---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:58 PDT

safe3step girls Lake Norman Charter 1
  
Lake Norman Charter   
W-L: (12- 7) PR = 85.4045

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 228 A Marvin Ridge (19- 4, 94.0) 5-14 306 H Davidson Day School ( 9-10, 82.3) 17-10 307 A Charlotte Christian ( 4-11, 84.0) 10- 7 313 A Northwest Guilford (16- 5, 88.2) 14-13 325 H Cannon School (11- 8, 90.0) 5-17 327 H Pine Lake Prep ( 4-11, 76.1) 21- 6 328 A Christ the King ( 4- 2, 87.0) 9-12 403 H Hough (11- 4, 84.1) 17-13 409 H Mooresville ( 5-12, 75.0) 19- 2 410 H Bishop McGuinness (20- 4, 86.2) 4-12 416 A Lake Norman HS (13- 7, 89.0) 9-19 423 A South Iredell ( 8-12, 77.1) 23- 4 425 A Lincoln Charter ( 0-12, 71.6) 22- 1 429 A Southlake Christian ( 8- 5, 79.7) 16- 4 430 A Charlotte CDS (15- 5, 94.3) 6-18 501 H Community School David (11- 7, 81.2) 17- 5 519 H Pine Lake Prep ( 4-11, 76.1) 22- 3 523 H Hickory (12- 6, 77.5) 20- 3 528 N Bishop McGuinness (20- 4, 86.2) 10-14

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 A Marvin Ridge            5-14      -9    -9           0.00
   306 H Davidson Day School    17-10       7     3           1.61
   307 A Charlotte Christian    10- 7       3     1           1.90
   313 A Northwest Guilford     14-13       1    -3    ++     4.13
   325 H Cannon School           5-17     -12    -4          -0.69
   327 H Pine Lake Prep         21- 6      15    10           0.00
   328 A Christ the King         9-12      -3    -2          -1.09
   403 H Hough                  17-13       4     2    +      2.40
   409 H Mooresville            19- 2      17    11           0.00
   410 H Bishop McGuinness       4-12      -8     0    --    -4.52
   416 A Lake Norman HS          9-19     -10    -4          -1.06
   423 A South Iredell          23- 4      19     8           0.00
   425 A Lincoln Charter        22- 1      21    13           0.00
   429 A Southlake Christian    16- 4      12     5           0.00
   430 A Charlotte CDS           6-18     -12    -9           0.00
   501 H Community School David 17- 5      12     4           0.53
   519 H Pine Lake Prep         22- 3      19    10           0.00
   523 H Hickory                20- 3      17     8           0.00
   528 N Bishop McGuinness      10-14      -4    -1    -     -3.22

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 H Bishop McGuinness       4-12      -8     0    --    -4.52
   528 N Bishop McGuinness      10-14      -4    -1    -     -3.22

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 A Northwest Guilford     14-13       1    -3    ++     4.13
   403 H Hough                  17-13       4     2    +      2.40

