ||
| Johns Creek | Johns Creek | Johns Creek | ||
| Kell | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Kennesaw Mountain | Mill Creek | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Mill Creek | |
| Kings Ridge Christian | Mill Creek | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Mill Creek | |
| Lakeside DeKalb | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Lakeside Evans | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Lambert | Lambert | Lambert | ||
| Lanier | Mill Creek | Mill Creek 5- 0 vs 3- 2 | ||
| Lassiter | Lassiter | Lassiter | ||
| Lovett | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Marietta | Mill Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Mill Creek | |
| Marist | Mill Creek | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Mill Creek | |
| Maynard Jackson | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| McDonough | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| McEachern | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| McIntosh | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Midtown | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Milton | Milton | Milton 6- 0 vs 0- 6 | ||
| Mount Bethel Christian | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Mount Paran Christian | Mill Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Mill Creek | |
| Mount Pisgah Christian | Mill Creek | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Mill Creek | |
| Mountain View | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Newnan | Mill Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Mill Creek | |
| Norcross | Mill Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Mill Creek | |
| North Atlanta | Mill Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Mill Creek | |
| North Cobb | Mill Creek | Mill Creek 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| North Cobb Christian | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| North Forsyth | Mill Creek | tied - ( 1- 4) ( 1- 4) | Mill Creek | |
| North Gwinnett | North Gwinnett | North Gwinnett | ||
| North Oconee | Mill Creek | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Mill Creek | |
| North Paulding | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| North Springs | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Northgate | Mill Creek | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Mill Creek | |
| Northview | Mill Creek | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Mill Creek | |
| Oconee County | Mill Creek | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Mill Creek | |
| Ola | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Pace Academy | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Parkview | Mill Creek | Mill Creek 5- 0 vs 3- 2 | ||
| Peachtree Ridge | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Pinecrest Academy | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Pope | Pope | tied - ( 2- 5) ( 2- 5) | Pope | |
| Richmond Hill | Mill Creek | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Mill Creek | |
| River Ridge | Mill Creek | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Mill Creek | |
| Riverwood | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Roswell | Roswell | insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3) | Roswell | |
| Savannah Christian | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Seckinger | Mill Creek | Mill Creek 5- 0 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Sequoyah | Mill Creek | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Mill Creek | |
| South Effingham | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| South Forsyth | South Forsyth | tied - ( 1- 4) ( 1- 4) | South Forsyth | |
| Southwest DeKalb | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Sprayberry | Mill Creek | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Mill Creek | |
| St Pius X | Mill Creek | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Mill Creek | |
| St Vincents | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Starrs Mill | Starrs Mill | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Starrs Mill | |
| Stratford Academy | Mill Creek | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Mill Creek | |
| Strong Rock Christian | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Trinity Christian | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Union Grove | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Walker School | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Walton | Walton | Walton | ||
| Wesleyan School | Wesleyan School | tied - ( 3- 3) ( 3- 3) | Wesleyan School | |
| West Forsyth | West Forsyth | West Forsyth | ||
| Westminster School | Mill Creek | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Mill Creek | |
| Wheeler | Mill Creek | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Mill Creek | |
| Whitewater | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Woodland | Mill Creek | Mill Creek | ||
| Woodstock | Mill Creek | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Mill Creek | |
| Woodward Academy | Mill Creek | Mill Creek |
PowerWise = 101
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Walton (17- 4, 94.5) 7-12 -5.38 39.03 -0.72 0.92 -5.63
0 H Johns Creek (14- 4, 95.2) 9-15 -4.73 39.68 -0.72 0.92 -5.03
0 A Hebron Christi ( 2-14, 66.5) 19- 2 -33.45 10.96 0.72 0.92 10.77
0 H Blessed Trinit (13- 7, 92.6) 9-15 -7.34 37.07 -0.72 0.92 -7.44
0 A Dacula ( 9- 8, 76.0) 20- 2 -23.89 20.52 0.72 0.92 19.58
0 H Peachtree Ridg ( 8-10, 77.4) 21- 0 -22.47 21.94 -0.72 0.92 19.56
0 H Lassiter (14- 3, 95.2) 3-11 -4.69 39.72 -0.72 0.92 -4.99
0 A North Gwinnett (13- 6, 93.2) 6-14 -6.66 37.75 0.72 0.92 -5.47
0 A Buford (12- 7, 85.3) 14- 5 -14.59 29.82 0.72 0.92 28.16
0 H Lambert (12- 5, 95.2) 4-13 -4.66 39.75 -0.72 0.92 -4.97
0 H Collins Hill ( 0-17, 62.5) 19- 0 -37.40 7.01 -0.72 0.92 5.79
0 H North Paulding ( 6- 9, 87.3) 10- 7 -12.55 31.86 -0.72 0.92 28.70
0 H Mountain View (10- 7, 83.0) 13- 2 -16.88 27.53 -0.72 0.92 24.71
0 A West Forsyth (15- 1, 98.7) 2-19 -1.23 43.18 0.72 0.92 -0.46
0 H Duluth ( 5-11, 71.1) 21- 0 -28.83 15.58 -0.72 0.92 13.70
0 A Walton (17- 4, 94.5) 3-13 -5.38 39.03 0.72 0.92 -4.30
------
112.68
|
winning pts = 150.9736 losing points = -38.2896
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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