safe3step girls Manchester Valley 1

  
Manchester Valley     
W-L: (19- 0)  PR =    99.9000
 Schedule/Results All Games 

 Date  Opponent               Conf/State      (W-L, PR)      Score  
 325 A Catonsville                          ( 7- 7, 88.9)    18- 7   
 327 A Winters Mill                         ( 8- 9, 86.6)    20- 0   
 401 A Middletown                           (12- 5, 85.1)    25- 3   
 403 H Liberty                              (12- 5, 91.4)    14- 5   
 408 H South Carroll                        (16- 3, 92.1)    17- 5   
 415 A Century                              (12- 5, 91.5)    15- 2   
 417 N Leonardtown                          (12- 3, 89.4)    18- 4   
 417 A Severna Park                         (18- 2, 95.0)    15- 5   
 422 A Mount Hebron                         ( 5-10, 89.3)    14- 2   
 424 H Linganore                            ( 8- 6, 87.2)    24- 3   
 426 A Westminster                          ( 8- 8, 90.4)    18- 2   
 428 H Francis Scott Key                    ( 3-11, 78.1)    23- 1   
 429 H Oakdale                              ( 9- 5, 86.0)    22- 6   
 501 H Hereford                             ( 4-10, 86.5)    20- 1   
 509 H Winters Mill                         ( 8- 9, 86.6)    20- 4   
 512 H Century                              (12- 5, 91.5)    16- 1   
 514 H Hereford                             ( 4-10, 86.5)    20- 2   
 516 H CM Wright                            (11- 5, 88.2)    19- 1   
 521 H Glenelg HS                           (16- 4, 93.6)    17- 9

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A Catonsville            18- 7      11    11           0.00
   327 A Winters Mill           20- 0      20    13           0.00
   401 A Middletown             25- 3      22    14           0.00
   403 H Liberty                14- 5       9     9           0.00
   408 H South Carroll          17- 5      12     8           0.00
   415 A Century                15- 2      13     8           0.00
   417 N Leonardtown            18- 4      14    11           0.00
   417 A Severna Park           15- 5      10     4           0.52
   422 A Mount Hebron           14- 2      12    10           0.00
   424 H Linganore              24- 3      21    13           0.00
   426 A Westminster            18- 2      16     9           0.00
   428 H Francis Scott Key      23- 1      22    22           0.00
   429 H Oakdale                22- 6      16    14           0.00
   501 H Hereford               20- 1      19    14           0.00
   509 H Winters Mill           20- 4      16    14           0.00
   512 H Century                16- 1      15     9           0.00
   514 H Hereford               20- 2      18    14           0.00
   516 H CM Wright              19- 1      18    12           0.00
   521 H Glenelg HS             17- 9       8     7           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Manchester Valley Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each 
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they 
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the 
record of the loser for all common opponents

