---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:50 PDT

safe3step girls Rochester Mayo 1
  
Rochester Mayo        
W-L: ( 6- 8) PR = 77.6004

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 414 A Mankato Co-Op ( 6- 9, 77.7) 9-11 421 A Hastings ( 3-11, 74.8) 17- 5 424 H Rochester Century (11- 3, 81.2) 8-10 430 H Owatonna (11- 4, 80.8) 7- 9 503 H Irondale ( 3-11, 78.7) 6- 9 506 A Northfield ( 1-14, 74.0) 12- 5 508 H Mankato Co-Op ( 6- 9, 77.7) 6- 5 509 A Rochester JM/Lourdes ( 1-10, 73.3) 8- 5 512 A Rochester Century (11- 3, 81.2) 9-13 515 H Rochester JM/Lourdes ( 1-10, 73.3) 13- 4 517 H New Prague ( 7- 8, 84.0) 4-14 522 H Northfield ( 1-14, 74.0) 18- 6 523 A Owatonna (11- 4, 80.8) 5-21 527 A Mankato Co-Op ( 6- 9, 77.7) 10-13

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 A Mankato Co-Op           9-11      -2    -1          -1.34
   421 A Hastings               17- 5      12     2    +      2.83
   424 H Rochester Century       8-10      -2    -3           1.03
   430 H Owatonna                7- 9      -2    -3           0.62
   503 H Irondale                6- 9      -3    -1    -     -2.47
   506 A Northfield             12- 5       7     3    +      2.01
   508 H Mankato Co-Op           6- 5       1     1           0.47
   509 A Rochester JM/Lourdes    8- 5       3     4          -0.75
   512 A Rochester Century       9-13      -4    -4           0.21
   515 H Rochester JM/Lourdes   13- 4       9     5           0.07
   517 H New Prague              4-14     -10    -6           0.00
   522 H Northfield             18- 6      12     4           0.82
   523 A Owatonna                5-21     -16    -4          -1.20
   527 A Mankato Co-Op          10-13      -3    -1    -     -2.34

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 H Irondale                6- 9      -3    -1    -     -2.47
   527 A Mankato Co-Op          10-13      -3    -1    -     -2.34

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 A Hastings               17- 5      12     2    +      2.83
   506 A Northfield             12- 5       7     3    +      2.01

