---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:02 PDT

safe3step girls Madison 1
  
Madison               
W-L: (15- 4) PR = 95.7990

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 321 A West Potomac ( 9- 6, 89.1) 15- 3 401 H Charlottesville ( 8- 7, 89.5) 16- 8 405 H Riverside ( 8- 2, 91.8) 17- 8 409 A Robinson (11- 6, 90.9) 19- 8 415 A St Annes-Belfield ( 3- 0, 99.9) 5-13 416 A Covenant School ( 4- 2, 91.4) 16-11 428 H Yorktown (17- 1, 97.7) 13-18 501 H Oakton ( 9- 4, 94.5) 14-12 507 A South Lakes (12- 3, 92.8) 6- 7 509 H McLean ( 3- 7, 87.1) 16- 1 512 H Centreville ( 3- 8, 88.6) 15- 3 519 H Charlottesville ( 8- 7, 89.5) 22- 4 521 H Oakton ( 9- 4, 94.5) 12-11 523 H McLean ( 3- 7, 87.1) 23- 9 527 H Langley ( 8- 3, 93.9) 11- 8 529 H Yorktown (17- 1, 97.7) 12- 8 606 H Woodson ( 7-10, 87.5) 15- 0 611 N Collegiate School ( 1- 4, 91.4) 15- 7 614 N Yorktown (17- 1, 97.7) 14-16

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 A West Potomac           15- 3      12     6           0.00
   401 H Charlottesville        16- 8       8     7           0.00
   405 H Riverside              17- 8       9     5           0.27
   409 A Robinson               19- 8      11     4           0.79
   415 A St Annes-Belfield       5-13      -8    -5          -0.21
   416 A Covenant School        16-11       5     4           1.28
   428 H Yorktown               13-18      -5    -1    -     -3.80
   501 H Oakton                 14-12       2     2          -0.02
   507 A South Lakes             6- 7      -1     2    -     -3.30
   509 H McLean                 16- 1      15     9           0.00
   512 H Centreville            15- 3      12     8           0.00
   519 H Charlottesville        22- 4      18     7           0.00
   521 H Oakton                 12-11       1     2          -1.02
   523 H McLean                 23- 9      14     9           0.00
   527 H Langley                11- 8       3     3           0.45
   529 H Yorktown               12- 8       4    -1    ++     5.20
   606 H Woodson                15- 0      15     9           0.00
   611 N Collegiate School      15- 7       8     4           0.59
   614 N Yorktown               14-16      -2    -2          -0.11

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 H Yorktown               13-18      -5    -1    -     -3.80
   507 A South Lakes             6- 7      -1     2    -     -3.30

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   529 H Yorktown               12- 8       4    -1    ++     5.20