Opponent	Who Gets the Point?	Head-2-Head Point	Common Opponent Point	Power Rating Point
Annapolis Area Christian	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Anne Arundel County	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Archbishop Spalding	Manchester Valley		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Manchester Valley
Beth TFiloh	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Bishop McNamara	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Brookewood SG	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Bryn Mawr SG	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Bullis School	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Calverton School	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Catholic High Baltimore	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Chapelgate Christian	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Concordia Prep	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Cristo Rey Jesuit	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
DC International	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
EL Haynes Charter	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Elizabeth Seton	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
FCA	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Field School	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Friends School	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Garrison Forest	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Georgetown Day School	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Georgetown Visitation	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Gerstell Academy	Manchester Valley		tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0)	Manchester Valley
Glenelg Country School	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Good Counsel	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Gunston Day School	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Holton-Arms School	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Holy Child	Manchester Valley		Manchester Valley 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Holy Cross	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Indian Creek	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Jackson-Reed	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Jemicy	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
John Carroll	Manchester Valley		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Manchester Valley
Key School	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
KIPP College Prep	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Maret School	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Maryvale Prep	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
McDonogh School	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Mercy	Manchester Valley		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Manchester Valley
Mount de Sales	Manchester Valley		Manchester Valley 2- 0 vs 0- 2
National Cathedral	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Notre Dame Prep	Manchester Valley		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Manchester Valley
Oldfields School	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Park School	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Rockbridge Academy	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Roland Park Country	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Salisbury School	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Sandy Spring Friends	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
School Without Walls	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Severn School	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Sidwell Friends	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
St Andrews Episcopal	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
St James School	Manchester Valley		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Manchester Valley
St Johns Catholic Prep	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
St Johns College	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
St Marys	Manchester Valley		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Manchester Valley
St Marys Ryken	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
St Pauls SG	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
St Timothys	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
St Vincent Pallotti	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Stone Ridge School	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Sts Peter & Paul	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Tome School	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Washington Latin	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Worcester Prep	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Aberdeen	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Academy for College & Ca	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Annapolis	Manchester Valley		Manchester Valley 3- 0 vs 0- 3
Arundel	Manchester Valley		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Manchester Valley
Atholton	Manchester Valley		Manchester Valley 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Baltimore Polytechnic	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Bel Air	Manchester Valley		tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0)	Manchester Valley
Bethesda-Chevy Chase	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Bladensburg	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Blair	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Blake	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Bohemia Manor	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Boonsboro	Manchester Valley		Manchester Valley 3- 0 vs 1- 2
Bowie	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Broadneck	Manchester Valley		insuffient: ( 4- 0)( 3- 1)	Manchester Valley
Brunswick	Manchester Valley		Manchester Valley 3- 0 vs 0- 3
Calvert	Manchester Valley		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Manchester Valley
Cambridge SD	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Carver A&T	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Catoctin	Manchester Valley		Manchester Valley 3- 0 vs 1- 2
Catonsville	Manchester Valley	Manchester Valley
Centennial	Manchester Valley		Manchester Valley 4- 0 vs 1- 3
Central PG	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Century	Manchester Valley	Manchester Valley
CH Flowers	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Chesapeake AA	Manchester Valley		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Manchester Valley
Chesapeake BC	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Chopticon	Manchester Valley		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Manchester Valley
City College	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Clarksburg	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
CM Wright	Manchester Valley	Manchester Valley
CMIT North	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Crofton	Manchester Valley		Manchester Valley 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Damascus	Manchester Valley		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Manchester Valley
Dr Henry Wise	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Dulaney	Manchester Valley		Manchester Valley 5- 0 vs 3- 2
Dundalk	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
DuVal	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Eastern Technical	Manchester Valley		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Manchester Valley
Easton	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Edgewood	Manchester Valley		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Manchester Valley
Einstein	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Eleanor Roosevelt	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Elkton	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Fairmont Heights	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Fallston	Manchester Valley		Manchester Valley 3- 0 vs 0- 3
Francis Scott Key	Manchester Valley	Manchester Valley
Franklin	Manchester Valley		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Manchester Valley
Frederick	Manchester Valley		Manchester Valley 4- 0 vs 0- 4
Frederick Douglass PG	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Gaithersburg	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Glen Burnie	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Glenelg HS	Manchester Valley	Manchester Valley
Gov Thomas Johnson	Manchester Valley		Manchester Valley 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Great Mills	Manchester Valley		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Manchester Valley
Guilford Park	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Gwynn Park	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Hammond	Manchester Valley		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Manchester Valley
Harford Tech	Manchester Valley		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Manchester Valley
Havre De Grace	Manchester Valley		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Manchester Valley
Hereford	Manchester Valley	Manchester Valley
Howard	Manchester Valley		Manchester Valley 3- 0 vs 1- 2
Huntingtown	Manchester Valley		Manchester Valley 3- 0 vs 0- 3
JM Bennett	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Kennedy	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Kent County	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Kent Island	Manchester Valley		Manchester Valley 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Kenwood	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
La Plata	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Lackey	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Lansdowne	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Laurel	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Leonardtown	Manchester Valley	Manchester Valley
Liberty	Manchester Valley	Manchester Valley
Linganore	Manchester Valley	Manchester Valley
Loch Raven	Manchester Valley		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Manchester Valley
Long Reach	Manchester Valley		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Manchester Valley
Magruder	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Marriotts Ridge	Manchester Valley		Manchester Valley 4- 0 vs 2- 2
Meade	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Middletown	Manchester Valley	Manchester Valley
Milford Mill	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
MJ McDonough	Manchester Valley		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Manchester Valley
Mount Hebron	Manchester Valley	Manchester Valley
New Town	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
North Caroline	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
North County	Manchester Valley		Manchester Valley 2- 0 vs 0- 2
North Dorchester	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
North East Cecil	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
North Hagerstown	Manchester Valley		Manchester Valley 2- 0 vs 0- 2
North Harford	Manchester Valley		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Manchester Valley
North Point	Manchester Valley		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Manchester Valley
Northeast	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Northern Calvert	Manchester Valley		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Manchester Valley
Northwest	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Northwestern PG	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Northwood	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Oakdale	Manchester Valley	Manchester Valley
Oakland Mills	Manchester Valley		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Manchester Valley
Old Mill	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Overlea	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Owings Mills	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Oxon Hill	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Paint Branch	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Parkdale	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Parkside	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Parkville	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Patapsco	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Patterson Mill	Manchester Valley		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Manchester Valley
Patuxent	Manchester Valley		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Manchester Valley
Perry Hall	Manchester Valley		Manchester Valley 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Perryville	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Pikesville	Manchester Valley		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Manchester Valley
Poolesville	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Queen Annes County	Manchester Valley		tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)	Manchester Valley
Quince Orchard	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Randallstown	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Randallstown	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Reservoir	Manchester Valley		Manchester Valley 3- 0 vs 0- 3
Richard Montgomery	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Rising Sun	Manchester Valley		Manchester Valley 2- 0 vs 0- 2
River Hill	Manchester Valley		insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1)	Manchester Valley
Rockville	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Seneca Valley	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Severn Run	Manchester Valley		Manchester Valley 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Severna Park	Manchester Valley	Manchester Valley
Sherwood	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Smithsburg	Manchester Valley		Manchester Valley 3- 0 vs 0- 3
South Carroll	Manchester Valley	Manchester Valley
South Hagerstown	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
South River	Manchester Valley		insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1)	Manchester Valley
Southern	Manchester Valley		Manchester Valley 3- 0 vs 0- 3
Sparrows Point	Manchester Valley		Manchester Valley 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Springbrook	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
St Charles	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Stephen Decatur	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Suitland	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Thomas Stone	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Towson	Manchester Valley		Manchester Valley 7- 0 vs 5- 2
Tuscarora	Manchester Valley		Manchester Valley 3- 0 vs 0- 3
Urbana	Manchester Valley		Manchester Valley 5- 0 vs 2- 3
Walkersville	Manchester Valley		Manchester Valley 6- 0 vs 0- 6
Walter Johnson	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Watkins Mill	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Western Baltimore	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Western STES	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Westlake	Manchester Valley		insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)	Manchester Valley
Westminster	Manchester Valley	Manchester Valley
Wheaton	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Whitman	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Wicomico	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Wilde Lake	Manchester Valley		Manchester Valley 2- 0 vs 0- 2
Winston Churchill	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Winters Mill	Manchester Valley	Manchester Valley
Woodlawn	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley
Wootton	Manchester Valley			Manchester Valley