Rochester Mayo Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Andover Andover   Andover
Anoka Anoka   Anoka
Apple Valley Rochester Mayo   Rochester Mayo
Becker Becker   Becker
Benilde-St Margarets Benilde-St Margarets insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Benilde-St Margarets
Big Lake Rochester Mayo tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Rochester Mayo
Blaine Blaine   Blaine
Blake School Blake School insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Blake School
Bloomington Jefferson Bloomington Jefferson insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Bloomington Jefferson
Bloomington Kennedy/Burn Rochester Mayo   Rochester Mayo
Brainerd Brainerd   Brainerd
Breck School Breck School   Breck School
Buffalo Buffalo   Buffalo
Centennial Centennial   Centennial
Champlin Park Champlin Park   Champlin Park
Chanhassen Chanhassen insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Chanhassen
Chaska Chaska insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Chaska
Chisago Lakes Chisago Lakes   Chisago Lakes
Columbia Heights Rochester Mayo   Rochester Mayo
Cretin-Derham Hall Cretin-Derham Hall insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cretin-Derham Hall
Delano/Rockford Delano/Rockford   Delano/Rockford
Duluth Co-Op Duluth Co-Op   Duluth Co-Op
Duluth Marshall Duluth Marshall   Duluth Marshall
East Ridge East Ridge insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) East Ridge
Eastview/Eagan Eastview/Eagan tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Eastview/Eagan
Eden Prairie Eden Prairie   Eden Prairie
Edina Edina   Edina
Elk River/Zimmerman Elk River/Zimmerman   Elk River/Zimmerman
Farmington Farmington insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Farmington
Forest Lake Forest Lake insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Forest Lake
Gentry/Mounds Park Acade Gentry/Mounds Park Acade   Gentry/Mounds Park Acade
Grand Rapids-Greenway Grand Rapids-Greenway   Grand Rapids-Greenway
Hastings Rochester Mayo Rochester Mayo  
Hermantown-Proctor Hermantown-Proctor insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Hermantown-Proctor
Hill-Murray Hill-Murray tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Hill-Murray
Holy Angels Academy Holy Angels Academy   Holy Angels Academy
Holy Family Catholic Holy Family Catholic   Holy Family Catholic
Hopkins Hopkins   Hopkins
Hutchinson Hutchinson   Hutchinson
Irondale Irondale Irondale  
Lakeville North Lakeville North tied - ( 3- 4) ( 3- 2) Lakeville North
Lakeville South Lakeville South insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 0) Lakeville South
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Mahtomedi
Mankato Co-Op Mankato Co-Op Mankato Co-Op  
Maple Grove Maple Grove   Maple Grove
Minneapolis Co-Op Rochester Mayo insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Rochester Mayo
Minnetonka Minnetonka   Minnetonka
Monticello Monticello   Monticello
Moorhead Moorhead   Moorhead
Mound Westonka Mound Westonka tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 0) Mound Westonka
Mounds View Mounds View insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Mounds View
New Prague New Prague New Prague  
Northfield Rochester Mayo Rochester Mayo  
Orono Orono insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Orono
Osseo-Park Center Osseo-Park Center   Osseo-Park Center
Owatonna Owatonna Owatonna  
Park of Cottage Grove Park of Cottage Grove insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Park of Cottage Grove
Prior Lake Prior Lake   Prior Lake
Robbinsdale Armstrong/Co Robbinsdale Armstrong/Co   Robbinsdale Armstrong/Co
Rochester Century Rochester Century Rochester Century  
Rochester JM/Lourdes Rochester Mayo Rochester Mayo  
Rocori Rochester Mayo   Rochester Mayo
Rogers Rogers   Rogers
Rosemount Rosemount   Rosemount
Roseville Roseville insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Roseville
Sartell-Sauk Rapids Rochester Mayo   Rochester Mayo
Shakopee Shakopee   Shakopee
Simley Simley tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Simley
Southwest Christian Southwest Christian insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Southwest Christian
Spring Lake Park/Coon Ra Spring Lake Park/Coon Ra insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Spring Lake Park/Coon Ra
St Cloud Area St Cloud Area   St Cloud Area
St Croix Prep St Croix Prep   St Croix Prep
St Louis Park St Louis Park tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) St Louis Park
St Michael-Albertville St Michael-Albertville   St Michael-Albertville
St Paul Academy Rochester Mayo insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Rochester Mayo
St Paul/Two Rivers St Paul/Two Rivers tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) St Paul/Two Rivers
Stillwater Stillwater insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Stillwater
Tartan/North St Paul Rochester Mayo insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Rochester Mayo
Totino-Grace Totino-Grace   Totino-Grace
Visitation Visitation tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Visitation
Waconia Waconia tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Waconia
Wayzata Wayzata   Wayzata
White Bear Lake White Bear Lake insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) White Bear Lake
Woodbury Woodbury insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Woodbury

PowerWise = 12


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.68

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Mankato Co-Op   ( 6- 9, 77.7)     9-11      -22.24      10.82       0.59         1.05           -22.70
   0 A Hastings        ( 3-11, 74.8)    17- 5      -25.06       8.00       0.59         1.05             9.01
   0 H Rochester Cent  (11- 3, 81.2)     8-10      -18.68      14.38      -0.59         1.05           -20.21
   0 H Owatonna        (11- 4, 80.8)     7- 9      -19.09      13.97      -0.59         1.05           -20.64
   0 H Irondale        ( 3-11, 78.7)     6- 9      -21.17      11.89      -0.59         1.05           -22.83
   0 A Northfield      ( 1-14, 74.0)    12- 5      -25.88       7.18       0.59         1.05             8.15
   0 H Mankato Co-Op   ( 6- 9, 77.7)     6- 5      -22.24      10.82      -0.59         1.05            10.73
   0 A Rochester JM/L  ( 1-10, 73.3)     8- 5      -26.64       6.42       0.59         1.05             7.35
   0 A Rochester Cent  (11- 3, 81.2)     9-13      -18.68      14.38       0.59         1.05           -18.97
   0 H Rochester JM/L  ( 1-10, 73.3)    13- 4      -26.64       6.42      -0.59         1.05             6.11
   0 H New Prague      ( 7- 8, 84.0)     4-14      -15.95      17.11      -0.59         1.05           -17.34
   0 H Northfield      ( 1-14, 74.0)    18- 6      -25.88       7.18      -0.59         1.05             6.90
   0 A Owatonna        (11- 4, 80.8)     5-21      -19.09      13.97       0.59         1.05           -19.40
   0 A Mankato Co-Op   ( 6- 9, 77.7)    10-13      -22.24      10.82       0.59         1.05           -22.70
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -116.53

winning pts = 48.2541 losing points = -164.7876

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------