Lake Travis
W-L: ( 3-10) PR = 84.1609Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 205 H Bowie ( 5- 8, 82.7) 17- 5 212 A Anderson (12- 1, 94.6) 2-16 226 H Westlake ( 7- 3, 91.6) 8-19 303 A Westwood (10- 3, 88.6) 5-10 306 H St Michaels Academy ( 6- 5, 89.4) 7-18 312 H St Andrews ES ( 4-10, 89.0) 3-12 326 H Vandegrift ( 3- 7, 85.3) 14-13 403 H St Stephens ES ( 5- 5, 88.7) 5-10 405 H Lamar ( 7- 6, 89.5) 5-16 409 H Dripping Springs ( 5- 9, 84.8) 7- 8 415 H Austin ( 5- 6, 88.2) 5-10 417 H Cedar Park ( 6- 5, 84.7) 12- 9 423 A St Michaels Academy ( 6- 5, 89.4) 3-21
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
205 H Bowie 17- 5 12 2 + 2.66
212 A Anderson 2-16 -14 -11 0.00
226 H Westlake 8-19 -11 -7 0.00
303 A Westwood 5-10 -5 -5 0.00
306 H St Michaels Academy 7-18 -11 -4 -0.67
312 H St Andrews ES 3-12 -9 -4 -1.07
326 H Vandegrift 14-13 1 0 1.21
403 H St Stephens ES 5-10 -5 -4 -1.37
405 H Lamar 5-16 -11 -4 -0.62
409 H Dripping Springs 7- 8 -1 0 -1.25
415 H Austin 5-10 -5 -3 -1.83
417 H Cedar Park 12- 9 3 0 + 2.62
423 A St Michaels Academy 3-21 -18 -6 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 205 H Bowie 17- 5 12 2 + 2.66 417 H Cedar Park 12- 9 3 0 + 2.62 |
Lake Travis Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alamo Heights | Alamo Heights | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Alamo Heights | |
| Allen | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Anderson | Anderson | Anderson | ||
| Antonian College Prep | Lake Travis | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Lake Travis | |
| Atascocita | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Austin | Austin | Austin | ||
| Awty International | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Bellaire | Bellaire | Bellaire | ||
| Bishop Lynch | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Boerne | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Bowie | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Bridge LC | Lake Travis | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Lake Travis | |
| Canyon | Lake Travis | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Lake Travis | |
| Cedar Park | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Clear Springs | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Coppell | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Cy-Fair | Cy-Fair | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Cy-Fair | |
| Dripping Springs | Dripping Springs | Dripping Springs | ||
| Duchesne Academy | Lake Travis | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Lake Travis | |
| Emery-Weiner School | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Episcopal Dallas | Episcopal Dallas | Episcopal Dallas 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Episcopal Houston | Episcopal Houston | Episcopal Houston 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Flower Mound | Flower Mound | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Flower Mound | |
| Friendswood | Friendswood | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Friendswood | |
| Frisco | Frisco | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Frisco | |
| Grapevine | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Greenhill School | Lake Travis | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Lake Travis | |
| Highland Park | Highland Park | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Highland Park | |
| Hockaday | Hockaday | Hockaday 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Houston Christian | Houston Christian | Houston Christian | ||
| John Paul II | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Katy | Katy | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Katy | |
| Keller | Keller | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Keller | |
| Kingwood | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Kinkaid School | Kinkaid School | Kinkaid School 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Klein | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Lamar | Lamar | Lamar | ||
| LASA | Lake Travis | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Lake Travis | |
| Lovejoy | Lovejoy | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Lovejoy | |
| McKinney | McKinney | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | McKinney | |
| Memorial Houston | Memorial Houston | Memorial Houston 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Parish Episcopal | Lake Travis | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Lake Travis | |
| Plano | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Prosper | Prosper | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Prosper | |
| Reagan | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Regents School Austin | Lake Travis | Lake Travis 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Rockwall | Rockwall | Rockwall | ||
| Smithson Valley | Smithson Valley | Smithson Valley | ||
| Southlake Carroll | Southlake Carroll | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Southlake Carroll | |
| St Agnes Academy | St Agnes Academy | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | St Agnes Academy | |
| St Andrews ES | St Andrews ES | St Andrews ES | ||
| St Francis | St Francis | St Francis | ||
| St Johns | St Johns | St Johns 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| St Marys Hall | Lake Travis | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Lake Travis | |
| St Michaels Academy | St Michaels Academy | St Michaels Academy | ||
| St Pius X | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| St Stephens ES | St Stephens ES | St Stephens ES | ||
| Stratford | Stratford | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Stratford | |
| TMI Episcopal | Lake Travis | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) | Lake Travis | |
| Ursuline Academy | Ursuline Academy | Ursuline Academy | ||
| Vandegrift | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Village School | Lake Travis | Lake Travis | ||
| Westlake | Westlake | Westlake | ||
| Westwood | Westwood | Westwood | ||
| Woodlands | Woodlands | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Woodlands |
PowerWise = 29
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 11.27
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Bowie ( 5- 8, 82.7) 17- 5 -17.17 7.05 -0.91 0.87 5.33
0 A Anderson (12- 1, 94.6) 2-16 -5.26 18.97 0.91 0.87 -3.77
0 H Westlake ( 7- 3, 91.6) 8-19 -8.25 15.97 -0.91 0.87 -7.95
0 A Westwood (10- 3, 88.6) 5-10 -11.33 12.90 0.91 0.87 -9.03
0 H St Michaels Ac ( 6- 5, 89.4) 7-18 -10.49 13.73 -0.91 0.87 -9.89
0 H St Andrews ES ( 4-10, 89.0) 3-12 -10.90 13.33 -0.91 0.87 -10.24
0 H Vandegrift ( 3- 7, 85.3) 14-13 -14.61 9.61 -0.91 0.87 7.54
0 H St Stephens ES ( 5- 5, 88.7) 5-10 -11.20 13.03 -0.91 0.87 -10.50
0 H Lamar ( 7- 6, 89.5) 5-16 -10.45 13.78 -0.91 0.87 -9.85
0 H Dripping Sprin ( 5- 9, 84.8) 7- 8 -15.07 9.15 -0.91 0.87 -13.86
0 H Austin ( 5- 6, 88.2) 5-10 -11.66 12.57 -0.91 0.87 -10.90
0 H Cedar Park ( 6- 5, 84.7) 12- 9 -15.20 9.02 -0.91 0.87 7.03
0 A St Michaels Ac ( 6- 5, 89.4) 3-21 -10.49 13.73 0.91 0.87 -8.31
------
-74.40
|
winning pts = 19.8978 losing points = -94.3020
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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