Mercy
W-L: (13- 3) PR = 92.3272Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 324 A Notre Dame Prep ( 4-10, 84.3) 17- 7 326 A Cranbrook Kingswood (10- 6, 92.5) 14- 9 328 H Ann Arbor Father Gabri ( 3-15, 83.2) 14- 6 403 A Livonia United ( 5-11, 83.0) 12- 4 405 A Hartland (20- 6, 93.8) 7- 6 407 A Marian ( 9- 7, 91.9) 8- 5 409 H Divine Child ( 6- 7, 84.3) 21-14 412 H Okemos ( 5- 9, 85.3) 16- 7 414 H Bloomfield Hills (13-11, 91.2) 6- 4 503 H Saline (16- 3, 92.7) 10-11 505 A Northville (10-10, 86.9) 14-11 507 H Cranbrook Kingswood (10- 6, 92.5) 8- 9 512 A Haslett (12- 7, 90.6) 12-11 521 H Ann Arbor Skyline ( 5- 6, 82.6) 12- 7 527 H Ann Arbor Father Gabri ( 3-15, 83.2) 12- 2 530 H Saline (16- 3, 92.7) 11-13
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
324 A Notre Dame Prep 17- 7 10 7 0.00
326 A Cranbrook Kingswood 14- 9 5 -1 ++ 5.78
328 H Ann Arbor Father Gabri 14- 6 8 10 0.00
403 A Livonia United 12- 4 8 9 0.00
405 A Hartland 7- 6 1 -2 + 3.06
407 A Marian 8- 5 3 0 + 3.24
409 H Divine Child 21-14 7 9 0.00
412 H Okemos 16- 7 9 8 0.00
414 H Bloomfield Hills 6- 4 2 2 0.30
503 H Saline 10-11 -1 0 -1.30
505 A Northville 14-11 3 5 -1.83
507 H Cranbrook Kingswood 8- 9 -1 0 -1.47
512 A Haslett 12-11 1 1 -0.13
521 H Ann Arbor Skyline 12- 7 5 10 0.00
527 H Ann Arbor Father Gabri 12- 2 10 10 0.00
530 H Saline 11-13 -2 0 - -2.30
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 530 H Saline 11-13 -2 0 - -2.30 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 326 A Cranbrook Kingswood 14- 9 5 -1 ++ 5.78 405 A Hartland 7- 6 1 -2 + 3.06 407 A Marian 8- 5 3 0 + 3.24 |
Mercy Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ann Arbor Father Gabriel | Mercy | Mercy | ||
| Ann Arbor Huron | Mercy | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Mercy | |
| Ann Arbor Pioneer | Mercy | Mercy 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Ann Arbor Skyline | Mercy | Mercy | ||
| Avondale | Mercy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Mercy | |
| Battle Creek Harper Cree | Mercy | Mercy | ||
| Bedford | Mercy | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Mercy | |
| Birmingham Unified | Mercy | Mercy 5- 1 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Bloomfield Hills | Mercy | Mercy | ||
| Brighton | Brighton | tied - ( 6- 1) ( 6- 0) | Brighton | |
| Brighton B | Mercy | Mercy | ||
| Byron Center | Mercy | Mercy | ||
| Caledonia | Mercy | Mercy | ||
| Canton | Mercy | Mercy 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Cass Tech | Mercy | Mercy | ||
| Catholic Central | Catholic Central | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Catholic Central | |
| Chippewa Valley | Mercy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Mercy | |
| Clarkston | Mercy | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Mercy | |
| Comstock Park | Mercy | Mercy | ||
| Cranbrook Kingswood | Cranbrook Kingswood | insuffient: ( 4- 0)( 3- 1) | Cranbrook Kingswood | |
| Davison | Mercy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Mercy | |
| Detroit Country Day | Detroit Country Day | insuffient: ( 5- 2)( 6- 0) | Detroit Country Day | |
| DeWitt | Mercy | Mercy 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Dexter | Mercy | tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) | Mercy | |
| Divine Child | Mercy | Mercy | ||
| East Grand Rapids | East Grand Rapids | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | East Grand Rapids | |
| East Lansing | Mercy | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Mercy | |
| Farmington | Mercy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Mercy | |
| Fenton-Linden Co-Op | Mercy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Mercy | |
| Flint Powers Catholic | Mercy | Mercy | ||
| Flushing | Mercy | Mercy | ||
| Forest Hills Central | Forest Hills Central | Forest Hills Central | ||
| Forest Hills Northern/Ea | Mercy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Mercy | |
| Grand Blanc | Mercy | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Mercy | |
| Grand Haven | Mercy | Mercy | ||
| Grand Ledge | Mercy | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | Mercy | |
| Grand Rapids Christian | Mercy | Mercy | ||
| Grandville | Mercy | Mercy | ||
| Grosse Pointe North | Mercy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Mercy | |
| Grosse Pointe South | Mercy | tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) | Mercy | |
| Hartland | Mercy | Mercy | ||
| Haslett | Mercy | Mercy | ||
| Henry Ford II | Mercy | Mercy | ||
| Holland West Ottawa | Mercy | Mercy | ||
| Holly-Brandon Co-Op | Mercy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Mercy | |
