---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:46 PDT

safe3step girls Mercy Academy 1
  
Mercy Academy         
W-L: (10- 8) PR = 84.4203

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 304 A South Oldham ( 6-12, 84.0) 9-10 306 A Oldham County (14- 5, 85.5) 10- 9 309 A Sacred Heart Academy (15- 5, 95.6) 3-18 311 H Kentucky Country Day (19- 0, 99.9) 2-17 313 A Collins (12- 7, 82.9) 8- 7 318 A DuPont Manual ( 9- 7, 84.1) 9-10 324 H Louisville Collegiate ( 7- 8, 91.2) 6-17 328 H Ryle ( 2-10, 77.4) 14- 4 411 H North Oldham ( 7-10, 81.6) 8- 2 412 A Atherton ( 5-14, 80.9) 7- 4 415 H Cooper ( 6- 8, 82.7) 10- 7 422 H Central Hardin ( 3-10, 76.2) 19- 2 428 H Assumption ( 7- 7, 86.8) 5- 7 505 A North Oldham ( 7-10, 81.6) 5- 6 507 A Central Hardin ( 3-10, 76.2) 13- 3 508 A DuPont Manual ( 9- 7, 84.1) 10- 9 514 H South Warren ( 8- 8, 78.6) 16- 5 517 H DuPont Manual ( 9- 7, 84.1) 8- 9

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   304 A South Oldham            9-10      -1     0          -0.56
   306 A Oldham County          10- 9       1    -2    +      2.88
   309 A Sacred Heart Academy    3-18     -15   -12           0.00
   311 H Kentucky Country Day    2-17     -15   -15           0.00
   313 A Collins                 8- 7       1     1           0.27
   318 A DuPont Manual           9-10      -1     0          -0.51
   324 H Louisville Collegiate   6-17     -11    -6           0.00
   328 H Ryle                   14- 4      10     8           0.00
   411 H North Oldham            8- 2       6     4           1.33
   412 A Atherton                7- 4       3     3           0.26
   415 H Cooper                 10- 7       3     3           0.41
   422 H Central Hardin         19- 2      17     9           0.00
   428 H Assumption              5- 7      -2    -2          -0.41
   505 A North Oldham            5- 6      -1     2    -     -3.03
   507 A Central Hardin         13- 3      10     7           0.00
   508 A DuPont Manual          10- 9       1     0           1.49
   514 H South Warren           16- 5      11     7           0.00
   517 H DuPont Manual           8- 9      -1     1    -     -2.15

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   505 A North Oldham            5- 6      -1     2    -     -3.03
   517 H DuPont Manual           8- 9      -1     1    -     -2.15

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   306 A Oldham County          10- 9       1    -2    +      2.88

