---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:50 PDT

safe3step girls Lowell 1
  
Lowell                
W-L: ( 7-11) PR = 87.4314

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 321 H Grandville ( 8-12, 86.6) 9-17 322 H Hudsonville (16- 6, 89.6) 6- 8 322 A Portage Northern (12-10, 87.9) 7- 4 322 A Mattawan (19- 4, 92.1) 2- 6 324 A Jenison ( 2-16, 77.2) 19- 2 326 A Lansing Catholic-Waver (10- 8, 85.6) 17-12 328 H Forest Hills Central ( 8- 7, 92.8) 5-15 401 A Hudsonville (16- 6, 89.6) 10-15 418 A Caledonia ( 9- 7, 89.5) 8-15 419 A Mona Shores (15- 7, 90.6) 5- 9 421 H Portage Northern (12-10, 87.9) 15-14 425 A Mattawan (19- 4, 92.1) 7-14 429 H Mattawan (19- 4, 92.1) 5-13 502 H Byron Center (12- 6, 89.6) 9-13 508 H Lansing Catholic-Waver (10- 8, 85.6) 17- 5 509 A Holland West Ottawa ( 3-14, 79.4) 20- 8 515 H Zeeland East ( 5-14, 82.3) 17- 8 519 H Forest Hills Central ( 8- 7, 92.8) 12-14

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H Grandville              9-17      -8     1    ---   -6.40
   322 H Hudsonville             6- 8      -2    -2          -0.41
   322 A Portage Northern        7- 4       3    -1    ++     4.13
   322 A Mattawan                2- 6      -4    -5           1.00
   324 A Jenison                19- 2      17    10           0.00
   326 A Lansing Catholic-Waver 17-12       5     1    +      3.76
   328 H Forest Hills Central    5-15     -10    -5          -0.27
   401 A Hudsonville            10-15      -5    -3    -     -2.17
   418 A Caledonia               8-15      -7    -3    -     -2.34
   419 A Mona Shores             5- 9      -4    -4          -0.19
   421 H Portage Northern       15-14       1     0           0.89
   425 A Mattawan                7-14      -7    -5           0.00
   429 H Mattawan                5-13      -8    -4          -0.99
   502 H Byron Center            9-13      -4    -2    -     -2.49
   508 H Lansing Catholic-Waver 17- 5      12     2    +      2.51
   509 A Holland West Ottawa    20- 8      12     7           0.00
   515 H Zeeland East           17- 8       9     6           0.00
   519 H Forest Hills Central   12-14      -2    -5    +      2.73

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H Grandville              9-17      -8     1    ---   -6.40
   401 A Hudsonville            10-15      -5    -3    -     -2.17
   418 A Caledonia               8-15      -7    -3    -     -2.34
   502 H Byron Center            9-13      -4    -2    -     -2.49

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 A Portage Northern        7- 4       3    -1    ++     4.13
   326 A Lansing Catholic-Waver 17-12       5     1    +      3.76
   508 H Lansing Catholic-Waver 17- 5      12     2    +      2.51
   519 H Forest Hills Central   12-14      -2    -5    +      2.73