| Holt | Mercy | Mercy 4- 1 vs 2- 1 | ||
| Howell | Mercy | Mercy 5- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Hudsonville | Mercy | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Mercy | |
| Jenison | Mercy | Mercy | ||
| Kalamazoo Central | Mercy | Mercy | ||
| Lake Fenton | Mercy | Mercy | ||
| Lake Orion | Mercy | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | Mercy | |
| Lakeview | Mercy | Mercy | ||
| Lansing Catholic-Waverly | Mercy | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | Mercy | |
| Lapeer | Mercy | Mercy | ||
| Livonia United | Mercy | Mercy | ||
| Lowell | Mercy | Mercy | ||
| Marian | Mercy | Mercy | ||
| Mattawan | Mercy | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Mercy | |
| Midland | Mercy | Mercy | ||
| Mona Shores | Mercy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Mercy | |
| Northview | Northview | Northview | ||
| Northville | Mercy | Mercy | ||
| Notre Dame Prep | Mercy | Mercy | ||
| Novi | Mercy | Mercy 4- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Okemos | Mercy | Mercy | ||
| Oxford | Mercy | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | Mercy | |
| Plymouth | Mercy | Mercy 5- 0 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Portage Northern | Mercy | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | Mercy | |
| Reeths-Puffer | Mercy | Mercy | ||
| Rochester Adams | Mercy | Mercy 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Rochester HS | Mercy | Mercy 2- 1 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Rochester Stoney Creek | Mercy | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | Mercy | |
| Rockford | Mercy | Mercy 3- 1 vs 1- 1 | ||
| Royal Oak | Mercy | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Mercy | |
| Sacred Heart Academy | Mercy | Mercy 4- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Saginaw Heritage | Mercy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Mercy | |
| Salem | Mercy | Mercy 4- 1 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Saline | Saline | Saline | ||
| South Lyon United | South Lyon United | tied - ( 4- 2) ( 4- 0) | South Lyon United | |
| Spring Lake | Spring Lake | Spring Lake | ||
| St Catherine of Siena | Mercy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Mercy | |
| St Johns/Ovid-Elsie | Mercy | Mercy 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Swartz Creek | Mercy | Mercy | ||
| Tecumseh | Mercy | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Mercy | |
| Traverse City Central | Mercy | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Mercy | |
| Troy | Mercy | Mercy 4- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Troy Athens | Mercy | Mercy 2- 1 vs 0- 1 | ||
| University Liggett | Mercy | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | Mercy | |
| Utica Eisenhower | Mercy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Mercy | |
| Walled Lake Northern | Mercy | Mercy | ||
| Warren Regina | Mercy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Mercy | |
| Waterford United | Mercy | Mercy | ||
| West Bloomfield | Mercy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Mercy | |
| White Lake Lakeland | Mercy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Mercy | |
| Zeeland East | Mercy | Mercy |
PowerWise = 86
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 16.08
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Notre Dame Pre ( 4-10, 84.3) 17- 7 -15.61 13.59 0.62 1.01 14.28
0 A Cranbrook King (10- 6, 92.5) 14- 9 -7.42 21.77 0.62 1.01 22.51
0 H Ann Arbor Fath ( 3-15, 83.2) 14- 6 -16.70 12.50 -0.62 1.01 11.94
0 A Livonia United ( 5-11, 83.0) 12- 4 -16.92 12.27 0.62 1.01 12.96
0 A Hartland (20- 6, 93.8) 7- 6 -6.14 23.06 0.62 1.01 23.80
0 A Marian ( 9- 7, 91.9) 8- 5 -7.95 21.24 0.62 1.01 21.97
0 H Divine Child ( 6- 7, 84.3) 21-14 -15.62 13.57 -0.62 1.01 13.02
0 H Okemos ( 5- 9, 85.3) 16- 7 -14.64 14.55 -0.62 1.01 14.00
0 H Bloomfield Hil (13-11, 91.2) 6- 4 -8.65 20.54 -0.62 1.01 20.02
0 H Saline (16- 3, 92.7) 10-11 -7.25 21.94 -0.62 1.01 -7.91
0 A Northville (10-10, 86.9) 14-11 -13.02 16.17 0.62 1.01 16.88
0 H Cranbrook King (10- 6, 92.5) 8- 9 -7.42 21.77 -0.62 1.01 -8.08
0 A Haslett (12- 7, 90.6) 12-11 -9.33 19.87 0.62 1.01 20.59
0 H Ann Arbor Skyl ( 5- 6, 82.6) 12- 7 -17.30 11.89 -0.62 1.01 11.33
0 H Ann Arbor Fath ( 3-15, 83.2) 12- 2 -16.70 12.50 -0.62 1.01 11.94
0 H Saline (16- 3, 92.7) 11-13 -7.25 21.94 -0.62 1.01 -7.91
------
191.33
|
winning pts = 215.2317 losing points = -23.8994
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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