Lincoln Academy
W-L: (10- 4) PR = 92.5092Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 417 A Morse-Boothbay ( 8- 7, 90.7) 6- 2 422 H Mount Blue ( 7- 8, 88.5) 17- 6 426 A Houlton ( 4- 8, 85.6) 9- 2 429 H Camden Hills Regional (12- 5, 92.5) 7- 4 509 A Erskine Academy ( 8- 7, 90.0) 6- 8 516 H Mount Ararat (16- 0, 96.3) 5-12 519 H Messalonskee ( 8- 8, 90.4) 10- 4 520 A Cony (11- 4, 92.2) 10- 3 522 A Gardiner-Hall-Dale ( 9- 6, 91.0) 10-12 527 H MCI/Nokomis ( 1-12, 81.1) 17- 1 529 A Brewer/Hampden ( 3-12, 85.5) 16- 5 603 H Erskine Academy ( 8- 7, 90.0) 9- 6 612 H Morse-Boothbay ( 8- 7, 90.7) 10- 9 617 H Maranacook/Winthrop (11- 4, 94.7) 5-12
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
417 A Morse-Boothbay 6- 2 4 1 + 2.68
422 H Mount Blue 17- 6 11 4 0.52
426 A Houlton 9- 2 7 6 0.00
429 H Camden Hills Regional 7- 4 3 0 + 2.52
509 A Erskine Academy 6- 8 -2 2 - -3.96
516 H Mount Ararat 5-12 -7 -3 -1.76
519 H Messalonskee 10- 4 6 3 + 2.34
520 A Cony 10- 3 7 0 ++ 5.25
522 A Gardiner-Hall-Dale 10-12 -2 1 - -2.97
527 H MCI/Nokomis 17- 1 16 12 0.00
529 A Brewer/Hampden 16- 5 11 7 0.00
603 H Erskine Academy 9- 6 3 3 0.02
612 H Morse-Boothbay 10- 9 1 2 -1.35
617 H Maranacook/Winthrop 5-12 -7 -2 - -3.27
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 509 A Erskine Academy 6- 8 -2 2 - -3.96 522 A Gardiner-Hall-Dale 10-12 -2 1 - -2.97 617 H Maranacook/Winthrop 5-12 -7 -2 - -3.27 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 520 A Cony 10- 3 7 0 ++ 5.25 417 A Morse-Boothbay 6- 2 4 1 + 2.68 429 H Camden Hills Regional 7- 4 3 0 + 2.52 519 H Messalonskee 10- 4 6 3 + 2.34 |
Lincoln Academy Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bangor | Lincoln Academy | Lincoln Academy 7- 1 vs 4- 4 | ||
| Biddeford | Lincoln Academy | Lincoln Academy | ||
| Bonny Eagle | Lincoln Academy | Lincoln Academy | ||
| Brewer/Hampden | Lincoln Academy | Lincoln Academy | ||
| Brunswick | Lincoln Academy | Lincoln Academy 4- 3 vs 2- 5 | ||
| Camden Hills Regional | Lincoln Academy | Lincoln Academy | ||
| Cape Elizabeth | Cape Elizabeth | Cape Elizabeth | ||
| Cheverus | Cheverus | Cheverus | ||
| Cony | Lincoln Academy | Lincoln Academy | ||
| Deering | Lincoln Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Lincoln Academy | |
| Edward Little | Lincoln Academy | Lincoln Academy 5- 1 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Erskine Academy | Lincoln Academy | Lincoln Academy 6- 2 vs 3- 5 | ||
| Falmouth | Falmouth | Falmouth | ||
| Freeport | Freeport | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Freeport | |
| Fryeburg Academy | Lincoln Academy | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Lincoln Academy | |
| Gardiner-Hall-Dale | Gardiner-Hall-Dale | Gardiner-Hall-Dale | ||
| Gorham | Gorham | Gorham | ||
| Gray-New Gloucester/Pola | Lincoln Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Lincoln Academy | |
| Greely | Greely | Greely 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Houlton | Lincoln Academy | Lincoln Academy | ||
| Kennebunk | Kennebunk | Kennebunk | ||
