Messalonskee
W-L: ( 8- 8) PR = 90.3674Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 417 H Brunswick ( 5-10, 90.8) 4- 7 421 A Gardiner-Hall-Dale ( 9- 6, 91.0) 12-15 423 H Massabesic ( 8- 7, 93.9) 4- 6 428 H Houlton ( 4- 8, 85.6) 18- 8 501 A Oxford Hills Comp ( 5-11, 89.2) 16-15 507 H Camden Hills Regional (12- 5, 92.5) 11-17 512 A Greely ( 9- 8, 95.2) 5-15 515 H Lewiston ( 1-13, 86.7) 15- 5 519 A Lincoln Academy (10- 4, 92.5) 4-10 521 H Brewer/Hampden ( 3-12, 85.5) 16- 1 527 A Mount Blue ( 7- 8, 88.5) 14- 7 530 A Cony (11- 4, 92.2) 8-11 603 A Edward Little ( 3-11, 82.9) 23- 0 604 A Bangor ( 9- 6, 89.7) 8- 7 611 N Mount Blue ( 7- 8, 88.5) 14- 6 614 A Mount Ararat (16- 0, 96.3) 9-14
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
417 H Brunswick 4- 7 -3 0 - -3.12
421 A Gardiner-Hall-Dale 12-15 -3 -1 -1.83
423 H Massabesic 4- 6 -2 -3 1.05
428 H Houlton 18- 8 10 5 0.00
501 A Oxford Hills Comp 16-15 1 1 0.32
507 H Camden Hills Regional 11-17 -6 -2 - -3.34
512 A Greely 5-15 -10 -5 0.00
515 H Lewiston 15- 5 10 4 0.80
519 A Lincoln Academy 4-10 -6 -3 - -2.34
521 H Brewer/Hampden 16- 1 15 5 0.00
527 A Mount Blue 14- 7 7 1 + 3.68
530 A Cony 8-11 -3 -2 -0.61
603 A Edward Little 23- 0 23 7 0.00
604 A Bangor 8- 7 1 0 0.81
611 N Mount Blue 14- 6 8 2 + 3.17
614 A Mount Ararat 9-14 -5 -6 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 417 H Brunswick 4- 7 -3 0 - -3.12 507 H Camden Hills Regional 11-17 -6 -2 - -3.34 519 A Lincoln Academy 4-10 -6 -3 - -2.34 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 527 A Mount Blue 14- 7 7 1 + 3.68 611 N Mount Blue 14- 6 8 2 + 3.17 |
Messalonskee Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bangor | Messalonskee | Messalonskee | ||
| Biddeford | Messalonskee | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Messalonskee | |
| Bonny Eagle | Messalonskee | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Messalonskee | |
| Brewer/Hampden | Messalonskee | Messalonskee | ||
| Brunswick | Brunswick | Brunswick | ||
| Camden Hills Regional | Camden Hills Regional | Camden Hills Regional | ||
| Cape Elizabeth | Cape Elizabeth | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Cape Elizabeth | |
| Cheverus | Cheverus | Cheverus 4- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Cony | Cony | Cony | ||
| Deering | Messalonskee | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Messalonskee | |
| Edward Little | Messalonskee | Messalonskee | ||
| Erskine Academy | Messalonskee | insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 3- 3) | Messalonskee | |
| Falmouth | Falmouth | Falmouth 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Freeport | Freeport | Freeport 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Fryeburg Academy | Fryeburg Academy | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Fryeburg Academy | |
| Gardiner-Hall-Dale | Gardiner-Hall-Dale | Gardiner-Hall-Dale | ||
| Gorham | Gorham | Gorham | ||
| Gray-New Gloucester/Pola | Messalonskee | Messalonskee | ||
| Greely | Greely | Greely | ||
| Houlton | Messalonskee | Messalonskee | ||
| Kennebunk | Kennebunk | Kennebunk 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Lake Region | Messalonskee | Messalonskee | ||
| Lewiston | Messalonskee | Messalonskee | ||