Lowell Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Ann Arbor Father Gabriel Lowell Lowell   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Ann Arbor Huron Lowell tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lowell
Ann Arbor Pioneer Lowell   Lowell
Ann Arbor Skyline Lowell   Lowell
Avondale Lowell   Lowell
Battle Creek Harper Cree Lowell   Lowell
Bedford Lowell   Lowell
Birmingham Unified Birmingham Unified   Birmingham Unified
Bloomfield Hills Bloomfield Hills   Bloomfield Hills
Brighton Brighton   Brighton
Brighton B Lowell   Lowell
Byron Center Byron Center Byron Center  
Caledonia Caledonia Caledonia  
Canton Lowell   Lowell
Cass Tech Lowell   Lowell
Catholic Central Catholic Central Catholic Central   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Chippewa Valley Lowell   Lowell
Clarkston Lowell   Lowell
Comstock Park Lowell   Lowell
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood   Cranbrook Kingswood
Davison Lowell tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lowell
Detroit Country Day Detroit Country Day   Detroit Country Day
DeWitt Lowell Lowell   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Dexter Lowell   Lowell
Divine Child Lowell   Lowell
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids   2- 0 vs 0- 2
East Lansing Lowell Lowell   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Farmington Lowell tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lowell
Fenton-Linden Co-Op Lowell   Lowell
Flint Powers Catholic Lowell insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Lowell
Flushing Lowell   Lowell
Forest Hills Central Forest Hills Central Forest Hills Central  
Forest Hills Northern/Ea Forest Hills Northern/Ea insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 2) Forest Hills Northern/Ea
Grand Blanc Lowell insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Lowell
Grand Haven Lowell insuffient: ( 4- 5)( 3- 6) Lowell
Grand Ledge Grand Ledge insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) Grand Ledge
Grand Rapids Christian Lowell tied - ( 4- 6) ( 4- 6) Lowell
Grandville Grandville Grandville  
Grosse Pointe North Lowell   Lowell
Grosse Pointe South Grosse Pointe South   Grosse Pointe South
Hartland Hartland insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Hartland
Haslett Haslett tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Haslett
Henry Ford II Lowell   Lowell
Holland West Ottawa Lowell Lowell  
Holly-Brandon Co-Op Lowell   Lowell
Holt Holt tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Holt
Howell Lowell insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 0) Lowell
Hudsonville Hudsonville Hudsonville  
Jenison Lowell Lowell  
Kalamazoo Central Lowell Lowell   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Lake Fenton Lowell   Lowell
Lake Orion Lake Orion   Lake Orion
Lakeview Lowell   Lowell
Lansing Catholic-Waverly Lowell Lowell  
Lapeer Lowell   Lowell
Livonia United Lowell   Lowell
Marian Marian   Marian
Mattawan Mattawan Mattawan  
Mercy Mercy   Mercy
Midland Lowell tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Lowell
Mona Shores Mona Shores Mona Shores  
Northview Northview Northview   9- 0 vs 3- 6
Northville Lowell   Lowell
Notre Dame Prep Lowell   Lowell
Novi Lowell   Lowell
Okemos Lowell Lowell   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Oxford Lowell   Lowell
Plymouth Lowell   Lowell
Portage Northern Lowell Lowell  
Reeths-Puffer Lowell   Lowell
Rochester Adams Rochester Adams   Rochester Adams
Rochester HS Lowell   Lowell
Rochester Stoney Creek Lowell   Lowell
Rockford Rockford insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Rockford
Royal Oak Lowell   Lowell
Sacred Heart Academy Lowell   Lowell
Saginaw Heritage Saginaw Heritage tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Saginaw Heritage
Salem Lowell tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lowell
Saline Saline tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Saline
South Lyon United South Lyon United   South Lyon United
Spring Lake Spring Lake Spring Lake   2- 1 vs 0- 3
St Catherine of Siena Lowell   Lowell
St Johns/Ovid-Elsie Lowell insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Lowell
Swartz Creek Lowell   Lowell
Tecumseh Lowell insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Lowell
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central Traverse City Central   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Troy Lowell   Lowell
Troy Athens Lowell   Lowell
University Liggett Lowell   Lowell
Utica Eisenhower Lowell   Lowell
Walled Lake Northern Lowell   Lowell
Warren Regina Lowell   Lowell
Waterford United Lowell   Lowell
West Bloomfield Lowell   Lowell
White Lake Lakeland White Lake Lakeland insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) White Lake Lakeland
Zeeland East Lowell Lowell  

PowerWise = 64


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.08

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Grandville      ( 8-12, 86.6)     9-17      -13.25      15.94      -0.62         0.89           -12.39
   0 H Hudsonville     (16- 6, 89.6)     6- 8      -10.25      18.94      -0.62         0.89            -9.72
   0 A Portage Northe  (12-10, 87.9)     7- 4      -11.96      17.23       0.62         0.89            15.95
   0 A Mattawan        (19- 4, 92.1)     2- 6       -7.84      21.35       0.62         0.89            -6.45
   0 A Jenison         ( 2-16, 77.2)    19- 2      -22.72       6.47       0.62         0.89             6.33
   0 A Lansing Cathol  (10- 8, 85.6)    17-12      -14.33      14.86       0.62         0.89            13.83
   0 H Forest Hills C  ( 8- 7, 92.8)     5-15       -7.12      22.08      -0.62         0.89            -6.91
   0 A Hudsonville     (16- 6, 89.6)    10-15      -10.25      18.94       0.62         0.89            -8.61
   0 A Caledonia       ( 9- 7, 89.5)     8-15      -10.43      18.76       0.62         0.89            -8.76
   0 A Mona Shores     (15- 7, 90.6)     5- 9       -9.28      19.91       0.62         0.89            -7.74
   0 H Portage Northe  (12-10, 87.9)    15-14      -11.96      17.23      -0.62         0.89            14.84
   0 A Mattawan        (19- 4, 92.1)     7-14       -7.84      21.35       0.62         0.89            -6.45
   0 H Mattawan        (19- 4, 92.1)     5-13       -7.84      21.35      -0.62         0.89            -7.56
   0 H Byron Center    (12- 6, 89.6)     9-13      -10.34      18.85      -0.62         0.89            -9.79
   0 H Lansing Cathol  (10- 8, 85.6)    17- 5      -14.33      14.86      -0.62         0.89            12.72
   0 A Holland West O  ( 3-14, 79.4)    20- 8      -20.48       8.71       0.62         0.89             8.34
   0 H Zeeland East    ( 5-14, 82.3)    17- 8      -17.60      11.60      -0.62         0.89             9.81
   0 H Forest Hills C  ( 8- 7, 92.8)    12-14       -7.12      22.08      -0.62         0.89            -6.91
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        -9.47

winning pts = 81.8277 losing points = -91.2982

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------