---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:46 PDT

safe3step girls Cape Elizabeth 1
  
Cape Elizabeth        
W-L: ( 8- 9) PR = 94.4822

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 417 H North Yarmouth Academy ( 7- 8, 93.7) 5- 8 419 A Gorham (10- 5, 95.0) 9-14 429 H Kennebunk (16- 0, 99.9) 1-15 502 A Yarmouth ( 9- 7, 95.0) 16-13 505 A Marshwood (11- 5, 96.3) 7-17 508 A Greely ( 9- 8, 95.2) 7-10 510 H Thornton Academy ( 9- 7, 95.7) 16-15 513 H Massabesic ( 8- 7, 93.9) 11-12 516 A York ( 6-10, 93.5) 9- 6 520 A Freeport (16- 0, 98.4) 9-16 523 H Lewiston ( 1-13, 86.7) 11- 1 528 H Yarmouth ( 9- 7, 95.0) 6-14 530 A Scarborough ( 7- 8, 93.2) 10- 5 604 H St Dominic Academy ( 1-12, 82.8) 15- 5 611 A Gorham (10- 5, 95.0) 17-11 613 A Cheverus (12- 5, 95.0) 11-10 618 A Kennebunk (16- 0, 99.9) 6-12

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 H North Yarmouth Academy  5- 8      -3     1    --    -4.33
   419 A Gorham                  9-14      -5    -1    -     -3.97
   429 H Kennebunk               1-15     -14    -5          -0.10
   502 A Yarmouth               16-13       3    -1    ++     4.00
   505 A Marshwood               7-17     -10    -2    -     -2.71
   508 A Greely                  7-10      -3    -1          -1.75
   510 H Thornton Academy       16-15       1    -1           1.75
   513 H Massabesic             11-12      -1     1    -     -2.06
   516 A York                    9- 6       3     0    +      2.54
   520 A Freeport                9-16      -7    -4          -0.61
   523 H Lewiston               11- 1      10     8           0.00
   528 H Yarmouth                6-14      -8     0    --    -5.03
   530 A Scarborough            10- 5       5     1    ++     4.20
   604 H St Dominic Academy     15- 5      10    12           0.00
   611 A Gorham                 17-11       6    -1    +++    6.03
   613 A Cheverus               11-10       1    -1    +      2.03
   618 A Kennebunk               6-12      -6    -6           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 H North Yarmouth Academy  5- 8      -3     1    --    -4.33
   528 H Yarmouth                6-14      -8     0    --    -5.03
   419 A Gorham                  9-14      -5    -1    -     -3.97
   505 A Marshwood               7-17     -10    -2    -     -2.71
   513 H Massabesic             11-12      -1     1    -     -2.06

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   611 A Gorham                 17-11       6    -1    +++    6.03
   502 A Yarmouth               16-13       3    -1    ++     4.00
   530 A Scarborough            10- 5       5     1    ++     4.20
   516 A York                    9- 6       3     0    +      2.54
   613 A Cheverus               11-10       1    -1    +      2.03