PowerWise = 221

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.96

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Catonsville     ( 7- 7, 88.9)    18- 7      -10.96      26.96       0.45         0.63            17.26
   0 A Winters Mill    ( 8- 9, 86.6)    20- 0      -13.25      24.67       0.45         0.63            15.82
   0 A Middletown      (12- 5, 85.1)    25- 3      -14.78      23.14       0.45         0.63            14.85
   0 H Liberty         (12- 5, 91.4)    14- 5       -8.53      29.39      -0.45         0.63            18.22
   0 H South Carroll   (16- 3, 92.1)    17- 5       -7.79      30.13      -0.45         0.63            18.69
   0 A Century         (12- 5, 91.5)    15- 2       -8.42      29.50       0.45         0.63            18.86
   0 N Leonardtown     (12- 3, 89.4)    18- 4      -10.52      27.40      -0.00         0.63            17.25
   0 A Severna Park    (18- 2, 95.0)    15- 5       -4.93      32.99       0.45         0.63            21.05
   0 A Mount Hebron    ( 5-10, 89.3)    14- 2      -10.62      27.30       0.45         0.63            17.47
   0 H Linganore       ( 8- 6, 87.2)    24- 3      -12.69      25.23      -0.45         0.63            15.60
   0 A Westminster     ( 8- 8, 90.4)    18- 2       -9.53      28.39       0.45         0.63            18.16
   0 H Francis Scott   ( 3-11, 78.1)    23- 1      -21.76      16.16      -0.45         0.63             9.89
   0 H Oakdale         ( 9- 5, 86.0)    22- 6      -13.91      24.01      -0.45         0.63            14.84
   0 H Hereford        ( 4-10, 86.5)    20- 1      -13.42      24.50      -0.45         0.63            15.14
   0 H Winters Mill    ( 8- 9, 86.6)    20- 4      -13.25      24.67      -0.45         0.63            15.25
   0 H Century         (12- 5, 91.5)    16- 1       -8.42      29.50      -0.45         0.63            18.29
   0 H Hereford        ( 4-10, 86.5)    20- 2      -13.42      24.50      -0.45         0.63            15.14
   0 H CM Wright       (11- 5, 88.2)    19- 1      -11.71      26.21      -0.45         0.63            16.22
   0 H Glenelg HS      (16- 4, 93.6)    17- 9       -6.27      31.65      -0.45         0.63            19.65
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       317.66

winning pts = 317.6551 losing points = 0.0000

SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------