Long Reach
W-L: (10- 4) PR = 80.6268Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 321 H Wilde Lake ( 3-10, 73.8) 16- 6 324 H Winters Mill ( 8- 9, 86.6) 6-18 325 H Northeast ( 5- 8, 77.4) 11- 5 328 A Atholton ( 5-10, 76.2) 11- 8 331 H Hammond ( 3-10, 71.7) 19- 6 401 A Severn Run ( 7- 6, 75.1) 15- 8 410 H Atholton ( 5-10, 76.2) 12- 6 423 A Guilford Park ( 3-10, 70.9) 18- 6 424 A Oakland Mills ( 0-12, 68.4) 15- 1 428 A Howard ( 9- 4, 88.8) 4-20 430 H Reservoir ( 7- 9, 79.5) 9- 8 502 A Centennial ( 9- 5, 89.1) 4-17 507 H Old Mill ( 3-10, 76.2) 11- 5 509 H Marriotts Ridge (14- 4, 92.8) 1-20
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
321 H Wilde Lake 16- 6 10 7 0.00
324 H Winters Mill 6-18 -12 -6 0.00
325 H Northeast 11- 5 6 4 1.33
328 A Atholton 11- 8 3 4 -1.01
331 H Hammond 19- 6 13 9 0.00
401 A Severn Run 15- 8 7 5 0.00
410 H Atholton 12- 6 6 5 0.10
423 A Guilford Park 18- 6 12 9 0.00
424 A Oakland Mills 15- 1 14 12 0.00
428 A Howard 4-20 -16 -9 0.00
430 H Reservoir 9- 8 1 2 -0.58
502 A Centennial 4-17 -13 -9 0.00
507 H Old Mill 11- 5 6 5 0.13
509 H Marriotts Ridge 1-20 -19 -12 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
Long Reach Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annapolis Area Christian | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Anne Arundel County | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | ||
| Beth TFiloh | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Bishop McNamara | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Brookewood SG | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Bryn Mawr SG | Bryn Mawr SG | Bryn Mawr SG | ||
| Bullis School | Bullis School | Bullis School | ||
| Calverton School | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Catholic High Baltimore | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Chapelgate Christian | Long Reach | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Long Reach | |
| Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Cristo Rey Jesuit | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| DC International | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| EL Haynes Charter | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Elizabeth Seton | Elizabeth Seton | Elizabeth Seton | ||
| FCA | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Field School | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Friends School | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Garrison Forest | Garrison Forest | Garrison Forest | ||
| Georgetown Day School | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Georgetown Visitation | Georgetown Visitation | Georgetown Visitation | ||
| Gerstell Academy | Gerstell Academy | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Gerstell Academy | |
| Glenelg Country School | Glenelg Country School | Glenelg Country School | ||
| Good Counsel | Good Counsel | Good Counsel | ||
| Gunston Day School | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Holton-Arms School | Holton-Arms School | Holton-Arms School | ||
| Holy Child | Holy Child | Holy Child | ||
| Holy Cross | Holy Cross | Holy Cross | ||
| Indian Creek | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Jackson-Reed | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Jemicy | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| John Carroll | John Carroll | John Carroll | ||
| Key School | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| KIPP College Prep | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Maret School | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Maryvale Prep | Maryvale Prep | Maryvale Prep | ||
| McDonogh School | McDonogh School | McDonogh School | ||
| Mercy | Mercy | Mercy | ||
| Mount de Sales | Mount de Sales | Mount de Sales | ||
| National Cathedral | National Cathedral | National Cathedral | ||
| Notre Dame Prep | Notre Dame Prep | Notre Dame Prep | ||
| Oldfields School | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Park School | Park School | Park School | ||
| Rockbridge Academy | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Roland Park Country | Roland Park Country | Roland Park Country | ||
| Salisbury School | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Sandy Spring Friends | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| School Without Walls | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Severn School | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Sidwell Friends | Sidwell Friends | Sidwell Friends | ||
| St Andrews Episcopal | St Andrews Episcopal | St Andrews Episcopal | ||
| St James School | St James School | St James School | ||
| St Johns Catholic Prep | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| St Johns College | St Johns College | St Johns College | ||
| St Marys | St Marys | St Marys | ||
| St Marys Ryken | St Marys Ryken | St Marys Ryken | ||
| St Pauls SG | St Pauls SG | St Pauls SG | ||
| St Timothys | St Timothys | St Timothys | ||
| St Vincent Pallotti | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Stone Ridge School | Stone Ridge School | Stone Ridge School | ||
| Sts Peter & Paul | Sts Peter & Paul | Sts Peter & Paul | ||
| Tome School | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Washington Latin | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Worcester Prep | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Aberdeen | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Academy for College & Ca | Long Reach | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Long Reach | |
