Lake Fenton
W-L: ( 4- 8) PR = 78.4336
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
321 A Fenton-Linden Co-Op (11- 9, 82.6) 1- 7
325 A Flushing ( 5-11, 77.4) 8- 9
408 H Holly-Brandon Co-Op ( 3-12, 75.8) 11- 3
411 H Swartz Creek (16- 6, 85.0) 2- 9
418 A Fenton-Linden Co-Op (11- 9, 82.6) 4- 5
422 H Flushing ( 5-11, 77.4) 17- 5
425 A Holly-Brandon Co-Op ( 3-12, 75.8) 6- 0
429 A Swartz Creek (16- 6, 85.0) 4-10
501 A Tecumseh ( 5-11, 79.6) 6-11
506 A Holly-Brandon Co-Op ( 3-12, 75.8) 11- 9
512 A Lapeer ( 1- 8, 75.7) 6-16
515 A Saginaw Heritage (14- 2, 87.7) 1-17
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
321 A Fenton-Linden Co-Op 1- 7 -6 -5 -0.26
325 A Flushing 8- 9 -1 0 -1.38
408 H Holly-Brandon Co-Op 11- 3 8 3 1.79
411 H Swartz Creek 2- 9 -7 -6 0.00
418 A Fenton-Linden Co-Op 4- 5 -1 -5 + 3.74
422 H Flushing 17- 5 12 2 + 3.38
425 A Holly-Brandon Co-Op 6- 0 6 2 + 3.03
429 A Swartz Creek 4-10 -6 -7 0.00
501 A Tecumseh 6-11 -5 -2 - -3.20
506 A Holly-Brandon Co-Op 11- 9 2 2 0.03
512 A Lapeer 6-16 -10 2 --- -7.16
515 A Saginaw Heritage 1-17 -16 -10 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
512 A Lapeer 6-16 -10 2 --- -7.16
501 A Tecumseh 6-11 -5 -2 - -3.20
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
418 A Fenton-Linden Co-Op 4- 5 -1 -5 + 3.74
422 H Flushing 17- 5 12 2 + 3.38
425 A Holly-Brandon Co-Op 6- 0 6 2 + 3.03
|
Lake Fenton Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
Ann Arbor Father Gabriel |
Ann Arbor Father Gabriel |
|
 
| Ann Arbor Father Gabriel |
Ann Arbor Huron |
Ann Arbor Huron |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Ann Arbor Huron |
Ann Arbor Pioneer |
Ann Arbor Pioneer |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Ann Arbor Pioneer |
Ann Arbor Skyline |
Ann Arbor Skyline |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Ann Arbor Skyline |
Avondale |
Lake Fenton |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Lake Fenton |
Battle Creek Harper Cree |
Battle Creek Harper Cree |
|
 
| Battle Creek Harper Cree |
Bedford |
Lake Fenton |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Lake Fenton |
Birmingham Unified |
Birmingham Unified |
|
 
| Birmingham Unified |
Bloomfield Hills |
Bloomfield Hills |
|
 
| Bloomfield Hills |
Brighton |
Brighton |
|
 
| Brighton |
Brighton B |
Brighton B |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Brighton B |
Byron Center |
Byron Center |
|
 
| Byron Center |
Caledonia |
Caledonia |
|
 
| Caledonia |
Canton |
Canton |
|
 
| Canton |
Cass Tech |
Lake Fenton |
|
 
| Lake Fenton |
Catholic Central |
Catholic Central |
|
 
| Catholic Central |
Chippewa Valley |
Chippewa Valley |
|
 
| Chippewa Valley |
Clarkston |
Clarkston |
|
 
| Clarkston |
Comstock Park |
Comstock Park |
|
 
| Comstock Park |
Cranbrook Kingswood |
Cranbrook Kingswood |
|
 
| Cranbrook Kingswood |
Davison |
Lake Fenton |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 1- 4) |
Lake Fenton |
Detroit Country Day |
Detroit Country Day |
|
 
| Detroit Country Day |
DeWitt |
DeWitt |
|
tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 1) |
DeWitt |
Dexter |
Dexter |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) |
Dexter |
Divine Child |
Divine Child |
|
 
| Divine Child |
East Grand Rapids |
East Grand Rapids |
|
 
| East Grand Rapids |
East Lansing |
East Lansing |
|
tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) |
East Lansing |
Farmington |
Farmington |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Farmington |
Fenton-Linden Co-Op |
Fenton-Linden Co-Op |
Fenton-Linden Co-Op |
 
| |
Flint Powers Catholic |
Flint Powers Catholic |
|
tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 2) |
Flint Powers Catholic |
Flushing |
Lake Fenton |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) |
Lake Fenton |
Forest Hills Central |
Forest Hills Central |
|
 
| Forest Hills Central |
Forest Hills Northern/Ea |
Forest Hills Northern/Ea |
|
 
| Forest Hills Northern/Ea |
Grand Blanc |
Grand Blanc |
|
tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) |
Grand Blanc |
Grand Haven |
Grand Haven |
|
 
| Grand Haven |
Grand Ledge |
Grand Ledge |
|
Grand Ledge   3- 0 vs 1- 3 |
|
Grand Rapids Christian |
Grand Rapids Christian |
|
 
| Grand Rapids Christian |
Grandville |
Grandville |
|
 
| Grandville |
Grosse Pointe North |
Grosse Pointe North |
|
 
| Grosse Pointe North |
Grosse Pointe South |
Grosse Pointe South |
|
 
| Grosse Pointe South |
Hartland |
Hartland |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Hartland |
Haslett |
Haslett |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Haslett |
Henry Ford II |
Lake Fenton |
|
 
