---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:49 PDT

safe3step girls Lunenburg 1
  
Lunenburg             
W-L: ( 9-10) PR = 83.3321

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 331 H AMSA Charter ( 7-11, 79.0) 12- 3 401 A Littleton (14- 4, 85.9) 13-10 403 H Hudson/Clinton ( 5- 9, 79.0) 11- 6 408 H Shepherd Hill (15- 4, 84.2) 5-10 410 A Marlborough ( 1-14, 75.5) 14- 2 414 A Leominster ( 2-17, 84.1) 9-13 415 H St Bernards ( 8- 7, 80.3) 14- 6 417 A Shrewsbury (17- 3, 90.8) 4-15 422 H Tyngsborough (13- 5, 86.1) 15-16 428 H Littleton (14- 4, 85.9) 8-12 430 A Notre Dame Worcester ( 6-12, 79.6) 17- 7 501 A Hudson/Clinton ( 5- 9, 79.0) 14- 4 508 H Marlborough ( 1-14, 75.5) 12- 3 509 A Nashoba Regional (11- 8, 87.9) 6- 7 513 H Northbridge ( 3-12, 79.0) 16- 3 515 H North Middlesex (12- 9, 86.5) 4-16 521 A Tyngsborough (13- 5, 86.1) 9-15 523 A Shepherd Hill (15- 4, 84.2) 9-12 530 A Fairhaven (14- 7, 86.8) 8-13

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 H AMSA Charter           12- 3       9     5           0.14
   401 A Littleton              13-10       3    -3    +++    6.10
   403 H Hudson/Clinton         11- 6       5     5           0.07
   408 H Shepherd Hill           5-10      -5     0    --    -4.69
   410 A Marlborough            14- 2      12     7           0.00
   414 A Leominster              9-13      -4    -1    -     -2.70
   415 H St Bernards            14- 6       8     4           1.35
   417 A Shrewsbury              4-15     -11    -8           0.00
   422 H Tyngsborough           15-16      -1    -2           1.18
   428 H Littleton               8-12      -4    -2    -     -2.06
   430 A Notre Dame Worcester   17- 7      10     3           1.82
   501 A Hudson/Clinton         14- 4      10     4           1.22
   508 H Marlborough            12- 3       9     8           0.00
   509 A Nashoba Regional        6- 7      -1    -5    ++     4.00
   513 H Northbridge            16- 3      13     5           0.05
   515 H North Middlesex         4-16     -12    -3    -     -2.45
   521 A Tyngsborough            9-15      -6    -3          -1.67
   523 A Shepherd Hill           9-12      -3    -1          -1.54
   530 A Fairhaven               8-13      -5    -4          -0.99

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 H Shepherd Hill           5-10      -5     0    --    -4.69
   414 A Leominster              9-13      -4    -1    -     -2.70
   428 H Littleton               8-12      -4    -2    -     -2.06
   515 H North Middlesex         4-16     -12    -3    -     -2.45

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Littleton              13-10       3    -3    +++    6.10
   509 A Nashoba Regional        6- 7      -1    -5    ++     4.00

