Lewis Mills
W-L: (14- 5) PR = 79.8649Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 405 A Conard (18- 2, 92.3) 2-19 409 A Middletown-Coginchaug ( 6-11, 72.9) 12- 2 411 A Wethersfield ( 6-10, 75.1) 7- 5 417 A Granby Memorial (14- 6, 81.7) 5-11 422 A Bristol Eastern (14- 4, 77.8) 11- 6 424 H Tolland (14- 4, 81.2) 5- 9 425 H EO Smith (10- 8, 76.7) 7- 4 428 A Windsor ( 0-16, 67.2) 18- 0 430 H Newington ( 7-11, 77.8) 7- 6 503 A Hamden ( 6-10, 77.9) 11- 7 506 H Bristol Eastern (14- 4, 77.8) 14- 4 515 A Hall (11- 5, 82.9) 6-10 516 H Bristol Central ( 4-12, 69.1) 16- 1 519 H Wethersfield ( 6-10, 75.1) 16- 2 521 A Enfield ( 5-10, 73.2) 9- 2 523 H Middletown-Coginchaug ( 6-11, 72.9) 13- 3 527 H Middletown-Coginchaug ( 6-11, 72.9) 13- 5 603 H North Branford ( 8-10, 76.6) 15- 8 606 A Somers (13- 7, 81.3) 13-14
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
405 A Conard 2-19 -17 -13 0.00
409 A Middletown-Coginchaug 12- 2 10 6 0.00
411 A Wethersfield 7- 5 2 4 - -2.06
417 A Granby Memorial 5-11 -6 -3 - -2.44
422 A Bristol Eastern 11- 6 5 1 + 3.71
424 H Tolland 5- 9 -4 -1 - -3.40
425 H EO Smith 7- 4 3 4 -0.89
428 A Windsor 18- 0 18 12 0.00
430 H Newington 7- 6 1 3 -1.82
503 A Hamden 11- 7 4 1 + 2.74
506 H Bristol Eastern 14- 4 10 3 + 2.25
515 A Hall 6-10 -4 -4 -0.23
516 H Bristol Central 16- 1 15 11 0.00
519 H Wethersfield 16- 2 14 6 0.00
521 A Enfield 9- 2 7 6 0.00
523 H Middletown-Coginchaug 13- 3 10 8 0.00
527 H Middletown-Coginchaug 13- 5 8 8 0.00
603 H North Branford 15- 8 7 4 0.99
606 A Somers 13-14 -1 -2 1.13
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 411 A Wethersfield 7- 5 2 4 - -2.06 417 A Granby Memorial 5-11 -6 -3 - -2.44 424 H Tolland 5- 9 -4 -1 - -3.40 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 422 A Bristol Eastern 11- 6 5 1 + 3.71 503 A Hamden 11- 7 4 1 + 2.74 506 H Bristol Eastern 14- 4 10 3 + 2.25 |
Lewis Mills Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amity Regional | Amity Regional | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Amity Regional | |
| Avon HS | Lewis Mills | tied - ( 0- 4) ( 0- 4) | Lewis Mills | |
| Bacon/East Hampton | Lewis Mills | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Lewis Mills | |
| Berlin | Lewis Mills | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Lewis Mills | |
| Bethel | Bethel | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Bethel | |
| Branford | Branford | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Branford | |
| Brien McMahon | Brien McMahon | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Brien McMahon | |
| Bristol Central | Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills | ||
| Bristol Eastern | Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills | ||
| Brookfield | Brookfield | Brookfield | ||
| Canton | Lewis Mills | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Lewis Mills | |
| Cheshire HS | Cheshire HS | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Cheshire HS | |
| Conard | Conard | Conard | ||
| Cromwell | Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Danbury | Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills | ||
| Daniel Hand | Daniel Hand | Daniel Hand | ||
| Darien | Darien | Darien | ||
| East Catholic | Lewis Mills | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Lewis Mills | |
| East Lyme | East Lyme | East Lyme | ||
| Ellington | Ellington | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Ellington | |
| Enfield | Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills | ||
| EO Smith | Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills | ||
| Fairfield Ludlowe | Fairfield Ludlowe | Fairfield Ludlowe | ||
| Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | Fairfield Warde | ||
| Farmington | Farmington | Farmington 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Fitch | Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills | ||
| Foran | Foran | Foran | ||
| Glastonbury | Glastonbury | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Glastonbury | |
| Granby Memorial | Granby Memorial | Granby Memorial | ||
| Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | Greenwich HS | ||
| Griswold-Norwich Tech | Lewis Mills | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Lewis Mills | |
| Guilford | Guilford | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Guilford | |
| Haddam-Killingworth | Lewis Mills | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Lewis Mills | |
| Hall | Hall | Hall | ||
| Hamden | Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills | ||
| Housatonic Regional | Lewis Mills | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Lewis Mills | |
| Immaculate Heart | Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills | ||
| Joel Barlow | Joel Barlow | Joel Barlow | ||
| Jonathan Law | Lewis Mills | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Lewis Mills | |
| Killingly | Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills | ||
| Lakeview United | Lewis Mills | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Lewis Mills | |
| Lauralton Hall | Lauralton Hall | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Lauralton Hall | |
| Ledyard | Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills | ||
| Lyman Hall | Lewis Mills | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Lewis Mills | |
| Masuk | Masuk | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Masuk | |
| Mercy | Lewis Mills | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Lewis Mills | |
