Old Lyme
W-L: (13- 6) PR = 78.1988Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 408 H Morgan School ( 8- 9, 74.8) 13- 5 410 A Cromwell ( 1-14, 71.2) 15- 4 412 A Old Saybrook (11- 7, 76.3) 7- 5 415 H Valley Regional ( 6-10, 73.7) 13- 7 421 H North Branford ( 8-10, 76.6) 5- 6 424 A Haddam-Killingworth ( 9- 9, 76.6) 11- 9 429 H Cromwell ( 1-14, 71.2) 10- 5 501 A Valley Regional ( 6-10, 73.7) 11- 4 503 A Stonington (12- 5, 79.9) 8-15 508 A Morgan School ( 8- 9, 74.8) 13- 3 509 A North Branford ( 8-10, 76.6) 10- 7 512 H Montville (11- 7, 77.1) 16- 8 515 H Haddam-Killingworth ( 9- 9, 76.6) 9- 4 517 A Ledyard ( 9- 8, 78.7) 4- 8 521 H Old Saybrook (11- 7, 76.3) 12- 5 522 H Waterford (12- 7, 81.5) 8- 9 527 H North Branford ( 8-10, 76.6) 5- 8 603 H Montville (11- 7, 77.1) 9- 8 607 A Granby Memorial (14- 6, 81.7) 12-17
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
408 H Morgan School 13- 5 8 4 0.87
410 A Cromwell 15- 4 11 6 0.00
412 A Old Saybrook 7- 5 2 1 0.87
415 H Valley Regional 13- 7 6 5 0.00
421 H North Branford 5- 6 -1 2 - -3.35
424 A Haddam-Killingworth 11- 9 2 1 1.13
429 H Cromwell 10- 5 5 8 0.00
501 A Valley Regional 11- 4 7 4 1.26
503 A Stonington 8-15 -7 -2 - -2.58
508 A Morgan School 13- 3 10 3 + 2.32
509 A North Branford 10- 7 3 1 + 2.11
512 H Montville 16- 8 8 2 + 3.21
515 H Haddam-Killingworth 9- 4 5 2 + 2.67
517 A Ledyard 4- 8 -4 -1 - -2.82
521 H Old Saybrook 12- 5 7 3 + 2.42
522 H Waterford 8- 9 -1 -3 1.53
527 H North Branford 5- 8 -3 2 -- -5.35
603 H Montville 9- 8 1 2 -0.79
607 A Granby Memorial 12-17 -5 -4 -0.77
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 527 H North Branford 5- 8 -3 2 -- -5.35 421 H North Branford 5- 6 -1 2 - -3.35 503 A Stonington 8-15 -7 -2 - -2.58 517 A Ledyard 4- 8 -4 -1 - -2.82 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 508 A Morgan School 13- 3 10 3 + 2.32 509 A North Branford 10- 7 3 1 + 2.11 512 H Montville 16- 8 8 2 + 3.21 515 H Haddam-Killingworth 9- 4 5 2 + 2.67 521 H Old Saybrook 12- 5 7 3 + 2.42 |
Old Lyme Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amity Regional | Amity Regional | Amity Regional | ||
| Avon HS | Old Lyme | Old Lyme | ||
| Bacon/East Hampton | Old Lyme | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | Old Lyme | |
| Berlin | Old Lyme | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Old Lyme | |
| Bethel | Bethel | Bethel | ||
| Branford | Branford | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Branford | |
| Brien McMahon | Brien McMahon | Brien McMahon | ||
| Bristol Central | Old Lyme | Old Lyme | ||
| Bristol Eastern | Old Lyme | Old Lyme | ||
| Brookfield | Brookfield | Brookfield | ||
| Canton | Canton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Canton | |
| Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS | ||
| Conard | Conard | Conard | ||
| Cromwell | Old Lyme | Old Lyme | ||
| Danbury | Old Lyme | Old Lyme | ||
| Daniel Hand | Daniel Hand | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Daniel Hand | |
| Darien | Darien | Darien | ||
| East Catholic | East Catholic | East Catholic | ||
| East Lyme | East Lyme | East Lyme 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Ellington | Ellington | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Ellington | |
| Enfield | Old Lyme | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Old Lyme | |
| EO Smith | Old Lyme | Old Lyme | ||
| Fairfield Ludlowe | Fairfield Ludlowe | Fairfield Ludlowe | ||
| Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | ||
| Farmington | Farmington | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Farmington | |
| Fitch | Old Lyme | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Old Lyme | |
| Foran | Foran | Foran | ||
| Glastonbury | Glastonbury | Glastonbury | ||
| Granby Memorial | Granby Memorial | Granby Memorial | ||
| Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | ||
| Griswold-Norwich Tech | Old Lyme | Old Lyme 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Guilford | Guilford | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Guilford | |
| Haddam-Killingworth | Old Lyme | Old Lyme | ||
| Hall | Hall | Hall | ||
| Hamden | Old Lyme | Old Lyme | ||
| Housatonic Regional | Old Lyme | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Old Lyme | |
| Immaculate Heart | Old Lyme | Old Lyme | ||
| Joel Barlow | Joel Barlow | Joel Barlow | ||
| Jonathan Law | Old Lyme | Old Lyme | ||
| Killingly | Old Lyme | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | Old Lyme | |
| Lakeview United | Old Lyme | Old Lyme | ||
| Lauralton Hall | Lauralton Hall | Lauralton Hall | ||
| Ledyard | Ledyard | Ledyard | ||
| Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 1) | Lewis Mills | |
