---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 22:50 PDT

safe3step girls Lake Fenton 1
  
Lake Fenton           
W-L: ( 4- 8) PR = 78.4336

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 321 A Fenton-Linden Co-Op (11- 9, 82.6) 1- 7 325 A Flushing ( 5-11, 77.4) 8- 9 408 H Holly-Brandon Co-Op ( 3-12, 75.8) 11- 3 411 H Swartz Creek (16- 6, 85.0) 2- 9 418 A Fenton-Linden Co-Op (11- 9, 82.6) 4- 5 422 H Flushing ( 5-11, 77.4) 17- 5 425 A Holly-Brandon Co-Op ( 3-12, 75.8) 6- 0 429 A Swartz Creek (16- 6, 85.0) 4-10 501 A Tecumseh ( 5-11, 79.6) 6-11 506 A Holly-Brandon Co-Op ( 3-12, 75.8) 11- 9 512 A Lapeer ( 1- 8, 75.7) 6-16 515 A Saginaw Heritage (14- 2, 87.7) 1-17

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 A Fenton-Linden Co-Op     1- 7      -6    -5          -0.26
   325 A Flushing                8- 9      -1     0          -1.38
   408 H Holly-Brandon Co-Op    11- 3       8     3           1.79
   411 H Swartz Creek            2- 9      -7    -6           0.00
   418 A Fenton-Linden Co-Op     4- 5      -1    -5    +      3.74
   422 H Flushing               17- 5      12     2    +      3.38
   425 A Holly-Brandon Co-Op     6- 0       6     2    +      3.03
   429 A Swartz Creek            4-10      -6    -7           0.00
   501 A Tecumseh                6-11      -5    -2    -     -3.20
   506 A Holly-Brandon Co-Op    11- 9       2     2           0.03
   512 A Lapeer                  6-16     -10     2    ---   -7.16
   515 A Saginaw Heritage        1-17     -16   -10           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   512 A Lapeer                  6-16     -10     2    ---   -7.16
   501 A Tecumseh                6-11      -5    -2    -     -3.20

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 A Fenton-Linden Co-Op     4- 5      -1    -5    +      3.74
   422 H Flushing               17- 5      12     2    +      3.38
   425 A Holly-Brandon Co-Op     6- 0       6     2    +      3.03

