Mercy Academy
W-L: (10- 8) PR = 84.4203
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
304 A South Oldham ( 6-12, 84.0) 9-10
306 A Oldham County (14- 5, 85.5) 10- 9
309 A Sacred Heart Academy (15- 5, 95.6) 3-18
311 H Kentucky Country Day (19- 0, 99.9) 2-17
313 A Collins (12- 7, 82.9) 8- 7
318 A DuPont Manual ( 9- 7, 84.1) 9-10
324 H Louisville Collegiate ( 7- 8, 91.2) 6-17
328 H Ryle ( 2-10, 77.4) 14- 4
411 H North Oldham ( 7-10, 81.6) 8- 2
412 A Atherton ( 5-14, 80.9) 7- 4
415 H Cooper ( 6- 8, 82.7) 10- 7
422 H Central Hardin ( 3-10, 76.2) 19- 2
428 H Assumption ( 7- 7, 86.8) 5- 7
505 A North Oldham ( 7-10, 81.6) 5- 6
507 A Central Hardin ( 3-10, 76.2) 13- 3
508 A DuPont Manual ( 9- 7, 84.1) 10- 9
514 H South Warren ( 8- 8, 78.6) 16- 5
517 H DuPont Manual ( 9- 7, 84.1) 8- 9
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
304 A South Oldham 9-10 -1 0 -0.56
306 A Oldham County 10- 9 1 -2 + 2.88
309 A Sacred Heart Academy 3-18 -15 -12 0.00
311 H Kentucky Country Day 2-17 -15 -15 0.00
313 A Collins 8- 7 1 1 0.27
318 A DuPont Manual 9-10 -1 0 -0.51
324 H Louisville Collegiate 6-17 -11 -6 0.00
328 H Ryle 14- 4 10 8 0.00
411 H North Oldham 8- 2 6 4 1.33
412 A Atherton 7- 4 3 3 0.26
415 H Cooper 10- 7 3 3 0.41
422 H Central Hardin 19- 2 17 9 0.00
428 H Assumption 5- 7 -2 -2 -0.41
505 A North Oldham 5- 6 -1 2 - -3.03
507 A Central Hardin 13- 3 10 7 0.00
508 A DuPont Manual 10- 9 1 0 1.49
514 H South Warren 16- 5 11 7 0.00
517 H DuPont Manual 8- 9 -1 1 - -2.15
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
505 A North Oldham 5- 6 -1 2 - -3.03
517 H DuPont Manual 8- 9 -1 1 - -2.15
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
306 A Oldham County 10- 9 1 -2 + 2.88
|
Mercy Academy Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
Anderson County |
Mercy Academy |
|
 
| Mercy Academy |
Assumption |
Assumption |
Assumption |
 
| |
Atherton |
Mercy Academy |
Mercy Academy |
 
| |
Ballard |
Mercy Academy |
|
insuffient: ( 4- 5)( 3- 5) |
Mercy Academy |
Bowling Green |
Mercy Academy |
|
insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 1) |
Mercy Academy |
Bryan Station |
Mercy Academy |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Mercy Academy |
Central Hardin |
Mercy Academy |
Mercy Academy |
 
| |
Christian Academy |
Christian Academy |
|
insuffient: ( 4- 5)( 3- 5) |
Christian Academy |
Collins |
Mercy Academy |
Mercy Academy |
 
| |
Cooper |
Mercy Academy |
Mercy Academy |
 
| |
Dixie Heights |
Mercy Academy |
|
Mercy Academy   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
DuPont Manual |
DuPont Manual |
DuPont Manual |
 
| |
Eastern |
Eastern |
|
Eastern   4- 1 vs 0- 5 |
|
Fern Creek |
Mercy Academy |
|
 
| Mercy Academy |
Frederick Douglass |
Mercy Academy |
|
insuffient: ( 4- 0)( 3- 1) |
Mercy Academy |
Great Crossing |
Mercy Academy |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Mercy Academy |
Greenwood |
Mercy Academy |
|
Mercy Academy   3- 2 vs 0- 3 |
|
Henry Clay |
Henry Clay |
|
tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) |
Henry Clay |
Kentucky Country Day |
Kentucky Country Day |
Kentucky Country Day |
 