| Lake Region | Lincoln Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Lincoln Academy | |
| Lewiston | Lincoln Academy | Lincoln Academy 4- 2 vs 0- 6 | ||
| Maranacook/Winthrop | Maranacook/Winthrop | Maranacook/Winthrop | ||
| Marshwood | Marshwood | Marshwood | ||
| Massabesic | Massabesic | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Massabesic | |
| MCI/Nokomis | Lincoln Academy | Lincoln Academy | ||
| Messalonskee | Lincoln Academy | Lincoln Academy | ||
| Morse-Boothbay | Lincoln Academy | Lincoln Academy | ||
| Mount Ararat | Mount Ararat | Mount Ararat | ||
| Mount Blue | Lincoln Academy | Lincoln Academy | ||
| Noble | Lincoln Academy | Lincoln Academy | ||
| North Yarmouth Academy | North Yarmouth Academy | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | North Yarmouth Academy | |
| Oceanside | Lincoln Academy | Lincoln Academy | ||
| Oxford Hills Comp | Lincoln Academy | Lincoln Academy 4- 2 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Portland | Lincoln Academy | Lincoln Academy | ||
| Sanford | Sanford | Sanford | ||
| Scarborough | Scarborough | Scarborough | ||
| South Portland | Lincoln Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Lincoln Academy | |
| St Dominic Academy | Lincoln Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Lincoln Academy | |
| Thornton Academy | Thornton Academy | Thornton Academy | ||
| Traip Academy | Traip Academy | Traip Academy | ||
| Waynflete School | Waynflete School | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Waynflete School | |
| Wells | Wells | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Wells | |
| Westbrook | Lincoln Academy | Lincoln Academy | ||
| Windham | Windham | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Windham | |
| Winslow/Lawrence | Lincoln Academy | Lincoln Academy 8- 2 vs 0- 9 | ||
| Yarmouth | Yarmouth | Yarmouth | ||
| York | York | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | York |
PowerWise = 27
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.76
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Morse-Boothbay ( 8- 7, 90.7) 6- 2 -9.23 9.52 0.51 1.14 11.39
0 H Mount Blue ( 7- 8, 88.5) 17- 6 -11.36 7.38 -0.51 1.14 7.80
0 A Houlton ( 4- 8, 85.6) 9- 2 -14.26 4.49 0.51 1.14 5.68
0 H Camden Hills R (12- 5, 92.5) 7- 4 -7.36 11.39 -0.51 1.14 12.35
0 A Erskine Academ ( 8- 7, 90.0) 6- 8 -9.86 8.89 0.51 1.14 -10.61
0 H Mount Ararat (16- 0, 96.3) 5-12 -3.64 15.11 -0.51 1.14 -4.72
0 H Messalonskee ( 8- 8, 90.4) 10- 4 -9.53 9.21 -0.51 1.14 9.88
0 A Cony (11- 4, 92.2) 10- 3 -7.66 11.09 0.51 1.14 13.17
0 A Gardiner-Hall- ( 9- 6, 91.0) 10-12 -8.87 9.87 0.51 1.14 -9.49
0 H MCI/Nokomis ( 1-12, 81.1) 17- 1 -18.75 1.00 -0.51 1.14 0.55
0 A Brewer/Hampden ( 3-12, 85.5) 16- 5 -14.41 4.34 0.51 1.14 5.51
0 H Erskine Academ ( 8- 7, 90.0) 9- 6 -9.86 8.89 -0.51 1.14 9.50
0 H Morse-Boothbay ( 8- 7, 90.7) 10- 9 -9.23 9.52 -0.51 1.14 10.22
0 H Maranacook/Win (11- 4, 94.7) 5-12 -5.15 13.60 -0.51 1.14 -6.43
------
54.80
|
winning pts = 86.0578 losing points = -31.2557
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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