Lunenburg Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Abington Lunenburg   Lunenburg
Acton-Boxborough Acton-Boxborough insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Acton-Boxborough
Agawam Agawam   Agawam
Algonquin Algonquin Algonquin   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Amherst-Pelham Lunenburg   Lunenburg
AMSA Charter Lunenburg Lunenburg  
Andover HS Andover HS   Andover HS
Apponequet Apponequet tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Apponequet
Archbishop Williams Archbishop Williams   Archbishop Williams
Arlington Catholic Lunenburg   Lunenburg
Arlington HS Arlington HS   Arlington HS
Ashland Ashland insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Ashland
Assabet Valley RVT Lunenburg insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Lunenburg
Attleboro Attleboro   Attleboro
Auburn Lunenburg insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 2) Lunenburg
Barnstable Barnstable   Barnstable
Bay Path RVT Lunenburg insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Lunenburg
Bedford HS Bedford HS tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Bedford HS
Belchertown Lunenburg   Lunenburg
Bellingham Lunenburg insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Lunenburg
Belmont Belmont   Belmont
Beverly Beverly tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Beverly
Billerica Memorial Billerica Memorial insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Billerica Memorial
Bishop Feehan Bishop Feehan   Bishop Feehan
Bishop Fenwick Bishop Fenwick   Bishop Fenwick
Bishop Stang Bishop Stang tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Bishop Stang
Blackstone Valley Tech Lunenburg Lunenburg   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Boston Latin Academy Lunenburg   Lunenburg
Boston Latin School Boston Latin School   Boston Latin School
Bourne Lunenburg tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lunenburg
Braintree Braintree   Braintree
Bridgewater-Raynham Bridgewater-Raynham   Bridgewater-Raynham
Bristol County Agricultu Lunenburg   Lunenburg
Bristol-Plymouth RVT Lunenburg   Lunenburg
Bromfield Bromfield insuffient: ( 1- 5)( 0- 5) Bromfield
Brookline Brookline tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Brookline
Burlington Burlington   Burlington
Cambridge Rindge/Latin Cambridge Rindge/Latin   Cambridge Rindge/Latin
Canton Canton   Canton
Cape Cod Academy Cape Cod Academy   Cape Cod Academy
Cape Cod Tech Lunenburg   Lunenburg
Cardinal Spellman Lunenburg   Lunenburg
Central Catholic Central Catholic insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Central Catholic
Chelmsford Chelmsford insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 0) Chelmsford
Chicopee Comp Lunenburg   Lunenburg
Chicopee HS Lunenburg   Lunenburg
Cohasset Cohasset   Cohasset
Concord-Carlisle Concord-Carlisle   Concord-Carlisle
Danvers Lunenburg   Lunenburg
Dartmouth Dartmouth tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Dartmouth
Dedham Lunenburg   Lunenburg
Dennis-Yarmouth Lunenburg   Lunenburg
Dighton-Rehoboth Dighton-Rehoboth tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Dighton-Rehoboth
Doherty Memorial Lunenburg insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Lunenburg
Dover-Sherborn Dover-Sherborn   Dover-Sherborn
Dracut Lunenburg tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Lunenburg
Duxbury Duxbury insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Duxbury
East Bridgewater Lunenburg insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Lunenburg
East Longmeadow East Longmeadow   East Longmeadow
Essex North Shore Tech Essex North Shore Tech   Essex North Shore Tech
Everett Lunenburg   Lunenburg
Fairhaven Fairhaven Fairhaven  
Falmouth Academy Lunenburg   Lunenburg
Falmouth HS Falmouth HS   Falmouth HS
Fontbonne Academy Lunenburg insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Lunenburg
Foxborough Foxborough insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Foxborough
Framingham Framingham tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Framingham
Franklin Franklin insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Franklin
Georgetown Lunenburg   Lunenburg
Gloucester Lunenburg   Lunenburg
Grafton Grafton Grafton   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Granby Lunenburg   Lunenburg
Greater Lowell Tech Lunenburg   Lunenburg
Greater New Bedford RVT Lunenburg tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lunenburg
Groton-Dunstable Lunenburg insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 0- 4) Lunenburg
Hamilton-Wenham Hamilton-Wenham   Hamilton-Wenham
Hampshire Regional Lunenburg   Lunenburg
Hanover Hanover   Hanover
Haverhill Lunenburg   Lunenburg
Hingham Hingham   Hingham
Holliston Holliston   Holliston
Hoosac Valley Lunenburg   Lunenburg
Hopedale Lunenburg insuffient: ( 4- 0)( 3- 1) Lunenburg
Hopkinton Hopkinton   Hopkinton
Hudson/Clinton Lunenburg Lunenburg  
Hull Lunenburg   Lunenburg
Ipswich Ipswich insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Ipswich
King Philip Regional King Philip Regional   King Philip Regional
Lee/Lenox/Monument Mtn Lunenburg   Lunenburg
Leominster Leominster Leominster  
Lexington HS Lexington HS   Lexington HS
Lincoln-Sudbury Lincoln-Sudbury   Lincoln-Sudbury
Littleton Littleton Littleton   6- 1 vs 4- 3
Longmeadow Longmeadow insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Longmeadow
Lowell Lunenburg tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lunenburg
Lowell Catholic Lunenburg   Lunenburg
Lynnfield Lynnfield   Lynnfield
Malden Lunenburg   Lunenburg
Malden Catholic Malden Catholic tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Malden Catholic