| Middletown-Coginchaug | Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills | ||
| Montville | Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills | ||
| Morgan School | Lewis Mills | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Lewis Mills | |
| New Canaan | New Canaan | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | New Canaan | |
| New Fairfield | New Fairfield | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | New Fairfield | |
| New London/St Bernards | Lewis Mills | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Lewis Mills | |
| New Milford | Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills | ||
| Newington | Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills | ||
| Newtown | Newtown | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Newtown | |
| North Branford | Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills | ||
| North Haven | Lewis Mills | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Lewis Mills | |
| Northwest Catholic | Lewis Mills | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | Lewis Mills | |
| Norwalk | Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills | ||
| Norwich Free Academy | Norwich Free Academy | Norwich Free Academy | ||
| Notre Dame Fairfield | Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills | ||
| Old Lyme | Lewis Mills | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Lewis Mills | |
| Old Saybrook | Lewis Mills | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Lewis Mills | |
| Pomperaug | Pomperaug | Pomperaug | ||
| RHAM | Lewis Mills | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Lewis Mills | |
| Ridgefield | Ridgefield | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Ridgefield | |
| Rockville | Lewis Mills | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Lewis Mills | |
| Rocky Hill | Lewis Mills | insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 3) | Lewis Mills | |
| Sacred Heart Academy | Sacred Heart Academy | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) | Sacred Heart Academy | |
| Sheehan | Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Shelton | Lewis Mills | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Lewis Mills | |
| Simsbury | Simsbury | Simsbury 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Somers | Somers | Somers | ||
| South Windsor | Lewis Mills | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) | Lewis Mills | |
| Southington | Southington | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) | Southington | |
| St Joseph | St Joseph | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | St Joseph | |
| St Paul Catholic | Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Stamford | Stamford | Stamford | ||
| Staples | Staples | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Staples | |
| Stonington | Stonington | Stonington | ||
| Stratford-Bunnell | Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills | ||
| Suffield HS | Suffield HS | Suffield HS 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Tolland | Tolland | Tolland | ||
| Trumbull | Trumbull | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Trumbull | |
| Valley Regional | Lewis Mills | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Lewis Mills | |
| Waterford | Waterford | Waterford | ||
| Watertown | Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| West Haven | Lewis Mills | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Lewis Mills | |
| Westhill | Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills | ||
| Weston | Weston | Weston | ||
| Wethersfield | Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills | ||
| Wheeler | Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills | ||
| Wilton | Wilton | Wilton | ||
| Windsor | Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills | ||
| Wolcott | Lewis Mills | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Lewis Mills | |
| Woodstock Academy | Lewis Mills | Lewis Mills |
PowerWise = 53
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.51
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Conard (18- 2, 92.3) 2-19 -7.57 27.24 0.73 0.92 -6.30
0 A Middletown-Cog ( 6-11, 72.9) 12- 2 -27.04 7.77 0.73 0.92 7.82
0 A Wethersfield ( 6-10, 75.1) 7- 5 -24.82 9.99 0.73 0.92 9.88
0 A Granby Memoria (14- 6, 81.7) 5-11 -18.20 16.61 0.73 0.92 -16.10
0 A Bristol Easter (14- 4, 77.8) 11- 6 -22.05 12.75 0.73 0.92 12.42
0 H Tolland (14- 4, 81.2) 5- 9 -18.71 16.10 -0.73 0.92 -17.90
0 H EO Smith (10- 8, 76.7) 7- 4 -23.20 11.61 -0.73 0.92 10.02
0 A Windsor ( 0-16, 67.2) 18- 0 -32.71 2.09 0.73 0.92 2.60
0 H Newington ( 7-11, 77.8) 7- 6 -22.13 12.68 -0.73 0.92 11.01
0 A Hamden ( 6-10, 77.9) 11- 7 -22.02 12.79 0.73 0.92 12.45
0 H Bristol Easter (14- 4, 77.8) 14- 4 -22.05 12.75 -0.73 0.92 11.08
0 A Hall (11- 5, 82.9) 6-10 -16.99 17.82 0.73 0.92 -14.99
0 H Bristol Centra ( 4-12, 69.1) 16- 1 -30.77 4.04 -0.73 0.92 3.05
0 H Wethersfield ( 6-10, 75.1) 16- 2 -24.82 9.99 -0.73 0.92 8.54
0 A Enfield ( 5-10, 73.2) 9- 2 -26.72 8.08 0.73 0.92 8.12
0 H Middletown-Cog ( 6-11, 72.9) 13- 3 -27.04 7.77 -0.73 0.92 6.49
0 H Middletown-Cog ( 6-11, 72.9) 13- 5 -27.04 7.77 -0.73 0.92 6.49
0 H North Branford ( 8-10, 76.6) 15- 8 -23.32 11.49 -0.73 0.92 9.91
0 A Somers (13- 7, 81.3) 13-14 -18.63 16.18 0.73 0.92 -16.49
------
48.09
|
winning pts = 119.8751 losing points = -71.7839
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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