| Lake Fenton |
Holland West Ottawa |
Holland West Ottawa |
|
 
| Holland West Ottawa |
Holly-Brandon Co-Op |
Lake Fenton |
Lake Fenton |
 
| |
Holt |
Holt |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Holt |
Howell |
Howell |
|
tied - ( 1- 4) ( 1- 3) |
Howell |
Hudsonville |
Hudsonville |
|
 
| Hudsonville |
Jenison |
Lake Fenton |
|
 
| Lake Fenton |
Kalamazoo Central |
Lake Fenton |
|
 
| Lake Fenton |
Lake Orion |
Lake Orion |
|
 
| Lake Orion |
Lakeview |
Lake Fenton |
|
 
| Lake Fenton |
Lansing Catholic-Waverly |
Lansing Catholic-Waverly |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) |
Lansing Catholic-Waverly |
Lapeer |
Lapeer |
Lapeer |
 
| |
Livonia United |
Livonia United |
|
 
| Livonia United |
Lowell |
Lowell |
|
 
| Lowell |
Marian |
Marian |
|
 
| Marian |
Mattawan |
Mattawan |
|
 
| Mattawan |
Mercy |
Mercy |
|
 
| Mercy |
Midland |
Midland |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) |
Midland |
Mona Shores |
Mona Shores |
|
 
| Mona Shores |
Northview |
Northview |
|
 
| Northview |
Northville |
Northville |
|
 
| Northville |
Notre Dame Prep |
Notre Dame Prep |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Notre Dame Prep |
Novi |
Novi |
|
 
| Novi |
Okemos |
Okemos |
|
 
| Okemos |
Oxford |
Oxford |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Oxford |
Plymouth |
Plymouth |
|
 
| Plymouth |
Portage Northern |
Portage Northern |
|
 
| Portage Northern |
Reeths-Puffer |
Reeths-Puffer |
|
 
| Reeths-Puffer |
Rochester Adams |
Rochester Adams |
|
 
| Rochester Adams |
Rochester HS |
Rochester HS |
|
tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 0) |
Rochester HS |
Rochester Stoney Creek |
Rochester Stoney Creek |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Rochester Stoney Creek |
Rockford |
Rockford |
|
 
| Rockford |
Royal Oak |
Royal Oak |
|
 
| Royal Oak |
Sacred Heart Academy |
Sacred Heart Academy |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Sacred Heart Academy |
Saginaw Heritage |
Saginaw Heritage |
Saginaw Heritage |
 
| |
Salem |
Salem |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Salem |
Saline |
Saline |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Saline |
South Lyon United |
South Lyon United |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
South Lyon United |
Spring Lake |
Spring Lake |
|
 
| Spring Lake |
St Catherine of Siena |
Lake Fenton |
|
 
| Lake Fenton |
St Johns/Ovid-Elsie |
St Johns/Ovid-Elsie |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) |
St Johns/Ovid-Elsie |
Swartz Creek |
Swartz Creek |
Swartz Creek |
 
| |
Tecumseh |
Tecumseh |
Tecumseh |
 
| |
Traverse City Central |
Traverse City Central |
|
 
| Traverse City Central |
Troy |
Troy |
|
 
| Troy |
Troy Athens |
Troy Athens |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Troy Athens |
University Liggett |
University Liggett |
|
 
| University Liggett |
Utica Eisenhower |
Utica Eisenhower |
|
 
| Utica Eisenhower |
Walled Lake Northern |
Lake Fenton |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Lake Fenton |
Warren Regina |
Warren Regina |
|
 
| Warren Regina |
Waterford United |
Lake Fenton |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Lake Fenton |
West Bloomfield |
West Bloomfield |
|
 
| West Bloomfield |
White Lake Lakeland |
White Lake Lakeland |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
White Lake Lakeland |
Zeeland East |
Zeeland East |
|
 
| Zeeland East |
PowerWise = 13

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.08
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Fenton-Linden (11- 9, 82.6) 1- 7 -17.34 11.85 0.62 1.34 -22.41
0 A Flushing ( 5-11, 77.4) 8- 9 -22.46 6.73 0.62 1.34 -29.27
0 H Holly-Brandon ( 3-12, 75.8) 11- 3 -24.06 5.13 -0.62 1.34 6.05
0 H Swartz Creek (16- 6, 85.0) 2- 9 -14.88 14.31 -0.62 1.34 -20.77
0 A Fenton-Linden (11- 9, 82.6) 4- 5 -17.34 11.85 0.62 1.34 -22.41
0 H Flushing ( 5-11, 77.4) 17- 5 -22.46 6.73 -0.62 1.34 8.19
0 A Holly-Brandon ( 3-12, 75.8) 6- 0 -24.06 5.13 0.62 1.34 7.71
0 A Swartz Creek (16- 6, 85.0) 4-10 -14.88 14.31 0.62 1.34 -19.11
0 A Tecumseh ( 5-11, 79.6) 6-11 -20.28 8.91 0.62 1.34 -26.35
0 A Holly-Brandon ( 3-12, 75.8) 11- 9 -24.06 5.13 0.62 1.34 7.71
0 A Lapeer ( 1- 8, 75.7) 6-16 -24.24 4.95 0.62 1.34 -31.66
0 A Saginaw Herita (14- 2, 87.7) 1-17 -12.16 17.03 0.62 1.34 -15.46
------
-157.79
|
winning pts = 29.6615 losing points = -187.4534
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------