---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:47 PDT

safe3step girls Mercy 1
  
Mercy                 
W-L: (12- 2) PR = 92.0133

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 320 A Roland Park Country ( 7- 7, 93.8) 6-16 325 H Hereford ( 4-10, 86.5) 10- 6 327 A Dulaney (11- 5, 90.9) 12- 9 401 H Gerstell Academy (11- 4, 90.7) 10- 4 403 H Park School ( 6- 6, 84.5) 14- 3 408 H St Timothys ( 6- 4, 87.9) 9- 7 410 A Mount de Sales ( 9- 5, 91.9) 8- 7 412 A Bryn Mawr SG ( 6- 8, 94.0) 9- 7 415 A Concordia Prep ( 5- 7, 83.2) 15- 2 417 A Indian Creek ( 3- 8, 79.5) 19- 3 428 A Bel Air (11- 5, 87.6) 13- 6 429 A St Johns Catholic Prep ( 1-10, 78.0) 19- 3 507 H St Timothys ( 6- 4, 87.9) 20- 9 510 N Mount de Sales ( 9- 5, 91.9) 8-15

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 A Roland Park Country     6-16     -10    -2    -     -2.72
   325 H Hereford               10- 6       4     6          -1.00
   327 A Dulaney                12- 9       3     1    +      2.38
   401 H Gerstell Academy       10- 4       6     2    +      3.27
   403 H Park School            14- 3      11     8           0.00
   408 H St Timothys             9- 7       2     5    -     -2.59
   410 A Mount de Sales          8- 7       1     0           1.31
   412 A Bryn Mawr SG            9- 7       2    -2    ++     4.40
   415 A Concordia Prep         15- 2      13     8           0.00
   417 A Indian Creek           19- 3      16    12           0.00
   428 A Bel Air                13- 6       7     4           1.02
   429 A St Johns Catholic Prep 19- 3      16    14           0.00
   507 H St Timothys            20- 9      11     5           0.41
   510 N Mount de Sales          8-15      -7     0    --    -5.14

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   510 N Mount de Sales          8-15      -7     0    --    -5.14
   320 A Roland Park Country     6-16     -10    -2    -     -2.72
   408 H St Timothys             9- 7       2     5    -     -2.59

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 A Bryn Mawr SG            9- 7       2    -2    ++     4.40
   327 A Dulaney                12- 9       3     1    +      2.38
   401 H Gerstell Academy       10- 4       6     2    +      3.27