Lake Norman Charter Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Apex Apex   Apex
Apex Friendship Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Ardrey Kell Lake Norman Charter insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) Lake Norman Charter
Arendell Parrott Academy Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
Asheville HS Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Asheville School Lake Norman Charter tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Lake Norman Charter
Ashley Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
Athens Drive Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
Atkins Lake Norman Charter insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) Lake Norman Charter
Ballantyne Ridge Lake Norman Charter insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Lake Norman Charter
Bishop McGuinness Bishop McGuinness Bishop McGuinness  
Broughton Broughton   Broughton
Butler Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Cannon School Cannon School Cannon School  
Cape Fear Academy Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
Cape Fear HS Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons   Cardinal Gibbons
Carrboro Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
Cary Academy Lake Norman Charter tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lake Norman Charter
Cary HS Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
Chapel Hill Chapel Hill insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Chapel Hill
Charlotte Catholic Charlotte Catholic insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Charlotte Catholic
Charlotte CDS Charlotte CDS Charlotte CDS  
Charlotte Christian Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter  
Charlotte Latin School Charlotte Latin School Charlotte Latin School   4- 1 vs 1- 4
Christ the King Christ the King Christ the King  
Clayton Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
Cleveland Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
Community School Davidso Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter  
Corinth Holders Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
Croatan Croatan   Croatan
Cuthbertson Cuthbertson Cuthbertson   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Davidson Day School Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter  
Davie Lake Norman Charter tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Lake Norman Charter
DH Conley Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
Durham Academy Lake Norman Charter insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Lake Norman Charter
East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) East Chapel Hill
East Forsyth Lake Norman Charter tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lake Norman Charter
Enloe Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
Fayetteville Academy Fayetteville Academy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Fayetteville Academy
Fike Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
First Flight Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
Forsyth CDS Lake Norman Charter insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Lake Norman Charter
Fuquay-Varina Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
Garner Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
Glenn Lake Norman Charter insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Lake Norman Charter
Green Hope Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
Green Level Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
Greensboro Day School Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Grimsley Lake Norman Charter insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Lake Norman Charter
Havelock Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
Heritage Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
Hickory Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter  
High Point Central Lake Norman Charter tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lake Norman Charter
Hoggard Hoggard   Hoggard
Holly Springs Holly Springs tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Holly Springs
Hopewell Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
Hough Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter  
Hunt Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
Independence Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Jack Britt Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
Jacksonville Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
JH Rose JH Rose   JH Rose
Jordan Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS  
Laney Laney   Laney
Leesville Road Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
Lincoln Charter Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter  
Marvin Ridge Marvin Ridge Marvin Ridge  
Middle Creek Middle Creek   Middle Creek
Millbrook Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
Mooresville Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter  
Mount Tabor Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
Myers Park Myers Park insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Myers Park
New Bern New Bern   New Bern
New Hanover New Hanover   New Hanover
North Brunswick Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
North Davidson Lake Norman Charter insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Lake Norman Charter
North Lincoln Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Northern Guilford Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Northside Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
Northwest Guilford Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter  
Northwood Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
Page Lake Norman Charter insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Lake Norman Charter
Panther Creek Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
Parkwood Lake Norman Charter insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Lake Norman Charter
Patton Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Pine Forest Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
Pine Lake Prep Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter  
Pinecrest Pinecrest   Pinecrest
Porter Ridge Lake Norman Charter insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Lake Norman Charter
Providence Lake Norman Charter insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Lake Norman Charter
Providence Day Providence Day Providence Day   6- 0 vs 1- 5
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee Lake Norman Charter insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Lake Norman Charter
Ragsdale Lake Norman Charter insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Lake Norman Charter
Ravenscroft School Lake Norman Charter tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lake Norman Charter
Riverside Durham Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
RJ Reynolds Lake Norman Charter insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 3) Lake Norman Charter
Rolesville Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
Ronald Reagan Lake Norman Charter insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Lake Norman Charter
Sanderson Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
Seaforth Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
South Brunswick Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
South Iredell Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter  
South Mecklenburg Lake Norman Charter insuffient: ( 5- 1)( 4- 2) Lake Norman Charter
Southeast Guilford Lake Norman Charter insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Lake Norman Charter
Southlake Christian Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter  
Southwest Guilford Lake Norman Charter insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Lake Norman Charter
St Davids School Lake Norman Charter insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Lake Norman Charter
St Marys Lake Norman Charter tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lake Norman Charter
St Stephens Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter   4- 1 vs 2- 3
Sun Valley Lake Norman Charter insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Lake Norman Charter
Swansboro Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
TC Roberson Lake Norman Charter insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Lake Norman Charter
Terry Sanford Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
Topsail Topsail   Topsail
Union Pines Union Pines tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Union Pines
Wake Forest Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
Wakefield Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
Watauga Lake Norman Charter insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Lake Norman Charter
Weddington Weddington tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 1) Weddington
West Brunswick Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
West Forsyth Lake Norman Charter insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) Lake Norman Charter
West Stokes Lake Norman Charter tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lake Norman Charter
White Oak Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
Willow Spring Willow Spring   Willow Spring

PowerWise = 95


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.87

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Marvin Ridge    (19- 4, 94.0)     5-14       -5.95      33.86       0.31         0.89            -5.01
   0 H Davidson Day S  ( 9-10, 82.3)    17-10      -17.58      22.23      -0.31         0.89            19.46
   0 A Charlotte Chri  ( 4-11, 84.0)    10- 7      -15.90      23.91       0.31         0.89            21.49
   0 A Northwest Guil  (16- 5, 88.2)    14-13      -11.67      28.14       0.31         0.89            25.25
   0 H Cannon School   (11- 8, 90.0)     5-17       -9.88      29.93      -0.31         0.89            -9.04
   0 H Pine Lake Prep  ( 4-11, 76.1)    21- 6      -23.84      15.97      -0.31         0.89            13.90
   0 A Christ the Kin  ( 4- 2, 87.0)     9-12      -12.89      26.91       0.31         0.89           -11.17
   0 H Hough           (11- 4, 84.1)    17-13      -15.79      24.01      -0.31         0.89            21.04
   0 H Mooresville     ( 5-12, 75.0)    19- 2      -24.90      14.90      -0.31         0.89            12.96
   0 H Bishop McGuinn  (20- 4, 86.2)     4-12      -13.71      26.09      -0.31         0.89           -12.44
   0 A Lake Norman HS  (13- 7, 89.0)     9-19      -10.86      28.94       0.31         0.89            -9.37
   0 A South Iredell   ( 8-12, 77.1)    23- 4      -22.84      16.97       0.31         0.89            15.33
   0 A Lincoln Charte  ( 0-12, 71.6)    22- 1      -28.26      11.55       0.31         0.89            10.52
   0 A Southlake Chri  ( 8- 5, 79.7)    16- 4      -20.22      19.59       0.31         0.89            17.66
   0 A Charlotte CDS   (15- 5, 94.3)     6-18       -5.62      34.18       0.31         0.89            -4.72
   0 H Community Scho  (11- 7, 81.2)    17- 5      -18.66      21.14      -0.31         0.89            18.50
   0 H Pine Lake Prep  ( 4-11, 76.1)    22- 3      -23.84      15.97      -0.31         0.89            13.90
   0 H Hickory         (12- 6, 77.5)    20- 3      -22.41      17.40      -0.31         0.89            15.17
   0 N Bishop McGuinn  (20- 4, 86.2)    10-14      -13.71      26.09      -0.00         0.89           -12.17
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       141.27

winning pts = 205.1922 losing points = -63.9250

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------