Cape Elizabeth Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Bangor Cape Elizabeth insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Cape Elizabeth
Biddeford Cape Elizabeth Cape Elizabeth   2- 4 vs 0- 5
Bonny Eagle Cape Elizabeth Cape Elizabeth   2- 2 vs 0- 3
Brewer/Hampden Cape Elizabeth   Cape Elizabeth
Brunswick Cape Elizabeth Cape Elizabeth   4- 2 vs 1- 4
Camden Hills Regional Cape Elizabeth tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Cape Elizabeth
Cheverus Cape Elizabeth Cape Elizabeth  
Cony Cape Elizabeth tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Cape Elizabeth
Deering Cape Elizabeth insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Cape Elizabeth
Edward Little Cape Elizabeth Cape Elizabeth   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Erskine Academy Cape Elizabeth tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Cape Elizabeth
Falmouth Falmouth tied - ( 6- 6) ( 6- 4) Falmouth
Freeport Freeport Freeport  
Fryeburg Academy Cape Elizabeth tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Cape Elizabeth
Gardiner-Hall-Dale Cape Elizabeth insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Cape Elizabeth
Gorham Gorham tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) Gorham
Gray-New Gloucester/Pola Cape Elizabeth insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Cape Elizabeth
Greely Greely Greely  
Houlton Cape Elizabeth   Cape Elizabeth
Kennebunk Kennebunk Kennebunk  
Lake Region Cape Elizabeth Cape Elizabeth   3- 3 vs 1- 4
Lewiston Cape Elizabeth Cape Elizabeth  
Lincoln Academy Cape Elizabeth   Cape Elizabeth
Maranacook/Winthrop Maranacook/Winthrop insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Maranacook/Winthrop
Marshwood Marshwood Marshwood  
Massabesic Massabesic Massabesic  
MCI/Nokomis Cape Elizabeth   Cape Elizabeth
Messalonskee Cape Elizabeth tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Cape Elizabeth
Morse-Boothbay Cape Elizabeth   Cape Elizabeth
Mount Ararat Mount Ararat tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Mount Ararat
Mount Blue Cape Elizabeth tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Cape Elizabeth
Noble Cape Elizabeth Cape Elizabeth   2- 2 vs 0- 3
North Yarmouth Academy North Yarmouth Academy North Yarmouth Academy  
Oceanside Cape Elizabeth   Cape Elizabeth
Oxford Hills Comp Cape Elizabeth Cape Elizabeth   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Portland Cape Elizabeth Cape Elizabeth   5- 4 vs 1- 7
Sanford Cape Elizabeth Cape Elizabeth   2- 1 vs 0- 2
Scarborough Cape Elizabeth Cape Elizabeth  
South Portland Cape Elizabeth Cape Elizabeth   2- 3 vs 0- 5
St Dominic Academy Cape Elizabeth Cape Elizabeth  
Thornton Academy Cape Elizabeth Cape Elizabeth  
Traip Academy Cape Elizabeth tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Cape Elizabeth
Waynflete School Cape Elizabeth Cape Elizabeth   4- 4 vs 2- 5
Wells Wells tied - ( 3- 3) ( 3- 2) Wells
Westbrook Cape Elizabeth insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Cape Elizabeth
Windham Windham insuffient: ( 5- 4)( 6- 1) Windham
Winslow/Lawrence Cape Elizabeth   Cape Elizabeth
Yarmouth Yarmouth tied - ( 3- 4) ( 3- 4) Yarmouth
York Cape Elizabeth Cape Elizabeth  

PowerWise = 36


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.76

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H North Yarmouth  ( 7- 8, 93.7)     5- 8       -6.23      12.52      -0.51         0.92            -6.22
   0 A Gorham          (10- 5, 95.0)     9-14       -4.90      13.85       0.51         0.92            -4.05
   0 H Kennebunk       (16- 0, 99.9)     1-15       -0.00      18.75      -0.51         0.92            -0.47
   0 A Yarmouth        ( 9- 7, 95.0)    16-13       -4.93      13.82       0.51         0.92            13.22
   0 A Marshwood       (11- 5, 96.3)     7-17       -3.64      15.11       0.51         0.92            -2.88
   0 A Greely          ( 9- 8, 95.2)     7-10       -4.69      14.06       0.51         0.92            -3.85
   0 H Thornton Acade  ( 9- 7, 95.7)    16-15       -4.16      14.59      -0.51         0.92            12.99
   0 H Massabesic      ( 8- 7, 93.9)    11-12       -5.97      12.78      -0.51         0.92            -5.98
   0 A York            ( 6-10, 93.5)     9- 6       -6.39      12.36       0.51         0.92            11.87
   0 A Freeport        (16- 0, 98.4)     9-16       -1.54      17.21       0.51         0.92            -0.95
   0 H Lewiston        ( 1-13, 86.7)    11- 1      -13.22       5.53      -0.51         0.92             4.63
   0 H Yarmouth        ( 9- 7, 95.0)     6-14       -4.93      13.82      -0.51         0.92            -5.02
   0 A Scarborough     ( 7- 8, 93.2)    10- 5       -6.73      12.02       0.51         0.92            11.56
   0 H St Dominic Aca  ( 1-12, 82.8)    15- 5      -17.05       1.69      -0.51         0.92             1.09
   0 A Gorham          (10- 5, 95.0)    17-11       -4.90      13.85       0.51         0.92            13.25
   0 A Cheverus        (12- 5, 95.0)    11-10       -4.90      13.84       0.51         0.92            13.24
   0 A Kennebunk       (16- 0, 99.9)     6-12       -0.00      18.75       0.51         0.92            -0.47
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        51.95

winning pts = 81.8463 losing points = -29.8981

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------