| Annapolis | Annapolis | tied - ( 4- 1) ( 4- 1) | Annapolis | |
| Arundel | Arundel | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Arundel | |
| Atholton | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Baltimore Polytechnic | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Bel Air | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Bethesda-Chevy Chase | ||
| Bladensburg | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Blair | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Blake | Long Reach | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Long Reach | |
| Bohemia Manor | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Boonsboro | Boonsboro | Boonsboro | ||
| Bowie | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Broadneck | Broadneck | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Broadneck | |
| Brunswick | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Calvert | Calvert | Calvert | ||
| Cambridge SD | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Carver A&T | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Catoctin | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Catonsville | Catonsville | Catonsville | ||
| Centennial | Centennial | Centennial | ||
| Central PG | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Century | Century | Century 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| CH Flowers | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | tied - ( 4- 0) ( 4- 0) | Chesapeake AA | |
| Chesapeake BC | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Chopticon | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| City College | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Clarksburg | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| CM Wright | CM Wright | CM Wright | ||
| CMIT North | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Crofton | Crofton | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Crofton | |
| Damascus | Damascus | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Damascus | |
| Dr Henry Wise | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Dulaney | Dulaney | Dulaney | ||
| Dundalk | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| DuVal | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Eastern Technical | Eastern Technical | Eastern Technical | ||
| Easton | Easton | Easton | ||
| Edgewood | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Einstein | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Eleanor Roosevelt | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Elkton | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Fairmont Heights | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Fallston | Fallston | Fallston | ||
| Francis Scott Key | Long Reach | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Long Reach | |
| Franklin | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Frederick | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Frederick Douglass PG | Long Reach | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Long Reach | |
| Gaithersburg | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Glen Burnie | Long Reach | Long Reach 5- 0 vs 3- 2 | ||
| Glenelg HS | Glenelg HS | Glenelg HS 6- 0 vs 3- 3 | ||
| Gov Thomas Johnson | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Great Mills | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Guilford Park | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Gwynn Park | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Hammond | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Harford Tech | Harford Tech | Harford Tech | ||
| Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Hereford | Hereford | Hereford | ||
| Howard | Howard | Howard | ||
| Huntingtown | Huntingtown | Huntingtown | ||
| JM Bennett | JM Bennett | JM Bennett | ||
| Kennedy | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Kent County | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Kent Island | Kent Island | Kent Island | ||
| Kenwood | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| La Plata | La Plata | La Plata | ||
| Lackey | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Lansdowne | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Laurel | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Leonardtown | Leonardtown | Leonardtown | ||
| Liberty | Liberty | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Liberty | |
| Linganore | Linganore | Linganore | ||
| Loch Raven | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Magruder | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Manchester Valley | |
| Marriotts Ridge | Marriotts Ridge | Marriotts Ridge | ||
| Meade | Long Reach | Long Reach 5- 0 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Middletown | Middletown | Middletown | ||
| Milford Mill | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| MJ McDonough | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Mount Hebron | Mount Hebron | insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 4- 2) | Mount Hebron | |
| New Town | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| North Caroline | North Caroline | North Caroline | ||
| North County | North County | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | North County | |
| North Dorchester | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| North East Cecil | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| North Hagerstown | Long Reach | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Long Reach | |