Manchester-Essex Manchester-Essex   Manchester-Essex
Mansfield Mansfield   Mansfield
Marblehead Marblehead   Marblehead
Marlborough Lunenburg Lunenburg  
Marshfield Marshfield   Marshfield
Marthas Vineyard Lunenburg   Lunenburg
Masconomet Masconomet   Masconomet
Mashpee Lunenburg tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lunenburg
McCann Tech Lunenburg   Lunenburg
Medfield Medfield   Medfield
Medford Lunenburg   Lunenburg
Medway Medway   Medway
Melrose Melrose   Melrose
Methuen Methuen   Methuen
Middleboro Lunenburg   Lunenburg
Milford Lunenburg   Lunenburg
Milton HS Milton HS   Milton HS
Minnechaug Regional Minnechaug Regional insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Minnechaug Regional
Monomoy Monomoy   Monomoy
Monson Lunenburg   Lunenburg
Montachusett RVT Lunenburg Lunenburg   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Mount Greylock Regional Mount Greylock Regional   Mount Greylock Regional
Mystic Valley Charter Lunenburg   Lunenburg
Nantucket Nantucket   Nantucket
Nashoba Regional Nashoba Regional Nashoba Regional  
Nashoba Valley Tech Lunenburg insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Lunenburg
Natick Natick   Natick
Nauset Regional Nauset Regional   Nauset Regional
Needham Needham insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Needham
New Bedford New Bedford insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) New Bedford
Newburyport Newburyport   Newburyport
Newton North Newton North   Newton North
Newton South Newton South   Newton South
Nipmuc Regional Nipmuc Regional tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) Nipmuc Regional
North Andover North Andover   North Andover
North Attleborough North Attleborough   North Attleborough
North Middlesex North Middlesex North Middlesex  
North Quincy Lunenburg   Lunenburg
North Reading North Reading   North Reading
Northampton Northampton   Northampton
Northbridge Lunenburg Lunenburg  
Northeast RVT Lunenburg   Lunenburg
Norton Lunenburg   Lunenburg
Norwell Norwell   Norwell
Norwood Norwood   Norwood
Notre Dame Hingham Notre Dame Hingham   Notre Dame Hingham
Notre Dame Worcester Lunenburg Lunenburg  
Oakmont Regional Oakmont Regional insuffient: ( 4- 5)( 5- 3) Oakmont Regional
Old Colony RVT Lunenburg   Lunenburg
Old Rochester Regional Old Rochester Regional tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Old Rochester Regional
Oliver Ames Oliver Ames   Oliver Ames
Peabody Veterans Memoria Peabody Veterans Memoria   Peabody Veterans Memoria
Pembroke Lunenburg   Lunenburg
Pentucket Regional Pentucket Regional   Pentucket Regional
Pittsfield/Taconic Lunenburg   Lunenburg
Plymouth North Plymouth North tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Plymouth North
Plymouth South Lunenburg   Lunenburg
Pope Francis Lunenburg   Lunenburg
Quincy Quincy   Quincy
Reading Memorial Reading Memorial   Reading Memorial
Revere Lunenburg   Lunenburg
Rockland Lunenburg   Lunenburg
Salem Lunenburg   Lunenburg
Sandwich Sandwich Sandwich   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Saugus Lunenburg   Lunenburg
Scituate Scituate   Scituate
Seekonk Lunenburg tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lunenburg
Sharon Sharon   Sharon
Shawsheen Valley Tech Lunenburg tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Lunenburg
Shepherd Hill Shepherd Hill Shepherd Hill  
Shrewsbury Shrewsbury Shrewsbury  
Silver Lake Lunenburg tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lunenburg
Smith VoTech Lunenburg   Lunenburg
Somerset Berkley Lunenburg tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lunenburg
Somerville Lunenburg   Lunenburg
South Hadley South Hadley   South Hadley
South Shore RVT Lunenburg   Lunenburg
Southeastern RVT Lunenburg   Lunenburg
Springfield Central Lunenburg   Lunenburg
St Bernards Lunenburg Lunenburg  
St John Paul II St John Paul II   St John Paul II
St Marys Lynn St Marys Lynn insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) St Marys Lynn
Stoneham Lunenburg   Lunenburg
Stoughton Lunenburg   Lunenburg
Sturgis Charter East Lunenburg   Lunenburg
Sturgis Charter West Lunenburg   Lunenburg
Swampscott Swampscott   Swampscott
Tahanto Regional Tahanto Regional   Tahanto Regional
Tantasqua Tantasqua insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 4- 0) Tantasqua
Taunton Lunenburg   Lunenburg
Tewksbury Memorial Tewksbury Memorial   Tewksbury Memorial
Tri-County RVT Lunenburg   Lunenburg
Triton Regional Lunenburg   Lunenburg
Tyngsborough Tyngsborough Tyngsborough  
Upper Cape Cod RVT Lunenburg   Lunenburg
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy   Ursuline Academy
Wachusett Wachusett insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3) Wachusett
Wahconah Regional Wahconah Regional   Wahconah Regional
Wakefield Memorial Wakefield Memorial   Wakefield Memorial
Walpole Walpole   Walpole
Waltham Waltham   Waltham
Watertown Watertown   Watertown
Wayland Wayland   Wayland
Wellesley Wellesley   Wellesley
West Springfield West Springfield   West Springfield
Westborough Westborough Westborough   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Westfield Westfield   Westfield
Westford Academy Westford Academy insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Westford Academy
Weston Weston insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 0) Weston
Westwood Westwood   Westwood
Weymouth Weymouth   Weymouth
Whitman-Hanson Regional Whitman-Hanson Regional   Whitman-Hanson Regional
Whittier RVT Lunenburg   Lunenburg
Wilmington Wilmington   Wilmington
Winchester Winchester   Winchester
Winthrop Lunenburg   Lunenburg
Woburn Memorial Woburn Memorial   Woburn Memorial

