Merrimack
W-L: (14- 2) PR = 90.9547Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 414 A Hanover (11- 8, 90.6) 11-10 416 A Goffstown ( 6-11, 87.0) 12-10 418 H Alvirne ( 1-14, 76.4) 24- 3 423 H Timberlane (10- 6, 89.7) 14-13 425 A Merrimack Valley (12- 5, 90.1) 16- 6 505 H Manchester Memorial ( 1-15, 76.5) 19- 2 507 A Hollis-Brookline ( 8-10, 88.5) 13- 6 508 A Keene-Monadnock ( 3- 9, 79.3) 21- 1 512 H Kingswood ( 6-10, 83.8) 18- 7 514 A Kennett ( 5- 9, 83.9) 14- 9 516 H Hanover (11- 8, 90.6) 12-11 523 H Spaulding ( 2-14, 78.6) 18- 2 527 A Oyster River-Newmarket ( 9- 7, 87.7) 16-15 530 H Winnacunnet (19- 1, 95.7) 8-13 605 H Hollis-Brookline ( 8-10, 88.5) 15- 4 608 N Merrimack Valley (12- 5, 90.1) 10-13
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
414 A Hanover 11-10 1 0 0.82
416 A Goffstown 12-10 2 4 -1.79
418 H Alvirne 24- 3 21 15 0.00
423 H Timberlane 14-13 1 1 -0.36
425 A Merrimack Valley 16- 6 10 1 ++ 4.26
505 H Manchester Memorial 19- 2 17 15 0.00
507 A Hollis-Brookline 13- 6 7 2 + 2.66
508 A Keene-Monadnock 21- 1 20 12 0.00
512 H Kingswood 18- 7 11 7 0.00
514 A Kennett 14- 9 5 7 0.00
516 H Hanover 12-11 1 0 0.50
523 H Spaulding 18- 2 16 12 0.00
527 A Oyster River-Newmarket 16-15 1 3 - -2.10
530 H Winnacunnet 8-13 -5 -5 -0.38
605 H Hollis-Brookline 15- 4 11 3 + 2.35
608 N Merrimack Valley 10-13 -3 1 - -3.89
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 527 A Oyster River-Newmarket 16-15 1 3 - -2.10 608 N Merrimack Valley 10-13 -3 1 - -3.89 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 425 A Merrimack Valley 16- 6 10 1 ++ 4.26 507 A Hollis-Brookline 13- 6 7 2 + 2.66 605 H Hollis-Brookline 15- 4 11 3 + 2.35 |
Merrimack Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alvirne | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Bedford | Bedford | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Bedford | |
| Belmont | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Bishop Brady | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Bishop Guertin | Bishop Guertin | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bishop Guertin | |
| Bow | Bow | Bow | ||
| Campbell | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Coe-Brown | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Concord | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Concord Christian | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| ConVal | Merrimack | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Merrimack | |
| Derryfield | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Dover | Merrimack | tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) | Merrimack | |
| Exeter HS | Exeter HS | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Exeter HS | |
| Gilford | Gilford | Gilford | ||
| Goffstown | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Hanover | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Hollis-Brookline | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Hopkinton | Hopkinton | Hopkinton | ||
| Inter-Lakes-Moultonborou | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| John Stark | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Kearsarge | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Keene-Monadnock | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Kennett | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Kingswood | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Laconia | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Lebanon | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Londonderry | Londonderry | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Londonderry | |
| Manchester Central-West | Merrimack | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Merrimack | |
| Manchester Memorial | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Merrimack Valley | Merrimack | Merrimack 11- 1 vs 9- 3 | ||
| Milford | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Nashua North | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Nashua South | Nashua South | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Nashua South | |
| Oyster River-Newmarket | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Pelham | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Pembroke Academy | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Pinkerton Academy | Pinkerton Academy | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Pinkerton Academy | |
| Plymouth | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Portsmouth | Portsmouth | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Portsmouth | |
| Salem | Merrimack | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Merrimack | |
| Souhegan | Souhegan | Souhegan | ||
| Spaulding | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| St Thomas Aquinas | St Thomas Aquinas | St Thomas Aquinas | ||
| Timberlane | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Trinity Manchester | Merrimack | Merrimack | ||
| Windham | Merrimack | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Merrimack | |
| Winnacunnet | Winnacunnet | Winnacunnet |
PowerWise = 35
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 15.96
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Hanover (11- 8, 90.6) 11-10 -9.29 18.64 0.16 1.00 18.75
0 A Goffstown ( 6-11, 87.0) 12-10 -12.89 15.04 0.16 1.00 15.16
0 H Alvirne ( 1-14, 76.4) 24- 3 -23.49 4.44 -0.16 1.00 4.27
0 H Timberlane (10- 6, 89.7) 14-13 -10.15 17.77 -0.16 1.00 17.57
0 A Merrimack Vall (12- 5, 90.1) 16- 6 -9.84 18.09 0.16 1.00 18.20
0 H Manchester Mem ( 1-15, 76.5) 19- 2 -23.43 4.50 -0.16 1.00 4.33
0 A Hollis-Brookli ( 8-10, 88.5) 13- 6 -11.44 16.49 0.16 1.00 16.60
0 A Keene-Monadnoc ( 3- 9, 79.3) 21- 1 -20.65 7.28 0.16 1.00 7.42
0 H Kingswood ( 6-10, 83.8) 18- 7 -16.12 11.81 -0.16 1.00 11.62
0 A Kennett ( 5- 9, 83.9) 14- 9 -16.04 11.89 0.16 1.00 12.02
0 H Hanover (11- 8, 90.6) 12-11 -9.29 18.64 -0.16 1.00 18.44
0 H Spaulding ( 2-14, 78.6) 18- 2 -21.26 6.66 -0.16 1.00 6.49
0 A Oyster River-N ( 9- 7, 87.7) 16-15 -12.20 15.73 0.16 1.00 15.84
0 H Winnacunnet (19- 1, 95.7) 8-13 -4.17 23.76 -0.16 1.00 -4.31
0 H Hollis-Brookli ( 8-10, 88.5) 15- 4 -11.44 16.49 -0.16 1.00 16.29
0 N Merrimack Vall (12- 5, 90.1) 10-13 -9.84 18.09 -0.00 1.00 -9.81
------
168.87
|
winning pts = 182.9918 losing points = -14.1245
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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