| North Harford | North Harford | North Harford | ||
| North Point | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Northeast | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Northern Calvert | |
| Northwest | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Northwestern PG | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Northwood | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Oakdale | Oakdale | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Oakdale | |
| Oakland Mills | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Old Mill | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Overlea | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Owings Mills | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Oxon Hill | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Paint Branch | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Parkdale | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Parkside | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Parkville | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Patapsco | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Patterson Mill | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Patuxent | Long Reach | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Long Reach | |
| Perry Hall | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Perryville | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Pikesville | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Poolesville | Long Reach | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Long Reach | |
| Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Queen Annes County | |
| Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Randallstown | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Randallstown | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Reservoir | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Richard Montgomery | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Rising Sun | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| River Hill | River Hill | insuffient: ( 5- 3)( 6- 2) | River Hill | |
| Rockville | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Seneca Valley | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Severn Run | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Severna Park | Severna Park | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Severna Park | |
| Sherwood | Sherwood | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Sherwood | |
| Smithsburg | Long Reach | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Long Reach | |
| South Carroll | South Carroll | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | South Carroll | |
| South Hagerstown | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| South River | South River | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | South River | |
| Southern | Southern | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Southern | |
| Sparrows Point | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Springbrook | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| St Charles | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Stephen Decatur | Stephen Decatur | Stephen Decatur | ||
| Suitland | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Thomas Stone | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Towson | Towson | Towson | ||
| Tuscarora | Tuscarora | Tuscarora | ||
| Urbana | Urbana | Urbana | ||
| Walkersville | Long Reach | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Long Reach | |
| Walter Johnson | Walter Johnson | Walter Johnson | ||
| Watkins Mill | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Western Baltimore | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Western STES | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Westlake | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Westminster | Westminster | Westminster 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Wheaton | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Whitman | Whitman | Whitman | ||
| Wicomico | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Wilde Lake | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Winters Mill | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Woodlawn | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Wootton | Long Reach | Long Reach |
PowerWise = 131
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 11.96
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Wilde Lake ( 3-10, 73.8) 16- 6 -26.11 11.81 -0.45 0.85 9.71
0 H Winters Mill ( 8- 9, 86.6) 6-18 -13.25 24.67 -0.45 0.85 -11.71
0 H Northeast ( 5- 8, 77.4) 11- 5 -22.49 15.43 -0.45 0.85 12.80
0 A Atholton ( 5-10, 76.2) 11- 8 -23.73 14.19 0.45 0.85 12.51
0 H Hammond ( 3-10, 71.7) 19- 6 -28.23 9.69 -0.45 0.85 7.90
0 A Severn Run ( 7- 6, 75.1) 15- 8 -24.80 13.12 0.45 0.85 11.59
0 H Atholton ( 5-10, 76.2) 12- 6 -23.73 14.19 -0.45 0.85 11.74
0 A Guilford Park ( 3-10, 70.9) 18- 6 -28.97 8.95 0.45 0.85 8.03
0 A Oakland Mills ( 0-12, 68.4) 15- 1 -31.53 6.39 0.45 0.85 5.85
0 A Howard ( 9- 4, 88.8) 4-20 -11.06 26.85 0.45 0.85 -9.07
0 H Reservoir ( 7- 9, 79.5) 9- 8 -20.40 17.52 -0.45 0.85 14.59
0 A Centennial ( 9- 5, 89.1) 4-17 -10.81 27.11 0.45 0.85 -8.85
0 H Old Mill ( 3-10, 76.2) 11- 5 -23.70 14.22 -0.45 0.85 11.77
0 H Marriotts Ridg (14- 4, 92.8) 1-20 -7.12 30.80 -0.45 0.85 -6.47
------
70.39
|
winning pts = 106.4864 losing points = -36.0982
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------