| Lyman Hall | Lyman Hall | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 0) | Lyman Hall | |
| Masuk | Masuk | Masuk | ||
| Mercy | Old Lyme | Old Lyme | ||
| Middletown-Coginchaug | Old Lyme | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Old Lyme | |
| Montville | Old Lyme | Old Lyme | ||
| Morgan School | Old Lyme | Old Lyme | ||
| New Canaan | New Canaan | New Canaan | ||
| New Fairfield | New Fairfield | New Fairfield | ||
| New London/St Bernards | Old Lyme | Old Lyme 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| New Milford | Old Lyme | Old Lyme | ||
| Newington | Old Lyme | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Old Lyme | |
| Newtown | Newtown | Newtown | ||
| North Branford | North Branford | North Branford | ||
| North Haven | Old Lyme | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 0) | Old Lyme | |
| Northwest Catholic | Northwest Catholic | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Northwest Catholic | |
| Norwalk | Old Lyme | Old Lyme | ||
| Norwich Free Academy | Norwich Free Academy | Norwich Free Academy 4- 1 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Notre Dame Fairfield | Old Lyme | Old Lyme | ||
| Old Saybrook | Old Lyme | Old Lyme | ||
| Pomperaug | Pomperaug | Pomperaug | ||
| RHAM | Old Lyme | Old Lyme | ||
| Ridgefield | Ridgefield | Ridgefield | ||
| Rockville | Old Lyme | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Old Lyme | |
| Rocky Hill | Old Lyme | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Old Lyme | |
| Sacred Heart Academy | Sacred Heart Academy | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 0) | Sacred Heart Academy | |
| Sheehan | Sheehan | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 1) | Sheehan | |
| Shelton | Old Lyme | Old Lyme | ||
| Simsbury | Simsbury | Simsbury | ||
| Somers | Somers | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Somers | |
| South Windsor | Old Lyme | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Old Lyme | |
| Southington | Southington | Southington | ||
| St Joseph | St Joseph | St Joseph | ||
| St Paul Catholic | Old Lyme | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Old Lyme | |
| Stamford | Stamford | Stamford | ||
| Staples | Staples | Staples | ||
| Stonington | Stonington | Stonington | ||
| Stratford-Bunnell | Old Lyme | Old Lyme | ||
| Suffield HS | Suffield HS | Suffield HS 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Tolland | Tolland | Tolland | ||
| Trumbull | Trumbull | Trumbull | ||
| Valley Regional | Old Lyme | Old Lyme | ||
| Waterford | Waterford | Waterford | ||
| Watertown | Old Lyme | Old Lyme | ||
| West Haven | Old Lyme | Old Lyme | ||
| Westhill | Westhill | Westhill | ||
| Weston | Weston | Weston | ||
| Wethersfield | Old Lyme | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Old Lyme | |
| Wheeler | Old Lyme | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Old Lyme | |
| Wilton | Wilton | Wilton | ||
| Windsor | Old Lyme | Old Lyme | ||
| Wolcott | Old Lyme | Old Lyme | ||
| Woodstock Academy | Old Lyme | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Old Lyme |
PowerWise = 44
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.51
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Morgan School ( 8- 9, 74.8) 13- 5 -25.11 9.70 -0.73 0.92 8.27
0 A Cromwell ( 1-14, 71.2) 15- 4 -28.72 6.09 0.73 0.92 6.28
0 A Old Saybrook (11- 7, 76.3) 7- 5 -23.56 11.25 0.73 0.92 11.03
0 H Valley Regiona ( 6-10, 73.7) 13- 7 -26.17 8.64 -0.73 0.92 7.29
0 H North Branford ( 8-10, 76.6) 5- 6 -23.32 11.49 -0.73 0.92 -22.16
0 A Haddam-Killing ( 9- 9, 76.6) 11- 9 -23.30 11.51 0.73 0.92 11.27
0 H Cromwell ( 1-14, 71.2) 10- 5 -28.72 6.09 -0.73 0.92 4.94
0 A Valley Regiona ( 6-10, 73.7) 11- 4 -26.17 8.64 0.73 0.92 8.63
0 A Stonington (12- 5, 79.9) 8-15 -20.01 14.80 0.73 0.92 -17.77
0 A Morgan School ( 8- 9, 74.8) 13- 3 -25.11 9.70 0.73 0.92 9.61
0 A North Branford ( 8-10, 76.6) 10- 7 -23.32 11.49 0.73 0.92 11.25
0 H Montville (11- 7, 77.1) 16- 8 -22.77 12.04 -0.73 0.92 10.43
0 H Haddam-Killing ( 9- 9, 76.6) 9- 4 -23.30 11.51 -0.73 0.92 9.93
0 A Ledyard ( 9- 8, 78.7) 4- 8 -21.24 13.56 0.73 0.92 -18.90
0 H Old Saybrook (11- 7, 76.3) 12- 5 -23.56 11.25 -0.73 0.92 9.70
0 H Waterford (12- 7, 81.5) 8- 9 -18.44 16.37 -0.73 0.92 -17.66
0 H North Branford ( 8-10, 76.6) 5- 8 -23.32 11.49 -0.73 0.92 -22.16
0 H Montville (11- 7, 77.1) 9- 8 -22.77 12.04 -0.73 0.92 10.43
0 A Granby Memoria (14- 6, 81.7) 12-17 -18.20 16.61 0.73 0.92 -16.10
------
4.32
|
winning pts = 119.0598 losing points = -114.7428
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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