Madison Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Albemarle Madison   Madison
Alexandria City Madison Madison   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Annandale Madison tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Madison
Atlee Madison   Madison
Battlefield Madison   Madison
Bayside Madison   Madison
Benedictine Madison   Madison
Bishop Ireton Madison   Madison
Bishop OConnell Madison   Madison
Blacksburg Madison   Madison
Blue Ridge School Madison   Madison
Brentsville Madison   Madison
Briar Woods Madison insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Madison
Broad Run Madison   Madison
Brooke Point Madison   Madison
Cape Henry Collegiat Madison   Madison
Catholic HS Madison   Madison
Cave Spring Madison   Madison
Centreville Madison Madison  
Chantilly Madison   Madison
Charlottesville Madison Madison  
Christchurch Madison   Madison
Christiansburg Madison   Madison
Clover Hill Madison   Madison
Colgan Madison   Madison
Collegiate School Madison Madison  
Colonial Forge Madison   Madison
Cosby Madison   Madison
Covenant School Madison Madison  
Cox Madison   Madison
Culpeper County Madison   Madison
Deep Run Madison   Madison
Dominion Madison insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Madison
Douglas Freeman Madison   Madison
Eastern View Madison   Madison
EC Glass Madison   Madison
Edison Madison insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Madison
Episcopal Madison   Madison
Eukarya Christian Madison   Madison
Fairfax Madison Madison   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Falls Church Madison insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Madison
Fauquier Madison   Madison
First Colonial Madison insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Madison
Fishburne Military A Madison   Madison
Flint Hill Madison   Madison
Fluvanna County Madison   Madison
Forest Park Madison   Madison
Fork Union Military Madison   Madison
Franklin County Madison   Madison
Fredericksburg Acade Madison   Madison
Fredericksburg Chris Madison   Madison
Freedom South Ridin Madison   Madison
Freedom Woodbridge Madison   Madison
Gainesville Madison   Madison
Gar-field Madison   Madison
Glen Allen Madison insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Madison
Goochland Madison   Madison
Grafton LC Madison   Madison
Grassfield LC Madison   Madison
Green Run Madison   Madison
Handley Madison   Madison
Hanover Madison   Madison
Hayfield Madison insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Madison
Heritage Leesburg Madison   Madison
Herndon Madison Madison   4- 3 vs 0- 5
Hickory LC Madison   Madison
Hidden Valley Madison   Madison
Highland School Madison insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Madison
Highland Springs Madison   Madison
Hylton Madison   Madison
Independence Madison   Madison
James Monroe Madison   Madison
James River Madison   Madison
Jamestown LC Madison   Madison
Jefferson Forest Madison   Madison
John Champe Madison   Madison
Justice Madison   Madison
Kellam Madison   Madison
Kempsville Madison   Madison
Kettle Run Madison   Madison
Lafayette LC Madison   Madison
Lake Braddock Madison Madison   5- 0 vs 1- 4
Landstown Madison   Madison
Langley Madison Madison  
Lewis Madison insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Madison
Liberty Bealeton Madison   Madison
Lightridge Madison   Madison
Lloyd C Bird Madison   Madison
Lord Botetourt Madison   Madison
Loudoun County Madison   Madison
Loudoun Valley Madison   Madison
Manchester Madison   Madison
Marshall Madison   Madison
Massaponax Madison   Madison
Matoaca Madison   Madison
Maury LC Madison   Madison
McLean Madison Madison  
Mechanicsville Madison   Madison
Menchville LC Madison   Madison
Meridian Madison   Madison
Midlothian Madison   Madison
Mills Godwin Madison   Madison
Monacan Madison   Madison
Monticello Madison   Madison
Mount Vernon Madison   Madison
Mountain View Madison   Madison
Nansemond-Suffolk Ac Madison   Madison
New Covenant School Madison   Madison
Norfolk Academy Madison   Madison
Norfolk Christian Madison   Madison
Norfolk Collegiate Madison   Madison
North Cross School Madison   Madison
North Stafford Madison   Madison
Northern VA Home Sch Madison   Madison
Oakton Madison Madison  
Ocean Lakes Madison   Madison
Orange County Madison   Madison
Osbourn Madison   Madison
Osbourn Park Madison   Madison
Park View Madison   Madison
Patrick Henry Ashla Madison   Madison
Patrick Henry Roano Madison Madison   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Patriot Madison   Madison
Paul VI Madison   Madison
Potomac Falls Madison insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Madison
Potomac School Madison   Madison
Potomac-Dumfries Madison   Madison
Powhatan Madison tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Madison
Princess Anne Madison   Madison
Riverbend Madison   Madison
Riverside Madison Madison  
Robinson Madison Madison  
Rock Ridge Madison   Madison
Rockbridge County Madison insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Madison
Rockingham LC Madison   Madison
Salem Madison   Madison
Salem Virginia Beach Madison   Madison
Seton School Madison   Madison
South County Madison   Madison
South Lakes South Lakes South Lakes  
St Annes-Belfield St Annes-Belfield St Annes-Belfield  
St Christophers Madison   Madison
St John Paul the Gre Madison   Madison
St Stephen-St Agnes Madison   Madison
Stafford Madison   Madison
Steward School Madison   Madison
Stone Bridge Madison insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Madison
Strasburg LC Madison   Madison
Tabb LC Madison   Madison
Tallwood Madison   Madison
Tandem Friends Madison   Madison
Thomas Dale Madison   Madison
Thomas Jefferson Madison insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Madison
Trinity Christian Madison insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Madison
Trinity Episcopal Madison insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Madison
Trinity Meadow View Madison   Madison
Tuscarora Madison   Madison
Unity Reed Madison   Madison
Veritas School Madison   Madison
Virginia Academy Madison   Madison
Virginia Episcopal S Madison   Madison
Wakefield HS Madison   Madison
Wakefield School Madison Madison   7- 3 vs 1- 7
Washington-Liberty Madison   Madison
West Potomac Madison Madison  
West Springfield Madison Madison   7- 2 vs 2- 5
Western Albemarle Madison insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 1) Madison
Westfield Madison   Madison
William Byrd Madison   Madison
William Fleming Madison   Madison
Woodberry Forest Madison   Madison
Woodbridge Madison   Madison
Woodgrove Madison   Madison
Woodson Madison Madison  
York LC Madison   Madison
Yorktown Yorktown Yorktown  