| Lincoln Academy | Lincoln Academy | Lincoln Academy | ||
| Maranacook/Winthrop | Maranacook/Winthrop | Maranacook/Winthrop 6- 2 vs 3- 5 | ||
| Marshwood | Marshwood | Marshwood 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Massabesic | Massabesic | Massabesic | ||
| MCI/Nokomis | Messalonskee | Messalonskee 5- 3 vs 0- 8 | ||
| Morse-Boothbay | Morse-Boothbay | tied - ( 3- 5) ( 3- 5) | Morse-Boothbay | |
| Mount Ararat | Mount Ararat | Mount Ararat | ||
| Mount Blue | Messalonskee | Messalonskee | ||
| Noble | Messalonskee | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Messalonskee | |
| North Yarmouth Academy | North Yarmouth Academy | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | North Yarmouth Academy | |
| Oceanside | Oceanside | Oceanside | ||
| Oxford Hills Comp | Messalonskee | Messalonskee | ||
| Portland | Messalonskee | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Messalonskee | |
| Sanford | Sanford | Sanford | ||
| Scarborough | Scarborough | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Scarborough | |
| South Portland | Messalonskee | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Messalonskee | |
| St Dominic Academy | Messalonskee | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Messalonskee | |
| Thornton Academy | Thornton Academy | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Thornton Academy | |
| Traip Academy | Traip Academy | Traip Academy | ||
| Waynflete School | Waynflete School | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Waynflete School | |
| Wells | Wells | Wells | ||
| Westbrook | Messalonskee | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Messalonskee | |
| Windham | Windham | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | Windham | |
| Winslow/Lawrence | Messalonskee | Messalonskee 5- 3 vs 0- 8 | ||
| Yarmouth | Yarmouth | Yarmouth 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| York | York | York 2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
PowerWise = 20
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.76
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Brunswick ( 5-10, 90.8) 4- 7 -9.14 9.60 -0.51 0.92 -8.91
0 A Gardiner-Hall- ( 9- 6, 91.0) 12-15 -8.87 9.87 0.51 0.92 -7.71
0 H Massabesic ( 8- 7, 93.9) 4- 6 -5.97 12.78 -0.51 0.92 -5.98
0 H Houlton ( 4- 8, 85.6) 18- 8 -14.26 4.49 -0.51 0.92 3.66
0 A Oxford Hills C ( 5-11, 89.2) 16-15 -10.72 8.02 0.51 0.92 7.88
0 H Camden Hills R (12- 5, 92.5) 11-17 -7.36 11.39 -0.51 0.92 -7.26
0 A Greely ( 9- 8, 95.2) 5-15 -4.69 14.06 0.51 0.92 -3.85
0 H Lewiston ( 1-13, 86.7) 15- 5 -13.22 5.53 -0.51 0.92 4.63
0 A Lincoln Academ (10- 4, 92.5) 4-10 -7.39 11.36 0.51 0.92 -6.34
0 H Brewer/Hampden ( 3-12, 85.5) 16- 1 -14.41 4.34 -0.51 0.92 3.53
0 A Mount Blue ( 7- 8, 88.5) 14- 7 -11.36 7.38 0.51 0.92 7.29
0 A Cony (11- 4, 92.2) 8-11 -7.66 11.09 0.51 0.92 -6.59
0 A Edward Little ( 3-11, 82.9) 23- 0 -16.96 1.78 0.51 0.92 2.12
0 A Bangor ( 9- 6, 89.7) 8- 7 -10.23 8.51 0.51 0.92 8.33
0 N Mount Blue ( 7- 8, 88.5) 14- 6 -11.36 7.38 -0.00 0.92 6.81
0 A Mount Ararat (16- 0, 96.3) 9-14 -3.64 15.11 0.51 0.92 -2.89
------
-5.29
|
winning pts = 44.2394 losing points = -49.5314
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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