Mercy Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Annapolis Area Christian Mercy Mercy   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Anne Arundel County Mercy   Mercy
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 1) Archbishop Spalding
Beth TFiloh Mercy   Mercy
Bishop McNamara Mercy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Mercy
Brookewood SG Mercy   Mercy
Bryn Mawr SG Mercy Mercy  
Bullis School Mercy   Mercy
Calverton School Mercy   Mercy
Catholic High Baltimore Mercy   Mercy
Chapelgate Christian Mercy   Mercy
Concordia Prep Mercy Mercy  
Cristo Rey Jesuit Mercy   Mercy
DC International Mercy   Mercy
EL Haynes Charter Mercy   Mercy
Elizabeth Seton Mercy insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Mercy
FCA Mercy Mercy   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Field School Mercy   Mercy
Friends School Mercy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Mercy
Garrison Forest Mercy insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) Mercy
Georgetown Day School Mercy   Mercy
Georgetown Visitation Georgetown Visitation tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Georgetown Visitation
Gerstell Academy Mercy Mercy  
Glenelg Country School Mercy insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Mercy
Good Counsel Good Counsel   Good Counsel
Gunston Day School Mercy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Mercy
Holton-Arms School Mercy   Mercy
Holy Child Mercy insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) Mercy
Holy Cross Mercy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Mercy
Indian Creek Mercy Mercy  
Jackson-Reed Mercy   Mercy
Jemicy Mercy   Mercy
John Carroll John Carroll insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) John Carroll
Key School Mercy   Mercy
KIPP College Prep Mercy   Mercy
Maret School Mercy   Mercy
Maryvale Prep Maryvale Prep tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Maryvale Prep
McDonogh School McDonogh School insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) McDonogh School
Mount de Sales Mercy tied - ( 6- 0) ( 6- 0) Mercy
National Cathedral Mercy   Mercy
Notre Dame Prep Notre Dame Prep tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Notre Dame Prep
Oldfields School Mercy   Mercy
Park School Mercy Mercy  
Rockbridge Academy Mercy   Mercy
Roland Park Country Roland Park Country Roland Park Country  
Salisbury School Mercy   Mercy
Sandy Spring Friends Mercy   Mercy
School Without Walls Mercy   Mercy
Severn School Severn School tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 1) Severn School
Sidwell Friends Mercy   Mercy
St Andrews Episcopal Mercy   Mercy
St James School Mercy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Mercy
St Johns Catholic Prep Mercy Mercy  
St Johns College St Johns College   St Johns College
St Marys St Marys insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) St Marys
St Marys Ryken Mercy   Mercy
St Pauls SG St Pauls SG insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) St Pauls SG
St Timothys Mercy Mercy  
St Vincent Pallotti Mercy   Mercy
Stone Ridge School Stone Ridge School   Stone Ridge School
Sts Peter & Paul Mercy Mercy   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Tome School Mercy   Mercy
Washington Latin Mercy   Mercy
Worcester Prep Mercy   Mercy
Aberdeen Mercy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Mercy
Academy for College & Ca Mercy   Mercy
Annapolis Mercy   Mercy
Arundel Mercy   Mercy
Atholton Mercy   Mercy
Baltimore Polytechnic Mercy Mercy   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Bel Air Mercy Mercy  
Bethesda-Chevy Chase Mercy   Mercy
Bladensburg Mercy   Mercy
Blair Mercy   Mercy
Blake Mercy   Mercy
Bohemia Manor Mercy   Mercy
Boonsboro Mercy   Mercy
Bowie Mercy   Mercy
Broadneck Broadneck   Broadneck
Brunswick Mercy   Mercy
Calvert Mercy   Mercy
Cambridge SD Mercy   Mercy
Carver A&T Mercy   Mercy
Catoctin Mercy   Mercy
Catonsville Mercy Mercy   4- 1 vs 2- 2
Centennial Mercy   Mercy
Central PG Mercy   Mercy
Century Mercy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Mercy
CH Flowers Mercy   Mercy
Chesapeake AA Mercy   Mercy
Chesapeake BC Mercy   Mercy
Chopticon Mercy   Mercy
City College Mercy Mercy   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Clarksburg Mercy   Mercy
CM Wright Mercy insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Mercy
CMIT North Mercy   Mercy
Crofton Mercy   Mercy
Damascus Mercy   Mercy
Dr Henry Wise Mercy   Mercy
Dulaney Mercy Mercy  
Dundalk Mercy   Mercy
DuVal Mercy   Mercy
Eastern Technical Mercy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Mercy
Easton Mercy   Mercy
Edgewood Mercy   Mercy
Einstein Mercy   Mercy
Eleanor Roosevelt Mercy   Mercy
Elkton Mercy   Mercy
Fairmont Heights Mercy   Mercy
Fallston Mercy insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Mercy
Francis Scott Key Mercy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Mercy
Franklin Mercy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Mercy
Frederick Mercy   Mercy
Frederick Douglass PG Mercy   Mercy
Gaithersburg Mercy   Mercy
Glen Burnie Mercy   Mercy
Glenelg HS Glenelg HS tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Glenelg HS
Gov Thomas Johnson Mercy   Mercy
Great Mills Mercy   Mercy
Guilford Park Mercy   Mercy
Gwynn Park Mercy   Mercy
Hammond Mercy   Mercy
Harford Tech Mercy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Mercy
Havre De Grace Mercy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Mercy
Hereford Mercy Mercy  
Howard Mercy   Mercy
Huntingtown Mercy   Mercy
JM Bennett Mercy   Mercy
Kennedy Mercy   Mercy
Kent County Mercy   Mercy
Kent Island Mercy   Mercy
Kenwood Mercy   Mercy
La Plata Mercy   Mercy
Lackey Mercy   Mercy
Lansdowne Mercy   Mercy
Laurel Mercy   Mercy
Leonardtown Mercy   Mercy
Liberty Mercy insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Mercy
Linganore Mercy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Mercy
Loch Raven Mercy   Mercy
Long Reach Mercy   Mercy
Magruder Mercy   Mercy
Manchester Valley Manchester Valley tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Manchester Valley
Marriotts Ridge Marriotts Ridge insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Marriotts Ridge
Meade Mercy   Mercy
Middletown Mercy   Mercy
Milford Mill Mercy   Mercy
MJ McDonough Mercy   Mercy
Mount Hebron Mercy   Mercy
New Town Mercy   Mercy
North Caroline Mercy   Mercy
North County Mercy   Mercy
North Dorchester Mercy   Mercy
North East Cecil Mercy   Mercy
North Hagerstown Mercy   Mercy
North Harford Mercy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Mercy
North Point Mercy   Mercy
Northeast Mercy   Mercy
Northern Calvert Mercy   Mercy
Northwest Mercy   Mercy
Northwestern PG Mercy   Mercy
Northwood Mercy   Mercy
Oakdale Mercy   Mercy
Oakland Mills Mercy   Mercy
Old Mill Mercy   Mercy
Overlea Mercy   Mercy
Owings Mills Mercy   Mercy
Oxon Hill Mercy   Mercy
Paint Branch Mercy   Mercy
Parkdale Mercy   Mercy
Parkside Mercy   Mercy
Parkville Mercy   Mercy
Patapsco Mercy   Mercy
Patterson Mill Mercy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Mercy
Patuxent Mercy   Mercy
Perry Hall Mercy Mercy   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Perryville Mercy   Mercy
Pikesville Mercy   Mercy
Poolesville Mercy   Mercy
Queen Annes County Mercy   Mercy
Quince Orchard Mercy   Mercy
Randallstown Mercy   Mercy
Randallstown Mercy   Mercy
Reservoir Mercy   Mercy
Richard Montgomery Mercy   Mercy
Rising Sun Mercy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Mercy
River Hill Mercy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Mercy
Rockville Mercy   Mercy
Seneca Valley Mercy   Mercy
Severn Run Mercy   Mercy
Severna Park Severna Park tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Severna Park
Sherwood Mercy   Mercy
Smithsburg Mercy   Mercy
South Carroll South Carroll   South Carroll
South Hagerstown Mercy   Mercy
South River South River   South River
Southern Mercy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Mercy
Sparrows Point Mercy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Mercy
Springbrook Mercy   Mercy
St Charles Mercy   Mercy
Stephen Decatur Mercy   Mercy
Suitland Mercy   Mercy
Thomas Stone Mercy   Mercy
Towson Mercy Mercy   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Tuscarora Mercy   Mercy
Urbana Mercy tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Mercy
Walkersville Mercy   Mercy
Walter Johnson Mercy   Mercy
Watkins Mill Mercy   Mercy
Western Baltimore Mercy   Mercy
Western STES Mercy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Mercy
Westlake Mercy   Mercy
Westminster Mercy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Mercy
Wheaton Mercy   Mercy
Whitman Mercy   Mercy
Wicomico Mercy   Mercy
Wilde Lake Mercy   Mercy
Winston Churchill Mercy   Mercy
Winters Mill Mercy   Mercy
Woodlawn Mercy   Mercy
Wootton Mercy   Mercy