| |
Lafayette |
Mercy Academy |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Mercy Academy |
Lexington Catholic |
Mercy Academy |
|
tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) |
Mercy Academy |
Lexington Christian |
Mercy Academy |
|
insuffient: ( 4- 0)( 3- 1) |
Mercy Academy |
Louisville Collegiate |
Louisville Collegiate |
Louisville Collegiate |
 
| |
Male |
Mercy Academy |
|
Mercy Academy   4- 3 vs 0- 4 |
|
North Oldham |
Mercy Academy |
|
Mercy Academy   3- 1 vs 1- 3 |
|
Notre Dame Academy |
Notre Dame Academy |
|
Notre Dame Academy   6- 0 vs 4- 3 |
|
Oldham County |
Mercy Academy |
Mercy Academy |
 
|
Owensboro |
Mercy Academy |
|
Mercy Academy   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Paul Laurence Dunbar |
Paul Laurence Dunbar |
|
tied - ( 4- 1) ( 4- 0) |
Paul Laurence Dunbar |
Presentation Academy |
Mercy Academy |
|
 
| Mercy Academy |
Ryle |
Mercy Academy |
Mercy Academy |
 
| |
Sacred Heart Academy |
Sacred Heart Academy |
Sacred Heart Academy |
 
| |
Sayre School |
Sayre School |
|
tied - ( 4- 5) ( 4- 2) |
Sayre School |
Scott County |
Mercy Academy |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Mercy Academy |
Shelby County |
Mercy Academy |
|
Mercy Academy   6- 2 vs 2- 5 |
|
South Oldham |
South Oldham |
South Oldham |
 
| |
South Warren |
Mercy Academy |
Mercy Academy |
 
| |
St Henry |
Mercy Academy |
|
 
| Mercy Academy |
Tates Creek |
Mercy Academy |
|
Mercy Academy   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Woodford County |
Mercy Academy |
|
Mercy Academy   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
PowerWise = 28

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 13.61
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A South Oldham ( 6-12, 84.0) 9-10 -15.86 12.44 0.82 0.76 -11.37
0 A Oldham County (14- 5, 85.5) 10- 9 -14.42 13.88 0.82 0.76 11.11
0 A Sacred Heart A (15- 5, 95.6) 3-18 -4.33 23.96 0.82 0.76 -2.65
0 H Kentucky Count (19- 0, 99.9) 2-17 -0.00 28.30 -0.82 0.76 -0.62
0 A Collins (12- 7, 82.9) 8- 7 -17.04 11.26 0.82 0.76 9.14
0 A DuPont Manual ( 9- 7, 84.1) 9-10 -15.81 12.48 0.82 0.76 -11.33
0 H Louisville Col ( 7- 8, 91.2) 6-17 -8.72 19.58 -0.82 0.76 -7.21
0 H Ryle ( 2-10, 77.4) 14- 4 -22.52 5.77 -0.82 0.76 3.74
0 H North Oldham ( 7-10, 81.6) 8- 2 -18.33 9.96 -0.82 0.76 6.91
0 A Atherton ( 5-14, 80.9) 7- 4 -19.05 9.25 0.82 0.76 7.62
0 H Cooper ( 6- 8, 82.7) 10- 7 -17.24 11.05 -0.82 0.76 7.73
0 H Central Hardin ( 3-10, 76.2) 19- 2 -23.66 4.63 -0.82 0.76 2.88
0 H Assumption ( 7- 7, 86.8) 5- 7 -13.06 15.23 -0.82 0.76 -10.50
0 A North Oldham ( 7-10, 81.6) 5- 6 -18.33 9.96 0.82 0.76 -13.24
0 A Central Hardin ( 3-10, 76.2) 13- 3 -23.66 4.63 0.82 0.76 4.12
0 A DuPont Manual ( 9- 7, 84.1) 10- 9 -15.81 12.48 0.82 0.76 10.06
0 H South Warren ( 8- 8, 78.6) 16- 5 -21.29 7.01 -0.82 0.76 4.68
0 H DuPont Manual ( 9- 7, 84.1) 8- 9 -15.81 12.48 -0.82 0.76 -12.58
------
-1.51
|
winning pts = 67.9930 losing points = -69.5023
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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