PowerWise = 88


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 18.83

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H AMSA Charter    ( 7-11, 79.0)    12- 3      -20.85      12.45      -0.58         0.99            11.76
   0 A Littleton       (14- 4, 85.9)    13-10      -14.05      19.25       0.58         0.99            19.65
   0 H Hudson/Clinton  ( 5- 9, 79.0)    11- 6      -20.92      12.38      -0.58         0.99            11.70
   0 H Shepherd Hill   (15- 4, 84.2)     5-10      -15.68      17.62      -0.58         0.99           -16.11
   0 A Marlborough     ( 1-14, 75.5)    14- 2      -24.35       8.95       0.58         0.99             9.44
   0 A Leominster      ( 2-17, 84.1)     9-13      -15.84      17.46       0.58         0.99           -15.13
   0 H St Bernards     ( 8- 7, 80.3)    14- 6      -19.64      13.66      -0.58         0.99            12.96
   0 A Shrewsbury      (17- 3, 90.8)     4-15       -9.15      24.15       0.58         0.99            -8.49
   0 H Tyngsborough    (13- 5, 86.1)    15-16      -13.81      19.49      -0.58         0.99           -14.26
   0 H Littleton       (14- 4, 85.9)     8-12      -14.05      19.25      -0.58         0.99           -14.49
   0 A Notre Dame Wor  ( 6-12, 79.6)    17- 7      -20.33      12.97       0.58         0.99            13.43
   0 A Hudson/Clinton  ( 5- 9, 79.0)    14- 4      -20.92      12.38       0.58         0.99            12.84
   0 H Marlborough     ( 1-14, 75.5)    12- 3      -24.35       8.95      -0.58         0.99             8.29
   0 A Nashoba Region  (11- 8, 87.9)     6- 7      -12.00      21.30       0.58         0.99           -11.32
   0 H Northbridge     ( 3-12, 79.0)    16- 3      -20.94      12.36      -0.58         0.99            11.68
   0 H North Middlese  (12- 9, 86.5)     4-16      -13.44      19.86      -0.58         0.99           -13.89
   0 A Tyngsborough    (13- 5, 86.1)     9-15      -13.81      19.49       0.58         0.99           -13.11
   0 A Shepherd Hill   (15- 4, 84.2)     9-12      -15.68      17.62       0.58         0.99           -14.97
   0 A Fairhaven       (14- 7, 86.8)     8-13      -13.13      20.17       0.58         0.99           -12.44
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -22.48

winning pts = 111.7462 losing points = -134.2224

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------