PowerWise = 201


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.96

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Roland Park Co  ( 7- 7, 93.8)     6-16       -6.05      31.87       0.45         0.85            -4.79
   0 H Hereford        ( 4-10, 86.5)    10- 6      -13.42      24.50      -0.45         0.85            20.55
   0 A Dulaney         (11- 5, 90.9)    12- 9       -8.96      28.96       0.45         0.85            25.14
   0 H Gerstell Acade  (11- 4, 90.7)    10- 4       -9.17      28.75      -0.45         0.85            24.18
   0 H Park School     ( 6- 6, 84.5)    14- 3      -15.38      22.54      -0.45         0.85            18.87
   0 H St Timothys     ( 6- 4, 87.9)     9- 7      -12.02      25.90      -0.45         0.85            21.75
   0 A Mount de Sales  ( 9- 5, 91.9)     8- 7       -8.03      29.89       0.45         0.85            25.93
   0 A Bryn Mawr SG    ( 6- 8, 94.0)     9- 7       -5.94      31.98       0.45         0.85            27.72
   0 A Concordia Prep  ( 5- 7, 83.2)    15- 2      -16.72      21.20       0.45         0.85            18.50
   0 A Indian Creek    ( 3- 8, 79.5)    19- 3      -20.45      17.47       0.45         0.85            15.32
   0 A Bel Air         (11- 5, 87.6)    13- 6      -12.32      25.60       0.45         0.85            22.26
   0 A St Johns Catho  ( 1-10, 78.0)    19- 3      -21.89      16.03       0.45         0.85            14.08
   0 H St Timothys     ( 6- 4, 87.9)    20- 9      -12.02      25.90      -0.45         0.85            21.75
   0 N Mount de Sales  ( 9- 5, 91.9)     8-15       -8.03      29.89      -0.00         0.85            -6.86
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       244.39

winning pts = 256.0392 losing points = -11.6494

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------