Lake Fenton Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Ann Arbor Father Gabriel Ann Arbor Father Gabriel   Ann Arbor Father Gabriel
Ann Arbor Huron Ann Arbor Huron insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Ann Arbor Huron
Ann Arbor Pioneer Ann Arbor Pioneer insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Ann Arbor Pioneer
Ann Arbor Skyline Ann Arbor Skyline insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Ann Arbor Skyline
Avondale Lake Fenton insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Lake Fenton
Battle Creek Harper Cree Battle Creek Harper Cree   Battle Creek Harper Cree
Bedford Lake Fenton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lake Fenton
Birmingham Unified Birmingham Unified   Birmingham Unified
Bloomfield Hills Bloomfield Hills   Bloomfield Hills
Brighton Brighton   Brighton
Brighton B Brighton B insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Brighton B
Byron Center Byron Center   Byron Center
Caledonia Caledonia   Caledonia
Canton Canton   Canton
Cass Tech Lake Fenton   Lake Fenton
Catholic Central Catholic Central   Catholic Central
Chippewa Valley Chippewa Valley   Chippewa Valley
Clarkston Clarkston   Clarkston
Comstock Park Comstock Park   Comstock Park
Cranbrook Kingswood Cranbrook Kingswood   Cranbrook Kingswood
Davison Lake Fenton insuffient: ( 2- 4)( 1- 4) Lake Fenton
Detroit Country Day Detroit Country Day   Detroit Country Day
DeWitt DeWitt tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 1) DeWitt
Dexter Dexter insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Dexter
Divine Child Divine Child   Divine Child
East Grand Rapids East Grand Rapids   East Grand Rapids
East Lansing East Lansing tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) East Lansing
Farmington Farmington insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Farmington
Fenton-Linden Co-Op Fenton-Linden Co-Op Fenton-Linden Co-Op  
Flint Powers Catholic Flint Powers Catholic tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 2) Flint Powers Catholic
Flushing Lake Fenton insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) Lake Fenton
Forest Hills Central Forest Hills Central   Forest Hills Central
Forest Hills Northern/Ea Forest Hills Northern/Ea   Forest Hills Northern/Ea
Grand Blanc Grand Blanc tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Grand Blanc
Grand Haven Grand Haven   Grand Haven
Grand Ledge Grand Ledge Grand Ledge   3- 0 vs 1- 3
Grand Rapids Christian Grand Rapids Christian   Grand Rapids Christian
Grandville Grandville   Grandville
Grosse Pointe North Grosse Pointe North   Grosse Pointe North
Grosse Pointe South Grosse Pointe South   Grosse Pointe South
Hartland Hartland insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Hartland
Haslett Haslett insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Haslett
Henry Ford II Lake Fenton   Lake Fenton
Holland West Ottawa Holland West Ottawa   Holland West Ottawa
Holly-Brandon Co-Op Lake Fenton Lake Fenton  
Holt Holt insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Holt
Howell Howell tied - ( 1- 4) ( 1- 3) Howell
Hudsonville Hudsonville   Hudsonville
Jenison Lake Fenton   Lake Fenton
Kalamazoo Central Lake Fenton   Lake Fenton
Lake Orion Lake Orion   Lake Orion
Lakeview Lake Fenton   Lake Fenton
Lansing Catholic-Waverly Lansing Catholic-Waverly insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Lansing Catholic-Waverly
Lapeer Lapeer Lapeer  
Livonia United Livonia United   Livonia United
Lowell Lowell   Lowell
Marian Marian   Marian
Mattawan Mattawan   Mattawan
Mercy Mercy   Mercy
Midland Midland insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Midland
Mona Shores Mona Shores   Mona Shores
Northview Northview   Northview
Northville Northville   Northville
Notre Dame Prep Notre Dame Prep tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Notre Dame Prep
Novi Novi   Novi
Okemos Okemos   Okemos
Oxford Oxford tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Oxford
Plymouth Plymouth   Plymouth
Portage Northern Portage Northern   Portage Northern
Reeths-Puffer Reeths-Puffer   Reeths-Puffer
Rochester Adams Rochester Adams   Rochester Adams
Rochester HS Rochester HS tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 0) Rochester HS
Rochester Stoney Creek Rochester Stoney Creek insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Rochester Stoney Creek
Rockford Rockford   Rockford
Royal Oak Royal Oak   Royal Oak
Sacred Heart Academy Sacred Heart Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Sacred Heart Academy
Saginaw Heritage Saginaw Heritage Saginaw Heritage  
Salem Salem insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Salem
Saline Saline insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Saline
South Lyon United South Lyon United insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) South Lyon United
Spring Lake Spring Lake   Spring Lake
St Catherine of Siena Lake Fenton   Lake Fenton
St Johns/Ovid-Elsie St Johns/Ovid-Elsie insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) St Johns/Ovid-Elsie
Swartz Creek Swartz Creek Swartz Creek  
Tecumseh Tecumseh Tecumseh  
Traverse City Central Traverse City Central   Traverse City Central
Troy Troy   Troy
Troy Athens Troy Athens tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Troy Athens
University Liggett University Liggett   University Liggett
Utica Eisenhower Utica Eisenhower   Utica Eisenhower
Walled Lake Northern Lake Fenton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lake Fenton
Warren Regina Warren Regina   Warren Regina
Waterford United Lake Fenton insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Lake Fenton
West Bloomfield West Bloomfield   West Bloomfield
White Lake Lakeland White Lake Lakeland insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) White Lake Lakeland
Zeeland East Zeeland East   Zeeland East

PowerWise = 13


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.08

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Fenton-Linden   (11- 9, 82.6)     1- 7      -17.34      11.85       0.62         1.34           -22.41
   0 A Flushing        ( 5-11, 77.4)     8- 9      -22.46       6.73       0.62         1.34           -29.27
   0 H Holly-Brandon   ( 3-12, 75.8)    11- 3      -24.06       5.13      -0.62         1.34             6.05
   0 H Swartz Creek    (16- 6, 85.0)     2- 9      -14.88      14.31      -0.62         1.34           -20.77
   0 A Fenton-Linden   (11- 9, 82.6)     4- 5      -17.34      11.85       0.62         1.34           -22.41
   0 H Flushing        ( 5-11, 77.4)    17- 5      -22.46       6.73      -0.62         1.34             8.19
   0 A Holly-Brandon   ( 3-12, 75.8)     6- 0      -24.06       5.13       0.62         1.34             7.71
   0 A Swartz Creek    (16- 6, 85.0)     4-10      -14.88      14.31       0.62         1.34           -19.11
   0 A Tecumseh        ( 5-11, 79.6)     6-11      -20.28       8.91       0.62         1.34           -26.35
   0 A Holly-Brandon   ( 3-12, 75.8)    11- 9      -24.06       5.13       0.62         1.34             7.71
   0 A Lapeer          ( 1- 8, 75.7)     6-16      -24.24       4.95       0.62         1.34           -31.66
   0 A Saginaw Herita  (14- 2, 87.7)     1-17      -12.16      17.03       0.62         1.34           -15.46
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -157.79

winning pts = 29.6615 losing points = -187.4534

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------