Mercy Academy Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Anderson County Mercy Academy   Mercy Academy
Assumption Assumption Assumption  
Atherton Mercy Academy Mercy Academy  
Ballard Mercy Academy insuffient: ( 4- 5)( 3- 5) Mercy Academy
Bowling Green Mercy Academy insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 1) Mercy Academy
Bryan Station Mercy Academy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Mercy Academy
Central Hardin Mercy Academy Mercy Academy  
Christian Academy Christian Academy insuffient: ( 4- 5)( 3- 5) Christian Academy
Collins Mercy Academy Mercy Academy  
Cooper Mercy Academy Mercy Academy  
Dixie Heights Mercy Academy Mercy Academy   2- 0 vs 0- 2
DuPont Manual DuPont Manual DuPont Manual  
Eastern Eastern Eastern   4- 1 vs 0- 5
Fern Creek Mercy Academy   Mercy Academy
Frederick Douglass Mercy Academy insuffient: ( 4- 0)( 3- 1) Mercy Academy
Great Crossing Mercy Academy insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Mercy Academy
Greenwood Mercy Academy Mercy Academy   3- 2 vs 0- 3
Henry Clay Henry Clay tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Henry Clay
Kentucky Country Day Kentucky Country Day Kentucky Country Day  
Lafayette Mercy Academy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Mercy Academy
Lexington Catholic Mercy Academy tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) Mercy Academy
Lexington Christian Mercy Academy insuffient: ( 4- 0)( 3- 1) Mercy Academy
Louisville Collegiate Louisville Collegiate Louisville Collegiate  
Male Mercy Academy Mercy Academy   4- 3 vs 0- 4
North Oldham Mercy Academy Mercy Academy   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Notre Dame Academy Notre Dame Academy Notre Dame Academy   6- 0 vs 4- 3
Oldham County Mercy Academy Mercy Academy  
Owensboro Mercy Academy Mercy Academy   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Paul Laurence Dunbar Paul Laurence Dunbar tied - ( 4- 1) ( 4- 0) Paul Laurence Dunbar
Presentation Academy Mercy Academy   Mercy Academy
Ryle Mercy Academy Mercy Academy  
Sacred Heart Academy Sacred Heart Academy Sacred Heart Academy  
Sayre School Sayre School tied - ( 4- 5) ( 4- 2) Sayre School
Scott County Mercy Academy insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Mercy Academy
Shelby County Mercy Academy Mercy Academy   6- 2 vs 2- 5
South Oldham South Oldham South Oldham  
South Warren Mercy Academy Mercy Academy  
St Henry Mercy Academy   Mercy Academy
Tates Creek Mercy Academy Mercy Academy   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Woodford County Mercy Academy Mercy Academy   2- 0 vs 0- 2

PowerWise = 28


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 13.61

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A South Oldham    ( 6-12, 84.0)     9-10      -15.86      12.44       0.82         0.76           -11.37
   0 A Oldham County   (14- 5, 85.5)    10- 9      -14.42      13.88       0.82         0.76            11.11
   0 A Sacred Heart A  (15- 5, 95.6)     3-18       -4.33      23.96       0.82         0.76            -2.65
   0 H Kentucky Count  (19- 0, 99.9)     2-17       -0.00      28.30      -0.82         0.76            -0.62
   0 A Collins         (12- 7, 82.9)     8- 7      -17.04      11.26       0.82         0.76             9.14
   0 A DuPont Manual   ( 9- 7, 84.1)     9-10      -15.81      12.48       0.82         0.76           -11.33
   0 H Louisville Col  ( 7- 8, 91.2)     6-17       -8.72      19.58      -0.82         0.76            -7.21
   0 H Ryle            ( 2-10, 77.4)    14- 4      -22.52       5.77      -0.82         0.76             3.74
   0 H North Oldham    ( 7-10, 81.6)     8- 2      -18.33       9.96      -0.82         0.76             6.91
   0 A Atherton        ( 5-14, 80.9)     7- 4      -19.05       9.25       0.82         0.76             7.62
   0 H Cooper          ( 6- 8, 82.7)    10- 7      -17.24      11.05      -0.82         0.76             7.73
   0 H Central Hardin  ( 3-10, 76.2)    19- 2      -23.66       4.63      -0.82         0.76             2.88
   0 H Assumption      ( 7- 7, 86.8)     5- 7      -13.06      15.23      -0.82         0.76           -10.50
   0 A North Oldham    ( 7-10, 81.6)     5- 6      -18.33       9.96       0.82         0.76           -13.24
   0 A Central Hardin  ( 3-10, 76.2)    13- 3      -23.66       4.63       0.82         0.76             4.12
   0 A DuPont Manual   ( 9- 7, 84.1)    10- 9      -15.81      12.48       0.82         0.76            10.06
   0 H South Warren    ( 8- 8, 78.6)    16- 5      -21.29       7.01      -0.82         0.76             4.68
   0 H DuPont Manual   ( 9- 7, 84.1)     8- 9      -15.81      12.48      -0.82         0.76           -12.58
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        -1.51

winning pts = 67.9930 losing points = -69.5023

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------