PowerWise = 173


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 2.96

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A West Potomac    ( 9- 6, 89.1)    15- 3      -10.77      18.81       0.69         0.16             3.04
   0 H Charlottesvill  ( 8- 7, 89.5)    16- 8      -10.36      19.22      -0.69         0.16             2.89
   0 H Riverside       ( 8- 2, 91.8)    17- 8       -8.14      21.44      -0.69         0.16             3.23
   0 A Robinson        (11- 6, 90.9)    19- 8       -9.00      20.58       0.69         0.16             3.31
   0 A St Annes-Belfi  ( 3- 0, 99.9)     5-13       -0.00      29.58       0.69         0.16            -0.11
   0 A Covenant Schoo  ( 4- 2, 91.4)    16-11       -8.52      21.06       0.69         0.16             3.39
   0 H Yorktown        (17- 1, 97.7)    13-18       -2.21      27.37      -0.69         0.16            -0.45
   0 H Oakton          ( 9- 4, 94.5)    14-12       -5.42      24.16      -0.69         0.16             3.66
   0 A South Lakes     (12- 3, 92.8)     6- 7       -7.09      22.49       0.69         0.16            -1.00
   0 H McLean          ( 3- 7, 87.1)    16- 1      -12.77      16.81      -0.69         0.16             2.51
   0 H Centreville     ( 3- 8, 88.6)    15- 3      -11.31      18.27      -0.69         0.16             2.74
   0 H Charlottesvill  ( 8- 7, 89.5)    22- 4      -10.36      19.22      -0.69         0.16             2.89
   0 H Oakton          ( 9- 4, 94.5)    12-11       -5.42      24.16      -0.69         0.16             3.66
   0 H McLean          ( 3- 7, 87.1)    23- 9      -12.77      16.81      -0.69         0.16             2.51
   0 H Langley         ( 8- 3, 93.9)    11- 8       -5.96      23.62      -0.69         0.16             3.57
   0 H Yorktown        (17- 1, 97.7)    12- 8       -2.21      27.37      -0.69         0.16             4.16
   0 H Woodson         ( 7-10, 87.5)    15- 0      -12.43      17.15      -0.69         0.16             2.57
   0 N Collegiate Sch  ( 1- 4, 91.4)    15- 7       -8.51      21.07      -0.00         0.16             3.28
   0 N Yorktown        (17- 1, 97.7)    14-16       -2.21      27.37      -0.00         0.16            -0.34
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        45.50

winning pts = 47.4014 losing points = -1.9012

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------